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US100 Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel! Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100 , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains. 🔍 Identifying Key Levels The chart highlights crucial levels and zones influencing the current market behavior: • PMH: Previous Month High, a resistance level where liquidity might accumulate. • PWL & EQL: Previous Week Low and Equal Lows, key levels for potential liquidity captures. • BSL (ATH): Buy-side Liquidity at All-Time High, indicating where traders have placed their buy orders. • SSL: Sell-side Liquidity, indicating where traders have placed their sell orders. • FVG: Fair Value Gap, marking areas of market imbalance. • SMT: Smart Money Technique, at lows with the pair ES. 📊 Key Considerations • Swept PMH and Low Resistance Liquidity: The market has recently swept the previous month high and the low resistance liquidity created. • Strong Displacement Lower: The price displaced strongly lower, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG). • SMT (Smart Money Technique): At lows with the pair ES, indicating potential bearish sentiment. 📉 Current Price Action The market has swept the previous month high and the low resistance liquidity created, leading to a strong displacement lower. This displacement has resulted in the creation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is likely to retrace back into before continuing lower. 📈 Bearish Scenario Given the current market sentiment and the strong displacement lower, the bearish scenario is favored: • Retrace into FVG: The price is expected to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap before continuing to move lower. • Targeting Lower Levels: After retracing into the FVG, the price is likely to continue lower, targeting the PWL, EQL, and SSL for potential liquidity captures. 📊 Chart Analysis Summary The market has shown a strong bearish sentiment by sweeping the previous month high and low resistance liquidity, followed by a strong displacement lower. The price is expected to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap before continuing its downward movement, targeting key levels such as the previous week low, equal lows, and sell-side liquidity. The presence of SMT (Smart Money Technique) at lows with the pair ES further supports the bearish sentiment. Understanding these key levels and the current market behavior helps in making informed trading decisions. 🙏 Thank you for joining us! Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning! ⚠️ Disclaimer The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by RealArmin
19
$NKE Nike, Inc is finally back to CHEAP-ENOUGH levelsMany years ago I had drawn this 1.7-1.3 level in the PSR (or Price-to-Sales Ratio) for NYSE:NKE and the recent smack down for NYSE:NKE stock has put it within reach of the 1.7-1.3 X Sales zone. The RETURN for shareholders has been negative for the last 7 years in NYSE:NKE when adjusted for inflation. The stock is basically unchanged back to 2018 here (not factoring dividends). What is the point of this? When a stock gets sold down on bad news, there is an underlying level of value which will support it from that point forward. There are always portfolio managers looking to invest in stocks that have had solid long term fundamentals with rising sales and earnings and a nearly recession-proof business model. The opposite is also true that there are NO BUYERS for a stock once it gets ridiculously overpriced and no one can justify buying shares are high prices. The only hope you have at that point is for momentum to attract new buyers who aren't paying attention to valuation and because of tax laws that encourage people to hold on for long term capital gains tax rates to kick in for holding periods greater than 1 year. Thanks to TradingView for providing all of this high quality fundamental information AND for the ability to graph this data so we can visualize and see where the value is in the marketplace. The value is down here in NYSE:NKE shares so it is a good time to start buying. Cheers, Tim 3:47PM July 1, 2024 76.67 last +1.30 +1.72%
NYSE:NKELong
by timwest
21
NZDJPY Is Showing Weakness after RBNZ Kept Rates UnchangedNZDJPY Is Showing Weakness after RBNZ Kept Rates Unchanged 🚨RBNZ kept the interest rate steady at 5.50%, as expected. After this decision, NZDJPY faced a strong sell-off and appreciated by nearly 88 pips NZDJPY also confirmed a bearish wedge pattern showing further downward movement. However, as I explained previously selling XXXJPY pairs carries a high level of risk. They will begin the bearish wave only when BOJ intervenes in the market. But with the current data, this is what NZDJPY is showing...a small bearish move. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
10
Nike's Drop Will Offer a Great Dip... Soon!Nike's stock has dropped 30% this year and nearly 60% from its 2021 highs. It continues to drop, and now, I am worried that they will soon suspend their dividend to move cash flow into other areas that need to support the business. I believe Nike may reach a low close to its COVID-19 crash levels, presenting a buying opportunity for patient investors as I've marked on the chart with the red circle. As Warren Buffett once said, "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful." I think that moment is coming with Nike. Here are two tips for buying dips: 1. It can always go lower than you think so it's better to wait for some signs of a reversal rather than perfectly catching the bottom. 2. Set alerts so that you're ready and can get alerted with the time comes. Now, why has Nike fallen like this? Several factors contribute to this decline: 1. Margin Pressures: Rising raw material and labor costs have strained Nike's profitability, causing investor concerns. 2. Product Control Issues: Expanding its product range has led to inconsistent quality and inventory management problems. 3. Excessive Product Range: The overwhelming number of products has confused customers and diluted the brand. 4. Increased Competition: New, agile brands are capturing market share, challenging Nike's dominance. This one is on my watchlist! Let's see what happens next. I'll update you all rather soon.
NYSE:NKE
by scheplick
26
How to Do Your Own Research (DYOR) in Crypto?Hello, Traders! Have you ever heard the phrase “Do Your Own Research,” or DYOR? No, it's neither a trendy clothing brand nor just a catchy phrase — it's an important practice. DYOR has become the primary guiding principle for crypto investors to make informed decisions. Let’s explain what DYOR means and how to conduct your research effectively. What Does DYOR Mean? Why Is It Important? DYOR is a call to action for investors to research and dig into the fundamentals of any asset or project before investing. Sounds simple, right? But why is it so important? Well, think about it this way: the Internet is flooded with all sorts of information, and not all of it is reliable. So, DYOR urges you to dig deep, find the facts, and make your own decisions. It is your shield against misinformation and hype. It’s about diving deep into the project’s details and understanding its technology, team, and market potential. By researching, you’re not just relying on someone else’s opinion — you’re forming educated conclusions. Now that we’ve covered why DYOR is critical, let’s look at some of the ways traders and investors used to do proper research. How to Do Your Own Research? How to Research a Crypto Project? Crypto research involves using various sources and tools to get all the information you need: – Analytical Platforms: Visit popular analytics platforms to get a first impression of the cryptocurrency. These platforms offer essential data, including market capitalization, trading volume, price history, and other key metrics. The numbers can tell you a lot. Take social media and community channels, for example. They can give you a sense of how popular a project is. But here’s the catch: 🚩 watch out for bots and fake accounts. They can skew the numbers and paint an inaccurate picture of real interest. So, ask yourself: Is the community actively engaged? Are conversations genuine and buzzing naturally? You also need to consider factors such as asset price, market capitalization, circulating supply, total supply, daily active users, token/coin holder distribution, and trading volume to get a sense of the project’s progress and the community’s involvement. – White Paper Analysis: It’s a smart move to dive into a project’s core documents, like the White Paper – the project’s manifesto. It’s crafted by the team to pinpoint a problem and lay out how their product, technology, or token/coin plans to solve it. These are the sources you must explore when doing crypto research. Key points also include the technology behind it, the development team, tokenomics, and the project roadmap. – Sentiment Analysis: It is all about working out the general mood of the market or a specific asset. By understanding how investors feel about a cryptocurrency, you can identify whether it is overvalued or undervalued. Tools like the Fear and Greed Index can help track market sentiment. – Competitor Analysis: Analyzing competitors helps you understand the strengths and weaknesses of various projects. Compare technologies, use cases, and market performance to identify the best investment opportunities. – Project Website and Social Media Analysis: A website should provide transparent information about the team and technology. 🚩 include poorly designed websites, missed deadlines, and a lack of transparency. Media activity can offer insights into a project's community and current status. Look out for active and engaged followers, how often the project updates, and what kind of community interactions there are. Questions to Answer Before Investing Before diving into any cryptocurrency investment, it's essential to ask yourself several key questions to ensure you're conducting thorough research. Here's a checklist to guide your DYOR crypto process: What Problem Is the Project Solving? How Does It Differ from Competitors? Does It Follow Its Roadmap and White Paper? What Are the Legal Regulations in Your Country? Has It Raised Funding? Who Are the Investors? Who Are Its Partners and Supporters? How Is It Promoted? What Marketing Strategies Are Used? What Are the Trends on Google and Social Media? What Is the Tokenomics? How Are Tokens Distributed? Are There Any Red Flags? So, doing your own research is more than just a suggestion. Any information you can gather about a crypto project is invaluable and worth the time and effort. The more you know, the better equipped you are to make informed decisions and avoid potential pitfalls. Remember, “Knowledge is power". As Benjamin Franklin famously said, “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” So, commit to your due diligence—your future self will thank you. D.Y.O.R.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
7
How Tesla Stock Rebounded Back to Green After 40% Loss in 2024EV king powered higher over the past couple months, charged on hopes of returning growth even as returning growth is nowhere to be seen. But does it matter? Let’s find out. Tesla Erases 40% Drop in Electrifying Rally Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA ) is on a tear. A powerful comeback has shut the haters’ mouths as the electric-car maker is up about 80% from its 2024 nadir back in April. In other words, more than $350 billion have been added to Tesla’s market cap in the span of a couple months. What’s driving the electrifying charge in the popular auto maker, arguably the most popular ? It’s a bunch of factors. But more than anything, it’s investors’ big expectations over returning growth after the car company’s shares were begging to be scooped up by bargain hunters. Tesla stock had slumped about 40% on the year through late April while other big tech giants were busy logging records and getting AI drunk. Take Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) or Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ). Or any of the Magnificent Seven members. They’ve all been celebrated over prospects of artificial intelligence-driven gains. The apparent disconnect between Tesla and the rest of the Mag 7 crew is no longer there. After stringing up a winning streak of eight straight days of winnings through Friday, Tesla shares managed to reel out of their deep 2024 losses and move in the green by about 1%. Deliveries Fuel Investors’ Long Bets Better-than-expected delivery figures underpinned the recent leg up. The Elon Musk-led company shipped 443,956 vehicles globally in the three months ended June, a 4.8% decline from the same quarter last year. And while this drop, the second one in a row, indicated that the business of deliveries didn’t grow, investors got excited about the consensus-beating numbers. Analysts anticipated 439,302 delivered units. It was also better than the first-quarter delivery figure of 386,810 . Optimism about artificial intelligence is also a key factor in steering the share price higher. It’s worth mentioning that Tesla, which recently started churning out profits , has decreased its production rate and manufactured about 411,000 vehicles in the last quarter. Lower production count translates to lower inventories, reduced costs and less pressure to cut prices in order to get rid of cars gathering dust in factories. All that means the company could splurge some cash on other projects in the pipeline and a refresh of existing ones. Elon Musk + AI + Promises = Profits??? The advance of robots and AI-powered assistants is among the top priorities for Elon Musk. Tesla’s second-generation humanoid robot Optimus debuted last week at Shanghai’s 2024 World AI Conference. First released in 2021, Optimus was designed as an everyday AI assistant to help out with things like carrying stuff, cleaning up and cooking. Before it’s launched to the public, Tesla plans to test it out in its factories starting in early 2025. To this, Elon Musk had only one thing to do — slam the short sellers and send them into “obliteration.” ”Once Tesla fully solves autonomy and has Optimus in volume production,” Musk wrote on X, “anyone still holding a short position will be obliterated.” He went further to call out one specific Tesla permabear — Bill Gates . Buyer Beware! Now on to some concerning reality checks that can make you think twice before plowing your hard-earned money into the EV maker. Tesla’s fleet of vehicles is aging badly. The Model Y is just about to pop the confetti for its fifth birthday. A lack of innovation into Tesla’s best-selling models may strip some of the company’s brand recognition for slick-looking, ultra-modern EVs. What’s more, Tesla faces fierce competition from the East. China’s biggest maker of electric cars BYD (ticker: 1211 ), sold a record number of electric and hybrid cars in the last quarter. And it’s threatening to overtake Tesla as the world’s top EV manufacturer. In June, Tesla’s market share in China dwindled by a worrying 24% from a year ago while the broader sales numbers went up thanks to the rollout of cheaper EV alternatives. BYD’s sales rose 24% in the second quarter to 426,039 EVs. We Want to Hear from You Can Tesla continue its run and keep the profits flowing to fund its risky bets on AI? Judging by the share price increase, investors seem to think so. What do you think? Let us know in the comments below.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
17
Silver: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: Silver Pattern – resistance stall, continuation Support – $28.70 Resistance – $31.30 Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Silver on the daily chart. As per most reports, we have started looking out, highlighting the main trend and key points before moving into the current price action. Looking at the current break higher and resistance point, will we see the current continuation contnue? We have run over what we are looking for to confirm this and some warning signs to watch out for as well. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:XAGUSDLong
by Eightcap
4
TURN BY TURN: IS XRP A BITCOIN HEDGE?XRP, the digital currency created by Ripple Labs, is often discussed in the context of its potential as a hedge against Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ). Here’s a brief analysis of whether XRP can serve as an effective hedge. What is XRP? XRP is designed to facilitate fast, low-cost cross-border transactions. Unlike Bitcoin, which is primarily viewed as a store of value or digital gold, XRP focuses on enabling efficient payments and transfers between different currencies. Correlation with Bitcoin Market Trends: Historically, XRP has shown a significant correlation with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies. This means that when Bitcoin's price rises or falls, XRP often follows suit. This high correlation reduces its effectiveness as a hedge against Bitcoin price movements. Volatility: Both Bitcoin and XRP are subject to high volatility. For a cryptocurrency to act as a hedge, it should ideally exhibit lower volatility or inverse price movements compared to Bitcoin. XRP's volatility is often comparable to or even exceeds that of Bitcoin, which further undermines its potential as a hedge. Use Case Differentiation Payment Systems: XRP’s primary use case is in the realm of cross-border payments and financial institution settlements, which differs significantly from Bitcoin's use as a store of value. This fundamental difference in use cases could, in theory, provide some level of diversification for investors. Regulatory Factors: XRP's price is also influenced by regulatory developments specific to Ripple Labs and its ongoing legal issues with the SEC. These factors can lead to price movements in XRP that are independent of Bitcoin’s price dynamics, offering a potential, albeit limited, hedge. Market Sentiment Investor Behavior: Market sentiment plays a crucial role in the price movements of both Bitcoin and XRP. During periods of high market optimism or pessimism, both cryptocurrencies often move in tandem due to overall market sentiment affecting the crypto space. Conclusion While XRP and Bitcoin serve different purposes within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the high correlation and similar volatility patterns between the two mean that XRP is not an ideal hedge against Bitcoin. However, its unique use case in cross-border payments and the influence of specific regulatory developments on its price could offer some level of diversification for investors. For those looking for a hedge against Bitcoin, other assets such as stablecoins or traditional financial instruments might be more suitable.
SAXO:BTCUSD
by moneymagnateash
17
FULL ANALYSIS GUIDE - (Using ICT's Concepts)Hey guys, In this video I will show you my process for performing analysis. Yes, it takes some work, but generally once you get into the swing of it, it doesn't take long, and the higher timeframes only require analysis once in awhile. It allows me to have a higher win-rate and be more on side with how the market is predisposed to move. Whilst it is not required in order to be profitable, my personality and system requires me to make more frequent wins. I hope you find this video insightful. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
10
The TradingView Show: Breakout Charts with TradeStationWatch our latest episode of The TradingView Show and dive deep into the markets with TradeStation and their Head of Strategy. We examine breakout charts, significant money movements, and invaluable educational insights for traders of all levels. For daily charts and research, visit the TradeStation profile on TradingView, where they share scripts and engaging charts. They're also a connected broker allowing for instant connectivity between TradeStation and TradingView. See the official TradeStation broker profile here: www.tradingview.com The TradingView Show occurs monthly, focusing exclusively on market education and welcoming traders of all backgrounds. Each episode dives into a variety of topics, including equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more, offering a comprehensive roundup of market trends and developments that are capturing traders' attention. Please note, the TradingView Show is dedicated solely to education, offering valuable insights and lessons for traders at every stage of their journey. It is important to emphasize that the show does not provide financial advice or recommendations; its primary goal is to enhance trader knowledge and understanding through educational content, including TradingView tips, scripts, charting techniques, and social networking. For more, please check out the compliance and disclaimers links below: 1. Important information: www.tradestation.com 2. Disclosure options: www.theocc.com 3. ETF prospectus page: www.tradestation.com Thanks for watching! We'll see you at our next show.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
5
Bitcoin: Double Bottom Long To 64K.Bitcoin has confirmed a double bottom within the 60K major support area. The scenario that I outlined in my previous analysis is STILL in play (see illustration on chart). An inside bar is also present on this time frame along with a break of the high of that candle. As a result of all of this, a new buy signal is in effect which can result in a test of the 64K resistance over the coming week or two. A good question is: what is the risk associated with this long setup? Risk can be measured in a number of ways. One simple and more conservative way is to note the most recent low which is around the 59K area. A long taken now or from the low 61Ks puts the associated risk around 2K points on THIS time frame. In contrast to the potential reward around 64K, the R:R ratio is about 2:1 which makes this opportunity attractive for swing traders and investors. Before you go nuts and start buying though, it is important to understand that just because a buy signal appears (my criteria being met) does NOT guarantee a positive outcome. I believe there is a greater probability based on my experience. Probability MEANS there is also potential for the market is go the other way as well. This is why RISK management is the key to effective management and decision making NOT "high win rates" etc. As I remind my followers regularly so unexpected news can come out and Bitcoin can be pushing 56K in a matter of hours. Another things to watch out for is all the rocket ship talk. The "it's going to 100K by tomorrow and you are going to miss it!" nonsense. If you follow people that proliferate fear of missing out messages, stop following. Bitcoin has been in a consolidation since the March peak which has resulted in NUMEROUS opportunities on both sides of the market. There is NO reason to feel like you are missing anything, ESPECIALLY when you have a tool that helps you easily identify opportunities, clarify RISK and measure profit potential (like my Trade Scanner Pro). Without a rational decision making framework, you become vulnerable to your own emotions of greed and fear. And this is what leads to being exploited by "experts" that you identify with and trust, along with making irrational, high risk decisions like buying when a market looks its best (aka the top). As I remind my followers regularly, before you even assume risk, you must have a specific idea as to how you intend to exploit an opportunity in the market. Just trying to "make money" is not an enough of a reason. The market is NOT your personal ATM. It is a mechanism to transfer wealth from those who have material knowledge from those who "think" they have material knowledge. If your results over the previous year or more appear to be stagnant or random, which side do you think you're on? Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MarcPMarkets
45
Navigating Frothy US Equities with S&P SpreadsNavigating frothiness in US equities requires both caution and tact. With the S&P 500 nearing its all-time high amid flashing recession signals, investors must be vigilant with volatility during upcoming earnings season, driven by outsized expectations. This paper explores the persistent recession indicators and forces at play during upcoming earnings. The paper posits a spread trade using CME’s Micro E-Mini futures (Long S&P 500 and Short Russell 2000) to maintain upside potential with reduced downside risk. RECESSION RISKS PERSIST AS RATES REMAIN HIGH On Friday, the PCE Price Index (Fed’s preferred gauge) showed inflation cooling to 2.6% in May, in line with expectations. Price pressures are slowly abating. Numbers aside, the broader economic landscape presents a complex picture. Signals from the job market point to unemployment claimants at a record high for the past two and a half year with job openings shrinking drastically. Personal earnings were higher than anticipated in May (0.5% vs 0.4%), but spending was below expectations. Consumers are being more cautious. Mint Finance covered these nuances in a previous paper . Housing is flashing weakness as new housing starts hit a four-year low in May. Soaring prices and steep mortgage rates are weighing on demand. The Fed’s policy path remains unconfirmed. However, consensus point to a rate cut as early as September. Even if that happens, rates are expected to decline gradually. Source: CME FedWatch Despite risk of recession, the S&P 500 has had an exemplary showing this year, trading near their all-time high. YTD performance of 15% in 2024 has been far higher than the 74-year average of 4%. Yet, the performance has been increasingly top-heavy. Nvidia, Apple, and the rest of the tech titans have contributed much of the gains in the broad S&P500 index as it is market cap weighted. The index is heavily reliant on and sensitive to the performance of these mega-caps. The equal-weighted S&P 500 index is up only by 4% in sharp contrast. The spread between the S&P 500 and its equal-weighted counterpart is near its highest point since 2008. The spreads between the S&P 500 and both the Russell 2000 and S&P Midcap indexes have reached multi-decade highs. Outperformance was re-affirmed after the recent earnings season. Mega-caps crushed EPS and revenue expectations and reported phenomenal guidance while other stocks, especially utility and energy sector reported revenue and EPS figures below estimates according to FactSet report . Rallies in mega-cap stocks are being driven by idiosyncratic tailwinds, such as advancements in AI. Meanwhile, slowing consumer spending in the US is raising concerns for the broader market. RISK OF SHARP CORRECTION WARRANTS SPREAD POSITION According to FactSet , Q1 earnings season was positive. Only 19% of firms reported earnings below expectations. Actual average EPS YoY growth for the index was 5.9% (above 3.4% expected as of March 31). Frothiness in the equity market is palpable. Consistent outperformance by mega caps is baked into investor expectations. Strong earnings are already factored into prices, as evidenced by the S&P 500's P/E ratio of 28.38x (far higher than the 10-year average of 20x translating to a 42% above average earnings expectations). Average P/E ratio in the best performing tech sector is even higher at 37.47x. Even minor shortfalls in guidance or revenue/earnings can lead to significant corrections in such a climate. The FactSet reports that 31.8% of firms which beat earnings EPS estimates by up to +5% saw average price decline of -0.9%. Source: FactSet Research In fact, overall, positive earnings only drove a 0.9% increase in price (1% 10Y historical average) while a negative earnings report led to 2.8% drop (-2.3% 10Y historical average). Source: FactSet Research Market frothiness elevates risk of a sharp price correction in single names during Q2 earnings. Analysts are concerned as expectations for Q2 EPS YoY growth have been lowered from 9% on 31/March to 8.8% as of 22/June. Despite this, mega-caps remain in solid position. Robust demand for AI, buoyant advertising revenue, globalized revenue streams, and substantial market dominance have positioned them to continue growing at a disproportionate rate. In case the upcoming Q2 results pan out similarly to Q1 in favor of mega-caps, the S&P 500 will continue to outperform the broader market indices. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP The S&P 500, with its high concentration of mega-cap stocks, is likely to perform better than broader market indices in the coming earnings season. However, recession signals are also flashing. The S&P 500 does not perform well during recessions. Over the last four recessions, it has declined an average of -14%. Comparatively the spread between S&P 500/Russell 2000 spread has increased 1.7%. The S&P 500/Russell 2000 spread has also outperformed during the six-month preceding recessions. Given the S&P 500-Russell 2000 spread's historical outperformance during recessions, a spread position presents less downside risk compared to an outright long position in the S&P 500. This strategy also maintains a bullish outlook on the top-heavy S&P 500's potential to outperform in the upcoming season. Moreover, the spread trade preserves the upside potential in the ongoing rally, as its performance has been comparable to an outright long position in the S&P 500. A view on the spread between the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 can be expressed using CME Micro E-Mini Equity futures. At 1/10th the size of the full-size E-mini futures, the Micro contracts allow for smaller trades with more granular exposure. A long position in the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 futures expiring in September (MESU2024) can be offset by a short position on 2 x Micro E-Mini Russell 2000 futures expiring in September (M2KU24). This position is highly margin-efficient as CME offers margin credit for this spread. Hypothetical trade set up in summary requires entry at 2.69x, with a target at 2.78x coupled with stop loss at 2.6x. The simulated payoffs are described below. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME_MINI:MESU2024Long
by mintdotfinance
4
Amazon at $2 Trillion: What’s Driving the Stock to Record Highs?Tripled profits, a bet on AI, and a strategy to take on rising rivals from the East have propelled the ecommerce and cloud computing giant to the lofty price tag. Innovation on Amazon’s Mind Amazon (ticker: AMZN ) hit $2 trillion in market value just before the year clocked out for the first half. In the final week of June, the Jeff Bezos-founded online retailer soared past the formidable milestone, becoming the fifth company to ever breathe the rarefied air beyond $2 trillion. What’s been driving Amazon stock to line up right after Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ) and Microsoft (ticker: MSFT )? It’s a mix of fortunate and timely events, and all can be summed up with one word: innovation. Amazon raked in sky-high profits of $15 billion for the most recent quarter. The figure was up three times from the same quarter last year. More importantly, the company, now under the stewardship of Andy Jassy as chief exec, is pivoting more resources to meet the growing demand for artificial intelligence. Shifting Focus to Artificial Intelligence Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the firm’s cloud computing business and also the world’s biggest one. It’s largely the cash cow at Amazon with profit margins as wide as 38%. Now, it’s getting a boost from businesses looking to inject AI into their products and services. The fast-growing AI-focused unit is growing at a “$100 billion annual revenue run rate,” according to Jassy. For the quarter ended March 31, AWS sales rose 17% to $25 billion, beating forecasts for $24.5 billion and also coming ahead of the previous quarter’s 13% growth pace. It seems that the AI hype is sweeping across the Amazon halls and conference rooms. Generative AI got praised by Amazon’s chief financial officer Brian Olsavsky as “a multibillion-dollar revenue run rate business for us.” Looking for a meaningful edge doesn’t stop with artificial intelligence. Pitted Against Temu and Shein Rising ecommerce competition from the East is forcing the $2 trillion giant to embrace a new line of business — ultra-low-cost goods shipped directly from China. A new discount section is in the works for Amazon.com after smaller rivals Temu and Shein have threatened to slurp up a significant market share. The new section, according to reports, will be added to the homepage of the retailer’s app. It will be targeting American customers willing to wait nine to 11 days for goods shipped from China warehouses, as opposed to the regular one or two-day delivery time for goods delivered from within the US. Also, each item will get a price tag of no more than 20 bucks. Temu, owned by PDD Holdings, and China-founded Shein have flooded the internet with cheap stuff and massive discounts thanks to splurging billions of dollars in advertising campaigns. Amazon, a mainstay in the FAANG stocks list , is among the few companies to be of gargantuan size yet nimble enough to stay relevant in the changing landscape of its industry. Will the pivot to cheap goods succeed in stamping out the aggressive competition from China? Or will the corporate giant be outperformed by the brilliant maneuvering of low-caliber foreign retailers? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradingView
5
NIKE - Dead or a Cheap Opportunity? Nike has been on a rough patch recently & this past week didn't help as it saw it's worst day in over 20 years. Now the question is, is Nike dead in the water or has price gotten so cheap that it makes for a good investment opportunity? Now, I'm not here to tell you that you should or shouldn't buy Nike, rather if you were considering it, where you may want to look to do so at & what you need to be aware of if you do. I'd love for you guys to continue the discussion by sharing your opinions below! And as always I wish you a fantastic week of trading and investing. Akil
NYSE:NKELong
by Akil_Stokes
48
GOLDTrend Analysis Downward Trend Line: There is a red downward trend line indicating that gold has been in a downtrend. This line acts as a resistance level. Support Zone: There is a green support zone around the $2,318.00 level. This indicates that there is buying interest around this price, and it has historically acted as a support level. Resistance Levels First Resistance: Around $2,325.66. Second Resistance: Around $2,332.00. These resistance levels indicate where selling pressure has previously been strong enough to halt upward price movement. Fair Value Gap (FVG) A Fair Value Gap is highlighted in a beige rectangle from approximately $2,340.00 to $2,354.60. This gap suggests an area where the price might move quickly if it enters this zone, potentially due to a lack of liquidity or previous rapid price movement. Price Action Current Price: As of the latest data on the chart, gold is trading at $2,319.26. Recent Movement: The price recently bounced off the support zone but faced resistance near $2,332.00, aligning with the downward trend line. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the price can break above the resistance at $2,325.66 and subsequently the downward trend line, it may target the next resistance level at $2,332.00. A break above this level could lead to a move towards the Fair Value Gap, potentially reaching the upper boundary around $2,354.60. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the support level at $2,318.00, it might move lower, with the next significant support level potentially being around $2,312.00. Further bearish movement could target levels below $2,310.00. Key Levels to Watch Support: $2,318.00, $2,312.00. Resistance: $2,325.66, $2,332.00, $2,354.60 (FVG zone).
TVC:GOLDLong
by Tdawly_Official
58
Ichimoku Watch: Nvidia Eyeing Ichimoku Cloud Support In three successive days of selling, triggered after a bearish outside reversal formed on Thursday last week from all-time highs of $140.76, Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) has shed approximately -15.0% from the peak. The company’s market value dropped more than US$500 billion to US$2.91 trillion, consequently pulling the chipmaker back to third place after briefly becoming the most valuable company in the world and surpassing Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) and Apple (ticker: AAPL). Behind the sell-off is a combination of the CEO, Jensen Huang, selling almost US$100 million worth of shares a handful of days before (and after) it became the world’s most valuable company, along with worries about the company’s effect on the broader stock market indexes, and profit-taking after what has been a meteoric rise. Ichimoku Cloud Support As can be seen from Nvidia's daily chart, the stock’s recent movement has easily crossed below the Conversion Line (blue at $129.40) and is fast approaching the Base Line (red at $116.28), which could deliver support. However, should further downside develop, the Ichimoku Cloud support (made up of the Leading Span A at $122.95 and the Leading Span B at $108.23) could be seen as a logical downside target for sellers in this market at the moment. You will also see that the chart offers support at $96.77 around the Ichimoku support zone. Price Direction? While it is unlikely that the party is over for Nvidia, the current correction will likely be viewed as an opportunity to get in at cheaper prices. Dip buyers, therefore, may seek suitable support levels to enter this market long. The combination of support just below $100.00 at $96.77 and the Ichimoku Cloud support area could be worthy of the watchlist.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FPMarkets
9
Nvidia - Massive rejection soon!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended after the +1.000% rally and ready for a correction. Trees simply do not grow to the sky. And neither do stocks, especially Nvidia. I know that a lot of people are calling price targets of $250 and beyond, but we still have to respect gravity and the nature of fear and greed. Nvidia is simply overextended a retesting a 6 year resistance trendline. I do expect a correction between -20% and -30%, but also -60% is definitely possible. Levels to watch: $120, $50 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
50
GBPJPY - BIG BULLISH CONTINUATION OPPORTUNITY Here's a big potential bullish trend continuation opportunity on the GBPJPY using structure and price action. In this video I walk you through the 4-step I.P.D.E. process used to set up the trading idea & talk about different ways to both get in & out of the trade. We'll probably revisit this opportunity as it develops so make sure you watch this space. If you have any questions or comments about the setup (or anything else) please leave it in the comment section below as I do read each and every one. I wish you a great week in the markets - Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
26