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Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

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TLT trade ideas

TLT - Daily / 3 Drives @ 149 and Fails Currently the 10 Year Note Yield @ 1.725 -0.008 -0.47%. What seemingly took a long time to begin to complete finally did. __________________________________________________________ There is a great deal in the Wind with respect to TLT presently. LArger Daily Gaps well below with Price Objectives extending to the 134 to 139 Levels - attendant Gap FIlls included. It will depend on ZN's breakdown and whether Yeidls simply Sky to our overhead Price Objectives 1.82 / 1.91 / 2.02 / 2.12 / 2.28 to 3.50 The Inflation Recalc will provide cover for a Retracement next week. Exceeding the 2021 Highs will be a stark warning for the Bond Holders who have been smoked for 1000 Bips in several Months. Chasing Highs while the Inflation persistence was building in all Core Data... generally unwise. We have maintained that Wave 4 would be an Everything Must Go Sale. SO far, so good, it's a THesis that time and again has proven to be correct and how long it extends will depend on a number of factors. We don't see a larger Equity Sell as supportive in a rising rate environment. The SHort end of the Curve appears to be supportive as well. _______________________________________________________________ McDonald's entered 2022 with 14.5% price increases across the Menu. Big Mac's in Bonds give way to Filet o' Fish.
NASDAQ:TLT
by HK_L61
18
$TLT selling off to $138-141 before rallying higherTLT looks to be close to finding a bottom. I could see TLT finding a bottom in the $138-141 range then basing for a couple of weeks before rallying higher in early November. Key dates and levels on the chart. My macro thesis is that we're at the start of a larger pullback in markets and money will flow to treasuries as a safety net. Dates align on both the S&P bottom and TLT top around March... Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by benjihyam
3
Pivots or Swing Highs and Lows- IPivots are essential in many forms of TA- including the TA i mainly use which is Action-Reaction aka pitchforks Pivots may also be termed swing highs or lows Pivots and swing highs/lows may be harder to define than one first imagines I would define a pivot or swing as follows: A focus of Price Action (PA) which becomes a reversal point This is important because either a V shape or inverse V in PA does not equate with a pivot/swing An acute angle in price may become a pivot or swing in hindsight IF it breaks the trend which price was previously moving along G.R.I. Dec '21 KEY P1 pivot one - price in uptrend along blue diagonal P2- becomes a swing high WHEN blue diagonal is broken to the downside P3- becomes a swing low WHEN yellow diagonal is broken to the upside P4- becomes a swing high WHEN green diagonal is broken to the downside P5- becomes a swing low WHEN pink diagonal is broken to the upside P6- becomes a swing high WHEN purple diagonal is broken to the downside P7- becomes a swing low WHEN green diagonal is broken to the upside
NASDAQ:TLTEducation
by Great_Reset_Investing
TLT - DailyRemarkable how poorly this has performed. The 2 / 10 is causing some issues as there is a fear of contagion. After $12 Trillion in Corporate Junk Issuance to BUY Shares in 2021... Convention would lead one to assume UST's would be bid in greater size and yet the Short end is now catching the attention as 2Yr's went off without a hitch, No Fed, No Need. The ISsue is the Long end of the Curve is eating itself as it believes Inflation will be a persistent RISK. Housing... another issue Globally. ___________________________________________________________________ ZB isn't wrong, nor are the Buyers on Strike with 3 back to back failed auctions. TLT breaking the 50 with ZN Pointing South require a wait n' see position. The AO has dipped into Negative territory... while the price struggles to hold. Neagtive Divergeences abound.
NASDAQ:TLT
by HK_L61
14
TLT - Ranging for nowLike everything Else the 007s are contending with an aggressive FED which is hell-bent on Full control. Long End 30/20 Cross, Short end muted to heavily Intervened, to put it mildly. Regardless - in Real Terms, Inflation continues to Eat and Feed on everything. ___________________________________________________________________ Even the DX is confused as to where to go and what to do there. Crypto continues to perform its SOAK FUNCTION. Sopping up excess liquidity in order to prevent errant behaviors elsewhere, by example AMC GME NOK and Penny's. ____________________________________________________________________ Keeping everyone and everything in a "Manic State" is working well for them. Not so much for Us...
NASDAQ:TLT
by HK_L61
The Only Trade You Need to Make This Year. #SteeplongendThe long End Of Yield Curve will steepen. Inflation running hot and CB can't hike rates. Nobody will buy 20-30Y. Yields Run, TLT Plummets Double Top with Divergence. Both, fundamentals and Technicals there. This may be the only trade you need to make this year. Everyone will continue to believe inflation is under control until they don't. This is a trade we can actually see happening in front of us but, nobody has this priced in yet.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by CptSafety
19