US T-Bonds - Will Buyers Continue To See Pain?Slowly we see the decline in price action and although it's a very choppy time we are in, the continuation to the downside, at least down to 115.30 going into the next weeks seem very reasonable.
Although bearish, placing shorts in market conditions like this is high risk.
It's worth, at times waiting for the market to draw to you.
Community ideas
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD Is Strong Vs EUR, GBP, AUD NZDThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
How key markets have performed either side of a US electionI wanted to see how major markets have performed in the days before, during and after US elections. So I coded up a new spreadsheet. Here are the results...
Please note:
- Price data supplied by Refinitiv
- Most markets go back 8 elections
- US futures and VIX are the exception, which go back 6 elections
MS
AMD - ALTERNATE Bear Case - Confluence at $95Warning - before you come attacking me full force - this is an alternate bearish scenario for AMD - not my primary scenario, but I noticed a few things that I must point out.
1. 2 5-wave structures - Between Oct 2022 and Mar 2024 we completed 2 structures that can be counted in 5 waves, but the resulting pullback from Mar 2024 to Aug 2024 came back a bit deeper than I would have expected for an impulsive move. This is suspect.
2. ABC Corrections - a 3 wave correction can be seen all over the place but what I want to point out is the structure I outlined in point 1 above can be seen as impulsive. The pullback off the first 5-wave structure only retraced 38.2% - which is fine - but - that only works in a very bullish market - which we were in - but where's the follow through? After Mar 2024, there was a severe lack of follow through.
3. From Mar 2024 - we see a clear 3-wave correction - but now that we have the monster ABC correction outlined in point 2 above, measuring it puts the 61.8% internal retracement fib (the golden zone between 61.8-65%) at $95 AND if you measure the correction from Mar to Aug 2024 and project it from the pullback in early Oct 2024, you get a 100% extension target at.... $95 - coincidence? Well, that also happens to be the bottom of the Oct 2023 correction as well.
TL/DR? I'd be a heavy buyer at $95 if we get there.
Deciphering The Mysteries Within A TrendIn this video, I breakdown trend dynamics to help you understanding what is actually happening in a trend. I cover the following:
What is climatic activity?
What climatic activity means for a trend.
How to spot climatic activity with price action.
How to spot climatic activity with an indicator
How to measure trend strength with price action
How to measure trend strength with an indicator
When trading pullbacks, it is imperative to understand strength of trends. You do not want to enter a pullback at the end of a trend.
MOASS: BOOM!TLDR of video:
-MOASS is happening now
-Elliott Wave Idealized Target: 100K
-Ideal Target for your average retail investor: 1800 - 2400
-Psychologically, Wave 3, which we are in, is the most intense
-VWAP is your guide as price will stay above identified VWAP and will only touch it again once
MOASS is over
-Fibs are your guide as well
Expect price to begin running next week folks
We will break above identified VWAPS and that will be the surefire signal that MOASS has lifted off for the last time
SEE YOU AT THE TOP!!!
COUNTER-TREND TRADING...SAFE OR RISKY?....EURCAD LIVE EXAMPLEWhat is going on everybody! Hope you are having an amazing weekend so far! Just wanted to come on here and speak a little bit about one of my favorite trading subjects which is counter-trend trading! I personally do counter-trend trading as one of my trading strategies so I wanted to come on here and share a real life example of some things I look for and the mentality behind trading against the current trend of price
Hope you guys enjoy! Please boost and follow my page for more breakdowns! Appreciate you all!
Cheers!
Spotting EUR/USD Rebound Potential with Key Technicals!Today, we’re analysing the EUR/USD daily chart to see how key technical indicators align to impact trading decisions. Here’s what’s shaping up:
➡️ Current Support: We have an uptrend in place since April which is coinciding with a 78.6% retracement around the 1.0760/75 level (spanning June lows to September peaks). Adding strength to this support zone is the RSI divergence, signalling a potential corrective rebound.
➡️ Resistance Levels to Watch: For potential rebound targets, I start with Fibonacci retracements and key resistances:
• First Resistance: The 200-day moving average aligns with the 23.6% retracement at 1.0872.
• Second Resistance: The 38.2% retracement around 1.0950, showing multiple resistance touches, making it a significant challenge for further price movement.
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The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
USD/JPY rally facing fundamental test with US job openings data USD/JPY remains a play on the US interest rate outlook, sitting with an incredibly strong correlation with US two-year Treasury note futures of -0.98 over the past fortnight. When short-dated US debt futures have moved in a particular direction, USD/JPY has almost always done the opposite, mirroring US Treasury yields.
With there's no obvious reversal pattern in US two-year note futures in the right-hand chart, providing reason to be cautious about getting to aggressive, with the first of the week’s major US economic releases on the way in the form of JOLTs job openings for September, the risk of profit-taking in USD/JPY appears elevated.
After a surprise bounce in August, markets are looking for only a minor decline in openings of 50,000 to 7.99 million. Notably, this survey tends to bounce around and we haven’t seen back-to-back increases since late 2022. That hints at the potential for a downside surprise that could spark downside for US Treasury yields and USD/JPY which have run very hard in recent weeks.
If the price holds below 153.19, you could initiate shorts with a tight stop above for protection targeting a return to the 200DMA.
Good luck!
DS
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%.
If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent.
Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th.
There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
Crude Oil Smoked Again. Will the downtrend continue?Hey, guys. Noticed this evening Crude Oil is down yet again. In this video, taking a look at the technicals and whether this downtrend will continue or not. Oil is in a little bit of a confusing spot, but there is certainly good reason to think the weakness will continue. Hope this video will give you a closer look at the Oil chart and provide helpful information as you develop your thesis around this asset. Will the downtrend continue? Will we get a counter trend move? It will be interesting to watch this develop to be sure! NYMEX:CL1!
Hope you enjoy the video, and best of luck out there!
Short-term EURUSD ideaAfter yesterday's better than expected flash PMIs from Germany, we saw EURUSD finding some buying interest. Let's see if we can get a larger correction to the upside.
EASYMARKETS:EURUSD
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Apple Calls Be careful!!!News: Apple will be reporting earnings on Thursday October 31.
Apple has a high of 237.49 that was created on Tuesday October 15, 2024. This high created has topped the previous high 237.23 created on Monday July 15, 24.
Pattern we are trading is is a ascending triangle tu the up side on the daily and 4hr time frame.
Every pull back has created a Higher Low (HL) which continues bullish momentum.
In the ascending triangle pattern, i have created two trendlines indicating support.
The dash line being the weak and the solid line being the strongest.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
how I find support and resistance of a trendTo understand Price Action, first thing we do is to look for (S) and (R) to help us read strength&weakness of price.
This video will explain how I find Support and Resistance of a trend.
I will provide example of what your chart will looks like throughout trading hours.
how to know which candle to draw (S)/(R).
Tracking Economy with this Ratio – Copper vs Gold RatioThe Fed is using the Copper / Gold ratio in tracking economy and its growth.
Currently, the copper / gold ratio is still trending downward, which indicates that the economy may not be recovering that soon.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
$SOUN :Is Sound Hound AI the next small cap to SURGE?! 98% move!NASDAQ:SOUN
Is Sound Hound AI the next small cap to SURGE?!
I believe this stock is gearing up for a 98% move higher! So, let's dive into my video below, which talks about the NASDAQ:SOUN stock charting setup for a SURGE to the upside and how it meets my 5/5 trading setup! (My personal trading strategy)
Not financial advice.
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Comment what stock you want to see charting analysis on below.
HOW And WHY The Markets MoveIn this video I explain HOW and WHY the markets move.
At it's core, trading is a zero-sum game, meaning that nothing is created. There must always be a counter-party to any trade, after all it is called "trading". Because of this, liquidity is the lifeblood of the market and it is what is required by all participants, albeit more for the larger entities out there. In order for these larger entities to trade, they must do so in stages of buying and selling, and not all in one single position like we do as retail traders. They buy on the way down, and sell on the way up, throughout many different time horizons. Therefore, they require price to be delivered efficiently in order to sustain this working machine.
I hope you find the video somewhat insightful. Regardless of your beliefs, I think it can be agreed that these two principles are what drives the marketplace and it's movements.
- R2F
HFTs gaps: Learn how to enter a stock before a huge gap up.High Frequency Trading companies are market makers/takers that provide liquidity for the public exchanges, and they now use AI. HFTs have a huge impact on your profitability. You can make higher profits from trading ahead of the HFT gaps and riding the momentum upward or downward.
In this short video, you'll learn some basics on how to identify the patterns that precede HFT gaps, which I call Pro Trader Nudges . Learn what to look for in Volume patterns and pre-gap price action.
Make sure you are not chasing HFTs but riding the wave of momentum they create, just like professional traders do.
The TradingView Show: Charting Big Moves with TradeStationJoin us for our recurring series as we breakdown in great detail the latest market movements, emerging trends, and critical financial news with @TradeStation. This monthly show is meticulously crafted to keep traders informed about the developments that truly impact the markets. Explore our comprehensive video library on our profile—just scroll back to catch up on past episodes. And remember to follow our @TradingView account to ensure you never miss a show.
For our new traders, this episode will provide actionable insights, educational resources on charting, and a robust introduction to market dynamics.
In this episode, we’ll cover the following topics:
- Top-down analysis for informed decision-making
- Essential crude oil charts and their implications for energy stocks
- Insights into small-cap trends
- A deep dive into semiconductor stocks like ASML and NVDA
- The recent breakout in the banking sector
- An analysis of ratio charts for strategic positioning
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Short EUR/AUD setup looking for retest of 1.6000Thursday's bearish engulfing candle has seen the price move below 1.6188, a level that has acted as both support and resistance over recent weeks.
If the price can remain beneath this level into the European open, consider shorting below with a stop above for protection.
The initial target would be 1.6115. If that were to give way, a retest of 1.6000 could be on the cards.
Good luck!
DS