The AI Crypto Boom: Is This the Beginning of a New Era?2023 has witnessed a significant surge in AI-related cryptocurrencies . This boom can be partly attributed to the explosive growth of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock, a leader in the graphics processing unit (GPU) industry, which are used to train AI models.
Factors Driving the Growth
NVDA's Rise: NVDA's price has been on a tear, forming a bullish manipulative pattern. This bullish trend has inspired investors to have similar expectations for AI-related coins.
AMD's Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution Pattern: AMD is not a competitor of NVDA in this context, but rather an example of a successful "accumulation - manipulation - breakout" pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a period of accumulation, where investors slowly buy up a coin, followed by a period of manipulation, where the price is artificially inflated, and finally a breakout, where the price rises sharply due to increased demand.
Effect on Other Coins:
The bullish trend in NVDA and the successful breakout of AMD's accumulation-manipulation-breakout pattern have led to a surge in AI-related coins such as RNDR, THETA, NEAR, and FET.
A Look at Promising Coins:
RNDR: Render Network utilizes a decentralized network for 3D graphics and video rendering. The rise of the metaverse could potentially drive demand for RNDR's services.
THETA: Theta Labs aims to revolutionize video streaming by providing a decentralized content delivery network. The growth of streaming content could make THETA an attractive investment.
NEAR: NEAR Protocol is a smart contract platform focused on scalability and speed. The growth of decentralized applications (dApps) could make NEAR a valuable choice.
FET: Fetch.ai is developing a decentralized network for exchanging data and machine learning models. The growth of AI could increase demand for FET's services.
Important Considerations:
The cryptocurrency market is volatile and unpredictable. It is crucial to conduct your own research before investing in any coin.
This article is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Conclusion
AI-related cryptocurrencies are experiencing impressive growth. While it is impossible to say for certain whether this is the beginning of a new era, the possibilities of AI in the crypto space are worth considering. However, it is important to conduct thorough research and understand the associated risks before investing.
Community ideas
Bitcoin to continue outshining Gold In 2024Bitcoin (“BTC”) – the millennial gold - continues to outshine traditional gold. BTC prices have climbed higher after the listing of spot ETFs. A wider bull rally in the cryptocurrency markets is also underway. ETH touched its highest level since 2022. The total cryptocurrency market cap is 14% higher YTD.
A diverging outlook between BTC and Gold is emerging. After reaching all-time-high in December 2023, gold prices have pulled back this year. Stronger dollar fuelled by delayed rate cut expectations are taking shine off gold.
Halving event and bullishness from spot ETFs make for shining prospects ahead for BTC. In sharp contrast, macro backdrop dragging gold down leading to potentially lacklustre price performance. Collectively, this makes for a compelling spread positioning comprising long BTC and short Gold.
BTC RALLY HAS MORE STEAM
BTC is 12% higher YTD. It has marched higher with solid momentum post the spot ETF launch. Multiple factors point to further gains in store. For one, sustained net inflows to spot ETFs signal strong demand from US investors for BTC.
Volumes in spot ETFs reached its highest level since its launch on 21 February 2024. Participation was broad across several investors with 32,000 individual trades (sixty times the average), indicating widespread demand across investors.
BTC halving is due in a little less than a month, fuelling additional bullish sentiment. Lower supply of newly mined coins is expected to drive prices even higher.
BTC is currently trading 15% below its production cost, calculated by Capriole Investment using power consumption figures from the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index . This index has served as a strong price floor over several years. Miners are unlikely to sell their BTC holdings below their cost of production, consequently reducing selling pressure below this key support level.
While BTC production cost acts as an indicative support level, BTC may continue to trade below this level. For one, miners have built up BTC holdings over the past year, which they can opt to sell for a substantial profit below the new production cost.
The surge in BTC over 2023 has started to spill over to other digital assets. A broader digital asset rally is under play with ETH retesting its highest level since 2022 this month.
The potential for further appreciation in BTC is high if markets are currently at the cusp of a wider crypto rally.
Finally, traders have been avoiding substantial short positions. As Bitfinex highlighted , the short-squeeze ratio is lower this year, compared to previous years which suggests large whale investors have not been taking substantial short positions.
However, institutional positioning in CME BTC futures paints a contrasting picture. Asset managers have built up record long positioning while leveraged funds have built up record short positioning on CME BTC futures.
DELAYED RATE CUTS TAKING SHINE OFF GOLD
Delayed rate cut expectations have led to a resurgence in the dollar causing a pull-back in gold prices.
Gold faces a double whammy in terms of asset rotation as both equities and the dollar remain strong.
RECESSION IS OFF THE CARDS
Mint Finance described gold performance during recessions and soft-landings in a previous paper . In summary, while gold prices rally sharply during recessions, performance is flat during soft landings, a situation where inflation subsides, and economic growth remains resilient. Over the past two soft landings, gold delivered flat returns.
While a soft landing is yet to be realized as both inflation and rate outlook for 2024 remains uncertain, a recession in the US has become a remote possibility. In fact, the Consumer Board has abandoned its long-running call for a recession in the US.
Consumer Board’s (“CB”) Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) signals turning points in business cycles and near term economic outlook. Since July 2022, the LEI signalled a US recession with the LEI in decline.
LEI fell to 102.7 in January 2024, its lowest level since 2020, yet CB has stated that it no longer anticipates a recession in the US.
CB still anticipates a slowdown this year with growth expected to be near zero in Q2 and Q3. Yet several LEI components have turned positive over the last six months, including equity performance.
An overly hawkish Fed makes the much expected Fed pivot less likely, for now, but the strength in the broader economy across businesses and consumers makes a slowdown unlikely.
FUND FLOWS – TALE OF TWO ETFs
Fund flows for BTC and Gold ETFs also suggest a vastly diverging picture. Investors have responded exceedingly well to spot ETFs. Cumulative flows for spot ETFs have exceeded USD 3 billion in a month.
For reference, it took GLD - the first Gold ETF - two years to get to this point. Though, as a counterpoint, the ETF market and money supply are much larger now compared to when GLD was launched.
Net fund flows for BTC ETFs were close to zero for the first few days after launch as GBTC outflows shifted towards lower-cost ETFs. Since February, inflows to spot ETFs (excluding GBTC) have accelerated while GBTC outflows have slowed. The result is sharp growth in net inflows suggesting strong and positive investor response to spot ETFs.
Data Source: TradingView and ETFDB
While BTC Spot ETFs has been enjoying consistent net inflows, Gold ETFs have been awash with fund withdrawals and redemptions.
Data Source: TradingView
Contrasting cumulative net flows into BTC ETFs & Gold ETFs shows a stark divergence in expectations ahead for the price of these two similar assets.
Data Source: TradingView and ETFDB
Outflows from gold ETF’s represent asset rotation out of gold with some of those assets going towards equities and bonds.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
An unfavorable macro outlook is weighing on gold while BTC faces a positive outlook with tailwinds likely to push prices higher. A position combining a long position in BTC and a short position in Gold benefits from both rising BTC and falling gold prices.
This spread does not compromise on performance as past rallies have yielded similar performance in the BTC/Gold ratio. BTC/Gold spread has not been an effective hedge as the ratio does not perform better during downturns.
A hypothetical spread trade consists of long four lots of Micro Bitcoin futures (MBTH2024) and short one lot of Micro Gold futures (MGCJ2024).
This position requires margin of 4 x USD 1,120 (=USD 4,480) on the BTC leg and USD 830 on the gold leg:
• Entry: 25.32
• Target: 30.60
• Stop Loss: 21.30
• Profit at Target: USD 4,310
• Loss at Stop: USD 3,285
• Reward/Risk: 1.3x
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
How or why did you start trading?I've spent nearly 10 years on Tradingview.
But after doing this since the age of 15; it's been interesting and fun (don't worry, this is not me retiring) I just wanted to share some of the key points, the ups and the downs, the challenges and the rewards.
For those of you who don't follow or know me, my trading started after a school trip from Wales (in the UK) to New York's Wall Street. We went to learn about the Wall Street crash and visited the exchange. Needless to say I was hooked!
My early years of trading, I would take the pushbike to the bank and trade stocks from the Times newspaper, it was always over the phone via the bank broker, I had to do this via my mother as I wasn't old enough for a stock account through my bank.
These were large cap stocks, things like Vodaphone, Cadbury's and ones most people could identify with. These were never big trades just the experience I guess. How I funded this was, I dropped out of school not long after that trip to New York, no qualifications, just the idea of being a trader and taking over my father's engineering company.
I would work as an engineer, still live with my parents, and buy stocks.
It wasn't until a few years later I got into penny stocks. I guess for me - seeing the Wolf of Wall Street movie, it was a bit like that: you would buy stocks for fractions of a penny and watch them pump. Some traded better than others but still had very little knowledge; trading wasn't as accessible as it is today.
I guess looking back this was very similar to what I see in crypto today, especially with alt coins.
about 5 years into the journey, I ended up getting into Forex where I guess I have stayed ever since. This was fast-paced compared to stocks and the markets being open 24 hours a day 5 days a week. I would take long term trades such as the difference between the interest rate of the New Zealand Dollar vs the Great British Pound for example. It just felt like free money. (those were the days).
From there I also started trading Gold, Oil & SPX.
Running in parallel, I ended up in the tech space; investing in cyber security around financial markets. I keep little souvenirs of the journey like this card from buying my first Ferrari. It reminds me of why it was interesting in the first place!
I think you need this as a trader, I have written several articles here on Tradingview about the psychology and loneliness of being a trader. Two of my favourites are the Simpsons one and the other side of the trade. Doing things you wouldn't usually do is part of creating your inner trader.
I was fortunate enough to get into Bitcoin early doors, right place, right time as they say.
From 2012 onwards been educating, mentoring and advising people and what a journey that's been. I have met some great people along the way. This brings me back to the upside, downside and, of course, the psychology and emotions of trading.
Trading can be a very lonely place to be if you have nobody to share the wins with in real-time; it's hard when you manage losses and keep them to yourself. Of course it's very, very rewarding when all is going to plan!
I can't emphasise the importance of a community, it's actually one of the reasons for posting this post.
With access to charts and brokers directly on your phone, it's an incredible change from the time I first started. But it can also bring a lot of hidden dangers, it's a unique type of lifestyle. I understand not everyone trades for a living, it's a hobby or a way to earn some extra money. But the ups and downs of this can have a strain on mental health.
Fear and greed is a real thing, not just a sentiment indicator. We are human after all. It's so easy to fall into a false sense of security after a couple of nice wins. But it's even easier to go off the rails after a handful of losses.
Some really cool factors for me when it comes to trading, would have to include doing one of the Tradingview shows with Stefan back last year
www.tradingview.com and discussed the fact that a notebook I had made for my 11 year son had been published as a book. Never thought I would become an author after dropping out of school.
Part of the reason I stream here and write educational posts is I love to keep the trading game live and current. Watching Bitcoin unfold and become institutional has been such a pleasure and amazing to watch it transition. It's been a great way to interact with people from all around the world.
I guess the point is, the power of the internet and a platform like Tradingview; allows us to share such stories with the world.
What I have learnt, is that new traders come to the market with a certain expectation. Often, people assume they need more indicators, more screens, more news and more instruments.
What you realise over time, is you can make a living from a handful of instruments and a little bit of logic.
I'll kick it off by saying what I don't like about trading is how lonely and isolated it can be. What I do like about it is the freedom it brings.
I would love to hear your story, why you started trading, what you like or don't like about it and anything you feel like sharing!
Anyways; I just wanted to share this little post and get some discussions going. Have a great weekend and I'll see you on the next stream.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Big SPX Butterfly Will Probably Dictate Trend Direction. It does not feel like it, but bears have finally gotten to the point where we have the most value betting on a big reversal. But with that comes the fact we're also very close to the levels where bears would probably be best to forego bearishness for a considerable amount of time.
Let's start with the obvious objection to being a bear now, we're making new highs. Which in indices has historically meant the rally has a strong chance of going on. Shorting into the new high from the 2020 drop would not have been any fun. However, it's also a fact that in many tops there's a nominal spike out of the high before the real turn.
This was the case the 2007 high and has been something we could have known to look for from as early as Feb of 2023.
Click below to read more on those.
Indices are at long term resistance levels. The 2022 sell off came from a 4.23 extension of the 2000 - 2008 crash range. This was a unique event in our times. The last time this big version of a short signal fired was in 1929. There was a strong reaction to the 4.23 possible reversal level. We're above it again now, but we've just covered the spike outs thing.
Read more about that here.
If we draw a fib from the high to the low of the March 2020 drop we're now at the 2.61. Previous high was around the 2.20. So this has been implied as a possible big resistance level since the 2020 bull breakout.
Then completing in the area of this resistance we have the big butterfly pattern. Coming in with a 2.20 right where we are now (And I think 2.20 is a good spot for trading a butterfly). This is a butterfly built up over a couple years. it has multiple swings in it. Each one of those had to be exactly the size it was for the 2.20 to be here agreeing with all the other resistance levels.
Odds of that happening in a random walk are not big. So it's worth paying attention to the butterfly.
A successful butterfly would see this strong looking bullish action dwarfed by huge bear candles.
An early shock big move. A shallow bounce and then relentless selling. In the last leg of a harmonic (D) leg, it's expected for super strong bullish moves. But if the harmonic is successful - the bear move eclipses the bull move.
The successful harmonic could be the trigger that starts the downtrend spoken of after a spike out in 2023.
------
Bears here have their ideal confluence of setups for a short in the 5100 zone. Some extra tolerance for spike outs is needed but the range for where bear signals are valid is really small now, offering high RR.
But if this strong confluence of bear signals fails - we're probably going to see an aggressive uptrend. The failure of a bat and butterfly pattern both would imply strong upside moves. Even in a scenario where the market was close to making a high there'd be an explosive upside move to the next resistance (Filling the crab pattern).
I think at this point in time bears have everything they could ask for in a short setup. Now's a great time to take attempts at swing shorts. But now is also the time to get really definitive about the levels shorts fail. If the trend continues, it's likely to only get stronger. Trends don't weaken. They get stronger and stronger and die in a burst of glory.
If this isn't the burst of glory- you don't wanna be short during it.
Bad News for USD Longs?According to the US Dollar Index, dollar longs are under pressure. Despite still technically exhibiting an uptrend, there are signs of technical weakness emerging. Since topping at 104.97 in mid-February (just shy of resistance at 105.04), price action has tunnelled through support at 104.15 (now marked resistance) in addition to channel support, extended from the low of 100.62.
As you can see from the chart, buyers and sellers are now squaring off at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around 103.72 and fast approaching neighbouring support at 103.62. Adding to the bearish vibe, we can see that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed under trendline support, taken from the low of 29.59, and also pushed through the 50.00 centreline, a move emphasising negative momentum.
Should sellers change gears here, therefore, and overthrow current supports, further underperformance could be on the table for the USD, targeting the 50-day SMA at 103.09 and support coming in at 102.92.
Bitcoin: 52K High New Wave Count.Bitcoin has pushed the 50K resistance area and peaked in the 52Ks. The recent bearish pin bar has signaled a swing trade short which is not following through (no surprise there). Over the coming week it is within reason to see a retest of the 48K area support. This is the price location where a high probability swing trade long setup can appear and where I am preparing for a signal.
In my previous articles, you will notice that I had a "B?" in the 46 to 48K resistance area. That was what I was waiting for the market to confirm, but the market never confirmed. We got a resistance break and run to 52K instead. A move like this calls for a new wave count which you can see on my chart now.
This illustrates an important point: you cannot get married to wave counts because the market does whatever IT wants to do. One drawback to wave counts is you have to relabel after the fact. They only serve as a basic guide that the market will either confirm or NOT.
The new wave count presents an impulse wave with 3 legs complete, with a potential 4th wave developing. This implies there is one more wave higher which can lead price into the 55K or 60K areas over the next few weeks (IF it follows through). This impulse would actually be the 5th wave (which I thought was completed at the previous test of 50K). This also means once 5 waves are complete, the probability of a broader corrective wave to follow becomes greater.
At this point, the plan is simple: WAIT for retrace to 48K area support and look for buy signal on larger time frames. IF this opportunity unfolds I will point it out to my members along with the other parameters such as stop and take profit prices.
The broader Wave C (monthly) that I have been pointing out in recent articles is also a LOW probability scenario unless or until the 40K support is broken. Again the key to this game is knowing how to adjust to new information, NOT getting stuck on opinions. The market changes and we must change our expectations with it if you want to be aligned with the probabilities.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Live stream - Forex Market Analysis (20th February) with SpecialI host daily Pre-London live forex market analysis sessions to guide and educate you through the daily process of trading. I look at the major currency pairs and Gold. I will also analyze other pairs or instruments based on request from the audience.
The TradingView Digest - February 20thHey everyone! Welcome back to the TradingView Weekly Digest. In today’s edition, we’re highlighting the top posts from our community, which includes an informative post about Apple’s valuation, a strategy for trading opening range breakout, a hot script on Ichimoku Oscillator, and all the latest headlines, earnings, and economic events.
💡 Apple’s Valuation
When we look at Apple historically, the valuation is higher than average, with lower than average sales growth. Compare today's prices to the low prices of 2013, 2016, and 2018/2019, and you can see that you could buy Apple at 2.13, 2.20, and 2.68 times sales, with sales growing at sharply higher rates compared to now, where sales are growing at the slowest rate and reaching a peak valuation at 8.02 times sales.
By timwest
💡 Timely Opening Range Breakout Strategy
Open Range Breakout (ORB) is a simple strategy that day traders use in relatively low-volatility markets. The Opening Range usually refers to the highest and lowest prices within the first 15 to 60 minutes of the market opening. These levels then serve as your resistance and support, guiding your trading plan for the day.
By Zeiierman
📰 Top Stories
Coinbase Stock Pops 14% on First Quarterly Profit Since 2021 as Trading Picks Up
Blackrock’s Bitcoin ETF Holdings Near 110K BTC
Why high-yield bond ETFs may deliver 'surprise' outperformance in fixed income in 2024
Microsoft's $3.44B German AI Investment
UK Records Biggest Monthly Retail Sales Rise Since April 2021
💵 Earnings highlights from the previous week:
Eni Earnings Fall on Lower Energy Prices
Alliant Energy's Q4 Earnings Rise, Revenue Falls; 2024 Outlook Maintained
Airbus Posts Lower FY23 Net Income; Revenue Grows
IAMGOLD Corp reports results for the quarter ended in December
Schneider Electric Reports Growth in FY23 Net Income, Revenue
💡🎥 Thoughts and Analysis on US30
What a solid run we have seen until the CPI data! After the US CPI came in hotter than expected, it shocked the market, leading to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD). Is this merely a buying opportunity, or could it signal a potential momentum change? Watch the video to find out.
By Eightcap
🆕 TradingView and Coin Metrics: New Era in Crypto Asset Analysis
Coin Metrics, renowned in crypto financial intelligence, has now integrated its dataset into the TradingView platform. Coin Metrics brings robust data on crypto networks, enriching the decisions of traders and investors with accurate information. Through this partnership, over 50 million TradingView users now have access to even more detailed and comprehensive information to analyze crypto assets.
By TradingView
🌟 Script of the Week
📜 Ichimoku Oscillator
This script utilizes various Ichimoku Cloud features to identify trend and potential entry/exit levels.
By LonesomeTheBlue
💭 Our Weekly Thought:
“There is never a rush to buy or sell.”
We hope you found this helpful. Please share your feedback, comments, or suggestions with us in the comments below.
TradingView Team
📣 Want to be among the first to know all the news? Give us a follow!
GBP/JPY’s Break & Retest PatternGBP/JPY’s recent price action has formed a bullish Break & Retest pattern – an underrated pattern which represents a structured way to navigate breakouts.
Here’s the three key components of GBP/JPY’s Break & Retest pattern:
1. The Breakout: On Tuesday, GBP/JPY made a decisive move higher, breaking above a significant resistance level.
2. The Retest: Following the breakout, prices retraced back to the level of the previously breached resistance. This pullback is a crucial component of the Break & Retest pattern, providing traders with a chance to confirm the legitimacy of the breakout.
3. The Reversal: The confirmation of the Break & Retest pattern came on Thursday when a bullish hammer candle formed. This reversal candle is indicative of the broken resistance now acting as support, aligning perfectly with the principles of the Break & Retest pattern. The market then pushed higher on Friday.
GBP/JPY Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Trading the GBP/JPY Break & Retest:
Identifying and Anticipating: Traders who had identified the key resistance level in GBP/JPY prior to the breakout were well-positioned to anticipate the development of the Break & Retest pattern. Utilising price alerts would have been particularly beneficial to notify traders of both the breakout and the subsequent retest.
Entry Points: The entry point for a bullish scenario involves strategically placing an entry order just above the high of the reversal candle. This ensures that traders enter the market with confirmation of the newfound support.
Stop-loss Placement: Proper risk management is crucial. In a bullish scenario like this, a stop loss could be positioned below both the low of the reversal pattern and the broken resistance level, protecting against unexpected downturns.
Price Targets: Traders have the flexibility to set a price target based on market structure or risk. With the GBP/JPY Break & Retest, targeting the next key level or support based on market structure, or opting for a price target twice the size of the risk, could be considered.
Risk Management:
As with any trading strategy, risk management is paramount. Traders engaging with the GBP/JPY Break & Retest pattern should implement proper risk management techniques, including position sizing, staying informed with the economic calendar, and diversifying their trading portfolio.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Nvidia Q424 preview – this needs to be on everyone risk radar Whether trading equity, equity indices or even FX, Nvidia’s Q424 earnings (due after-market on 21 Feb) should be firmly on the risk radar. Markets could come alive with movement and traders may need to dynamically react.
How the Nvidia share price reacts immediately after its earnings results and CEO Jensen Huang’s guidance could have far-reaching implications - not just for those holding exposures in Nvidia equity CFDs - but for those with open positions in NAS100 and US500, and even risk FX, such as AUD, NZD, and NOK.
Nvidia is a true market darling – it hits the sweet spot in A.I revolution, which may not be a completely new theme, but given the sheer rate of change in the evolution market participants still have very low conviction when it comes to forecasting future cash flows. This inability to price certainty only increases the volatility.
Looking at consensus expectations on sales, margins, and earnings may not prove to be overly worthwhile, given fundamentals mean little for what is essentially a pure momentum vehicle like Nvidia.
It’s the commentary and guidance and the tone of the outlook that inspires investors, notably around its long-term data centre sales. We can explicate how the business is likely tracking from recent earnings numbers from the likes of AMD, SMCI and TSMC, and given the strong trends we’ve seen of late can assume sales are growing at a solid clip.
Options structures price big moves on earnings
If we look at the options market, the implied or expected move for the day of reporting sits at an impressive -/+11%. That level of implied volatility could indeed be mispriced, but an -/+11% move for a company with a $1.83t market cap would be staggering.
When we consider that Nvidia has the fourth largest weight on both the S&P500 and NAS100, commanding a 4% and 5% weighting on each index respectively, an -/+11% move could have significant implications – especially if the move in Nvidia’s share price spreads into other A.I and mega-cap tech names, which it most probably would.
Should we see a move in US equity futures it would likely impact the USD and risk FX, such as the AUD, NZD, or NOK.
Staying in the options space, we see that Nvidia’s 1-week call options (10% out-of-the-money) currently commands an implied volatility of 100.8%, a clear premium over 1-week put options (with strikes 10% out of the money) at 85%. This is rare, as put option implied vol is typically higher than calls, given the increased relative demand to use put options to hedge against equity drawdown.
We also see that 9 of the top 10 most traded options strikes recently (expiring on 23 Feb) are traders buying call options, which just adds to the view that equity traders are positioning portfolios for higher levels and remain incredibly bullish on their near-term prospects.
The bottom line – Nvidia’s share price is not being driven by fundamentals – valuation matters little – it is all order flows and momentum. What matters to traders here is that the market expects a huge move on the day of earnings, and this could send ripples through broader markets. This creates opportunity but it also is a risk for traders that needs to be managed – put Nvidia on the risk radar.
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GBP/JPY: Price Corrects from 8.5 Year HighGBP/JPY: Price Corrects from 8.5 Year High
According to CNN, the economies of the UK and Japan entered a technical recession last week as data showed a second consecutive quarterly decline in gross domestic product. And if in the UK the economic downturn can be associated with high inflation and the strict policies of the Bank of England, then in Japan the reason may be the population decline (which has been going on for 14 years in a row).
At the same time, the GBP/JPY chart shows that last week the rate exceeded 190 yen per pound for the first time since August 2015.
However:
→ the price is at the upper border of the ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ at the beginning of this week, the price of GBP/JPY is below the 190 yen level – and a false bullish breakout of the psychological level should be regarded as a bearish sign;
→ the MACD indicator indicates that demand forces are fading.
Perhaps market participants are inclined to take profits from longs. Since it is possible that the Japanese authorities are able to announce some decisions aimed at supporting the yen. In this case, one of the immediate targets for the bears may be the level of 186 yen per pound – where the support level (formerly the resistance level) is located, reinforced by the median line of the long-term channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Possible Short & Mid-term Targets for EGLDUSDTGreetings,
In the scenario that the price does not lose the blue box ($57), I expect it to go to the supply zone at $65+ as the first target.
If it can cross the supply zone, the upper resistance levels can be targeted.
In a scenario where the price loses the blue box, the other area I would look for support would be around the green box ($50).
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Diagonal
Support – 38,135, 37,135
Resistance – 38,810
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 on the daily chart.
What a solid run we have seen till yesterday's CPI data. After US CPI came in hotter than expected, this shocked the market and led to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD).
We have broken down price action, price patterns and levels we are watching. Is this nothing more than a buying opportunity, or is this a potential momentum change?
Good trading.
Apple Valuation Graphed to 2009The valuation of NASDAQ:AAPL shares is always an interesting challenge and historically you can view the range of valuation that Apple shares have traded at using the powerful tools that TradingView has for you.
Here is a template you can easily make a copy of using the "share" button at the bottom of the graph. Once you click "share" you will see a "make it mine" button to click on an make yourself a copy to use as a template for your other stocks.
This is a powerful way to view your companies you invest in and see how they are valued.
1. Free cash flow
2. PS Ratio (How many times the annual revenues of the company is the market capitalization of the equity)
3. Shares Outstanding (Very important to know if a company is giving shares away to employees each year creating a drag on the earnings or are they buying back stock with borrowed money. Better yet, are they retiring stock with free cash flow.)
4. Long term debt (See above) Is the company borrowing more and more to grow and putting itself at risk
5. Total Revenue (Not inflation adjusted)
6. Market Capitalization (Value of stock only, not enterprise value which includes debt)
When we look at Apple shares here historically, the valuation is higher than average with lower than average sales growth. Compare today's prices to the low prices of 2013-2016-2018/2019 you can see you could buy Apple at 2.13, 2.20, 2.68 times sales with sales growing at sharply higher rates versus now with sales growing at the slowest rate with a peak in valuation at 8.02 times sales.
So, in effect, NASDAQ:AAPL is significantly more expensive relative to low valuation levels.
Valuation isn't a timing mechanism for entering and exiting stocks but you can use it to understand the relative valuation of stocks in your portfolio and the investible universe of stocks.
Knowledge is power and this data at least helps you to point out the downside risk to previous low valuation cycles.
Cheers,
Tim
Friday, February 9, 2024 11:54AM EST
$189.67 last NASDAQ:AAPL
The TradingView Digest - February 13thHello, readers! We're delighted to announce the relaunch of our Weekly Digest, now optimized for an improved reading experience.
Join us for a knowledge-enriched learning journey. Without delay, let's dive in! 🙂
In today’s edition, we’re highlighting the top posts from our community. This includes an informative post about Stan Weinstein's stage analysis, a video tutorial on market liquidity, a hot script on volume footprint, and all the latest headlines, earnings, and economic events. 🔥
⦿ Stan Weinstein’s method of Stage Analysis
Stage analysis is a powerful technique in trading that segments market trends into distinct phases, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. Developed by Stan Weinstein, this method helps traders understand and anticipate market movements.
By FXOpen
⦿ Understanding Liquidity
Liquidity is essentially composed of orders in the marketplace. Since trading operates as a zero-sum game, without liquidity, trading becomes impossible. To put it simply, if you want to buy, you need someone to sell to you, and vice versa.
By TradinG_Grace
⦿ Top Stories
SoftBank Swings to Surprise $6.4B Profit After Four Down Quarters, Arm Stake Nets $16B
Intel Chip Sales Halted by German Court
Bitcoin Halving Preparations Prompt Surge in Miner Outflows: Bitfinex Insights
Pharmacy Chains Are in a World of Hurt. Blame Shrinking Drug Reimbursements
Cloudflare's stock catapults 24% higher as earnings bring 'a lot to like'
⦿ Earnings
Earnings highlights from the previous week:
Alibaba's Q3 Earnings Fall, Approves $25B Buyback
Ford's Q4 Revenue Up 4%
Costco's Net Sales Rise in 2024
Adobe's Earnings to Rise 15.3%
⦿ How to Create a Solid Portfolio
Building a strong portfolio can be challenging for most investors. Knowing easy ways to start that journey can greatly improve your performance as an investor. In this post, we'll show you how to better pick stocks, using the NAS100 as an example.
By thesharkke
⦿ Bullion Ballet: Trading the Gold Platinum Ratio
Gold is a preferred precious metal driven by consumer jewelry demand, investment, and monetary policies. Platinum, also precious, is used for jewelry and somewhat as an investment. Unlike gold (6% industrial demand), platinum relies heavily on industry (73%).
By mintdotfinance
⦿ Script of the Week
Volume Footprint Voids
This script aims to plot single candle profiles and their own footprints. It uses lower timeframe calculations to plot different styles of single candle POC and can be used for scalping, finding precise entries and exits, and spotting potential trapped traders, etc.
By StratifyTrade
⦿ Our Weekly Thought
Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly.
We hope you found this helpful. Please share your feedback, comments, or suggestions with us in the comments below.
- TradingView Team ❤️
TradingView and Coin Metrics: New Era in Crypto Asset AnalysisHello investors and trading enthusiasts!
Today, we bring you a great news that'll take your crypto analysis up another notch.
Coin Metrics, renowned in crypto financial intelligence, has now integrated its dataset into the TradingView platform. Coin Metrics brings robust data on crypto networks, enriching the decisions of traders and investors with accurate information.
Through this partnership, over 50 million TradingView users now have access to even more detailed and comprehensive information to analyze crypto assets.
How to access Coin Metrics data?
Type "COINMETRICS:" into the asset search field:
📈 Examples
Bitcoin - Sum of unique addresses that were active on a given day
Ethereum - Newly created addresses with a non-zero starting balance
This integration is more than just data; it is a strategic collaboration to explore new markets and create innovative use cases in the world of digital assets . For more details, visit the official Coin Metrics website .
We hope you found this as amazing as we did. We'd love to know in the comments what you think of this new integration.
Additionally, if you have any suggestions for future improvements or implementations on Tradingview, just drop us a message.
Congratulations on being part of the world's largest community of Traders and Investors!
- TradingView Team ❤️❤️❤️
GBPUSD: Important Breakout Time To ShortPrice has broken out of a very solid support zone which price has been bouncing off multiple times.
As you can see, the price is making a pullback to the support turned resistance zone.
I believe a rejection from this zone could lead the price to fall towards the pullback support
I'm bearish biased
Bullion Ballet: Trading the Gold Platinum RatioGold is the favoured precious metal. Its demand reflects consumer consumption of jewellery, investment demand, and monetary policy conditions. In a previous paper , Mint Finance highlighted these factors in detail.
Platinum is also a precious metal, used to create jewellery and to a small extent as a form of investment. Crucially, unlike gold (6% industrial demand), platinum (73% industrial demand) is used more extensively for industrial applications.
As gold and platinum share the source of jewellery demand, their performance is generally positively correlated.
However, due to the distinct sources of demand as well as the extent to which each precious metal is used for each application, the correlation can break. These periods can offer tactical trading opportunities to benefit from the relative performance of CME Group’s precious metals suite. Particularly in a key ratio called the Gold to Platinum Ratio (“GPR”) which measures the price of gold relative to platinum.
WHAT DRIVES THE GOLD-PLATINUM-RATIO
The GPR is affected by monetary policy. Though the ratio does not show a distinct impact upon the first-rate cuts by Fed, rapid rate cuts in response to economic crises such as recessions can cause it to rally.
The GPR increases during recessions due to investor preference for gold during times of crisis.
Interestingly, the ratio has been rising since 2008 as gold price reaches new record highs, while platinum currently faces a cyclical downturn.
RECESSION MAY BE UNLIKELY
While the GPR faces the potential to increase during a potential recession, there are signs that a recession may be unlikely in the US. US spending remains resilient and has contributed to faster than expected GDP growth in 2023. While growth slowed heading into Q4 2023, it is still expected to expand at a strong 2% in the quarter.
Moreover, the January BLS nonfarm payrolls report showed a massive 353k new jobs added. Wage growth was strong at 0.6% MoM, double the analyst estimate. Strong labour market and consumer spending in the US point to a healthier than expected economy.
INDUSTRIAL SLOWDOWN WILL STILL HAMPER PLATINUM DEMAND
In 2023, 33% of platinum’s demand came from industrial sources according to data from the World Platinum Investment Council . Platinum is used as a catalyst for several crucial industrial chemical processes. In addition, automotive demand represents a further 40% of total platinum demand.
In the automotive industry, platinum is used in catalytic converters to reduce emissions. This has been a recent driver of platinum demand due to rising emissions standards and the so-called platinum-for-palladium substitution.
In short, palladium is a Platinum Group Metal (PGM) which can be used interchangeably in automotive applications. The surge in palladium prices prompted many automakers to replace it with platinum. These changes will be in place for the lifetime of a car’s production so this trend will benefit platinum for an extended period.
While platinum is a standout among the so-called Platinum Group Metals (PGM), the industry has been facing a downturn over the past 2 years with prices sharply lower. Ample above-ground inventories as well as low investment demand has hampered platinum performance.
This downturn may not be permanent. Higher automotive demand and growth in hydrogen vehicles are expected to be long-term growth drivers for platinum.
For 2024, the World Platinum Investment Council forecasts a smaller supply deficit than 2023. This is largely due to lower industrial and investment demand as well as improved supply.
Anglo American, one of the largest producers of refined platinum stated that it expects PGM production to improve, which means ample supply.
During 2023, production was hampered in South Africa. Going forward, PGM’s are meant to be a major driver for the mining giant, so efforts to improve production are under way and management also expects prices to recover. However, continued cost pressures may force miners to scale back production.
Overall, the slowdown in chemical and petroleum demand as well as ample supply will limit Platinum’s performance in 2024, though price does face upside potential in the medium-to-long term.
BENEFITS OF TRADING THE RATIO
Platinum faces a mixed outlook in 2024, while there are several long-term demand growth drivers pushing price up, it faces uncertain but bearish production and demand outlooks for 2024.
Similarly, gold is benefiting from heightened geo-political risk and strong central bank demand but faces resistance as prices reaches new record highs and a recession looks unlikely. Mint Finance covered some of these factors in detail in a previous post .
While the outlook for both precious metals alone is uncertain, a trade on the back of the GPR favours gold.
Not only has the ratio been on an uptrend for the past decade, it has outperformed both gold and platinum prices.
Moreover, the ratio is not prone to overly large corrections. The largest drawdown in the ratio was smaller than the largest drawdown in gold and platinum prices.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
To express a position on GPR, investors can opt to use CME Group’s suite of precious metals future. Margin offset of 50% is available for a trade consisting of 1 gold (GC) contract and 2 platinum (PL) contracts. Executing a trade on the May futures contracts (GCK2024 and PLK2024), requires margin of:
(Margin for Gold Leg + 2 x Margin for Platinum Leg) = (USD 8,300 + 2 x USD 2,800) = USD 13,900 – margin offset of 50% = USD 6,950.
CME options on gold and platinum point to a bullish outlook for both but gold positioning is more bullish than platinum. As of 5/Feb, Gold options have a put/call ratio of 0.48 while platinum options have a put/call ratio of 0.75.
Consider the following hypothetical trade setup:
Entry: 2.275
Target: 2.530
Stop Loss: 2.100
Profit at Target: USD 23,013
Loss at Stop: USD 15,803
Reward to Risk: 1.46x
This position benefits when:
• Gold price rises faster than platinum.
• Gold price falls slower than platinum.
The position loses when:
• Gold price rises slower than platinum.
• Gold price falls faster than platinum.
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Chainlink - Did We Just Witness Wykoff Accumulation?To all my fellow traders, speculators and gamblers, its been some time since my last post.
I hope you've all been well, and most importantly, bathing in huge profits :)
It seems like Chainlink followed textbook Wykoff Accumulation Schematics.
Not the most perfect schematics, notably PS ( Prelim Support) falling a little short of the soon to be Resistance Lines.
In addition, BU only touched the resistance turned support once before rocketing up.
However the first PS does line up with the BU and subsequent SOS (Show Of Strength)
Phase A includes a number of additional ST ( Secondary Test) which is common after the SC (Selling Climax) stage. The selling Climax should've marked the lowest point, but price action made a lower low after the AR (Auto Rally) But it was merely a 19c difference.
Price still stayed within the TR(Trading Range) and bounced from the support lines.
The AR also marked the highest point within the trading range.
These are all minor discrepancies as price action continued to follow Wykoff theory.
We had multiple touches of the Support / Resistance lines, along with a perfect Spring (Final Shakeout/Bear Trap), Test and LPS, followed by a BU + SOS.
It took approximately 533 days from the SC (Selling Climax) to the TR (Trading Range) breakout,
The longer the accumulation period, the stronger the "Spring".
Does this mean price will continue north? Not necessarily, we've all seen these schematics fail. After all, Chainlink is up over 305% since the $4.65 Spring/Shakeout/Bear Trap lows.
That would've made an awesome long entry.
However, price is still way below its $53 ATH, so anything is possible.
Having a quick look we could see that price is currently at resistance levels.
A break from the 19$ range could initiate further upside.
Like the majority of the market, the crypto king (BTC) will probably dictate Chainlinks next move.
If we are to follow Wykoff theory, we could expect further upside.
I made a post back in May 22' private post titled "Link... Whales have been accumulating"
I remember reading many articles at the time that stated big players were buying up Chainlink.
Price action also found support at various Fibonacci levels, in addition to strong buy signals.
RSI Levels were at record lows, in addition to a whopping 90% correction at the time.
Unfortunately, I never got around to publishing that idea, it would've made a fantastic post.
I am no expert on Wykoff theory, so I've included information taken from various online sources.
Hopefully it helps, Much love and lots of profits to you all.
What is Wyckoff Accumulation?
Each cycle in the market begins with accumulation. This phase is marked by a range trend, where the market is relatively stable and rangebound. During this phase, institutional investors buy the stock at lower prices. Also, the volume tends to decline in this phase because the buying interest gradually absorbs the selling pressure.
Another way to confirm accumulation is to look at the support level. You may notice higher lows, indicating that the buyers are gaining power. Slowly, the trading volume begins to rise. This is a key indicator of the shift in sentiment and suggests a breakout trend.
As the accumulation progresses, you may see signs of strength in the price action, where the asset breaks above the trading range’s upper boundary.
This breakout often indicates that the market is ready for an upward move.
During the Wyckoff Accumulation process, smart money builds substantial positions at favourable prices before the broader market realizes the potential for an upward move.
The accumulation may resemble a “compressed spring” on the chart.
The longer it is, the better the indication of a breakout.
Markup: The second phase of accumulation is the markup, which follows a breakout.
According to Wyckoff, traders should find entry points through the pullback zones in this phase.
Wyckoff Events
PS— Preliminary Support , where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a prolonged down-move. Volume increases and price spread widens, signalling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC— Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually climaxes and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom. Often price will close well off the low in a SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR— Automatic Rally , which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly diminished. A wave of buying easily pushes prices up; this is further fueled by short covering. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation TR.
ST— Secondary Test , in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand balance at these levels. If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be significantly diminished as the market approaches support in the area of the SC. It is common to have multiple STs after a SC.
Springs or shakeouts usually occur late within a TR and allow the stock’s dominant players to make a definitive test of available supply before a markup campaign unfolds. A “spring” takes price below the low of the TR and then reverses to close within the TR; this action allows large interests to mislead the public about the future trend direction and to acquire additional shares at bargain prices.
A terminal shakeout at the end of an accumulation TR is like a spring on steroids.
Shakeouts may also occur once a price advance has started, with rapid downward movement intended to induce retail traders and investors in long positions to sell their shares to large operators.
Test — Large operators always test the market for supply throughout a TR (e.g., STs and springs) and at key points during a price advance. If considerable supply emerges on a test, the market is often not ready to be marked up. A spring is often followed by one or more tests; a successful test (indicating that further price increases will follow) typically makes a higher low on lesser volume.
SOS — Sign Of Strength , a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume. Often a SOS takes place after a spring, validating the analyst’s interpretation of that prior action.
LPS—Last Point of Support , the low point of a reaction or pullback after a SOS. Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistance, on diminished spread and volume. On some charts, there may be more than one LPS, despite the ostensibly singular precision of this term.
BU—“Back-Up” . This term is short-hand for a colourful metaphor coined by Robert Evans, one of the leading teachers of the Wyckoff method from the 1930s to the 1960s. Evans analogized the SOS to a “jump across the creek” of price resistance, and the “back up to the creek” represented both short-term profit-taking and a test for additional supply around the area of resistance. A back-up is a common structural element preceding a more substantial price mark-up, and can take on a variety of forms, including a simple pullback or a new TR at a higher level.
Each Phase Explained.
Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. Up to this point, supply has been dominant. The approaching diminution of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC). These events are often very obvious on bar charts, where widening spread and heavy volume depict the transfer of huge numbers of shares from the public to large professional interests. Once these intense selling pressures have been relieved, an automatic rally (AR), consisting of both institutional demand for shares as well as short-covering, typically ensues. A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC. If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation. The lows of the SC and the ST and the high of the AR set the boundaries of the TR. Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behaviour.
Sometimes the downtrend may end less dramatically, without climactic price and volume action. In general, however, it is preferable to see the PS, SC, AR and ST, as these provide not only a more distinct charting landscape but a clear indication that large operators have definitively initiated accumulation.
In a re-accumulation TR (which occurs during a longer-term uptrend), the points representing PS, SC and ST are not evident in Phase A. Rather, in such cases, Phase A resembles that more typically seen in distribution (see below). Phases B-E generally have a shorter duration and smaller amplitude than, but are ultimately similar to, those in the primary accumulation base.
Phase B: In Wyckoffian analysis, Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend (see Wyckoff Law #2 – “Cause and Effect”). In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup. The process of institutional accumulation may take a long time (sometimes a year or more) and involves purchasing shares at lower prices and checking advances in price with short sales. There are usually multiple STs during Phase B, as well as upthrust-type actions at the upper end of the TR. Overall, the large interests are net buyers of shares as the TR evolves, with the goal of acquiring as much of the remaining floating supply as possible. Institutional buying and selling imparts the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume. As the professionals absorb the supply, however, the volume on downswings within the TR tends to diminish. When it appears that supply is likely to have been exhausted, the stock is ready for Phase C.
Phase C: It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply, allowing the “smart money” operators to ascertain whether the stock is ready to be marked up. As noted above, a spring is a price move below the support level of the TR (established in Phases A and B) that quickly reverses and moves back into the TR. It is an example of a bear trap because the drop below support appears to signal resumption of the downtrend. In reality, though, this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears). In Wyckoff's method, a successful test of supply represented by a spring (or a shakeout) provides a high-probability trading opportunity. A low-volume spring (or a low-volume test of a shakeout) indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
The appearance of a SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis. As noted in Accumulation Schematic #2, however, the testing of supply can occur higher up in the TR without a spring or shakeout; when this occurs, the identification of Phase C can be challenging.
Phase D: If we are correct in our analysis, what should follow is the consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, as well as reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top of the TR. LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E: In Phase E, the stock leaves the TR, demand is in full control and the markup is obvious to everyone. Setbacks, such as shakeouts and more typical reactions, are usually short-lived. New, higher-level TRs comprising both profit-taking and acquisition of additional shares (“re-accumulation”) by large operators can occur at any point in Phase E. These TRs are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
Who Was Richard Wykoff?
Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was an early 20th-century pioneer in the technical approach to studying the stock market. He is considered one of the five “titans” of technical analysis, along with Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill.
At age 15, he worked as a stock runner for a New York brokerage.
Afterward, while still in his 20s, he became the head of his firm.
He also founded and, for nearly two decades, wrote and edited The Magazine of Wall Street, which, at one point, had more than 200,000 subscribers.
Wyckoff was an avid student of the markets, as well as an active tape reader and trader.
He observed the market activities and campaigns of the legendary stock operators of his time, including JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore.
From his observations and interviews with those big-time traders, Wyckoff codified the best practices of Livermore and others into laws, principles, and techniques of trading methodology, money management, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff observed numerous retail investors being repeatedly fleeced.
Consequently, he dedicated himself to instructing the public about “the real rules of the game” as played by the large interests, or “smart money.”
In the 1930s, he founded a school that would later become the Stock Market Institute.
The school's central offering was a course that integrated the concepts that Wyckoff had learned about identifying large operators' accumulation and distribution of stock with how to take positions in harmony with these big players.
His time-tested insights are as valid today as they were when first articulated.
Speculative Setup, DYOR.
Best Editors' Picks of 2023We present our awards for the best Editors' Picks of 2023! This marks our second year of recognizing outstanding open-source Community scripts. From the 84 picks in 2023, our PineCoders have cast their votes, highlighting three exceptional indicator scripts and one outstanding library. Each author of these noteworthy entries will receive 100,000 TradingView coins.
The awardees:
• Intrabar Analyzer by KioseffTrading
• Machine Learning: Lorentzian Classification by jdehorty
• Harmonic Patterns Based Trend Follower by Trendoscope
• SimilarityMeasures by RicardoSantos
Congratulations to the winners, and a heartfelt thank you to all Pine Script™ coders who contribute their open-source publications to our Community scripts . We eagerly anticipate another year of remarkable scripts in 2024!
What are Editors' Picks ?
The Editors' Picks showcase the best open-source script publications selected by our PineCoders team. Many of these scripts are original and only available on TradingView. These picks are not recommendations to buy or sell anything, nor to use a specific indicator. Our aim is to highlight the most interesting recent publications to encourage learning and sharing in our community.
Any open-source Community scripts can be picked if they're original, provide good potential value to traders, include helpful descriptions, and comply with the House Rules.