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Bearish reversal?GBP/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.77176 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.78211 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.76227 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Nuls | Simple Signal (Volume Breakout — 185% BU-Pot.)Let's keep it simple... Just notice the trading volume yesterday (19-August) on this daily NULSUSDT chart. A very strong "volume breakout." Trading volume, suddenly, becomes the highest since early 2024. Notice that this is happening as the rest of the altcoins market goes bullish (marketwide correlation) as well as after the C wave of a classic EW ABC correction. 👉 This indicates that there is potential for growth. I am showing two targets on the chart, 137% and 186%... But it can go higher, much, much higher... You've been warned! Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
8
ARM: Approaching an inflection point. | 1H & D Chart Analysis |On the 1-hour chart, the price is moving within an ascending channel, marked by the two purple trendlines. The price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong short-term uptrend. However, it’s currently approaching the lower boundary of the channel, which coincides with the 21-hour EMA. This area could act as double support, and a bounce from here might lead to another attempt to reach the upper boundary of the channel. If the price breaks below the channel, it could signal a short-term reversal, leading to a potential test of the recent low around $97.76, which is its most important support level. On the daily chart, after a significant drop, the price has started to recover. The 21-day EMA is still sloping downward, indicating that the broader trend might still be under pressure. What's more, thihs 21 EMA is acting as a resistance level for ARM, as it failed to break it last week. Could ARM reverse the mid-term bearish sentiment? Yes, but it needs to break the 21 EMA (D) asap. If the price stays inside the ascending channel observed on the 1h chart, even better. By turning bullish, the open gaps (yellow squares) will become our next targets. Summary Support Levels: Watch the lower boundary of the channel on the 1-hour chart. Resistance Levels: The immediate resistance is at 21 EMA on the daily chart, with the upper boundary of the channel on the 1-hour chart also acting as a potential resistance. We should be cautious of a break below the ascending channel, as it could indicate a short-term reversal, while a sustained move above 21 EMA on the daily chart could suggest a more prolonged recovery. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:ARM
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
Fed’s Powell to Address Rate Cuts at Jackson Hole: What to KnowThe annual Jackson Hole Monetary Policy Symposium takes place this week. Jay Powell, head of the Federal Reserve, will step up to the podium on August 23 and shed light into the central bank’s interest rate-cut timeline. His words will echo around global markets and either propel stocks higher on rate-cut optimism or knock them down if the outlook turns gloomy in the lead-up to the Fed's rate-setting meeting on September 18. No in-between. The most exclusive retreat in central banking — the Jackson Hole Monetary Policy Symposium — is gathering top bankers, economists, financiers and other financial heavyweights for three days of idea swapping, hint dropping and market popping (hopefully.) What’s Jackson Hole? Every August, the top dogs in global finance trade their suits for some Wyoming flannel and gather at Jackson Hole. Hosted by the Kansas City Fed since 1978, this is the forum to brainstorm the future of monetary policy and send it out to traders ready to absorb every word. It’s like summer camp for the financial elite, except the campfire stories can crash markets or send them soaring. When the Fed Chair speaks here, the world listens. Major policy shifts have been telegraphed at Jackson Hole, from hints of rate hikes to the next round of quantitative easing. If you’re trading, you can’t afford to ignore what’s said — or not said — in these mountain-side discussions. Highlights from Past Forums 2010: Ben Bernanke, then Fed Chair, hinted at QE2, a measure to spur growth and keep prices steady through bond purchases, and the markets took off like a rocket. Were you long? Because it was a good time to be long. 2020: Jerome Powell unveiled a major shift in Fed policy towards average inflation targeting. The central bank was more inclined to tolerate inflation above the ideal 2% target before it started pumping interest rates. Expectations for This Week’s Gathering This week’s Fed event will be especially meaningful and consequential. The Fed boss is slated to present his keynote address on August 23. Jay Powell, the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon,” has a lot to break down. Inflation has been going down recently. The latest figures show the consumer price index for July slipped under the 3% mark for the first time since 2021. Consumer spending remains resilient. The retail sales report, again for July, showed that the mighty American shopper upped spending by 1% , topping expectations. The labor market, however, got way off the beaten path. Just 114,000 new jobs were created in July. This is also what caused the global market shake-up that sent ripples through every asset class — from stocks to crypto and beyond. Against this economic backdrop, Jay Powell will be moving markets and making headlines as he delivers his remarks. Front and center is some sort of further confirmation of an expected interest rate cut — already communicated and most likely already priced in. The question now is not if, but by how much interest rates are getting trimmed. Analysts expect borrowing costs to go down either by 25 basis points or a bigger, juicier 50-basis-point cut. And here’s what each one of these means and what’s at stake. If the Fed chooses to cut rates down by 25bps, it risks not doing enough to prevent the economy from tipping into a recession. Higher rates for longer make it more difficult for businesses to borrow and drive growth. But if the Fed chooses to cut rates by too much — a jumbo 50bps cut — it runs the risk of reigniting inflation and, what’s even more, fueling another speculative bull run in the markets. Low rates make money less expensive as loans cost less. The expansive monetary policy measure of cutting interest rates aims to boost economic growth both on the business level and the consumer level. Companies take out loans to expand their operations, build new stuff and hire more workers. And the average consumer finds it easier to get a mortgage or buy a new car (or some Bitcoin ?). Overall, more money is spinning around, creating opportunity and offering liquidity for deals across markets. Brace yourselves as Jay Powell gets ready to drop some hints and prepare the audience for the Fed’s next meeting coming September 17-18. The markets may very well be heading into a rollercoaster few weeks as they try to predict the scale of interest rate cuts. Are you getting ready to pop a trade open this week? Share your thoughts and expectations below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
8
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend. Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe. This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price. However historically were still at some oversold levels. Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower. Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again? Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
7
BTC Bullish Target $70K vs. Bearish Drop to $41K | ICTIn this video, I dive deep into two potential scenarios for the market: A bullish scenario targeting $70,000 and a bearish scenario pointing towards $41,000. I explore the concept of a smart money reversal and the market maker sell model to provide a detailed analysis of possible price movements. Additionally, I discuss the bearish price structure and what it could mean for the market in the near term. Whether you're bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the key levels to watch and the strategies that may unfold. I would love to get some feedback! 🔥
by SerenityEquity
29
Dow Theory: A Guide to Trend FollowingThis is a follow up idea from my recent idea about a trade setup on the Nasdaq that I thought was an excellent opportunity due to the major trend break that had lasted nearly a full year. We'll see if that ends up working out for me or not. I think it's too soon to say, but as of now it did break above and close above the line on Friday. This is a short version with some more examples, but you can check out the last video along with most of my ideas because they almost all include trend analysis. I think the power of using Dow Theory and basic trendlines is often overlooked. This is why my charts don't have indicators on them, trend following is all I need to be profitable. There are many ways to trade and all kinds of strategies you can make money with, but this is how I do it and it's how legends like Jesse Livermore did it over 100 years ago.
CBOE:VX1!
by AdvancedPlays
5
NVDA - Short Term Update - $118 Resistance - 08/15/2024NVDA is currently at the $118 resistance we discussed previously. I've moved that position to cash for the time being. Swinging some options in case we do get continuation to the upside, though. I'd like to see NVDA come back to $100 where I'd be buying back my equity but for now, just waiting to see what the price action does. Short term upside targets if we break out of 118 would be 125, 130, 132. To the downside, I'd see 112 as the first support, then 106 before ultimately seeing 100. Taking profit felt good, now I will patiently wait for the market to do something on this historically bearish time period. August on average has a -4.45% return on the S&P since 1950, and Aug/Sep combined is an average return of -5.8%. October tends to be the best month to be a buyer with an average return of 4% after 2 months and 6% after 6 months.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by bitdoctor
12
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Analysis: Multi-Timeframe BreakdownYet another great week traders and yet another analysis for us to look at today. I've been closely watching AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) across the weekly, daily, and 15-minute timeframes, and there’s a lot happening here. Let’s break it down: Weekly Chart On the weekly chart, ASTS has absolutely exploded. We're looking at a massive 50%+ gain this week alone. My Deno LinReg Candles are showing a steep upward trajectory, which aligns with this strong bullish move. The price has surged well above the MA21, and the momentum is clearly in favour of the bulls. The RSI is sitting deep in the overbought territory, which is a signal that we might see some cooling off soon. However, in such strong uptrends, overbought conditions can persist longer than expected. Key Support: The closest support on the weekly chart is around $19.36, but the way this stock is moving, we could see new levels of support form higher up if the bullish trend continues. Key Resistance: There’s no immediate resistance in sight since we’re in breakout territory, but psychologically, round numbers like $35.00 or $40.00 could act as resistance. Daily Chart Moving to the daily chart, ASTS has continued its bullish run, with the price extending far beyond the upper band of the CPR. This is indicative of a strong trend, but it also suggests that we might be due for a pullback or at least some consolidation soon. The MA21 is acting as solid support, and as long as we stay above this level, the trend remains bullish. The RSI on the daily chart is also in overbought territory, so we need to keep an eye out for any signs of weakness. Key Support: Immediate support on the daily is around $22.68, with stronger support at $19.88, which is near the MA21. Key Resistance: We’re in uncharted territory, but again, look out for psychological levels as potential resistance. 15-Minute Chart Zooming in on the 15-minute chart, things are cooling down a bit. After that massive run, the price is starting to consolidate, which is healthy after such a big move. My Deno LinReg Candles are starting to show some mixed signals, indicating that we might see a range-bound market in the short term. The price is currently hovering around the MA21 on this timeframe, and if it holds, we could see another leg up. However, if it breaks down, we might revisit the lower band of the CPR. Key Support: Immediate support is at $29.82, with stronger support around $28.00. Key Resistance: The next level to watch is $31.36, which was the recent high. Forecast and What to Expect Looking ahead, ASTS is in a strong uptrend on the higher timeframes, but with the RSI being overbought on both the weekly and daily charts, we could see some profit-taking or a pullback soon. On the daily and 15-minute charts, I’ll be watching to see if the price can hold above the MA21. If it does, the bullish momentum could continue, potentially pushing ASTS to new highs. However, if we start to see signs of weakness, particularly on the 15-minute chart, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback to those key support levels I mentioned. Stay tuned, and let’s see where this rocket ship takes us!
NASDAQ:ASTSLong
by Deno_Trading
5
EURUSD: An In-Depth Analysis and Timeless Trading Strategy👀 👉 The EUR/USD pair is the most traded currency pair in the world, and in this video, I take you through a comprehensive analysis of this highly liquid market. I also present a trade idea that can be considered for today. However, the concepts and strategies discussed are not limited to a single session—they can be applied at any time in the future across various market conditions. In this video, we explore the key features and benefits of TradingView, highlighting some of the essential tools I use in my day-to-day analysis. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, these tools can enhance your market insights and trading precision. We delve into critical concepts such as trend analysis, market structure, price action, and the methodology for pinpointing precise entry points on any given trading day. This strategy is not just a one-time trade idea; it’s a robust approach that can be utilized across different currency pairs, making it a versatile addition to your trading toolkit. Please note that while this analysis is thorough, it should be used as part of a broader trading strategy that takes into account your personal risk tolerance and financial goals. Trading in the currency markets carries inherent risks, and it's important to approach it with a clear understanding of those risks.
by fxtraderanthony
21
9.35 and BeyondFavoring a rapid move higher in wave (iii) of {iii} of 3 through at least the 9.35 wave {b} of 2 high against the {ii} of 3 low of 5.10. Aurora developed a flat in wave 2 and has since began to develop higher in what appears to be a series of first and second waves before the onset of a third wave at multiple degrees. Third waves typically travel the most distance in the shortest amount of time and I expect to see volatile and rapid upside while any downside should remain corrective. A violation of 5.10 would invalidate the pattern and likely signify further downside through 4.41.
NASDAQ:ACBLong
by PhiWaveCapital
3
ATOMUSDATOMUSD Price Action: Trend: The overall trend in the chart is bearish. After a peak in April 2023, the price has been making lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a downtrend. Support and Resistance: ➢Support: There appears to be a support level forming around the $4.50-$4.80 range. The price has tested this level multiple times recently, showing some buying interest. ➢Resistance: Resistance is visible around the $7.00-$8.00 level, where the price previously bounced before continuing downward. Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Price Position: The price is currently near the lower band, which could signal that the asset is oversold in the short term. This often suggests a potential bounce or a period of consolidation. Middle Band (20-day SMA): The price is below the middle band, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Volume: Recent Volume: The volume has seen spikes during the price drops, indicating strong selling pressure. However, the most recent volumes are tapering off slightly, which could imply that selling pressure is weakening or that traders are waiting for a clearer signal. Indicators & Signals: Possible Reversal: If the price holds the support around $4.50 and starts moving upwards, it could signal a short-term reversal or at least a retracement towards the middle Bollinger Band (~$6.00). Continuation of Downtrend: If the support breaks, we could see further declines, potentially testing lower levels not visible on the current chart. Conclusion: The chart shows a bearish trend with a key support level around $4.50-$4.80. The price is currently at the lower Bollinger Band, indicating it might be oversold in the short term. However, the overall sentiment remains bearish unless we see a significant change in price action, such as a break above the middle Bollinger Band or a significant volume spike with upward movement.
COINBASE:ATOMUSDShort
by Sahrin
7
Atlas Copco AB: Potential Entry Points in a Long-term UptrendOMXSTO:ATCO_A has demonstrated a long-term uptrend throughout its history, marked by two strong channels, with higher highs and higher lows. Since the Ukraine-Russian market crash, OMXSTO:ATCO_A has experienced a 100% increase. Currently, the stock is at the resistance channel, which has resulted in a notable downward reaction: During the strong uptrend, previous resistance levels, where the price peaked, turned into support levels when the stock experienced pullbacks. Now, as the stock returns to these crucial levels, they may serve as key support, potentially causing the stock to struggle to break below them or to rebound and rise further. I anticipate that the stock will gradually break through each of these key levels, eventually approaching the lower trendline before launching into a significant bull run. This scenario presents a promising opportunity for a long position, but we need additional bullish confirmation at these levels before making a move. Important levels: 150 SEK, 140 SEk, 120 SEK, 100 SEK
OMXSTO:ATCO_BLong
by Tallblomma
6
Gold could rise to 2460After a significant drop of nearly 1,000 pips last Monday, gold has established strong support at 2,380 and began to recover mid-week, reaching the 2,430 resistance zone. The recent pullback from this resistance found support at 2,415—a level that has served as both support and resistance since the beginning of the month. Once again, support has formed higher, this time at 2,420. At the time of writing, the price is hovering around 2,435, and we could see a clear breakout to the upside in the hours. My strategy is to buy on dips, and I will remain bullish as long as the price stays above 2,415.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
18
Thin Markets Unnerve Traders: What to Know About Summer TradingLow trading volume is the market theme of the summer, which is driving investors to question their knowledge and ability to move in and out of markets. Forex, stocks, commodities and even crypto — they all seem more volatile during the summer quarter and there’s a reason for that. Big-shot traders ditch the trading desks for margaritas, espresso martinis and tan on the Amalfi coast while algo trading gets to slosh around billions of dollars. The result — thin liquidity sinks trades every now and then. August Trading Shakes and Stirs Markets The summer months have rolled in and with them a heightened feeling of unease has swept global markets. From a rally in the Japanese yen , to a big meltdown in stocks and crypto market carnage , asset classes got shook from this one market characteristic — volume . Thinning trading volumes disrupted the usual market rhythm, ushering in an environment dominated by increased volatility and unpredictable swings. Low volumes have the tendency to amplify price declines and increases. Illiquid August conditions may turn a rather normal move into a violent swing. Fewer shares traded means that a trading instrument is more susceptible to sharp price movements as there are fewer participants to absorb the trades. Panic Selling and the Carry Trade A volatility storm swept Japan’s stock market last week, throwing it into its worst single-day performance since 1987. Japan’s broad-based index Nikkei NI225 crumbled 12.4% in a single session while US stocks slumped 3%. Wall Street’s fear gauge, the VIX index of volatility VIX , shot up more than 50% to its highest level in 2020 when the pandemic was wreaking havoc. A day later, Japan bounced up 10% and the S&P 500 jumped 1%. The VIX shot lower by 28%. Japan ended up in the spotlight due to the unwinding of what’s called the “carry trade” — big hedge funds had borrowed trillions of cheap Japanese yen at near-zero interest rates to buy stocks or jam the cash into Treasury bills that pay a 5% interest. Risk-free. What’s not to like? The yen’s rise, for one. The sharp appreciation of the yen sent panicked carry traders scrambling to dump their holdings and repay their yen debt, which was getting more expensive. It’s the Algos’ Market, We All Live In It In August, traders typically exchange about 9.3 billion of US shares a day. Compared to March, where 13.2 billion shares change hands a day, that’s a 30% decrease in trading volume. Apparently, Wall Street does get a break from trading. Or does it? The stock market and the currency market, in particular, are dominated by and large by computer-trading algorithms that execute trades at lightning speed based on pre-programmed criteria. These algorithms, or simply algos, are allowed to process huge amounts of data and react to market conditions in milliseconds. While this can create efficiency and liquidity in normal market conditions, during periods of low volume — such as the summer months — they can contribute to increased volatility, especially if they are levered to the tune of 15, 20, 30 times. A single large order or a sudden piece of news can trigger a cascade of algorithmic responses, leading to rapid and sometimes exaggerated price movements. In other words, when these algos make a decision, that’s when volatility goes through the roof. Pair it with low volumes and you’ve got an explosion (or implosion) of prices. How to Survive Wild Markets? Given the unique challenges of summer trading, traders need to adjust their strategies accordingly. Here are some tips that can help. Lower Position Sizes : In a thin market, large positions can be harder to exit without moving the market (especially if you’ve loaded up on illiquid meme coins). Reducing position sizes can help mitigate this risk. Wider Stops : With increased volatility, it may be necessary to widen stop-loss orders to avoid getting wiped out by intraday market noise. Focus on Liquidity : Stick to trading more liquid instruments where possible, as these will typically be less affected by the summer slowdown. Hint: forex is the most liquid market. Keep an Eye on Economic Data : Summer doesn’t stop economic data releases , which can lead to outsized market reactions in a light market. Stay informed. Patience and Discipline : Summer trading requires patience and discipline. The temptation to overtrade in a quiet market can lead to mistakes. It’s often better to wait for clearer setups rather than forcing trades in a challenging environment. While you're waiting for the right moment to step in, test your strategies and find the best moves for future trades. What Do You Think? Summer trading presents a unique set of challenges that can unnerve even the most experienced traders. Thin markets, increased volatility, and the dominant role of algorithmic trading create an environment where caution is paramount. How do you handle volatile markets in thin trading? Let us know in the comments and let’s spin up a nice discussion!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
4