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USDJPY trade ideas

Intraday Trading SuccessAs a trader, I've developed my edge mostly by combining price action momentum, risk and asset sentiment, and currency strength for intraday trading success. Here's how it works: 1️⃣ Price Action Momentum: By analyzing chart patterns, candlestick formations, price structure and trend dynamics, I can spot price action momentum. These observations reveal preferable intraday direction for high-probability trades. 2️⃣ Gauging Risk Sentiment: Keeping a keen eye on market sentiment helps me understand the broader risk appetite and the tone for any specific currency that session. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment impacts forex pairs differently, also guiding my trade selection. 3️⃣ Currency Strength Analysis: I assess currency strength using various tools like currency strength meters (available for free all over the place) and relative sentiment strength. Strong currencies are paired with weak ones for optimal intraday trend trades and being on the lookout for any divergence from baseline sentiment provides great mean reversion opportunities too. 4️⃣ Confluence of Factors: I look for confluence, where price action momentum aligns with favorable sentiment and robust currency strength. This trifecta enhances trade confidence and conviction. Then it's all about the right technical entries. 5️⃣ Timeframe Synergy: I try to ensure harmony between short-term and higher timeframe trends when selecting a preferred bias. My intraday setups align with the broader market direction for more robust trades but the time horizon for the trade idea still dictates what timeframe data I give more weight to. 6️⃣ Gains Optimization: By utilizing damage control techniques and setting realistic take-profit levels based on price action and key support/resistance zones, I optimize gains expectancy for better risk management. Risk-reward is another mainstream cookie-cutter influencer-regurgitated pile of dung I have never paid attention to in over 10 years of successful trading; we have gains potential and risk management and as long as these line up according to your rule-set, the RR means nada de nada. 7️⃣ Continuous Learning: I remain a student and continuously learn from my trades and market developments. Adapting to changing conditions is vital for sustainable trading success. Combining price action momentum, sentiment, and currency strength has transformed my intraday trading game over the years. This approach allows me to spot high-probability setups, manage risk, and ride markets.
Education
by AlexSoro
2
USD/JPY Long Long on USD/JPY after a retracement from 50% level of fib, and with the bullish trend , I am expecting the liquidity to be cleared , 1R:3R trade idea with price rejecting from FVG created with trump won last week. Disclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and you should carefully consider your financial situation and seek professional advice before making any decisions. I am not responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of following or acting on these ideas. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Long
by Singh_DayTrader
1
USDJPY H4 | Bearish drop?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 155.78, which is a pullback resistance close to 161.8% Fibonacci extension Our take profit will be at 154.68, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be at 157.68, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
The yen continued to lose value as the dollar strengthened The Japanese yen has dropped to its lowest since late July due to the dollar's strength. Concerns about rising US inflation following Trump's election have diminished the likelihood of the Fed’s further rate cuts. However, if the yen's decline continues, the BoJ may consider intervening in the FX rate and could become more inclined to raise interest rates. Reflecting this situation, Japan's five-year government bond yields have reached a 15-year high as the chances of a BoJ rate hike increase. USDJPY sustained its uptrend and advanced to 155.70. The price is approaching the ascending channel’s upper bound, maintaining bullish momentum. If USDJPY breaches the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward 157.50, the highest since last July. Conversely, if USDJPY fails to hold above EMA21, the price may fall further to 153.10, where EMA78 coincides.
by inkicho_exness
USDJPY - Buy opportunitiesFundamental Analysis & Market Sentiments USD * Trump wins the Presidential Election. Economists said that the proposed tariff will likely cause inflation uncertainties. FED more likely will not be more aggressive by cutting its Interest rates. This can cause to dollar be more attractive than the other currencies. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- JPY * The Bank of Japan (BoJ) unanimously maintained its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% during its October meeting. BOJ more likely hold its interest rate hiking until next Year.
Long
by ttf-funda
1
USD/JPY may rise 88 - 131 pipsOur pivot point is at 154.93. Our preference The upside prevails as long as 154.93 is support. Alternative scenario The downside breakout of 154.93 would call for 154.21 and 153.78. Comment The RSI is above 50. The MACD is above its signal line and positive. The configuration is positive. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 155.12 and 154.94). Supports and resistances 157.72 ** 157.29 * 156.86 ** 156.43 155.55 last 155.21 154.93 ** 154.21 * 153.78 ** Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
Long
by Daniel_Thompson
USDJPY Wave Analysis 13 November 2024 - USDJPY broke key resistance level 154.70 - Likely to rise to resistance level 157.20 USDJPY currency pair recently broke the key resistance level 154.70 (former stern support from June, which has been reversing the price from the end of July). The breakout of the resistance level 154.70 should accelerate the active medium-term impulse wave (5) from the start of November. Given the clear daily uptrend and the bullish US dollar sentiment, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 157.20.
Long
by FxProGlobal
2
USDJPY Mean Reversion Kumo Bounce (15 Minutes Time Frame)Looking at the chart on USDJPY, price has came back to the Ichimoku cloud(kumo) and I am expecting price to bounce off the Kumo, however, I would need some confirmation on the 3 Minutes Time Frame. The Signal I am looking for is that price would move with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. To keep things simple, I would think that entering on the 15 Minutes Time Frame would be best, even though we are looking at the 3 Minutes Time Frame for confirmation of trend reversal. I have been testing mean reversion strategies out and reflecting on how the currency market differs from the stock market. Some conclusions I made is that, unless if one side of the currency is severely depleting of it's resources or have some serious policy issues (Think JPY carry trade from 2016 to 2024), otherwise, the price would always come back to somewhere in the middle (reasonable price between the two currencies that). Example would be Sing Dollar against Malaysian Ringgit. When Singapore separated from Malaysia back in 1965 (I wasn't born yet), until 2 decades or so ago, the exchange rate was somewhat 1 to 1. But today, the price sits at about 1 to 3.2ish. The Malaysian Ringgit has been backsliding against the Singapore Dollar even with their huge population as human resource as well as their export industries. Reason being, they have terrible decision making methods that set the policy of the country. However, the Malaysian Ringgit has been quite stable even with the currency strength decline, and the people manage, somehow to continue living, by working in Singapore and exchanging SGD for MYR. It is like a ship. Even during storms where the waves are 10 stories tall, the ship manages to right itself and prevent the ship from capsizing. Just like the people of Malaysia who make things work for them when the tough gets going. What I wanna say is that, the mean value of the products will adjust itself and prevent a capsize from occuring. Just like the forex market. Unless if the ship has some big hole or damage that causes water to seep into the ship. And that is why the forex market ranges most of the time, because they (government, institutions, banks, traders, citizens) right themselves through various methods, to prevent a landslide in their currency which will in turn affect their commoners' lives.
Long
by ProfessionalDuckHunter