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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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USDEUX trade ideas

More upside and a drop for EUHi traders, Last week EU started the pullback just like I've said in my outlook. Now the pullback is becoming much bigger, so it could also be a leading diagonal for the next impulsive wave up. Next week I'd like to see price coming into the Daily FVG's above which is also the 50.0-61.8 fib retracement and from there a drop. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Price is too low to trade. Wait for the bigger correction up to finish. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
EurUsd- Long Run "Dec Expectations"Support and Resistance Levels: The green zone highlights the key support level, which the price has recently respected. This aligns with the expectation of a bullish December if the support holds. The pink zone represents a significant resistance area. Historically, the price has reversed upon testing this zone. Weekly and Monthly Dynamics: During the weekly timeframe, the price closed below long-term support but was rejected by the Weekly Order Block (OB), creating mixed signals. Staying below the 1.061–1.062 zone supports the case for a bearish week. If the price pushes above this sell zone, we could see a potential test of the upper resistance levels highlighted. Expected Scenarios: The blue lines represent a bearish scenario where the price may break below the support zone, testing lower levels around the swing low before a potential recovery. The black lines indicate a bullish scenario where the price builds momentum above the swing high, with targets set near the upper resistance zone. Initial Movements: The price action early in the week (Monday and Tuesday) will be crucial to confirm whether the bullish or bearish scenario unfolds. By combining the chart's structure with the previously mentioned observations, we have a clear roadmap. Staying below the 1.061–1.062 range could lead to bearish price action, while a break above this zone might signal a recovery toward higher resistance levels.
Short
by The_FxTricks
EURUSDLooking at EUR/USD, the overall trend remains bearish, and my bias aligns with this due to the consistent break of structure to the downside. While price has been printing lower lows, it has also created an unmitigated supply zone. Currently, I’m waiting for price to sweep the inducement and react off the supply zone. For added confirmation, I’ll monitor this move on the 1-minute timeframe. Ideally, price will take out the equal lows and the resting liquidity on the downside, reinforcing the bearish continuation.
Short
by EzratradesFX
2
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0414 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.0470 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
14
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by Safaric
EUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US DataEUR/USD Gains 1.55% This Week Amid Weak US Data The EUR/USD pair strengthened by approximately 1.55% this week, driven by better-than-expected data from the eurozone and disappointing economic reports from the US. Despite this recovery, the long-term outlook remains uncertain, especially as the economic divergence between the two regions continues to weigh on market sentiment. US Data Falls Short of Expectations A series of weaker-than-expected US economic indicators pressured the dollar this week: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. These data points fueled concerns about slower economic activity in the US, prompting a sell-off in the dollar and supporting EUR/USD gains. Eurozone Data Provides Modest Support The eurozone provided some relief for EUR/USD with slightly better-than-expected results: - **Economic Sentiment (Nov):** Rose to 95.8, exceeding the forecast of 95.1, signaling marginal improvement in business and consumer confidence. While the euro benefitted from these figures, the broader macroeconomic picture in the eurozone remains weak. Comparative Economic Outlook The US economy continues to outshine the eurozone across several key metrics: | Metric | US | Eurozone | |-----------------------|----------------------|---------------------| | **GDP Growth Rate** | 2.70% | 0.90% | | **Unemployment Rate** | 4.10% | 6.30% | | **Inflation Rate** | 2.60% | 2.30% | | **Interest Rate** | 4.75% | 3.40% | | **Manufacturing PMI** | 56.00 | 45.20 | | **Services PMI** | 57.00 | 49.20 | While the eurozone showed some resilience this week, its lower growth rate, higher unemployment, and weaker PMIs highlight the underlying economic challenges. Outlook for EUR/USD Despite this week’s gains, the outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish in the long term. If eurozone economic data continues to underperform, the European Central Bank (ECB) may face pressure to implement faster and deeper rate cuts. Conversely, the US appears to be on a stable path toward a "soft landing," supported by strong labor markets and robust economic growth. Conclusion While EUR/USD benefitted from weaker US data this week, the pair's long-term direction depends on the relative strength of economic fundamentals between the eurozone and the US. The euro remains vulnerable, especially if eurozone data disappoints further and the ECB accelerates its monetary easing. Will EUR/USD sustain its gains, or is a reversal imminent? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by InvestMate
7
EURUSD Trading JournalEURUSD Trading Journal Dec 1 Last week I suspected for price come to 1.04720 for the high and it blew by that for the actual high to be 1.05968. Sweet. We saw a week of accumulation. It seems likely that price will seek higher prices for beginning of the week taking the equal highs, possibility as high as the CE of the weekly SIBI before shorting to my suspected low of the week 1.05118? Last week price encountered a high resistance price delivery. Could see low resistance price delivery this week, with the gauntlet of 5 red folders days ahead, including Fridays NFC. Premium delivery on the weekly HTF and LTF previous weeks delivery is also premium. I anticipate higher prices for the start of the week looking for shorts over all. And remembering to read what the chart prints.
Short
by LParnell
Idea for this week.The EUR/USD pair ended a three-week losing streak, recovering towards 1.0600 before finally finding sellers. The US Dollar (USD) gapped lower at the weekly opening after reaching fresh 2024 highs against its European rival, with EUR/USD bottoming at 1.0332 on November 22. Trump, tariffs and inflation The week started with headlines indicating that United States (US) president-elect Donald Trump picked billionaire Scott Bessent to serve as the next secretary of the Department of the Treasury. “Unlike in past Administrations, we will ensure that no Americans will be left behind in the next and Greatest Economic Boom, and Scott will lead that effort for me and the Great People of the United States of America,” Trump noted.
by EZIO-FX
2
EUR/USD Bearish Setup with 61.8% Fibonacci RetracementThe daily chart of EUR/USD (Euro vs. U.S. Dollar) highlights a bearish setup. The price has recently retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a common reversal point in trending markets. This retracement coincides with a descending trendline, adding to the confluence of resistance in the highlighted area. Key observations: 1. Resistance Zone: The price is testing a critical resistance area defined by the descending trendline and Fibonacci level. 2. Bearish Momentum: Indicators and previous bearish price action suggest potential continuation of the downtrend. 3. Projected Target: The white arrow points toward a potential drop to the support level near 1.00813, marking a continuation of the broader bearish structure. 4. Risk-Reward Outlook: The red zone indicates the stop-loss area, while the green zone highlights the take-profit area, showing a well-defined risk-reward ratio for this trade idea. Analysis by Learn and Trade Forex Stay ahead in the market with expert insights and strategies. For more, visit www.learnandtradeforex.com.
Short
by LearnTradeForex
2
A CLEAR SHORT OPPORTUNITY SPOTTED ON EURUSDSHORT EURUSD. the pair failed to close above the previous high both on D1, H4. and has shown a clear rejection of the 1.05854 region. The appearance of a bearish engulfing candle on the H1, the breakout and retest of the H4 trendline, and the triple top are all indications that the bears have again taken over the market. we stay optimistic to bag out big on this pair. have a pip-full trading week. Trade responsibly and apply proper risk management at all times. this my outlook
Short
by okere80
5
EURUSD - ANALYSISHello friends, I want to share my opinion about EURUSD with you Considering the closing of the monthly, two-weekly and weekly candlesticks, what I see on the chart is finally the price I expected, and I am currently expecting a pullback to the bottom and breaking the price of 1.06098 . If the euro can break this price in the next week, and it range above this price in the 1h - time frame, you can activate the buy position of the euro. My first target for the euro is 1.0700 and my second target is 1.08200 . Trade safe
Long
by PouyanTradeFX
4
HelenP. I Euro will decline to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price reached the trend line, and then turned around and started to decline. In a short time, EUR fell to the resistance zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and soon price broke this level. After this, the price some time traded below the 1.0900 resistance level, and later it tried to grow. But when the price entered to resistance zone and reached the trend line, the EUR turned around and made a strong impulse down, after which continued to decline next. Price in a short time fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone and then some time traded near this level. Later, the Euro declined below this level, breaking it, but then it turned around and made a gap, after which rose back, breaking the 1.0515 support level one more time. At the moment, the EUR continues to move up and in my opinion, it will decline to the support level and then start to grow to the trend line. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0730 points, which coincided with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
3
EUR/USD Buy opportunity📍 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.0450 – Buyers stepped in strongly here. Resistance: 1.0530 – A crucial level for bullish continuation. 💡 What’s Happening: Price bounced from the 1.0450 support zone, showing clear bullish interest. If the pair breaks above 1.0485, it might target the 1.0530 resistance. 🔎 Look at: Keep an eye on a potential retest of 1.0450–1.0460 for more clarity. If it holds, bullish momentum could continue! Trade smart and stay updated!
Long
by Charts_M7M
3