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S&P 500 Technical Outlook: Pivot Points and Market TrendsUS Futures Rise Notably in Holiday-Shortened Week US stock futures were significantly higher on Monday after the S&P 500 posted its largest gain since early November on Friday. Technical Overview: As long as the price trades above 5971, the bullish trend will continue with potential upward targets at 5995 and 6022. However, if the price closes below 5971 on a 4-hour (4H) candle, a bearish move toward 5936 may follow. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5971 Resistance Levels: 5995, 6022, 6053 Support Levels: 5936, 5919, 5895 Trend Outlook: Downward by stability below 5971 Bullish Trend above 5971
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPXUSD Daily Has A Inverse Cup & Handle Hey fellow traders and followers! I have to point out a possible inverse cup & handle and targets if she plays out in SPX Oanda. Breaking point on daily is 5881.6 after which would trigger bears to take over the show and bring us down to the measured move of 5751.3 area. If that area breaks after being tested with a fail we falllll --- ----- --5643.3------------ Market sits in no man's land I like to call it being bulls and bears on both sides of this rope in a tug of war. Be very very cautious at this time as charts in bigger TF's are starting to spell( FALL ) Don't get hurt on this one as this fall will give you more than just a scrape on the knees, more like a broken leg or worse. Trade with caution and best of luck in all your trades. Cheers!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Trade-Farmer
2
us500 Longus500 Long 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by RODDYTRADING
Collapse of the S&P! Can it hold? S&P 500 www.tradingview.com Drops to 6000 : Just as We Predicted The S&P 500 has hit the 6000 level, right in line with the scenario we discussed earlier. This critical support, reinforced by the 200-period moving average on the hourly chart, is proving to be a key battleground. If you’ve been following our previous idea, you’ll remember we anticipated this pullback to 6000, calling it a likely turning point for the index forming a head and shoulders pattern And here we are, watching the prediction unfold. A bounce here could break the head and shoulders. Now, the big question is whether 6000 will hold. If it does, we could see a rebound toward 6100 or beyond. If it breaks, 5900 or 5800 could be the next stops. Either way, this moment underscores how crucial strong analysis is for navigating markets like this one. Fed announcements may play a role in rhe direction we go. Let's see how it plays out.
SP:SPXShort
by StonkMarketParty
(GET READY) Expected move for FOMC today in SPXSince making all-time highs on December 6, SPX has been consolidating back to the 30 minute 200 moving average and check out the 35 EMA today. We’ve been chopping around that 35 EMA on our trip back to the 30 minute 200MA average and they are right at the same level today. We are at a very critical point. Do we bounce here? Or do we break this 30 minute 200 moving average. The top of the implied move is at 6095 just underneath that we have a resistance at 6085 when we fill that gap 6015 for tomorrow so 6095, 6115 could be a place to look if you’re looking to sell spreads today on the move And then underneath us 6005, 5995 those are the two levels at the bottom of the trading range and the one hour 200 average is also there
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 - Forming a Bullish Flag or Pennant but not clear. Top?The S&P 500 appears to be moving very horizontal at the moment, possibly forming a bullish flag or pennant. However, the pattern is a little too horizontal to be clear, so its also possible this is a short term top of the market, possibly for end of the year profit taking and covering tax liabilities. A look back in the last 10 years of chart history does not show another example of the S&P 500 moving this clearly horizontal. The pattern has clear lower highs but the support line is razor sharp almost as if its artificial. Trade with caution.
SP:SPX
by swineninety9
How to Trade Lower Liquidity Festive MarketsWith the festive season upon us, there tends to be a natural decline in trading activity as many market participants step away to enjoy the holidays. This change in rhythm creates unique market dynamics, offering traders an opportunity to observe and adapt to a different set of conditions. Liquidity often decreases during this time, which can influence price behaviour, spreads, and volatility. Understanding these shifts can help you approach the markets with greater awareness and flexibility, whether you decide to trade actively or simply observe from the sidelines. What Happens in Lower Liquidity Markets? Lower liquidity means there are fewer buyers and sellers actively participating in the market. As a result, price movements can become less predictable. Even a relatively small order can cause larger-than-expected moves, creating the potential for heightened volatility. Spreads—particularly in less-traded instruments—may also widen, increasing transaction costs. This is something to keep an eye on, especially if you trade in smaller-cap stocks, emerging market currencies, or commodities with seasonal demand swings. However, it’s not all about increased volatility and wider spreads. Lower liquidity can also bring periods of calm to typically active markets, especially in the absence of major news or data releases. Adapting to the Festive Markets The key to navigating festive markets is adaptability. Here are some practical tips to help you stay on top of your trading this Christmas: 1. Focus on Major Markets and Instruments During periods of reduced liquidity, larger markets like major currency pairs or blue-chip stocks tend to remain more stable than smaller, niche instruments. Staying with these higher-liquidity markets can reduce the risk of unexpected price swings. 2. Be Selective with Trades The festive season isn’t the time to chase every opportunity. Instead, focus on high-quality setups and avoid overtrading. Patience can be your biggest asset when market conditions are unpredictable. 3. Adjust Your Risk Management Lower liquidity markets can lead to greater volatility, which means a single price move might reach your stop-loss or take-profit levels more quickly than expected. Consider adjusting your position sizes or widening your stop-loss levels to account for this. That said, any changes to your risk management approach should align with your overall trading strategy. 4. Keep an Eye on Key Levels In quieter markets, price tends to gravitate towards well-defined support and resistance levels. These levels often become even more significant, as fewer participants can break through them. 5. Pay Attention to News Events Even during the festive season, economic data releases and news events can spark movement. With fewer participants, the impact of these events may be amplified, so it’s worth staying informed. Useful Indicators for Festive Markets Using technical indicators can provide added clarity in lower liquidity conditions. Here are some tools to consider: • ATR (Average True Range): ATR can help you gauge market volatility. During low-liquidity periods, rising ATR values may signal increased volatility, while falling ATR values might indicate a quieter market. • Volume: Monitoring volume is crucial to understand the strength of price moves. During the festive period, lower volume is expected, but an unusual spike can indicate genuine interest in a breakout or trend. • Anchored VWAP: Anchored VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) is a helpful tool for identifying key levels where trading volume has concentrated. Anchoring the VWAP to significant events, such as the start of the festive trading period, can provide dynamic support or resistance levels. • Keltner Channels: These are particularly useful for managing trades. Setting Keltner Channels to 2.5 ATR around a 20-day exponential moving average (standard settings) can help identify overextended moves. For instance, if the price breaks above the upper channel in a long trade, it may be a good signal to take profits into strength. Example: S&P 500 On the S&P 500, we can observe some classic festive market behaviour. While daily volume has remained steady, ATR has been declining since Thanksgiving, dropping to levels not seen since the summer. This suggests the market is consolidating near broken resistance—a key level—aligned with the Keltner Channel’s basis. Just below this area lies the VWAP anchored to the November swing low, creating a zone of confluent support that could attract higher levels of liquidity. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: The festive season introduces a unique set of market conditions that can challenge even experienced traders. Whether you choose to trade actively or observe from the sidelines, understanding how reduced liquidity affects price behaviour is key to navigating these quieter markets. By focusing on major instruments, refining your risk management, and leveraging key technical indicators like ATR, volume, Anchored VWAP, and Keltner Channels, you can adapt to the rhythm of the season and make the most of what the markets offer during this period. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
SANTA RALLY or BUST (FOMC)Market is likely to move the first hour and then become choppy. FOMC today at 2PM est and Powell speaks at 2:30. Semis look like they want to start moving with NVDA and ASML leading. Futures gapping a bit higher this morning, FOMC today so I’d wait until after 2:30pm to see how the market reacts to Powell SPX just in a range from 6034-6100 for now, SPX lots of resistance at 6071 and 6100 so be patient for now, under 6034 can test 6k. Let’s see if SPX gets through 6071 after FOMC SPX best to hold 6034 SPX Dec 20 6100c best above 6071 Stay Frosty!
SP:SPX
by Beyond_Charts
SPX 5500 BY 2025 ? REASONS WHY !!! Optimistic Market Forecasts: Analysts and strategists, such as those from Deutsche Bank and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO, have made bullish predictions for the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank's forecast for the S&P 500 to reach 5,100 in 2024, and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO Jay Hatfield anticipates the S&P to reach as high as 5,500 points by the end of 2024. These forecasts indicate a strong belief in the market's potential to continue its upward trend. Strong Earnings and Valuations: The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 of 25.7 is above the 5-year and 10-year averages. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for stocks, which could be a positive sign for further market growth. Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has already hit 23 new records in 2024 and has been performing above average historical years. This indicates strong market momentum and investor confidence. Cumulative Weight of Top Stocks: The cumulative weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 has hit a 50-year high. This indicates that the market's performance is being significantly influenced by the performance of a small number of large-cap companies, which could potentially drive the index higher if these companies continue to perform well. Market Resilience and Recovery: The market has shown resilience and recovery from the economic downturn, with the S&P 500 already up by 9.6% this year, which is above the average year since 1950. This resilience could be a sign of continued growth throughout the year. Positive Outlook from Analysts: Analysts like CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 5,400 by year-end and 5,610 within the next 12 months, indicating a positive outlook for the market's performance. Potential Rate Cuts: The expectation of rate cuts by the European Central Bank could provide a boost to the global economy and the U.S. markets, including the S&P 500. Positive Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with a bullish outlook on the S&P 500 from various analysts and strategists. This positive sentiment could drive further investment and growth in the market. Technology Sector Performance: The technology sector has been a leading performer, soaring 50%, indicating strong growth in this sector, which could help drive the S&P 500 higher. Economic Data Surprises: The U.S. economy has been showing positive surprises in economic data throughout 2023, suggesting that the economy is stronger than expected, which could support the market's growth.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
SPX 4800 LONG SANTA RALLY UNTIL 2024 Key Factors to Consider: Economic Indicators: Monitor key economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment data, and inflation. Positive economic data may support the upward movement of the S&P 500, while negative indicators could lead to volatility. Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates can impact the cost of borrowing and influence investor behavior. Keep an eye on central bank announcements and monetary policy changes. Corporate Earnings: Earnings season can significantly affect the S&P 500. Track corporate earnings reports for insights into the health of individual companies and the overall market. Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical developments, such as trade tensions or political instability, can impact market sentiment. Stay informed about global events that could affect the S&P 500.
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL