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CL1! trade ideas

Crude in Wave 3 - Bullish ChannelBasically and continuation of previous published idea. Wave counts have been updated and the low at Wave 2 sets the lower channel. Wave 1 ended and was followed by and expanded flat Wave 2. Continued movement above the bearish downtrend channel continues to give great confidence we are seeing a trend change to bullish movement. Friday's closing looks to have ended with an ABCDE triangle that will end in a Wave 5 on a lesser count. I'll take a snapshot of my minutes count and add to the replies. Overall, I'm bullish. Looking to buy dips and will likely see and end to this wave in the 80's. Thoughts and ideas only and charts and comments not meant for trading decisions of any kind. I advise you to due your own diligence, keep your own counsel, and trade at your own risk.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by HedgehogLanding
4
WTI Crude oil - last update Our overview: Red Sea tension on focus again. Divergence on hourly RSI. On breakout and close on hourly timeframe above $74.00 push the price straight to area $75.60/$76.00. On the other side, breakout of $72.80 could push again the price towards the bottom of the trading range. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3. Our current strategy: Neutral follow the market. Our current position's risk profile @$73.95: delta -0.03, gamma +0.24 Hedging point: not set
NYMEX:CL1!
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI crude looks set to retrace before its next big leg higherWTI appears set tor a cheeky retracement. Volumes were falling during its leg higher from $68, and Wednesday closed with an exhaustion candle. Note the strong trading activity around $70 which indicates some bears were caught short and bulls initiated, which assumes short-covering helped fuel the rally and any retracement towards $70 could also be supported. From here we’re looking for prices to revert to $70. But given the strong support around the June lows / $68 and false break of $70, the bigger picture view is for a bullish rally to develop following a retracement heading into the new year. $80 seems feasible as an initial target, around the 200-day EMA. But as you’ll see in the next post, a bigger bullish reversal could be unfolding on the weekly chart.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
2
Oil possible bottom/accumulation Oil has been chopping around the 67-73 area for about a month now and has not created any lower lows after last lower high. Clearly holding up very well and broke the multi month down trend line of resistance and is currently finding/bouncing off it as support. Ideally would like to see the trend line hold and not breach below. A hold of 72 would be very bullish but Oil is known to be very choppy and it is possible it could see 67-70 again before breaking out, however if this does happen it should be very short lived or it could lead to much lower levels. I am currently long with a stop at 70.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by duhmaso
1
WTI Crude oil - last update Our overview: Negative EIA data, worse then the previous API release, push the price back to retest the support @$71.00. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3. Our current strategy: Moderately Long looking to follow the trend's wave with first target in area @$74.00(top of the actual trading range). Our current position's risk profile @$71.25: delta +0.25, gamma +0.23 Hedging point: on breakout $71.00
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - last update Our overview: Conflicting API data once again suggests caution. Big draw in crude counter with big build in gasoline and distillates. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 2. Our current strategy: Still moderately Long looking to follow the trend's wave with first target @$74.00. Our current position's risk profile @$71.50: delta +0.20, gamma +0.21 Hedging point: on breakout $71.30
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
WTI Crude oil - last update. Our overview: The selloff of the yesterday's session, redraw the intermediate(green) trend's structure with a deep wave 2. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 1. Our current strategy: The breakout of $72.50 in the yesterday's session trigger the hedging point in our system, then we took profit and resetting our position's delta to moderately long close to the yesterday's session low at $70.55. Our current position's risk profile @$70.70: Delta +0.35, gamma +0.22 Hedging point: on breakout $70.50 Moderately Long looking to follow the trend's wave with first target @$72.50.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading
[Positional] Crude Oil Buy IdeaNote - One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all. ======= I use shorthands for my trades. "Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.) "Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day. "Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems. ======= I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share. ======= Like - Always follow a stop loss. In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High". In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings. I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives. =======
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Amit_Ghosh
Has Crude Found A Bottom? Crude oil has risen over 2% since the beginning of the 2024 trading year, marking it as an outperformer among risk assets. Recent price action has displayed higher lows, and higher highs are soon to be tested. Recent Economic Data: Recent jobs data displayed larger-than-expected wage growth, as reflected by Average Hourly Earnings. Wages grew at 4.1% YoY, more than estimates of 3.9%. This was coupled with strong job creation in the month of December, as reflected by NonFarm Payrolls, and maximum employment (3.7% unemployment). With a tight labor market and growing wages, it would be safe to say that demand will remain strong in the near term. The most recent Michigan Consumer reports also suggested consumers felt better about the economy and near-term inflation expectations. Technicals: We have observed that crude has begun making higher lows as of late. Dec 13th marked the first low, and Jan 3rd marked the second. On Jan 5th, the market closed within a resistance pocket of 73.50-74.75. We will need to see a break and close above this level, where we can then test the 50-day EMA. A break and close above this level will then lead us to the Dec 26th high, where we will need to break and close above 76.30 to confirm a higher high , and the start of a trend reversal. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
WTI Crude oilOur overview: Weak demand balance Middle East tensions bringing to the market a substantial weakness. Resistance @$74.00 showed in the first days of the year to be strong enough to reject the price two times. Our overview in the short period is long with target in area $79/$80. Trends analysis: Primary(purple): upward corrective structure wave C, intermediate(green): upward impulsive structure wave 3, minor(yellow): upward impulsive structure wave 3, intraday(orange): upward impulsive structure wave 1. Our current strategy: Moderately Long looking to follow the trend's wave with first target @$75.00. Our current position's risk profile @$72.80: delta +0.25, gamma +0.21 Hedging point: on breakout $72.50 RSI "D": Neutral Stochastic "D": Positive RSI "H": Neutral Stochastic "H": Negative RSI "5min": Positive Stochastic "5min": Positive
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DeltaZeroProprietaryTrading