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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY on the Rebound: Key Insights Ahead of November NFPThe USD/JPY currency pair is witnessing the US Dollar regaining some strength following its reversal on November 15. As market participants look ahead to the critical US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for November, they are eager for insights into the current labor market conditions. Economists predict that the US economy added around 200,000 jobs, a significant increase compared to October's modest gain of just 12,000. It's worth noting that the NFP estimates for various sectors were impacted by hurricanes that occurred last month. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate is projected to rise slightly to 4.2% from the previous figure of 4.1%. Attention will also be focused on the US Average Hourly Earnings data, which will provide clues about wage growth trends. An uptick in wages can drive consumer spending, potentially fueling inflation and reigniting concerns about sustained price pressures. Such developments may influence market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's stance ahead of its December meeting. Currently, the USD is experiencing a rebound from a demand support zone. Although seasonal forecasts indicate a possible bearish trend, there is potential for the USD to strengthen further, possibly testing the 155 level again. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Continuation?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 150.62, which is a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 152.15, a pullback resistance close the 50% Fibo retracement and 161.8% Fibo extension, indicating a strong level of resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 149.47, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
USDJPY BREAKING KEY LEVELS TOMORROWUSD/JPY is exhibiting bearish momentum after a rejection at a key resistance level, with multiple upper wicks indicating strong selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the sharp reversal suggests sellers used this opportunity to enter short positions. The pair has broken below an intraday trendline, confirming it as new resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD signal weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the price is trading below both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross reinforcing the bearish trend. Increasing volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements further supports the likelihood of continued downside pressure. + if not today, Monday is the day the lower KL breaks
Short
by edl75
USDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 152.63 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 151.14 Recommended Stop Loss - 153.49 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY awaiting the FED!The USD/JPY exchange rate as of December 12, 2024, reflects an increase of approximately 0.4%, reaching 152.50, driven by November's U.S. inflation data and expectations surrounding Federal Reserve monetary policy. The published data shows a 0.3% monthly rise in headline CPI, slightly above the 0.2% consensus, while core CPI remained stable at 0.3%. On an annual basis, headline inflation rose to 2.7% from 2.6%, and core CPI was steady at 3.3%, in line with projections. These results reinforce expectations for an interest rate cut by the Fed at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with an estimated 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction. Markets interpret the data as a sign that inflation is under control, potentially allowing the Fed to adopt a more accommodative policy to support economic growth. The 10-year Treasury yield, stable at 4.226%, indicates relative calm in bond markets, which may help limit volatility in the U.S. dollar. USD/JPY continues to benefit from the yield differential between U.S. and Japanese assets, supporting dollar strength. However, upcoming economic data, such as the PPI and initial jobless claims, will be crucial in confirming or adjusting market expectations. The 152.50 level represents a critical zone: a break above 152.80 could signal further bullish momentum toward 2024 highs, while a pullback might bring the pair to key support at 151.50. The current scenario suggests a consolidative phase, but incoming data and the Fed's decision will be pivotal in shaping future direction.
Long
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
USD/JPY – 30-Minute Time Frame AnalysisUSD/JPY – 30-Minute Time Frame Analysis USD/JPY has recently broken above the key resistance level of 150.665 and is now retracing to test this level as potential support. This is a critical zone to monitor for a potential buy opportunity, provided the right conditions are met. Key Levels and Trade Setup Retest of 150.665: The price is retracing to the 150.665 level, which is now acting as a support zone after the breakout. On the 30-minute time frame, this area aligns with a significant order block, indicating potential institutional interest. Confirmation for a Buy Trade: Before entering a long position, wait for clear signs of rejection at 150.665. Look for a bullish reaction, such as: A wick to the downside indicating liquidity grab. Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing). Only enter a trade if the price shows strong upward momentum after interacting with this level. Risk Management: Ensure stop-loss levels are well-placed below the 150.665 zone to minimize risk. Avoid impulsive trades without clear confirmation, as false breakouts or retracements can occur. Final Thoughts This analysis is based on the 30-minute time frame, which provides a clearer picture of the current price action. Patience is essential; let the price test the 150.665 zone and wait for a proper reaction before entering a position. Remember, protecting your capital is key. Always trade with a well-thought-out plan and adhere to proper risk management. That’s it for today’s update. I hope this analysis adds value to your trading strategy. Don’t forget to like and comment if you found this helpful!
Long
by KainT21
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 152.22 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 153.56 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 150.78 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets