USDZAR trade ideas
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12-hourly chart GANN SQThe pair has moved aggressively upwards due to thin holiday trading period, and we reached near 18.8700 area before moving down to 18.6150 and upwards again near 18.7900.
The pair is over extended, and I suspect we will see 18.45-18.5250 again near term.
Strategy SELL @ 18.6750-18.7350 and take profit near 18.5250 for now.
USDZAR updateUSDZAR TP1 hit congratulations to those who follow my ideas,signal shared before the pick,stay active for next signals thank you
USDZAR lets shortAnd welcome to our last Weekly Rand Review of 2024!
The Rand had a nightmare week after several weeks of gains, what with interest rate cuts and political shake-ups around the globe, coupled with South Africa’s first FDI outflows in four years.
But it wasn't just the Rand that suffered, as global markets crashed mid-week before recovering somewhat
USDZAR-SELL strategy 3-hurly chart GANN SQThe pair has climbed nicely and now whilst GOLD is firm, and the pair being overbought, the chances are pull back 18.1575 area.
Strategy SELL @ 18.4000-18.4500 and take profit near 18.2175 for now.
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 17.92031
1st Support: 17.78236
1st Resistance: 18.19084
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential drop followed by a long opportunity USDZAR managed to create bullish after finding momentum on a significant support. Currently the bullish move looks to be fading, as price action failed to cement this momentum above 18.220. As the pair develops, the below support barriers will be essential aims were the pair may fall towards and kickstart the upside move. Conversely, if price action fails to fall USDZAR, will continue it's bullish momentum.
USD/ZAR LONGThis is not really a currency I trade much much everything lines up for a trade to the upside. I have weekly daily and 4h timeframes as bullish and we have pulled back to a pretty well respected daily zone. So on Sunday/Monday I’ll be looking for potential entry opportunities to take it to the next higher high
USD/ZAR BULLISH MOVE FORECASTThis Instrument is on the uptrend move, bulls have shown their super powers in place.... check for entries and exits in H4 and refine in H1. Thank you.
USD/ZAR LONGS UPDATEI entered USD/ZAR last Friday and swung it into this week and it just hit take profit while I was sleeping so a great start to the week.
USDZAR updateUSDZAR is moving accordingly soo far n likely to hit first target coming week on a favour of USD,8f dollar maintain its strength am expecting to see 19,0000 in coming weeks,please do trade accordingly and use proper money management.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.01025
1st Support: 17.3635
1st Resistance: 18.2794
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR-BUY stragegy 12 hourly GANN SQThe pair has had an impressive move higher, and it may re-test 17.9300-17.9500 again.
Strategy range trade 17.7000- 18.0450 is my viewpoint with current bias testing upwards.
USDZAR BUY IDEA### *USD/ZAR - Liquidity Sweep Sets the Stage for Bullish Momentum Towards R20*
USD/ZAR has recently cleared liquidity at a critical support zone, suggesting the potential for a strong bullish rally. With the market absorbing selling pressure, we are targeting the key psychological level of R20 as the next significant resistance.
*Key Observations:*
- *Liquidity Sweep:* Price action dipped below a key level, likely triggering stop-losses and trapping sellers.
- *Market Structure:* Bullish rejections and increasing momentum indicate a possible continuation upward.
- *Psychological Target:* The R20 level aligns with a significant resistance zone and market sentiment.
*Trade Plan:*
- *Entry:* Buy at as bullish confirmations unfold.
- *Stop Loss:* Below the recent liquidity sweep for managed risk.
- *Take Profit:* Targeting the R20 level, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
*Risk Management:*
This trade aligns with the broader trend and liquidity dynamics, but proper position sizing and discipline are crucial. Stay vigilant for price action confirming the bullish bias as the pair approaches the R20 target.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 17.9006
1st Support: 17.7160
1st Resistance: 18.0045
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
UsdzarUsdzar has come off a monthly extreme level. I am targeting fair price which is 50 on the fib for the last monthly high and low
usdzear longusdzear long
Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
INSTRUCTIONS:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
USDZAR | Analysis Amongst Short Side MomentumDemand inflows into gold have seen USDZAR take a whack.
Would not be surprised if momentum carries lower in near term. Questionable on how far gold will rally as already at key levels.
No longs until larger falls, no shorts further unless re-push in trend.
USDZAR BULLS Loading UpAs soon as price finds support around 17.725, we can buy this pair. A clear bullish flag pattern has formed on the 12Hr chart. Make sure to exploit this huge move towards 18.20
Final stretch for 2024The rand rode a wave of both local and international positive factors through the year. The local election results along with the new GNU attracted buyers back to the SA bond market in the first half of the year while internationally, sustained risk-on sentiment from the Fed’s aggressive 50bps rate cut in September and a 30% Bull Run in gold prices allowed the rand to pull the pair from a high of 19.35 in February down roughly 12%, to a 20-month low, of 17.02.
Gold prices are however coming off their highs of $2,780 per ounce while the DXY has surged roughly 6.5% since the end of September which is bucking the downward trend for the USD/ZAR trend. This has seen the rand become worst performing currency against the dollar post the US election results after the volatile ZAR slipped almost 6%.
The pair now seems to be in a 5-wave impulse that was initiated at the end of September which coincides almost perfectly with the DXY bottoming out around 100.2. The positive correlation between the DXY and USDZAR has strengthened post the US election which will keep the rand on the ropes as we enter the last stretch of 2024.
The pair is however facing strong resistance on the 200-day MA level of 18.27 and the 61.8% Fibo retracement of 18.43 which will allow the rand to pull the pair back towards the support between 17.88 and 18.00. A failed break below this blue support range will confirm the 5-wave impulse which could see the rand buckle to north of 18.50 as we head into 2025.
Fundamentals: The declining gold price is rand negative however the risk-on sentiment in the market remains prevalent given the price action in risk assets such as equities (specifically tech stocks) and bitcoin. The rand has not been able to benefit from this risk-on sentiment which is not a positive sign. The Federal Reserve is expected to through another rate cut into the mix before year-end as well as the SARB and in terms of monetary policy, I expect the SARB’s hawkish stance to limit the rand’s losses for now. Zooming out, the pair remains in a downward trend shown by the black channel.
USDZAR The USDZAR pair is currently trading in a tight range between 18.22, the 200-day MA resistance rate, and 17.90, the 38.2% Fibo retracement level. These are the critical rates I’m watching in the lead up to the last non-farm payrolls print for the year this Friday. Additionally Fed chair Powell will also speak later this week.
My original idea for a 5-wave impulse higher towards 18.50 is still on the cards in my opinion and a break above 18.20 will confirm this move. A break below the blue support range between 17.85 and 17.90 will however invalidate my original idea.
The DXY and US10 year yields have turned around last week however I believe the DXY still has room to make another leg higher before the end of the year which is rand negative.
Please also see the DXY chart attached.
DXY:
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12-hourly chart GANN SQThe pair seems to have broken out of the range, and judging GANN angles, we may see 17.9450 test short-term, and we may be en route 17.7400 area medium-term.
The USDX is negative too, so this supports further the move lower as a note.
Strategy SELL @ 18.00-18.0650 and take profit near 17.7550 for now.
