US Treasuries breakoutSeems that US10y and us30y finally left correction channel. With 3 drives pattern the us30y should be back in the 3.25 % in a reasonable time. Check your DX1! , USDJPY, GDX and PM trades....!
US30Y trade ideas
Divergent views on US Economy | Yield Curve CompressionLooks like there are fundamentally different outlooks on the economy.
Channel + Pivot-current congestion at old support/resistance, neutral
-below pivot, bearish
-Alternate scenario for bullish: long on both pivot + channel breakout. Watching the 'today support' line for positive test
Channel Top? Divergence in Linear Regression-deltas: current 'flight to safety' on political news
-won't short yet, only if price builds under the resistance rectangle (currently price is supported above indicating breakout potential
-real price, not this cfd is now 153^15
DVG within ChannelDeltas:
-broad market is hitting all time highs.
-this would be a reversal play on that, pullback etc.
Channel and rectangle must hold for trade.
Scalp Long on Level + DivergenceBond:
Scalping long only if over both rectangles and divergence plays out.
Waiting for Regime Continuation or Regime ShiftRisk on or Risk off?
Raoul Pal thinks its time to go long bonds....I like his Macro but let see how institutions are positioned before jumping on the new trend.
long term view on US30Y bondsit will have or should have go down lets see.. i may be wrong on my analysis but there is some thing cocking up here...and if this go down DXY will go down also.
us30y : hope that this is not a bull flag... if yes, sell PM & Miners & Crude and run for your life...
20 + 30 Y US Treasury Yield: Bull Market OVERI know It's NASTY... But on the successful breakout of the inner falling wedge and reaching the target the more that 40 Year old bond bull market is OVER. The impact on all asset classes is enourmous.
Short 30Ys!?!I've said "long" here because I'm going to presume TV can't tell that it's the inverse when it comes to yield observations.
