A Simple Method Of Evaluating Trade Setups For Everyone - PART IThis is a simple example of how anyone can attempt to understand price action, trade setups, and determine if the current trade setup is valid for any trading action.
Unless you have a trading system that helps you identify highly successful trade setups, most people struggle to find opportunities before they turn into breakout trends (up or down). Ideally, most traders want to get into trades before the big breakout, or breakdown, happens.
This video, part I of an extended series, will help you learn to use simple tools to identify qualified trade setups from invalid setups.
You can trade whatever you want. But remember, the trend is your friend, and learning to understand price theory, trends, channels, and support/resistance is all you need to make better decisions.
Watch this video to see if it helps you. Over the next few weeks, I'll create more videos highlighting simple techniques to help you become a better trader. I'll review dozens of charts and highlight what works and what doesn't.
Trading is a matter of managing risks while attempting to generate profits. This will be a great way for me to share my thoughts with all of you while trying to help you learn techniques to help you build solid skills.
Hope you enjoy this first video.
Community ideas
Live stream - FXOpen Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: APPLEIn this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.
🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
How to tell which way inflation is going?In this video, we are studying the time lag between commodities, inflation data, and central bank decisions.
3 types of crude oil for trading:
• Crude Oil Futures
0.01 per barrel = $10.00
Code: CL
• E-mini Crude Oil Futures
0.025 per barrel = $12.50
Code QM
• Micro WTI Crude Oil
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
Code MCL
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
How To Use & Set Alerts for Chart Pattern Recognition ToolsToday we take a look at how to put chart & candlestick pattern recognition tools onto your chart as well as set alerts for them so that you can notified each time one is present.
Please hit that LIKE/BOOST button before you head out & if you have any questions, comments or ideas for my next Tradingview Basics video, PLEASE LEAVE THEM BELOW!
Akil
Live stream - BoC Rate Unchanged, EU Preliminary GDP And Crude OToday’s technical overview – Nikkei225, China50, ASX200, DJIA, S&P500, Nasdaq100, DAX40, FTSE100, DXY, Gold, Silver, Wheat, WTI Oil, Ripple, Litecoin, AUDUSD, AUDJPY, NZDJPY, CHFJPY, USDJPY, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDMXN, GBPAUD, EURCAD, EURCHF, EURNZD, EURUSD.
Overview of the Markets - SPX RTY NQ IWM SOXXJust an overview of what I'm seeing and why I'm still being patient with my short position. Of course if things don't start falling soon, we may have something else happening and I'll have to be open to that. I cover a few sectors that stand out to me as examples of structure and RSI which looks ready to turn down. Good luck!
The Best Forex Strategy I've Used in 3 Years | 4 IndicatorsHey Rich Friends,
Here is my trading strategy in black and white. Nothing more, nothing less. Stop overthinking. Stop overtrading. Stop overleveraging. Focus on finding great setups that meet all confirmations and let the market do the rest.
Indicators:
50 EMA (blue)
200 EMA (purple)
Momentum (turn on price line)
Stochastic (turn on price line)
Bullish confirmations (Up, Above, Over, Higher):
1. Candles above/crossing up 1 or both EMAS
2. MOM is facing up AND/OR above 0.
3. Stoch is facing up. Stoch is above 50. The blue line is above the orange line. Must have all 3 or wait
Bearish confirmations (Down, Below, Under, Lower):
1. Candles below/crossing down 1 or both EMAS
2. MOM is facing down AND/OR below the dotted 0 line.
3. Stoch is facing down. Stoch is below the dotted 50. The blue line is below the orange line. Must have all 3 or wait.
How To Use Bar Tick Replay & historical DataIn today's Tradingview Basics video Akil Stokes walks you through his FAVORITE tool here on Tradingview which is Bar Tick Replay.
Having the ability to go back through historical dat whether it's fore data acquisition and/or find tune your trading eye is KEY to becoming a consistently profitable trader in my opinion.
Hope you enjoyed the video and if you have any questions or comments, please leave them below.
Akil
Looking at USD/TRY following the huge rate rise last weekLast week, the Turkish central bank made a significant move by raising rates by 750 basis points. This caused a sharp downward movement in the US dollar relative to the Turkish lira. Since then, there has been a notable response, with the market showing a sharp rebound.
During times of such volatile market reactions, it's valuable to examine Fibonacci retracements. These retracements help us predict potential new support and resistance levels in the market. Looking ahead, we can pinpoint key levels of support and resistance. The first is the 38.2% retracement, approximately at 26.00/25.98. The second notable level is the 78.6% retracement, approximately at 26.80. It's likely that the market will move within these boundaries as it absorbs and adapts to the unexpected rate increase.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
NVDA has topped. Sell it now.2023 has been an incredibly strong year for stocks. The Nasdaq rallied 38% in the first six months for one of the best starts to a year in history.
This rally has been primarily led by an AI/tech theme that has been responsible for the bulk of these gains. That part of the rally is likely over, however… at least for now.
Every bull market has a “theme” with leading stocks that set the pace. In the late 90s that was the dot-com bubble. In the 2009-2020 bull market that was big tech like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Apple and Google (hence the FAANG stocks moniker). The 2020-2021 bull market was led by “work-from-home” stocks like Zoom, Teladoc and Peloton.
The 2023 bull market has been led by artificial intelligece. The leading stocks have been Meta, Microsoft, Dynatrace, MongoDB, Palantir, AMD, and the biggest leader of them all, Nvidia.
Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher.
Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs.
Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected.
Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion.
They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news.
But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before.
This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year.
In a bear market, like we had in 2022, what you want to see is the market going UP on BAD news. This is the sign that the low is in, and buyers are coming back in.
We saw this on October 13, 2022. After a government inflation report revealed the worst numbers yet – far worse than expectations – the market gapped down and opened a full 3% lower than it was the day before. However, stocks immediately began to rally, and the index surged 5% that day. This was the signal that the low was in.
On the other hand, in a bull market, we want to watch for times when the market goes DOWN on GOOD news. This often signals a top. And I believe we saw that on Thursday.
Nvidia was the only stock that could have reversed this pullback. The earnings report was better than even the most optimistic investor had hoped. This should have absolutely put an end to the pullback and caused the market to rally higher. Instead, we saw the opposite.
So, what does this mean?
First of all, and let me be clear on this, I am NOT saying the market is about to crash. I simply believe the “easy money” stage is over.
I expect to see fairly choppy conditions for the next few weeks or months, and investors can no longer rely on the bull market to push everything higher.
I believe tech stocks have seen their highs for 2023. Those with large open gains in stocks like Meta, Amazon, Apple, Google, Nvidia and the like may consider selling to lock in those gains here.
There will still be stocks that go up, some of them by substantial amounts. But I believe this is now a more selective stock picker’s market.
Personally, I sold the index funds in my long-term account and moved to cash ( I also went short the Nasdaq via QID). As of yesterday, those index funds funds were up 37% year-to-date. That is a phenomenal year, and I do not want to risk giving those gains back.
To me, this is a low-risk decision. The worst-case scenario is that I am wrong or something material changes that propels stocks higher.
If this happens, and the Nasdaq makes new highs this year, I will simply buy those funds back. All I will have missed is a 6% move.
BTC: Distribution and Re Distribution Part TwoHi Everyone! The 20-minutes allowed for video publications ran out during the creation of this video. Which means I will pick up where I left off with a "Part Three" video.
I will follow up with screenshots shortly to allow you to see charts covered in this video. Then, I'll work on Part Three video and pick up where I was "cut off" in this video.
How To Go Full Time As A TraderHey guys!
In this video, we discuss some of the most important things to take into consideration before making the jump to becoming a full-time trader.
Topics discussed:
- Cash in, cash out and burn rate
- The importance of a solid, time-tested strategy
- Psychological pitfalls and how to avoid them
- Long term wealth impacts
Have questions? Let us know in the comments!
Looking for more high-probability trade ideas? Follow us below. ⬇️⬇️
Live stream - Weekly Close Livestream 8-14-2023Did Elon (SpaceX) really crash the price of Bitcoin... or was the Bitcoin short clear based on technical analysis for the last few weeks? "Yes" to the latter and I'll detail why this week with a tutorial on how price respects levels and what this means.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaBitcoin has reached a crucial support level after a decline in bullish momentum. The price has become significantly overextended, leading to the question of whether we can expect more downward movement or a substantial retracement. In the video, we delve into the trend, price action, market structure, imbalances, and other essential aspects of technical analysis. As always, the video provides a detailed explanation of everything discussed, and it's important to note that this content should not be interpreted as financial advice.
XAUUSD TA: Full Naked Chart Trading At New Long Entry ZonesHey Traders,
I've covered gold a lot of times previously as we let it crumble further.
This is due to weak price action zones and further negative MKT sentiment.
To get better entries you need strong rejection in the market (causing a reversal).
Here is where we are looking to get to.
Trade small always.
Create & Organize Your 1st WatchlistA tutorial video walking you through how to create & organize a watchlist. In my experience I've found that organization is the key to consistency & that consistency is the key to success so having an organized watchlist is something that has been very helpful in both my trading and investing.
Hope you enjoyed the video & if you have any questions, comments or request for future videos please leave them in the comment section below.
Also if you have a second please hit that BOOST button to show me some love on your way you!
Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan!
Akil
Are The Bulls Back? ES1! SPY SPXAre the Bulls making a comeback in the S&P? 🐂💪 Get ready for an exclusive analysis! In my latest video, I delve into why the Bears have been dominating the market lately, but there's a glimmer of hope for the Bulls in the S&P. Sadly, the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 haven't joined the party just yet. 📈🚀 Let's talk confirmation and the essential indicators I rely on: Beacon Indicator, Bollinger Bands, Auto Anchored VWAP, and a 5 Day Moving Average. Check out the video to discover the key levels I'm closely monitoring in the S&P 500 ES1!, Nasdaq 100 NQ1!, and Russell 2000 RTY1! Futures Markets. Time to trade wisely! 💼💰 #StockMarket #Trading #BullsVsBears
Palladium Analysis: Is price starting a swing higher? Today's focus: Palladium
Pattern – Descending triangle / Range
Support – 1223
Resistance – 1320
• Palladium added 4.37% on Thursday
• Palladium and Platinum ignored USD strength to finish firm on Thursday.
Hi, and thanks for checking out today’s analysis. We’re looking at Palladium primarily in today’s video, but we have also mentioned Platnuim, as it also posted a solid session on Thursday.
After yesterday’s rally, we have looked at a few things that have stood out in the buyer's favour, but we have also broken down the remaining hurdles and what we want to see from price to confirm the bullish signs.
Do you trade Palladium? If so, please let us know what you think of the descending triangle pattern and if you agree with current volume supporting yesterday’s move.
Have a great day and good trading.
How To Use The Search Box [Beginner Tutorial].How to use the search box tool for beginner traders and those new to the platform. In this session you will learn: how to access the search box, how to input symbols, how to search for symbols using relevant keywords, how to narrow your search using the asset categories and how to apply math functions.