is the QQQ rally is a repeat of June - August 2021?It looks like a bull market, but so did June - August last year.
QQQ trade ideas
PART 1 SPY QQQ + 7 Mega cap TECH stocks ForecastPART 1 SPY QQQ + 7 Mega cap TECH stocks Forecast Technical Analysis
$QQQ on 4hour Head and shoulders formationNASDAQ:QQQ on 4hour Head and shoulders formation on 4hr and 6hr time frames.
"The head and shoulders chart depicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and signals that an upward trend is nearing its end."
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
Is this a fake head and shoulder? $QQQlast Friday I really really thought we were going to 355 then we rebounded quick. This week we get another opportunity again. I really don't have any bullish set up. I am interested if we break 360 for a nice push to 355.
QQQ: Great Trading Opportunity
QQQ
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
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Swing Trade
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Entry Point - 364.07
Stop Loss - 352.75
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$QQQ -Bears been Missing - Invesco's NASDAQ:QQQ uptrend continues to remain valid, despite last weeks close in red ;
while its series of Higher Highs are now places of buyers interest due to price action retracements.
Price levels to continue acting as Uptrend Supports during Rising
Channel's uptrend resumption.
It would take a catastrophy to plunge the price of NASDAQ:QQQ considering so many
supports below,
while price reversing below the last touch of broken
Trendline Resistance from ATH's seems 'impossible' from Fed's upcoming $USSIRY alone.
Yet, that is still to be seen.
Looking at Invesco NASDAQ:QQQ from ATH,
a Change of Character was spotted on *W(tf).
Zooming on *3D & *D (tf) a Rising Channel pattern seems to be in place,
with its Resistance Trendline being respected from Price Action resulting
to a negative -2.6% drawdown rejection on the last 3D* candlestick print.
TRADE SAFE
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor
before considering partaking any trading activity based solely on this Idea .
$qqq monday plan ✍️Levels that I’m not watching. PML ($363.58) if break bellow I’ll will be waiting and trade the same level as a buyside (breakout only on green candle , white candle breakout I’ll be waiting for the retest ) .. breaker ($365.59) trim level …
Part 1 long term OUTLOOK - QQQ SPY and 7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks Part 1 long term OUTLOOK - QQQ SPY and 7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks
QQQ Hammer on the 4hrStill long here with another hammer candle to show support in the uptrend. Don’t go short until you see it break the diagonal and new horizontal support !
Cheers,
- “Not advice… it’s just how things work.”
Micheal J Burry is not Alone!Who is Micheal J Burry and Why everyone talks about him Today?
Today on most social media pages everyone talks about this news:
Michael Burry just shorted the market with $1.6B
Bought $890M of AMEX:SPY Puts
Bought $740M of NASDAQ:QQQ Puts
This now makes up 93% of his entire portfolio
To me, Michael J Burry is a True Living Legend!
Michael J. Burry is an American investor, hedge fund manager, and physician. He is best known for being among the first investors to predict and profit from the subprime mortgage crisis that occurred between 2007 and 2010.
In 2000, Burry founded the hedge fund Scion Capital. Scion Capital was a very successful hedge fund, and Burry made a lot of money for his investors. However, Scion Capital closed in 2008 after the subprime mortgage crisis.
Michael Burry made a personal profit of $100 million and more than $700 million for his investors during the subprime mortgage crisis. This represents a profit of over 489% for Scion Capital, Burry's hedge fund, between its inception in 2000 and its closure in 2008.
Burry's profit was the result of his bet against the subprime mortgage market. He believed that the market was overvalued and that the housing bubble would eventually burst. He shorted mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are investments that are backed by pools of mortgages. When the housing bubble burst in 2007, the value of MBS plummeted and Burry's bet paid off handsomely.
Burry's bet against the subprime mortgage market was a very risky one. Many investors thought he was crazy, and he was even sued by some of his own investors. However, Burry's bet turned out to be correct, and he made a lot of money for himself and his investors.
Burry's story is a reminder that it is possible to make a lot of money in the stock market by being a contrarian. He was willing to go against the crowd and bet against the subprime mortgage market, even though most investors thought he was wrong. His bet paid off, and he made a lot of money.
From a Statistical point of view, there are lots of similarities between now and November 2021,
Here are some other famous hedge funds that made money from the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007:
John Paulson's Paulson & Co. made a profit of $20 billion during the crisis. Paulson was one of the first investors to bet against the subprime mortgage market, and he made a lot of money when the housing bubble burst.
David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital made a profit of $2 billion during the crisis. Einhorn was also a contrarian investor, and he bet against the subprime mortgage market.
Seth Klarman's Baupost Group made a profit of $1 billion during the crisis. Klarman is a value investor, and he saw the subprime mortgage market as being overvalued.
George Soros is another famous hedge fund manager who made money from the subprime mortgage crisis. Soros's Quantum Fund made a profit of $1.7 billion during the crisis. Soros was one of the first investors to warn about the dangers of the subprime mortgage market, and he bet against the market.
The NAAIM Exposure Index is a measure of the average exposure to US equity markets reported by members of the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM). The index is released weekly on Thursdays. Each week, NAAIM members report their exposure on the stock market using a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 representing 100% cash and 5 representing 100% invested in stocks.
The NAAIM Exposure Index is a contrarian indicator. This means that it tends to move in the opposite direction of the stock market. When the stock market is rising, the NAAIM Exposure Index tends to fall, and when the stock market is falling, the NAAIM Exposure Index tends to rise.
This is because the NAAIM Exposure Index is based on the sentiment of active investment managers. When active investment managers are bullish on the stock market, they tend to increase their exposure to stocks. This drives up the NAAIM Exposure Index. However, when active investment managers are bearish on the stock market, they tend to reduce their exposure to stocks. This drives down the NAAIM Exposure Index.
The NAAIM Exposure Index can be used as a tool to identify potential turning points in the stock market. When the NAAIM Exposure Index is high, it suggests that active investment managers are bullish on the stock market and that a correction may be coming. However, when the NAAIM Exposure Index is low, it suggests that active investment managers are bearish on the stock market and that a rally may be coming.
The NAAIM Exposure Index has been on a downward trend for the past 3 years. In August 2020, the index was at 75.93, which is considered to be a neutral level. However, the index has since fallen to 65.49 in August 2023, which is considered to be a bearish level.
Conclusion:
It is highly likely that Micheal J Burry is not Alone!
QQQ First Target 255$ (-30%) The price has hit an important range in the weekly time frame and has been rejected.
It is also moving downwards in the daily timeframe
The first target with a 30% drop will be $255
And the long-term target will be $195 with a 47% drop
We may get another bounceThe last time we got another push to the upside before it crashed. I may happen again, price still dancing on the uptrend. Nothing is off the table.
This is funnyI pulled the 2 week QQQ chart. Do you see a pattern here? During an uptrend after two consecutive 2-week red candles, the price rallied strongly. It did not do so in downtrends. I guess we will have to wait a couple more weeks to find out if the Nasdaq is going to crash.
Cup & Handle on $QQQLooks like a cup and handle is forming on the monthly for $QQQ. We can see September be another red month and see price hit the mid $350s going into Q4 then see a run into $380s during Q4.
BULLISH WAVE STRUCTURE ALT The bullish alt . is now label if we were to break much more then i would only look for a wave B and then we would rally back in a 5 wave up to a nice rally
