XAGUSD shorts formed for short term basis Price is bouncing off internal liquidity,anticipating price to run external liquidity .
SILVER trade ideas
Bullish on Gold and Silver | Long-Term As I mentioned in the previous post on DXY, my bias on the US Dollar index is bearish for the first half of September. Also, as the seasonality of Gold and Silver suggests, September is a negative month for these two cousins. So, in my opinion (not investment advice), in the last week of September and the first week of October, we might see good lows on Gold and Silver.
Remember, we cannot time the market, for now, I anticipate the lows to form at the end of September because the seasonality and the price action support this narrative for me. Also, the market is expecting the first rate cut on September 18, which, I believe, Gold and Silver already priced in that sentiment to some degree.
We can expect Gold to go as low as 2450$ before it attacks 2600$, and silver to revisit the 25$ - 26$ area after 4 months (the red scenario). I like the chart formation on Silver as it formed a very bullish structure on monthly and weekly charts. That's why I also put the yellow scenario which suggests Silver would dance around the 28$ level before it breaks out the 30$ and continue its journey towards 36$.
Silver Technical Analysis: Bearish Shark PatternFX_IDC:XAGUSD
We have been anticipating a series of harmonic patterns in the markets, and silver is no exception. It is currently presenting some constructive and intuitive patterns with a high probability of manifestation.
A bearish shark pattern has formed for silver at the 224% Fibonacci extension level around $31. This pattern suggests a potential retracement that could bring the price down to around $29.37, aligning with the daily fractal resistance level that was broken slightly below, at $29.17.
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Happy trading!
André
Long trade
Trade Setup:
Entry Price: 28.75494
Profit Level: 31.39434 (9.18%)
Stop Loss Level: 28.61194 (0.50%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 18.46
This setup indicates a strong bullish expectation for silver.
SILVER Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 30.847.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 30.212 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SILVER: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 30.53995$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 28.979 level.
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SILVER { XAGUSD}: Bearish Correction On The HorizonAfter a strong upward trend last week, Silver has now paused its advance and is consolidating.
Currently, an Indecision pattern, specifically a symmetric triangle, is forming on the 1-hour chart. The price is testing the boundaries of this pattern.
If there is a bearish breakout, with a 1-hour candle closing below the support line, we could see a downward correction toward the nearest support level at 30.20.
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes above the resistance line, we would anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend.
XAGUSD: AB=CD pattern is forming, what is next? Dear Traders,
Bullish pattern is forming, and we have witness change in price. Tomorrow Fed news will likely to take down the price and then reverse from the area that we have identified. We can target a swing area and target a reasonable position. Good luck.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bearish Correction On The Horizon Following a strong upward trend last week, Silver has now paused its growth and is consolidating.
There is an Indecision pattern forming, specifically a symmetric triangle, on the 1-hour chart.
The price is currently testing the boundaries of this pattern.
I predict that if there is a bearish breakout, indicated by a 1-hour candle closing below the support line, we could see a downward correction towards the nearest support level at 30.20.
Alternatively, if the price breaks and closes above the resistance line we will anticipate a bullish continuation.
Poised for a Historic Breakout Beyond $50The chart represents the price action of Silver (XAGUSD) on a weekly timeframe, spanning multiple decades, from the late 1970s to the present. It shows major price cycles, long-term support and resistance levels, and key price patterns. The chart is designed to highlight a large cup and handle formation that appears to be developing over a long period, potentially indicating a significant future breakout.
Cup and Handle Formation:
The chart shows the possibility of a "Cup and Handle" pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern where the price forms a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a consolidation (the handle) before potentially breaking out to higher levels.
The cup started forming after the massive spike in Silver prices around 1980 when it hit all-time highs near $50. This was followed by a prolonged decline over the years, forming the rounded bottom throughout the 1990s.
The price of Silver began recovering in the early 2000s, reaching another peak in 2011, followed by another downturn forming the "handle" of the pattern.
The breakout zone for this potential pattern is around $48 to $50, which coincides with Silver’s previous all-time highs.
Resistance Levels:
$50: The most significant historical resistance level, tested during 1980 and 2011, represents a crucial price level. A break above this would signal a major bull run.
$30 - $35: This region is a shorter-term resistance zone. The current price action is pushing toward the $30 handle, with minor pullbacks along the way, suggesting consolidation.
Support Levels:
$14 - $18: There is a strong support range, which Silver tested multiple times in recent years. This level has provided a foundation for upward movements and seems to have formed the lower boundary of the handle.
$20 - $22: A more immediate support level that aligns with previous price corrections in 2016, 2018, and 2020. This zone may provide short-term protection for the price in case of a retracement.
Long-term Perspective:
If the price breaks out of the current resistance levels, the next long-term target could be as high as $80 to $100, based on the magnitude of the cup and handle pattern.
Conclusion:
This chart on Silver presents a compelling case for a long-term bullish breakout. The formation of a large cup and handle pattern indicates that once Silver breaks above the $50 mark, it could potentially reach much higher levels. However, in the short term, there is strong resistance around $30, where consolidation may occur before another attempt at higher prices. A failure to break these levels could see Silver return to the $20 - $22 support zone.
long silver price travelling above ema
broke out of descending channel and retested TL from above as breakout
retrace to 38.20% fib level confluence with structure before continuing to -27.20
SILVER: Forecast & Technical Analysis
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the SILVER pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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SILVER: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 31.41813
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
HISTORICAL year in progress for SILVER.HISTORICAL year in progress for SILVER.
2024 could be THE year to remember.
It can possibly have its HIGHEST yearly close, EVER!
#silver #xagusd
Monthly Reverse H&S and Re-Entry on weekly break trend line Monthly Reverse H&S and Re-Entry on weekly break trend line
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Rally Continues
Silver keeps rallying like crazy.
The price was rapidly growing the entire last week.
It managed to violate a significant horizontal daily resistance
and close above that on Friday.
With a high probability, the market will keep growing and reach 31.4 level soon.
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Not chasing silver higher given Fed may disappoint Silver looks bullish, breaking through downtrend resistance last Friday with ease as traders ramped up Fed rate cuts bets. However, with over 120 basis points priced in 2024, that leaves silver vulnerable to a reversal should the Fed not deliver on those expectations. Therefore, rather than buy the break, I’d rather see what the Fed does before entering a trade.
Should the price move back towards support between 30.157 and former downtrend, it will provide a decent level to build setups around.
If the zone were to hold, you could buy with a stop below the downtrend targeting $31.754 or multi-year high of $32.50 set in May. Alternatively, if it were to reverse through the zone, you could sell with a stop above the downtrend for protection. Potential targets include the 50DMA or $27.71.
Momentum remains higher with RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish signals. However, from a fundamental perspective, if US yields push higher before or after the Fed, it may lead to a stronger dollar and renewed headwinds for silver.
Good luck!
DS
XAGUSD, Elliott wave analysis■Outlook of XAGUSD on 3Days chart.
There have been no changes since the last update.
I think we are in sub-wave (3) of wave (iii).
If it can break through a channel line (Orange), it will probably become bullish, and wave (iii) will probably become a 3rd wave extension impulse.
Last time, my idea:
Aug 5, 2024. Middle-term analysis.
SILVER | THE BIGGEST CUP & HANDLE OF ALL TIME!Apple’s Cup and Handle pattern in the early 2000s is often cited as one of the most significant. After a prolonged downtrend, Apple formed a large cup with a handle from 2000 to 2005, which, after breaking out, has continued to appreciate to this very day. However, Apple's pattern is nothing compared to the current Cup & Handle pattern that exists in silver, whether in size or price.
I truly believe that silver is currently the most undervalued asset and will not only attain higher prices than most can imagine but will also rapidly begin to appreciate against gold, which currently has a ratio of 83.75 to 1. This ratio is irrational and unsustainable, as gold and silver are typically mined at a ratio of around 10 to 1. Even current U.S. Treasury Mint coins—Silver Eagles and Gold Eagles—have a current exchange rate of 50 to 1 at face value. Historically, under the gold standard and the Coinage Act of 1834, the ratio was set at 16 to 1.
Although this will not happen overnight and could take a decade or more to come to fruition, the unnatural and irrationally low price of silver is coming to an end. The overinflated gold-to-silver ratio will continue to fall as price manipulation ends and true price discovery begins.
Silver, weekly chartif this finally manages to get rid of the 30 usd, a good period is coming. FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
XAGUSD VIew!!Front-month gold futures rose 1.2% to a new record of $2,581.30 an ounce, and many analysts are now calling for a higher upside for gold prices than initially forecast. "Today's market action suggests a new upward leg for gold prices is underway," says Peter Cardillo of Spartan Capital Securities. Higher gold prices stem from the belief that a rate cut is coming next week--making non-interest bearing assets more attractive. SPDR Gold shares are also at a new high, with the contract up 1%. (kirk.maltais@wsj.com; @kirkmaltais)
SILVER The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 30.720
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 29.587
Safe Stop Loss - 31.354
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
