Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures
In-depth look at Continuation & Reversal Correction in price action structures/patterns
Hi everyone:
Today I want to revisit the fundamental aspect of trading impulsive and corrective phases in Price Action Analysis.
As you all know I focus on multi-time frame analysis and forecasting/anticipating the next impulsive move in the market.
To me, the most important part of identifying the next impulsive phase of the market, is to understand how correction works.
An impulse phase usually happens after a correction has finished correcting, so the key is to identify and understand how a corrections structure will complete so we anticipate the next impulsive move.
You may have seen my videos on this topic, but today I will go more in detail on this, and explain the 2 types of correctional structure the market can create.
The market can only be in 2 phases, impulsive phrase or corrective phrase.
In addition, the corrective phrase can only be continuation, or reversal.
So to fully have an edge in the market, is to understand what the correctional structure the price is currently making,
whether a continuation/reversal, then forecast the possible price outlook, and go down to the lower time frames for possible entries.
Now, it's important to understand that different traders/strategies/styles will call these patterns/structures in varies names.
What they are called or identify isn't important, but the important aspect is to understand whether they are continuation, or they are reversal.
In addition, simply seeing price action structures/patterns by itself, is not a good enough entry criteria for me.
You want to combine multi- time frame analysis, top-down approach, and with multiples of these price actions all happening so it adds extra confluence for you to enter a particular trade.
Seeing a H and S pattern, on a 5 minute chart, without considering the overall HTF and other factors, will not be a consistent move in the long run.
Continuation Correctional Structure/Pattern
Bullish/Bearish Flag
Bullish/Bearish Pennant
Parallel Channel
Reversal Correctional Structure/Pattern
Ascending/Descending Channel
Rising/Falling Wedge
Double Top/Bottom
Head & Shoulder Pattern/Inverse H and S
“M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
I will forward all the price action structures/patterns videos I have made in the past to help you understand each of the structures more.
Impulse VS Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Identify a correction for the next impulse move in price action analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Parallel Channel (Horizontal, Ascending, Descending)
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Continuation/Reversal Expanding Structure/Pattern
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo
Risk Management
How to manage & deal with consecutive losses in trading ?
Trading Psychology: How to manage & deal with losses/consecutive losses in trading ?
Hi everyone:
Today I want to go over a very key trading psychology lesson on how to deal with losses, especially consecutive losses.
This is bound to happen to any traders, whether you are new or experienced. ITs something all professional traders will have to deal with on a regular basis.
Understand that, dealing with losses psychologically is the key factor in the success of a trader.
This is because losses are inevitable, and trading is a probability, which trades that you take will end up both in wins and losses.
However, traders usually can not accept losses, due to their ego, greed and other emotional factors.
Aside from having a good risk management, trading plan, and trading strategies, traders can still experience the psychological emotions of losing.
This is due to the fact that we are humans and we are an “emotional” animal. We don't want to be wrong, at all.
Taking a loss is like getting slapped in the face by the market, which we have egos to fight against.
What ends up after taking losses or consecutive losses, it puts traders at a disadvantage where their emotion is high, and likely to “revenage” trade to chase back losses, which end up in a deeper hole.
To deal with such psychological phenomena, take a step back and observe your situation:
First, did you follow your trading plan/strategy on how to enter, set SL/TP, and management ?
Second, did you take an emotional trade due to greed or fear of missing out ?
Third, have you journal down your losses and review them to make sure they are trades you really want to risk your capitals on ?
By now you will see why we need to review these. Trading is a probability, not right or wrong. It's a random variable that you are putting your $ at risk.
So if you understand the rules and plans that you follow and execute a trade accordingly,
then there should NOT be any negative emotions towards the outcome of the trades, whether they are winners or losers.
When I discuss the trades I entered every week in my trade recaps videos, I am always happy to enter a position, even if it goes to a loss.
This is because I have done enough backtesting, chart work, and plan to enter a position.
I understand strictly from a probability point of view, I could have a higher strike rate, and more often the trades will end up as a winner rather than a loser.
However, I also understand and acknowledge that some trades will end up in a loss, disregard mine technical analysis or other’s fundamental analysis. It is what trading is all about.
When I have consecutive losses, I will always review the 3 points I mentioned above and make sure they are all valid for me.
Then I simply will take 1 day off from the market, chart, phone, and just get your mind clear. Come back strong after 1-2 days of rest, and have a positive mindset.
What traders often do when they have consecutive losses is to right away re-enter back into the market and try to chase back their losses.
This has always been the downfall of losing and it creates anxiety in traders’ minds.
Such a negative experience is going to stay in the traders’ mind longer and deeper, compared to consecutive winners.
So wise we understand that is the case how our brain is "programmed” into thinking, then it's up to us to do the opposite, and fight the urge to “revenge” our losses.
At the end of the day, no one is trading your trading account, except yourself.
Taking ownership of your account, learning to control our emotions, understanding the probability side of trading, and learning to let go, drop our ego will help us in the long run in this industry.
I hope these pointers can help some traders who are still struggling with this concept.
It's impossible not to take losses, but professional traders deal with it on a regular basis and still remain consistent in the long run.
Thank you
I will forward some Trading Psychology educational videos below on some of the topics explained today.
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Trading Psychology: Is there Stop Loss Hunting in Trading ? How to deal with it ?
The Hammer (How To Trade)The hammer:
Puts in its appearance after prolonged downtrend. On the day of the hammer candle, there is strong selling, often beginning at the 3rd/4 hour candle of session. As the session goes on, however, the market recovers and closed near the unchanged mark, or in some cases even higher. In these cases the market potentially is "hammering" out a bottom.
In order for the Hammer signal to be valid, the following conditions must exist:
The FX pair must have been in a definite downtrend before this signal occurs. This can be visually seen on the chart.
The lower shadow must be at least twice the size of the body.
The 4 hour (example candle, see chart) after the Hammer is formed, one should witness continued buying
There should be no upper shadow or a very small upper shadow. The color of the body does not matter, but a blue/green body would be more positive than a red body.
Make sure pattern on 4 hour time frames happen during Tokyo session, can be on 1 hour time frame if they happen during London or NY session. (fyi)
Dragonfly Doji (How to Use It)A "Dragonfly" doji:
Depicts a time period on which prices opened high, sold off, and then returned to the opening price.
Dragonflies are fairly infrequent, but when seen on hourly, 4 hour or higher would consider trading them to the bullish side.
When they do occur, however, they often resolve bullishly (provided the Forex pair is not already overbought as shown by Bollinger bands and indicators such as stochastic).
Things to look for:
1) Dragonfly doji to happen in 1st 8 hours of a new session.
2) First 8 hours of new session is low liquidity and volume (during Tokyo session).
3) For scalping or day trading, I would make sure right pair, right price, right session and right time- for trading any FX pairs.
4) If you catch a pattern within the 1st 8 hours- you may be able to ride the trade thru the end of London session (this is end of all of my trades or earlier).
Example chart trade was set up on 4 hour session with a 1:1.5 risk/reward setup with is great if you are day trading a trade for 8-10 hours. Are you patience?
Breakouts (Keep Trading Simple)Breakouts
Violation of Trend Line, Support or Resistance, or previous reversal point.
It signifies that a change in buyer and seller behavior and signals the beginning or end of a trend.
See chart for more visual clues on how to trade this: 1:4 risk reward would have worked on this trade or 20 pip stop vs 80 pip target+.
AudJpy (Day Trade- How To Manage It)Patience is a must in trading Forex. Take a deep breath. Let trade work out. This AudJpy trade was an example of risking 25 pips vs target of 25 pips on the initial setup and then bring stop loss to lock in break even when New York opens for 25 pips vs 50 pip target. Let trade play out..
Sydney-Tokyo Overlap Session Do you trade AUD pairs? If yes, look for trends to start during the overlapping session with Tokyo: around 6 hr overlap time.
What To Look For:
1) Look on hourly charts for trends with AUDxxx or xxxAUD pairs to start during Sydney-Tokyo overlapping session (slow but great risk/reward setups)
2) See AUDJPY 1 hour chart example- excellent Harami two candle pattern to set up a bullish trade with. (placed in purple box on chart)
3) 81.500 price level is a highly psychological price level for big banks and realtor traders ( both, love price numbers ending with 000,250,500 or 750)
4) On chart is three indicators (that I use either alone or together) to get confluence with to enter a new trade: Yes, price action only with naked charts work.
A- Ichimoku Cloud- price action is above gold line or conversion line (so bullish sign)
B- Pivot Points- price action is above weekly pivot point or red line (so bullish sign)
C- Bollinger Band- price action is on or above 20 ema or middle yellow line and BB squeeze is starting (so bullish sign)
Note: With Aud pairs- look for trends to start during the Sydney session and both Sydney-Tokyo overlapping session- this AUDJPY bullish trade on hourly chart on Friday could have let you ride it for most of the daily session. Do not be greedy when scalping or day trading- get your pip piece of pie and close trade.
With all trading price action and risk management are both #1 (set entry, stop and targets for all trades)-
Harami/Inside Bar (3 of 3)Harami/Inside Bar
This pattern is a two-candlestick pattern in which the first candlestick vertically encompasses the one that follows it. This signal is interpreted in two ways:
1. An indication that an increase in volatility is imminent. This affords traders the opportunity to create trades that speculate not so much on direction,
but rather on an increase in volatility on a breakout in any specific direction.
2. In the context of a trend, a harami/inside bar can be indicative of exhaustion and the onset of a reversal. In this manner, it is similar to long wick patterns
and evening star/morning star patterns examined earlier in this guide.
Note: All three patterns in this series (Pin-bar, Harami and Engulfing) should be traded with a confluence of things like:
1) Support and Resistance
2) Trend lines
3) Fib Retracement levels (50% to 61.8%) golden zone
4) Remember: Pair you trade, Price right now, Session(s) open & Time it is. All of these are highly important in Forex trading.
5) Patterns at pivot points (daily, weekly or monthly)
Engulfing Candlesticks (2 of 3)Engulfing Candlesticks
The other important candlestick pattern I think price action traders need to have knowledge on is the engulfing candlestick. Like pin bar the engulfing candle is a reversal pattern, which means that a reversal is supposed to take place immediately after you see one form in the market. Unlike the pin bar the engulfing candlestick is a two bar reversal pattern, a pattern which requires there to be two candlesticks present in order for it's formation to be complete.
The formation of a bearish engulf is always a signal that a reversal to the downside is about to take place. The pattern itself consists of two candlesticks.
The bearish engulfing candlestick itself, which I've marked with an arrow, and the bullish candlestick that formed an hour before. The bullish candle is first candle required in the bearish engulf setup. This is the candlestick which the market will always engulf with a bearish candle immediately after it's formation.
In order for a bearish engulfing candle to form, a bullish candle must have formed immediately prior. You can't have a bearish candlestick engulfing another
bearish candle, it has to be a bullish candle in order for it to be a bearish engulf.
Bullish engulfing candlesticks are of course the opposite to bearish engulfing candles, which means their appearance is a sign the market is going to reverse
to the upside. Like the bearish engulfing candle they are also a two bar pattern, but instead of the first candle in the pattern being a bullish candlestick, like we see with the bearish engulfing formation, the first candle in a bullish engulfing setup will always engulf a bearish candle. A bullish engulfing candle cannot engulf another bullish candle, it can only engulf bearish candles.
Engulfing candlesticks are best used as signals to enter trades at pre-existing points where you expect the market to reverse, such as support and resistance
levels or supply and demand zones. They can be traded on their own without any other confirming factors being present, but in my opinion they don't tend to work out as well as pin bars do.
Pin Bar/Hammer Candlestick (Part 1 of 3)The pin bar is a single candle pattern which can be found forming across all currencies and all time-frames in the market. It falls into the category of price
action reversal patterns due the fact it's appearance is supposed to be a signal a reversal is going to occur. Although it must be said that very few pin bars actually cause large reversals to take place in the market, (I'll explain why in a minute).
Like most price action patterns the pin bar comes in two varieties:
The bullish pin bar, which signals a reversal to the upside may be about to take place, and the bearish pin bar, which is a sign a reversal to the downside is
probably going to occur. You can see that the vast majority of these bullish pins did cause the market to reverse once they had formed, but they didn't all cause it to reverse for the same duration of time. Some caused large upswings to take place whilst others only created small retracements.
Again, you can see that the pin bars which formed on here also caused reversals of varying sizes to take place. The reason why pin bars cause different sized reversals to occur, is because of the action that caused the pin bar to form in the first place. Pin bars and all the other candlesticks you see forming on your charts, form as a result of traders making decisions in regards to the market price. Pin bars happen to form exclusively from the bank traders either placing trades because they want to make the market reverse, or from taking profits off trades which they've already got placed.
The reversal created by the pin bar which has formed as a result of the bank traders taking profits off their trades, is naturally much smaller than the reversal caused by the pin which has formed from the bank traders placing trades to make the market reverse. It's obvious why this is, I mean if you took some profits off a trade you would want the market to continue moving in the direction to which your trade had been placed so you could make more money from the trade. The bank traders want the same to happen when they cause a pin bar to form from taking profits off their own trades, which is why the reversal caused by some pin bars forming are much smaller than the reversals caused by other pins forming.
Bullish and bearish pin bars are really good reversal patterns to watch out for if you're a price action trader, but they must be traded in the right way and you must understand why they form in the market. Most of the books and guides out there on pin bars do not teach traders what causes them to form, when it's knowing what causes them to form that will allow you to determine which pins have a high probability of working out successfully.
Head & Should Pattern (How To Trade)The Head And Shoulders Pattern
The first price action reversal pattern we're going to look at is the head and shoulders pattern. Without doubt one of the most popular and well known price
action patterns in the market, the head and shoulders formation is one which all price action traders need to memorize and understand if they want to become
good at spotting reversals using price action. As you've probably already guessed, the head and shoulders pattern is a reversal pattern which has a swing
structure very similar to that of person's head and shoulders.
You can see from the image the structure of the pattern does bear a striking resemblance to somebody standing up with their head straight and their
shoulders level with one another. Most head and shoulders patterns are supposed to look like the one you can see in the image above, but a large
percentage of them will actually have features which are a little different from one another. For example, you might see a pattern form with one of the shoulders being a little bit higher than the other, or the distance of two shoulders from the head will be smaller or bigger than what you can see in the pattern above. These small differences do not alter the pattern in any meaningful way. So long as the head is always found in the middle and the two shoulders are found to be either side, it's a head and shoulder pattern.
If the high of the right shoulder is found to be below the swing low of the move up which created the head, then it's not a head and shoulders pattern and should not be treated as such.
Rules:
1) measure from top of head to neckline for excepted target goal, once price action breaks neckline.
2) These patterns are infrequent, but powerful on 1 hour or higher time frames.
Alert-Confirm-Enter StrategyThe A.C.E. strategy is one of the easier ones to do if you scalp or day trade in Forex.
A- Alert Candle 1st one
C- Confirm Candle 2nd one
E- Enter Candle 3rd on
This can be done on bearish an bullish set ups:
1) ALERT- Look for the last trend ending candlestick. 1st candlestick (which is part of three bar pattern)
2) CONFIRM- Look for a longest trend ending candlestick (doji, pin bar, harami etc... (2nd candlestick)- top of this in bullish reversal is enter price and bottom of this in bearish reversal is enter price.
3) ENTER- Look for 3rd candlestick to go into new direction breaking top (bullish) or bottom (bearish) of 2nd candlestick to Enter trade.
4) Put stop loss above top of bearish trade or below bullish trade. For trade on 1 hour chart, I like 20 pips, with a 1:2 or higher risk reward setup.
Please look at example chart and look for many more on other one hour charts for pairs you trade. Keep trading as simple as possible. GbpAud.
The Death of Buy-and-Hold reduxAs a follow-up to my previous article, “The Death of Buy-and-Hold” , Bitcoin in these last four months has demonstrated quite vividly to us the error of that outdated methodology, that Buy-and-Hold is truly dead and technical trading is superior to what is called “investing” today.
In the two month period from February, 2021 through April, Bitcoin enjoyed a meteoric rise, gaining 100% in value during that 60 day period. However, as they say, “The bigger they are, the harder they fall…“ And fall it did… Bitcoin gave back every penny in the following two months crashing back to its February levels.
The most profitable, reliable, and consistent trading systems available to the average investor, as I demonstrated in previous articles , are those systems based on "supply and demand" methodologies. We can’t fight the hedge funds. We can’t fight China. We can’t fight the “whales” of the crypto market.
… But we can follow their footprints as traders .
I backtested Bitcoin based on my own proprietary supply and demand methodology, but I would assume that any supply and demand system would achieve similar results because we are all chasing the same protagonist (or antagonist, depending on how you look at them).
The results: From January 1, 2021 through June 22, buying and and holding Bitcoin would’ve net a zero return for the investor! Following a supply and demand methodology, however, the casual trader who might work on the 4 hour charts, checking in on their account once or twice per day, I identified 11 trading opportunities which resulted in a net profit of 42 percent .
Why would the investor make zero and the trader make 42%? Buy-and-hold only works in one direction… When the product gains value. Supply and demand trading lets you profit rain or shine, by the day or by the hour, in good times and bad.
I bring this up, not ultimately as an "I told you so" but as an encouragement: Yes, indeed, it is possible to pull a reliable, steady income from the markets, from the cryptos , from the indexes , from the commodities , rain or shine, week after week, once you learn to "see the money flow" and follow the trail as a trader .
One does not have to have their livelihoods be subject to the whims of the economy, of policies imposed by public officials, of Tweets from CEOs, from natural disasters, from supply chain disruptions, the whims of totalitarian nations, nor an employer, employees, or customers.
Most importantly, Supply and Demand trading protects us from the large financial institutions who regularly engage in Market Manipulation , whose tactics include fear and greed news cycles, whose analysts and "experts" foment 'sentiment' among their viewing audience, whose priority is to broadcast information that will financially benefit themselves, and not their viewers.
Trade well!
It always works the same way...Human-sheep hybrids psychology.
No matter where I look I see the same flaws manifest in different ways
A quote
By 1998, Yahoo was the beneficiary of a de facto Ponzi scheme. Investors were excited about the Internet. One reason they were excited was Yahoo's revenue growth. So they invested in new Internet startups. The startups then used the money to buy ads on Yahoo to get traffic. Which caused yet more revenue growth for Yahoo, and further convinced investors the Internet was worth investing in. When I realized this one day, sitting in my cubicle, I jumped up like Archimedes in his bathtub, except instead of "Eureka!" I was shouting "Sell!"
The majority just ends up becoming bagholders one way or another.
Here are comments on the housing bubble from 2006
" Since the early seventies, our economic expansions have really been credit bubbles in disguise, and they have been paid for by inflating the money supply. The net result each time has been a reduction in the middle class standard of living. In the sixties, the family could easily make due on one income; do the math today…dual incomes aren’t enough now. "
thehousingbubbleblog.com
The lucky investors are the ones whose invetment falls like a rock and goes all the way to zero because they panic sell.
The unlucky one are the ones for who the price slowly falls and keeps giving them copium.
Virtually no one manages to make money trading, but they all manage to reach their primary goal which is to feel like a trader.
Technically humans are less able to adapt to gradual change than frogs, so the expression boiling frog is not that accurate.
Humans are huge bagholders with herd mentality. Some are bigger bagholders and more easilly enslaves.
Funny how it's impossible to find any useful tangible info on the subject on the internet you just get drowned in a sea of ideology propaganda.
The Milgram's experiments on obedience to authority are also interesting to read about. The vast majority complied with it, and even 65% went all the way to the final 450 volt death sentence.
What's great about the Milgram's experiences is they were used to criticize the holocaust (for stupid people that want to report me: I'm obviously not saying criticizing it is a bad thing), and they fall in line with the western ideology, so we can find plenty on the subject and read about it. That's their greatest quality: we can actually freely read about them.
You can't read (In Germany and France at least) anti LGBT research, articles, stats. That is illegal and incitation to hatred.
Spitting on a religion and printing drawings of the prophet sodomizing a sheep, which directly incites to hatred both in the arab world and in the west where people's head are cut off, is legally NOT incitation to hatred .
I'm just saying... You're in China you won't read about Tiananmen Square. The west used writtings and research by Gustave Le Bon and other guys I forgot the names of, that did a great job on herd mentality, propaganda, compliance, etc, and good luck finding much about it... Anyone that talks about it won't go to jail but will be a "crazy conspiracy theorist" and the herd believes it (they literally use the tactics they are accused of to silence critics it's hilarous).
With herd mentality did you know you could move a guided robot that looks like a sheep and the whole herd will come running?
It is also possible to use this to remote control fish in an aquarium? It is very fun.
It works the same way from humans but slighlty harder or more subtle.
For example the vast majority in urban areas will walk by someone dying on the ground, but if 1 person stops to help then the crowd stops too.
For example in a crowded area if people see 2-3 people run for their lives the whole crowd will follow, in that case the crowd might have to even the non-sheep.
In open concerts you start with a few weirdoes dancing and once the trend starts the crowd quickly dances and befor you know it the people not dancing are the weirdoes.
Bitcoin investors were considered idiots by "normies" or sheeple if you prefer, and somewhere between 2012 and 2017 investing in BTC became the norm and the skeptics are the idiots.
These herd trends look like the growth of a bacteria population (or viral pandemic), also appear in markets, but this is a story for another time.
📚 Leveraged & Margin Trading Guide + Examples ⚖️
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise.
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage, our return will be 50 times scaled.
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD, the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
👶 Trading For Beginners | ORDER TYPES 👦👧
There are multiple ways of opening a trade in a trading terminal.
Here is the list of universal order types that you MUST know:
1. Market Order
A market order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument on a current market price.
In such an order type, the price is determined by the market.
Constant price fluctuations and spreads make market order quite risky way of opening a trading position.
2. Limit Order
A limit order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument at a specific price level. It allows the trader to enter the market on a strict price level ignoring the price fluctuations and spreads.
A limit order can be referred to as a buy limit order or a sell limit order.
3. Buy/Sell Stop Order
Buy stop order is used to buy at a price above the market price, and it is triggered when the market price touches or goes through the Buy Stop leve.
Sell stop order is used to sell when a specified price is reached.
The selection of order types is based on a trader's trading style.
Let me know in a comment section which order types do you apply in your trading!
Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!
👶 Trading For Beginners | ORDER TYPES 👦👧
There are multiple ways of opening a trade in a trading terminal.
Here is the list of universal order types that you MUST know:
1. Market Order
A market order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument on a current market price.
In such an order type, the price is determined by the market.
Constant price fluctuations and spreads make market order quite risky way of opening a trading position.
2. Limit Order
A limit order is a trade order to buy or sell a desired financial instrument at a specific price level. It allows the trader to enter the market on a strict price level ignoring the price fluctuations and spreads.
A limit order can be referred to as a buy limit order or a sell limit order.
3. Buy/Sell Stop Order
Buy stop order is used to buy at a price above the market price, and it is triggered when the market price touches or goes through the Buy Stop leve.
Sell stop order is used to sell when a specified price is reached.
The selection of order types is based on a trader's trading style.
Let me know in a comment section which order types do you apply in your trading!
Please, like this post and subscribe to our tradingview page!
Last Two Hours Of London Session StrategyThis is how to go about trading this last two hours of London session strategy: Works on all Gbp and Eur pairs (and all Major pairs with USD).
This is either a scalp or day trading that will reverse mostly direction of current trade (sometimes continue) daily trend for 20 to 40 pips, during last two hours of London session.
1) First look at 4 hour time frame charts ( for trend, momentum and if pair is on support or resistance, etc..)
2) Then enter and exit of either the 5 minute time frame for best entries or 15 minute time frame.
3) I use 10 to 12.5 pip stop loss with targets 20 to 40 pips away depending on ADR (average daily range) of pair and where price is currently at in master Forex cycle of day or week.
4) With right stop, entry and targets this will give you a high winning rate (mostly reversal of daily trend) quick or around two hour profitable strategy, with right risk management. Please back-test.
The example chart is on a 15 minute chart related to Trading view not being able to post for public 5 minute charts, but mostly you want to enter and exit all trades via 5 minute frame for this two hour before London close strategy.
Would have been a 1:3 risk reward and or 10 pip stop vs 30 pip target- that is great within two hours. On the current example GBPCAD chart.
How To Set Up A Trade On Hour ChartIf you have a $5,000 account (USD currency)- want to trade Aud/Jpy currency with a 2% risk, what do you do? You need to know trade size on all pairs and pip value, so you can set stop loss, entry order and take profit/exit order- per your trading strategy and risk management tolerance.
1) go to Forex pip calculator online
2) Aud/Jpy current value of a pip Value of standard lot (units 100,000) is $900.45< yes, that is right!! What they are saying is every pip the AJ pair moves on a standard size is a $900 USD move (Crazy) Can you trade this lot size? NO. How about Micro Lot (units 1,000)? yes, pip value is $9.00.
3) On one hour AJ pair example chart, there are three noted trades: two bullish (1st and 3rd) and one bearish (2nd).
4) If you catch all three trades with by placing a 1: 4 Risk/Reward setup on them. What does that mean? (stop loss is around $100 per trade, related to 2% of account if you have $5,000 USD)- As your account gets higher, lets say $100,000 USD or more, even 1% would work- but to each their own)
5) Your stop loss is over entry of any bearish trades or under entry of any bullish trades by 10 pips or ($90.00 of risk) to make 40 pips or ($360.00)- possible on all three noted trades on chart. If you would have hit all three trades just right, you would have been in the money after two days around $1,000 USD with only risking 2% of your account. This is how the turtle beat the hare in Forex trading race- slowly but surely. If you trade micro lot of 500 units, you could have a larger 20 pip stop stop (around $100) and 40 pip targets would with a pip value of $4.50 instead (trade conservatively until confidence grows)
Put yourself in best position for success in Forex trading: Before any new trades know where to put stop, entry and profit orders. After your trade is active just let it play out, because the market is out of your hands at that point. Note keep in mind: right pair, right price, right session & right time.
Shooting Star (How To Trade)Bearish Shooting Star
When it occurs, it will be at the height of a current uptrend
— typically an extended trend. It’s a lot like a shooting star falling from the heights of the heavens. At the end of that trend, the stock experiences one last
effort to push higher, only to reverse on itself. Hence the name, shooting star. It goes up, only to fall back.
Entry
Where would you enter?
More aggressive traders may anticipate the reversal as the candle is forming. Otherwise, you can wait until the close of the shooting star, enter, and set your stop at the high of the shooting star candle.
Risk Management in Price Action TradingRisk Management in Price Action Trading
Risk management in price action trading is much like risk management in any other style of trading; the same basic rules apply:
1. Know your maximum risk tolerance, i.e. the loss you are willing to take on each trade, before you place the trade. A common rule is that traders will not put more than 2% of their funds in the market at a time.
2. Understand correlation between assets, and to what extent you would like to be diversified.
3. Know when you will exit before you enter.
4. Know your reward/risk ratio.
5. Identify what you expect to happen and why, and what price point negates that expectation. This is the price point at which you should put your stop.
Of course, with risk management, techniques are important, but, ultimately, it is up to the trader to ensure they are psychologically prepared for all that is involved. Even if a trader is using a fully automated system, he/she must still have confidence in the system, and must know when any losing streak experienced is just a temporary losing streak versus a more fundamental problem suggesting the system is no longer valid.
In terms of actual techniques, there are a few concepts traders can bear in mind:
1. Enter at support/resistance levels, or levels that suggest turning points in the market
2. Put your stop loss between such levels, or at points where there is no real signs of a force that will cause a change of direction in the market.
Basically, traders want to enter at turning points. Levels between turning points, “empty zones,” of sorts, are where stops can be put as they are where ideas are often disproved. For example, if you entered a trade at a support level expecting price to rally, you could place your stop at a level sufficiently below the support level you entered at, provided it was not a support level as well.
What Is Price Action Trading?What is Price Action Trading?
The “Price Action” method of trading refers to the practice of buying and selling securities based on the fluctuations, or “action,” of their prices; typically the data of these price changes is represented in easily-readable candlestick or bar charts, which are the bread and butter of the price action trader.
Traditionally, price action traders rely on a “naked” chart – they reject the inclusion of indicators with the conviction that, since all supplemental indicators are necessarily lagging interpretations of the basic data available on the price chart, the action of price is itself the most reliable and accurate indicator.
The patterns of price movements reveal in real time the balance between the supply for sale and the buying demand of any given security or currency pair. Any price change implies a shift in the relationship between buyers and sellers; an increase in supply will push price down, whereas an increase in buying demand will send price higher.
The price action trader bases their trades on predictions of whether buying demand is greater than the supply of sellers – and therefore price is poised to head higher – or vice versa. In the Forex market, this means that a trader will endeavor to buy (or “go long on”) a currency pair when the base currency, the one quoted first, is likely to appreciate against the counter currency, the one listed second; conversely, they will sell (or “go short on”) a currency pair wherein they expect the counter currency to appreciate relative to the base currency.
In order to make these predictions, price action traders interpret the confluence of many factors, particularly trends, candlestick patterns, and price levels known as “support and resistance.” The risk management practices are essential to profitable trading.