Its impossible to be sure when the trend changes, but a weekly market structure break its a good start. A re-test of the break-down as resistance is a good confirmation. If the trend has actually changed we look down to the next weekly support, currently at 44k. I dont know why or how this could happen but seems possible.
We still have a lot of liquidity to the upside that we are probably gonna mitigate.
EURUSD short ------------------------- A) 1/100 -------------------------