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XAUUSD trade ideas

THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: A quiet but decent day on gold with the first entry level holding and giving the ideal opportunity to long into the Red box and bias target levels we gave in yesterdays KOG Report. We've completed most apart from the 2667 level which still remains. For that reason we would say support is standing at the 2650 level with extension into 2645 for any spikes, as long as we remain above we should see price attempt the higher red box which is where the path ends. Thin volume presents itself with the pre-event range looking like it's already started. We would say anyone long from lower needs to be protected and that trade should have been managed. Anyone short, 2650-45 key level here. 2650 complete 2655 complete 2657 complete 2660 complete As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
Gold Supported by Fundamentals, Testing Key Technical ResistanceTechnical Analysis Gold is trading at $2,719, approaching a critical resistance level at $2,735 (Fib 0.786). A breakout above this resistance could pave the way for further upside toward $2,743 and $2,758, marking significant levels for long-term trend continuation. On the daily chart, the price has held firmly above the 50-day SMA, supported by a bullish RSI, indicating the potential for continued strength. - Key Resistances : - $2,735 (Fib 0.786). - $2,743 and $2,758. - Key Supports : - $2,700 (short-term support). - $2,693 (Fib 0.618). In the short term, gold has encountered resistance at $2,720 and shows signs of a possible pullback. The RSI in the overbought zone suggests that a correction toward $2,700 and potentially $2,693 is likely before any continuation to the upside. --- Fundamental Analysis Gold prices remain near two-week highs, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, and expectations for the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy. Markets are now pricing a 95% chance of a 25 bps rate cut by the Fed next week , per the CME FedWatch tool, with a further 22% chance of another cut in January. Key Developments Driving Gold: 1. Chinese Central Bank Gold Buying: The People's Bank of China resumed gold purchases in November, adding 160,000 fine troy ounces to its reserves. This significant move has bolstered global gold demand and added upward momentum to prices. 2. Middle East Geopolitical Tensions: The collapse of the Syrian government and subsequent military actions by Israel have increased investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. 3. US Inflation Data (CPI): November's CPI data showed a 2.7% YoY increase, aligning with expectations and reinforcing the case for rate cuts. The core inflation rate remained stable at 3.3%. These figures have kept gold's bullish momentum intact. --- Upcoming Data to Watch The Producer Price Index (PPI) for the US, scheduled for release tomorrow, will provide further clues about inflation trends. - Forecasts: - Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.3%). - PPI m/m: 0.2% (previous: 0.2%). - Unemployment Claims: 221K (previous: 224K). Potential Scenarios for PPI: 1. Stronger-than-expected PPI (above 0.2%): Higher PPI could indicate persistent inflationary pressures, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices lower. In this case, gold may test short-term supports at $2,700 or $2,693. 2. Weaker-than-expected PPI (below 0.2%): A weaker PPI could further strengthen the case for Fed rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar and providing additional upside for gold. A breakout above $2,735 would open the path toward $2,743 and $2,758. --- Conclusion Gold remains strong in the long term, with $2,735 as a critical resistance level. A breakout above this level could trigger a rally to $2,743 and $2,758. However, in the short term, the price is expected to correct to $2,700 or $2,693 before resuming its uptrend. The upcoming PPI report is pivotal and will shape market sentiment ahead of the Fed's rate decision next week. Recommendation Monitor the PPI report and Fed commentary closely. A pullback to $2,700 may offer a buying opportunity, with targets set at $2,743 and $2,758 if bullish momentum persists.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by uPaSKaL
15
Small correction up and a drop for goldHi traders, Last week XAUUSD tested the higher Daily FVG again and dropped. This could be the start of the last C-wave (orange). So next week we could see a small correction up and another drop to finish the (orange) A-B-C ZIgzag correction. Or it turns out that the whole bigger correction was a Triangle (finishe before blue wave b) and we see the next impulsive wave up from here. Then you could trade longs after a correction down on a lower timeframe. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: My main idea is the first one. So I would wait for a correction up and a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by EduwaveTrading
3
Gold Spot Analysis: Crown Pattern Signals Potential ReversalGold's recent price action on the 4-hour chart has unfolded into a fascinating Crown Pattern, hinting at a potential bearish continuation. This pattern, often associated with trend reversals, presents a compelling opportunity for traders to position themselves for the next move. Currently trading at $2,614, gold appears to be forming a consolidation phase within a descending triangle, signaling growing bearish momentum. Key Observations: Crown Pattern Formation: The clearly defined Crown Pattern suggests the exhaustion of the recent bullish wave. The structure follows classic measurements, with XA and DG ratios aligning closely with textbook values. The neckline at $2,630 has already been breached, solidifying the bearish outlook. Descending Triangle: Gold is consolidating within a descending triangle just below the neckline, with lower highs and a flat support line. A decisive break below $2,596 could trigger further declines. Key Support Zone: Immediate support lies at $2,554.55, coinciding with the Crown Pattern's projection target. This level will be crucial for bears to maintain their dominance. Bearish Momentum: Momentum indicators, combined with volume analysis, show waning buying pressure, further reinforcing the likelihood of a downward move. ------------------------------------------- Expected Scenarios: Bearish Continuation: A breakdown below the descending triangle at $2,596 could pave the way for a decline toward $2,554 and potentially lower. Bullish Reversal Invalidated: If gold manages to break above $2,630 and sustain above this key level, the bearish outlook will be invalidated, opening the door for a retest of $2,670.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
4
GOLD - Price can start to decline, breaking support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price fell inside falling channel, where it soon reached and broke at once $2720 level. Then price continued to decline and later fell to $2535 points, after which XAU started to grow. Price exited from falling channel and soon entered to flat, breaking $2620 level, where it soon reached top part. After this, price was corrected and some time traded near $2620 level, and then grew to top part one more time. But soon, Gold turned around and declined Below $2620 level, exiting from flat and recently rising back to this level. Now, I think that Gold can make a small move up and then start to decline to $2540 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
3
HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line and start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some days ago price dropped from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone to the trend line. Then it turned around and started to grow inside a triangle pattern, where Gold soon reached the 2615 support level. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and continued to move up to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level. When XAU reached this zone, it later turned around and made a strong impulse down, breaking the resistance level and declining to the support level. After this movement, the price some time traded near this level and started to grow, but later it declined to the support level, which coincided with the trend line again. Later price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance zone one more time, after which turned around and dropped to the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. Recently price exited from this pattern and now trades below the trend line. In my opinion, XAUUSD will rebound from this line and start to decline. For this reason, I set my goal at the 2615 support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
3
Gold Analysis==>>PumpingToday, U.S. Retail Sales figures were released. Retail sales increased by 0.7% , surpassing the forecast of 0.6% . However, Core Retail Sales rose by only 0.2% , below the anticipated 0.4% . These figures indicate continued strength in U.S. consumer spending, which can lead to a stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) . A stronger dollar typically exerts downward pressure on gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars, making it more expensive for international investors when the dollar appreciates. However, it's important to note that multiple factors influence gold prices, including upcoming Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates and global economic conditions. ---------------------------------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) continued to fall as I expected and is currently moving through the Support zone($2,642-$2,620) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to be completing wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys. I expect Gold to start rising again from the PRZ and Support lines and attack the Resistance lines . ⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,642-$2,620), we can expect more dumps.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
4
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A fantastic finish to the week with our chart idea targets all completed! We traded the entire move up from Monday, all the way up, confirmed with cross and lock to give us plenty of time to get in for the action. 2645 - DONE 2661 - DONE 2679 - DONE 2697 - DONE After our last target was hit, we now finished off perfectly today with the rejection for the move down. We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
XAUUSD(GOLD) NEXT MOVE TO 2690 LETS FIND IT.Hello friends what do you say about my this chart ? Lets share your precious opinions . Here you can check the next possible movement of XAUUSD (GOLD) market, If its breaks the R1 then you can go for Long ,and in other side if its breaks the S1 then you have to go for Short. I have given resistance support and demand zone in the chart further you can check my chart, Key points are, Resistance zone. 2662 Support zone . 2634 Demand zone . 2648-2649 Hey friends lets follow me for timely updates support me with your likes and comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ALLEYPROFESSIONALS
9
PULLBACK BEFORE BOUNCE - $2750 / $2800 NEXTAs illustrated, market has grabbed liquidity above a mid-term high just above $2720. The market is selling all of that liquidity toward the lower side of the internal range, where there is a lot of sell-side liquidity below $2612 (near $2600) and below $2580 (near $2570 in extension). Should those areas hold as support, the yellow metal should see a strong rebound off of key psychological prices (such as $2600 or $2575/70) to make a year-end bull expansion move reaching near it's historical max of $2790. The geopolitical situation DOES NOT seem to get better everywhere where there is conflict, and that DOES NOT help global certainty at all; investors will only continue to protect themselves by hedging their portfolios buying more gold. Not to get deep into China's buying cycle starting again after 6 months. Demand will continue to increase, driving prices higher again. Lastly, global economy is on a very slim rope above a very high pit-fall as inflation continues to rise + the USA plans to put trade tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico, which will NOT help ease inflation and rather drive prices higher simply because many companies would have to compensate for such tariffs by increasing consumer prices; thus, whichever sector that gets affected must compensate for the increment in prices by also rising the prices of their products; Homes will just get "poorer", specially with al the jobs that could get cut precisely to compensate from an increase in prices. It's a dangerous and risky spiral to assume. That being said and technically speaking, keep an eye on key psychological price levels and wait for an evident "V" Shape manipulation pattern on the 1H and 4H timeframes in order to take a long entry and try to catch what could be an interesting and promising bullish push. -- GOOD LUCK!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by PersaGold
2
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: We wanted that extension level 2645 for the long which gave us a nice early session move into the order region today. Excalibur activated short from there and we managed another short ending the day on Gold early due to the pre-event price action. We're now bouncing support 2630 which needs to hold us up to target that higher order region again where we are expecting price to settle. FOMC tomorrow so please reduce lots and expect the range to start chopping. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
XAUUSD BUY ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders! what do you think about gold today. current gold price: 2603 bulls are back and now gold is about to hit 2645 which is our demand zone. after rejecting 2582 twice market has established a strong bullish trend. from this position market's first target will be to break 2626 resistance and if market successfully breakout this zone then its next target will be 2645. key points: resistance: 2626, 2638 supporting area: 2595, 2618 Note: First Target: 2625 Second Target: 2645 Stop Loss: 2582 kindly like, comment and follow for latest updates on gold. thanks for your precious time and support.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Ibrahim_Gold_Traders
8
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Zone to WatchThe Federal Reserve's rate decision and FOMC meeting negatively impacted gold prices yesterday, leading to a bearish trend. Observing the 4-hour time frame, we can see how the pair responded to a downward trend line during the day. The market had been consolidating within a broad range for nearly a month. However, following the Fed's announcement yesterday, there was a significant downward movement that confirmed a break below the support level of this range. With the broken structure and a prominent downward trend line now defining the supply zone, we can expect further bearish movement, potentially reaching down to 2580.
TVC:GOLDShort
by linofx1
3
Gold - TRIO RETEST!Dear TradingView community and fellow traders, I find the daily chart for Gold to be interesting as it appears to be forming one of my favorite patterns. What I call TRIO RETEST Here is why the blue circle is a strong zone to keep an eye on: 1️⃣ => Overall Trend Gold has been bullish long-term trading inside the rising broadening wedge in blue and now approaching the lower blue bound / trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 2️⃣ => Round Number The $2,500 marked in green is a strong round number. 3️⃣ => Oversold Zone Gold is bearish short-term trading inside the falling channel in red and now approaching the lower red trendline which I consider an oversold zone. As per my trading style: As Gold approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on...) 📚 Hope you find this post useful. It's important to always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management strategies, and trade management techniques. All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. It is important to do your own research and make informed decisions before entering any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware of the potential for losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
Closing both of orders with excellent ProfitAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session pre-Fed commentary: "Fundamental analysis: My earlier Selling signal was confirmed on Hourly 4 chart under prolonged weakness and Price-action respecting the trendline guarding the downtrend (very Bearish formation) as Hourly 1 chart is already an aggressive Descending Channel (width opened on Williams) that should reach it’s next Lower High’s (currently Trading slightly below Triple Top's formation) and Oversold state near my take Profit of #2,627.80 Support in extension. If the bands are widened Traders may witness #2,622.80 pivot point test on the correction back down after current upside extension but not Lower. In any case I will update my Targets or levels of Profit taking if I decide to exit earlier than #2,622.80 Support in extension to be in accordance with the Daily chart’s period. My position: #2,648.80 was excellent re-Sell point and regarding Fed Rate decision, I expect Rate to be Lowered and hawkish stance on the aftermath which can make Gold suffer even more." I have closed my both #2,648.80 and #2,638.80 orders, first one on #2,633.80 and second one (#2,638.80 entry point) on #2,600.80 benchmark. My Fed Rate decision expectations were spot on as I guessed nicely that Rate will be Lowered and hawkish stance on the aftermath. Technical analysis: As Gold rebounded back towards well known Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle once again within Symmetrical Triangle forming on Daily chart, this is very cautious market at the moment. Yet again, I see no firm reasons for current Buying bias on Gold to be sustainable, as #2,648.80 - #2,652.80 Resistance zone should price in local Top’s and reversal area (optimal re-Sell zone). After observing Gold’s Price-action near market closing (first similar closing since May #15), do not expect much from today’s session as long as DX isn't pressured by disappointing numbers. My position: I will await for area to be engulfed and only then make my move. Yesterday's session Profits were great edition to previous week's Profits as I don't have any urge to rush and engage any kind of order however will monitor the Price-action patiently until opportunity arise. I expect Gold to remain pressured.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
2
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows. On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs. Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up. From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility... Resistance levels: 2616, 2622 Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560 Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
Set-and-Forget Trading: A Path to Consistency and FreedomForex trading often feels like a full-time job, demanding constant attention and endless decision-making. However, the set-and-forget trading strategy offers a structured and stress-free alternative, allowing you to trade confidently while enjoying the freedom to focus on other aspects of life. Here, we’ll refine the essence of this strategy and show how it can lead to consistent, profitable results. What Is Set-and-Forget Trading? Set-and-forget trading is a disciplined approach where you analyze the market, identify key levels, place your trades with defined parameters, and step away. This method prevents over-trading, minimizes emotional interference, and fosters a calm, calculated mindset. This strategy is especially appealing for traders balancing other responsibilities, offering the dual benefit of effective trading and time efficiency. Mastering Key Market Levels At the core of set-and-forget trading lies the identification of significant price levels, such as support, resistance, and trendlines. These levels act as your map for setting entries, stop-losses, and profit targets. The precision of your analysis at this stage determines the success of your strategy. Key levels are not random—they are where the market historically reacts, making them the most probable zones for price movement. Avoiding Common Pitfalls: While set-and-forget is a powerful approach, it’s not without its challenges. Overanalyzing after placing your trades can lead to unnecessary adjustments, which defeats the purpose of this strategy. Similarly, setting unrealistic expectations can lead to frustration—accept that no strategy is perfect, and focus on long-term profitability. Finally, proper risk management is non-negotiable . Always adhere to your predefined stop-loss and position-sizing rules to protect your capital. Placing Trades With Confidence Once you’ve identified the key levels, craft a clear plan for each trade. Define your entry point, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. Limit orders are the cornerstone of this strategy, ensuring your trades are executed precisely at your chosen levels, even when you’re not actively watching the market. This planning requires discipline but reduces the risk of hasty, emotionally charged decisions. The Art of Letting Go Perhaps the most challenging part of set-and-forget trading is stepping away from the charts after placing your trades. However, this step is crucial for maintaining discipline and avoiding impulsive changes to your strategy. Trust your analysis and let the market unfold naturally. By walking away, you also protect yourself from overanalyzing minor fluctuations, which can lead to emotional and costly adjustments. Why This Approach Works The power of set-and-forget lies in its simplicity and alignment with key trading principles: Emotional Discipline: By predefining trades, you avoid the temptation to deviate from your plan. Time Efficiency: Spend less time glued to the screen and more time pursuing other goals. Consistency: Trading from key levels with a clear plan fosters long-term profitability. Handling Challenges With Grace Even with set-and-forget, it’s vital to remain realistic. Not every trade will be a winner, and patience is required. Proper risk management, such as adhering to your stop-loss and avoiding excessive position sizes, ensures that even losses are manageable. Another benefit of this approach is that when trades at key levels don’t hit their targets, price often rebounds or retraces, providing opportunities to minimize losses or exit at breakeven. Final Thoughts Set-and-forget trading is a mindset as much as it is a method. It requires patience, discipline, and trust in your strategy. By focusing on key levels, pre-planning trades, and letting the market work for you, you gain not just trading profits but also mental clarity and freedom. If you’re ready to simplify your trading and embrace consistency, set-and-forget could be the transformative strategy you’ve been seeking.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
2