CL1! trade ideas
2024-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
wti crude oil
comment: Trading range at the highs but bears printing bigger bars and they broke out of the bull channel that started 2 weeks ago. Measured move down would bring us to around the breakout retest price area 78.5 / 78.8. Bulls still want to break above 82 for 83/84 and test the bear trend lines again.
current market cycle: Trading range
key levels: 80 - 82
bull case: Bulls still see this as a second leg of a pullback around the lower bull trend line and they want to start their third leg (W5) up to 83/84. They need to keep it above 80 or bears might get cheeky and want to push it to the daily ema around 78.8, which would also be a breakout retest.
Invalid below 80.
bear case: Bears are not able to print two decent looking consecutive bear bars on higher time frames. Until they get much stronger or give up again, best they can probably hope for is sideways around 80. Selling today looks like a leg inside a trading range and not a stronger pullback below 80.
short term: Neutral 80-82. It’s moving sideways. Don’t make it more complicated.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear key levels given
Can Crude Surge Into Month-end?Please note the chart above is continuous front-month Crude, and we are referencing the August contract below.
Crude Oil (August)
Yesterday’s close: Settled at 81.63, up 0.90
WTI Crude Oil futures rebounded well to start the week, responding to a critical area of technical support. Furthermore, the healthy consolidation at and above the psychological $80 mark could be a launchpad for a strong finish to the month, bringing Crude Oil its best month since September. We have two layers of major three-star support at 80.61-80.86 and 80.11-80.36, and we believe a hold above here sets a constructive path for higher prices.
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 81.79**, 82.24-82.35***
Pivot: 81.17-81.40
Support: 80.61-80.86***, 80.11-80.36***, 79.72-79.97**, 78.61-78.94***
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Crude Oil live trading with Weis Wave Indicator (Wyckoff)Indicator is provided by VolumeDayTrader.com
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Crude OilPair : US OIL - Crude Oil
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
Demand Zone
Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Consolidation Phase in Short Time Frame
Break of Structure
Turbo Tuesday Crude OiLSo carrying on from our Bullish Bias I am expecting price to move to the Daily +oB and have an bullish reaction to PDH
Closer to NY open I will be looking for this to happen
Daily FVG CE is the target...
Long CL @ 80.20 - Test of SupportOil has had a large run-up of $10 over the last two and a half weeks. I believe Friday's selloff was mostly due to exhaustion and the start of consolidation after this large rally.
Given the continued geopolitical risks. I expect oil to re-test the $80 level before increasing back to the upside. There is large resting liquidity around the $80 - $80.30 levels, so if we get down there I think CL will find major support and return to $81+.
Weekend Wizardry On Crude OilRight now It makes no sense in my mind why the market would want to return to being bearish.
Yes we are in a premium and after a couple days of upwards movement there can be some stagnent action for traders who like to take more than 25-40 ticks ona single move.
So again why would market want to move lower on a htf bases as pointed in my arrows we have a Daily FVG whcih I will be watching price to respect and create a discount in that FVG
The wicks from Friday and Monday Daily chart show immediate rebalance and a propell higher is what I am looking for.
Given Monday can be opposing price to what Tues and Wed Provide... wink wink
Magnet shows my target for next week. to revisit this and whilst in fvg how do we close? Daily fvg CE?
I really do look at price on the day to day basis weekly targets yes but this is a subconscious thought when im trading pacific times of the day.
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
CRUDE**CrudeOil:**
This week's forecast is for the price to rise to the lost pivot at 83.41 and reverse the trend after that test.
6/23 | $CLA very strong past couple weeks for crude oil. Would like to see a pullback into daily demand ~ $78 for a potential buying opportunity. I believe we eventually shoot for untested supply above ~ $84.
Crude coinciding with OXY setupCrude broke the downward trend with conviction after a multiple week correction. This gives me more confidence for my potential long-term OXY trade setup next week. These stall candles signal accumulation and contraction. After the initial run multiple EMAs are used for supportive structure including candle bodies and wicks. I am late to the party on crude (but I dont trade futures), Oxy is lagging so that is my preferred method. This will be much like my previous trade , likely a multiple week/month hold, slow layered entry.
#202426 - priceactiontds - weekly update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
wti crude oil futures
Quote from last week:
bull case: Strong week by the bulls with 3 pushes up but still a lower high. Their next target is to get back above 80.22. Right now they have momentum going but big down, big up mostly creates confusion and that means trading range. Above 79.5 I will probably long for 80. They need to stay above 77 or odds favor a retest of the lows below 74.
comment: Bulls just had amazing follow through since Monday and have bought everything on lower volume. The tight bull channel is valid and Monday or Tuesday could set up another good buying opportunity. I don’t think bears want to die on that 82 hill and bulls can bring this easily back to 82.5 or 84.5 where two upper bear trend lines run through.
current market cycle: big trading range or smaller bull trend inside of it. Triangle is still playing out.
key levels: 72-84
bull case: Another very strong week. Can only look for longs in oil currently, until bears show up again. Bulls had two big legs up and want a third one to around 83.5/84.5. The current pullback could continue 1-3 days before more up but bulls should not let it break the lower bull channel around 79.7ish
Invalidation is below 79.5.
bear case: Bears clearly see the pattern and only doing small intraday scalps until the market get’s nearer to either bear trend line as drawn. The big one started 2 years ago, so you can be sure, there will be a reaction. Not saying bears will be strong enough to reverse it directly but at least stall it around that price area. As of now, bulls are in full control and far above the daily ema. Don’t look for shorts unless strong momentum.
Invalidation is above 82.1.
outlook last week:
“short term: Neutral right under the bear channel line and daily ema at 77.5. Can break to either side.”
→ Last Sunday we traded 78.45 and now we are at 80.73. Not a good outlook but I would always write the same. As strong as it was before last Monday, it was the high of the trading range and it could have been the top for some days.
short term: More sideways to down movement expected (not much down, max 79.7ish) before bulls try the third leg up. Can’t be anything but bullish looking at this chart until bears build bigger selling pressure.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. Market did indeed reversed hard over the past 3 weeks and we are almost at the top of the triangle again, where I expect more sideways movement until one side clearly wins again. Odds favor the bears if they stay below 85.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Bear channel was clearly broken and therefore removed. Tight bull channel with a 5-wave series added.
CL1! (Cruide Oil Futures) - Top-down Analysis Ok guys, here is my analysis for Crude Oil Futures.
I've been bullish, but the currently I don't have anything in terms of a strong bias in either direction. But what I will be looking for is what I mentioned wanting to see on the weekly timeframe.
Watch the analysis, let me know what you think will happen with crude oil prices!
- R2F
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE SHORT out of the CURRENT Consolidation?NYMEX:CL1!
"I DONT FOLD UNDER PRESSURE, Great athletes perform better under pressure so put pressure on me." -Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Top of the Sunday Morning Family. I hope we all are well and in gr8 spirits as we get ready to start this trading week. Here I have constructed this SHORT narrative on OIL, out of the Current Range we are trading inside of. The consolidation zone ranges from prices of roughly ($79.30 to $77.20)... Here is what I will need to see in order to enter SHORT and target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level ($76.55).
1) On the Daily TF buyers have pushed price back up into an un-mitigated Daily Supply Zone. & Now that we have Mitigated this Daily Supply, we could see sellers step back into the Market and push price back down.
**** I would like to see buyers sweep the High of the Consolidation zone on the 1Hr TF! If price can break higher than ($79.30) then this would be a good sign for me. Now I want this to be a (Liquidity Sweep SOLELY with no real follow through from buyers) basically manipulation to the upside then BOOM!!! Sellers come in and drop the market off a cliff stopping everyone LONG and Sellers coming to sweep the eR/LQ Trendline to the downside...
2) Price is currently riding a HTF{ 4Hr Ascending eR/LQ Trendline } that I know is going to be swept with strong sellers to the downside and this is the move I'm looking for the HOUSE to CAPITALIZE ON....
3) The EQ level of the Consolidation range is what I need to see price break underneath with confirmed candle closures on the 30m TF & Below before I enter SHORT... The EQ level of the Range is roughly ($78.25)... ****I want to price sweep the Ascending eR/LQ then break and close with strong conviction underneath the Consolidation EQ Level ($78.25) on the 30m TF & below.
**** Now if and when we can get these sequence of events to take place then I will be compelled to place my Limit SHORT on the retest of ($78.25)Consolidation EQ Level and Target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level Below ($76.55) 170 Points SHORT in our favor...
Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!!
Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!!
#BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE SHORT out of the CURRENT Consolidation?NYMEX:CL1!
"I DONT FOLD UNDER PRESSURE, Great athletes perform better under pressure so put pressure on me." -Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Top of the Sunday Morning Family. I hope we all are well and in gr8 spirits as we get ready to start this trading week. Here I have constructed this SHORT narrative on OIL, out of the Current Range we are trading inside of. The consolidation zone ranges from prices of roughly ($79.30 to $77.20)... Here is what I will need to see in order to enter SHORT and target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level ($76.55).
1) On the Daily TF buyers have pushed price back up into an un-mitigated Daily Supply Zone. & Now that we have Mitigated this Daily Supply, we could see sellers step back into the Market and push price back down.
**** I would like to see buyers sweep the High of the Consolidation zone on the 1Hr TF! If price can break higher than ($79.30) then this would be a good sign for me. Now I want this to be a (Liquidity Sweep SOLELY with no real follow through from buyers) basically manipulation to the upside then BOOM!!! Sellers come in and drop the market off a cliff stopping everyone LONG and Sellers coming to sweep the eR/LQ Trendline to the downside...
2) Price is currently riding a HTF{ 4Hr Ascending eR/LQ Trendline } that I know is going to be swept with strong sellers to the downside and this is the move I'm looking for the HOUSE to CAPITALIZE ON....
3) The EQ level of the Consolidation range is what I need to see price break underneath with confirmed candle closures on the 30m TF & Below before I enter SHORT... The EQ level of the Range is roughly ($78.25)... ****I want to price sweep the Ascending eR/LQ then break and close with strong conviction underneath the Consolidation EQ Level ($78.25) on the 30m TF & below.
**** Now if and when we can get these sequence of events to take place then I will be compelled to place my Limit SHORT on the retest of ($78.25)Consolidation EQ Level and Target the 4Hr Swing EQ Level Below ($76.55) 170 Points SHORT in our favor...
Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Step!!
Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!!
#BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
Crude Oil Beginning Minor Wave BCrude oil has completed a clear count of five waves up, completing minor wave A. It should now be starting a decline that will make up wave B. While it is impossible to specify a shape or target for wave B with any certainty so early, statistically, B waves inside of zigzags usually form zigzags themselves and usually retrace at least 50% of wave A.
Bitcoin silver oil 11:00 June 21st 2024 I think Bitcoin is close to a reversal higher and I would be looking for that reversal Sunday night or sometime on Monday. silver had a great opening price trade with the 2 bar reversal it moved about $5000 per contract where it came to sellers. so silver is a fast Market that quickly gave you a very good return as a seller but my concern would be that sometime during the remainder of today but more likely when the Market opens after the weekend that's when I would expect to find buyers... but I would have to see how the Market's trading before I make that decision. would I put on a long trade going in to the weekend? no. because there are no signs of buyers yet. we'll talk about oil this weekend if I get a chance.
crude oil bullish cup n handle pattern formation done.
from very long time is has been in correction..now breaks..
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
Crude Oil Thursday Rumble...As we are in Bullish territory on the HTF the Daily FVG bellow is where I am anticipating price to retrace too leading upto 0930est... Does it have to retrace there? No.
However I am Looking at Bullish bias towards the Daily V.i Marked in the chart for a Target and Forecast going forward...
Pretty simple.
$OIL giving us bullish signalsToday i break down where NSE:OIL seems to be heading and how i took an entry today. This bullish move up can be scalped and in my video i break down the thought process on how that is done. Plenty more money to be made on this run!
