ContraryTrader

ContraryTrader Updated 

Its looking like 566 will come .. I talked about this sell on Dow,NYA and Iwm in my spy post (See link).. its happening.. once QQQ breaks below 514 spy will target 575 20sma and it may dead cat bounce but the full target is 566... All you have to do is watch QQQ , once 514 goes, its Good night.. I wont go into the technicals because you can go over my previous...

ContraryTrader

Slow sell back to trendline support .. should fall anywhere between 87-95 Stock has broken beneath its monthly 20sma... Has a gap at 116 thats next up and below that is is the weekly 50sma at 112.. so 112-120 will be the range .. below 110 and i feel its about a 80% chance this is headed to 95.. Chips sectors have been broken down.. Soxx has a death cross...

ContraryTrader

Tagged trendline resistance here at 230... overbought like all the other big tech.. Wont go into every overbought indicator because they are all lighting up. Stock price hit 8% above 20sma... anything over 6 % is due for a rubberband snap back I think in the next 2 weeks we get a pullback to 212 gap close and 20sma. I expect a bounce at 20sma.. then a...

ContraryTrader

Simple chart. Gap at 230 Fib support at 230 50ema at 230 Wait for price to tag 230 Then long to 235 (21ema) Dont know if it can break above 235 But if it does it will most likely come on Core PCE on Friday. Above 235 and 240 comes.. I think small caps and cylicals outshine the next 2 weeks but only if Iwm breaks above 235

ContraryTrader Updated 

So there is 4 major sectors that Drive the QQQ and tech overall.. I like to know what the sectors are doing/showing to get an edge on where QQQ is headed. Imagine QQQ being a car, and each sector is important part to that car (Transmission, Engine) Here are the 4 sectors and 2 of the biggest names in each sector XLK -Msft , Aapl XLC - Meta, Googl, Nflx SMH -...

ContraryTrader

Tagging upper boundary here near 608-610... Smaller time frame and you'll see the rising wedge here spy has been trading inside last week. The wedge narrowness is responsible for the chop melt up... I'm expecting a break down either tomorrow on Job numbers or Monday Take in the overbought conditions and I spy should pullback to close gap at 598...

ContraryTrader

Dead cat bounce is over .. short back down here to 23.00 .. Took lots of volume to break over the 35$ range in back in Jan.. took similar volume to break back below it in Oct Brick wall trendline at 39.. closes above 40$ and this setup is negated

ContraryTrader

100k next week then a pullback to 80-85k before another leg up... most likely the last leg before a steep correction comes in around 110-120k

ContraryTrader

Headed to 900 next stop. And then I expect a correction back to trendline support or 750.. Rising wedge here and extended is an overstatement. I think the only stock more over at this point is $Pltr. After we tag support again we'll either correct back down to 450 or bounce and rally up to 1000.. So 1st. Push to 900 2nd . Pullback to 700-750 3. Either...

ContraryTrader

This post here analysis is more about the longer term picture (Months).. It's been awhile, so here we go. Lets start with TVC:NYA This represents 3000 stocks and gives a better picture of the market then S&P which is heavily weight tech. Weekly chart - We are at the top of a 15year resistance. Price slightly broke above it but was slammed back inside last...

ContraryTrader

Price tagged upper trend monday... I highlighted last 2 times price went this overbought and tagged uppertrend. The first tag was after the August sell off. We reached the uppertrend and chopped for 2 weeks before dumping The second tag was mid Sept, we again chopped for 2 weeks but afterwards we bounced off the 20sma and grinded up another 2% or 90...

ContraryTrader

Top watch here on WFC.. approaching 25 year trend line 🚩 Outside weekly Bollinger band 🚩 Outside monthly Bollinger band 🚩 AMEX:XLF banking sector near resistance 🚩 The cup and handle that sent WFC from 50 to 75 is completed Expect a correction back to 60$ from here .. price shouldn't close above 75.00$

ContraryTrader

Looking for 2 targets this week... My low end target is 565 support . Despite the early week movements price should start to fulfill the weekly bearish by early or late Wed. My upside target would be 580 once we break back over 576.. Seasonality belongs to small caps and the bulls , the only difference this year is we are coming into November near...

ContraryTrader

In my last meta post I said a pullback was warranted and we did get one just not to the extent I wanted and not as quickly as I wanted it.. the pullback was controlled and has now actually for a bullflag inside a wedge that I think will push meta pass 600

ContraryTrader

Headed into AMD earnings next week. Price is showing a rising wedge here at ATH and is also overbought. Now the technicals provide a condition for a bear short but you still need a catalyst, and I'm thinking AMD earnings maybe that catalyst My target price is 127 gap close or 130 area but Nvda could bounce at 135 are because of 20sma and 133 gap close

ContraryTrader

November is coming! Small caps usually outperforms every other index during that time So here's what I see Channel perspective Has been bumping it's head against this trendline With the exception of one fake out , this trendline has held Fibonacci level 225 is the place to beat.. I think price could be forming an ascending triangle for a big push...

ContraryTrader

I think we are at a pullback zone here.... Price is sitting outside bollingerband and More importantly price has now extended 2½% away from its 21ema. Last 4 times Spy has extended 2-3%, away from its 21ema price Usually pullsback to retest. Here's an example If price gaps up tomorrow 10/15 , then I would be weary of chasing or swing longs.. I'm looking for...

ContraryTrader

Super extended here At ATH... Out of all the 2020/2021 Spacs that IPO, PLTR defied the odds and outperformed. I think a pullback is coming for that 30$ gap close but a drop that steep won't come without some company specific negative catalyst. Last time price was this extended technically on PLTR was July 31 of this year.. price corrected 30% over the next...