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US Government Bonds 10 YR YieldUS Government Bonds 10 YR YieldUS Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

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US10Y trade ideas

US 10Y: History in the makingBorrowing large sums of money at near zero interest rates to dump into risk on assets is a thing of the past. As interest rates continue to rise, people will be less inclined to put their money into risk on assets, specifically growth stocks and cryptocurrencies. Historically, 200M MA has hovered and served as resistance for the US 10Y. Not only has the US 10Y breached above the 200M MA, but US10 Y has flipped the 200M MA into support. Buying risk on assets like bitcoin is not a good idea with a parabolic US 10Y and DXY. Buying gold is not a good idea with a parabolic US 10Y and DXY. Buying "Future" related stocks with absurd valuations didn't work in 2022 as shown by ARKK and Cathie Wood. Working hard to earn more dollars and keeping that money in a savings account is not a good idea thanks to inflation that is apparently "under control" and is "transitory". There really is no escape or "safe haven" asset to hide behind. These hedges against inflation have all miserably failed, and will continue to fail as US 10Y makes history. "By 2030, you will own nothing and be happy!" - World Economic Forum
TVC:US10YLong
by CrashWhen
11
#Bitcoin #DXY #federalreserve #economicOne of the things that has happened in the past recessions in the market is the rotation of the yield difference charts from the negative range. One of the reasons is the beginning of expansionary policies at this time. To justify that we are not in an economic recession, the Federal Reserve points to short-term maturity spreads that are not in the negative range, in addition to the labor market. The expected outlook is the beginning of recession from the end of this year, where the short-term reduction of GDP and the economic growth reaching below its average will increase the unemployment rate in the coming years.
TVC:US10Y
by morteza_eslami
1
Forget All Other ChartsIgnore all the other charts right now. They are based on DOLLARS. The dollar is permanently unstable and your imperialist overlords are here to take away your spending power. We're due to see bearish action similar to April 5th (pink dot). The question is, will we see a lower high in relative yields, or will we set a higher low and possibly become uninverted, and return above 1.0 once again? Consider that we just set a higher high in the S&P medium term and it could have simply been a move to fool the crowd. On the other hand, debt is at all time highs, and rates even at this level mean systemic insolvency. Raising rates further means quicker insolvency. I say just get it over with or don't do it at all. Inflation year over year is, realistically, 20-40%, each year since 2020. Key interest rates aren't even 10% of that. There is no way they will be able to control this in any way, shape or form, or manufacture a so called "soft landing". Rates rise >1.0 = total collapse, then easing Rates bounce <1.0 = unrealistic rally blow off top, more tightening to trigger the crash I think I used too many arrows but hopefully it makes sense. Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets.
TVC:US10Y
by fringe_chartist
11
Yield curve inversion cyclesUS10Y treasury yield minus US02Y treasury yield is an accurate predictor of impending economic recession. Here we compare the 10 Aug 2022 yield curve inversion low point to the low points in 2007 and 2000 that pre-dated the Great Recession and Dot Com stock market crashes. While a small inversion (below 0) does not always pre-date a recession, inversions as low as the current 10 Aug 2022 always have. Even more interesting is when you zoom in to the daily chart. Here we see the 10Y - 2Y moving back towards 0 from 10 Aug 2022 through 22 Aug 2022, even as stocks have begun to decline since release of the Fed minutes and recent commentary from Fed officials about the importance of continuing with additional rate hikes based on current inflation data.
TVC:US10Y
by theagileagent
5