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NVDA trade ideas

NVIDIA and Tesla TechnicalsNVIDIA As much as I want the train to keep moving forward, we are at an inflection point where the bears are starting to really pile in. The bulls are pulling back, and we may experience that -10% S&P correction. Everyone says this would be "healthy" for the markets, which would align in the traditional sense. However, we live in a different time now. With emerging markets and excess capital, companies are healthy. But, the economy is weakening. The Biden Administration has propped up the stock market with faulty "jobs numbers" adding ridiculous amount of government employees to supplement Jots Jobs Reports. Furthermore, this is the time of year for reallocation for major capital holders. Hence, the volatility increase. I fear the Bears are taking advantage of this time to pile on. NVIDIA had an increase of shorted shares by 4.5% in December. If the Bears take over and the bulls pull back NVIDIA will move down to $120 NVIDIA at $120 is inside "The Golden Fibonacci Pocket", a round number, AND the HIGHEST VOLUME Price level for the entire year of 2024. 3 VERY significant technical reasons big money will wait for this $120 level to be reached. It will ALSO be where the Shorts of $139-$140 will cover. This could spawn a V shape recovery from $120 flying HIGH straight to $160 ($4 Trillion Market Cap). Apple is at $3.85 Trillion. NVIDIA currently does more Net income with 30% the Revenue that Apple does. Who will reach $4 Trillion first? TESLA In a much more simple analysis. TESLA is currently testing the 78% Fibonnaci Level. Already flushed through the short time frame "Golden Pocket". So, the 78% Fib is the last line of support for TESLA. The break of the 78% Fib level will be a clear sign of a move down to a lower low, with support being around the bottom of the downtrend channel seen in the chart. IF interested in shorting TESLA is the better one.... currently. However, that could change. I personally will only Day trade SHORTING TESLA looking for the $365 level to start buying in, and dollar cost averaging down. TESLA is here to stay, I'm sure. Same with NVIDIA JUST REMEMBER... Apple has gained 60,000% since 2001.... and I believe NVIDIA is the future. Because, AI is the future. Like smart phones were the future. I believe AI will be bigger than Tele-Communications.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Scottlee74136
$NVDA - Chip-up or taking a breather before another run?NASDAQ:NVDA has been in a long and wide consolidation, rectangle if you like, and has recently shown signs of a determined move up with breahces of the upper channel line. It showed a similar move back around June and july, but was at both instances pushed down by big, red candles. It has gained momentum, both in terms of EMAs and various indicators. If the break of resistance holds, and price keeps moving up, we might be in for a good run. Should (recent) history repeat, we might be looking at $100 once again. Keep in mind, the last visit to this level is only a couple months ago. Personally I am currently short Nvidia (yes, a dangerous place to be..), however I see both directions happening. So my point is look for signs of a break of the high of $144, or a rejection by way of significant red candles and a weakening of volume, RSI, MACD or other indicators you prefer.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by WeRideAtDawn
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean. To summarize: - Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August. - Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support. - Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below. - Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit. - Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall. So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom. If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AdvancedPlays
NVIDIA Breaks Key Support: H&S Pattern Targets $116.10NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA just broke the $131.80 support zone, acting as the neckline for a head and shoulders pattern . Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension level and a convergence cluster of Fibonacci levels. With the bearish butterfly pattern failing by just a few points, a further correction seems likely. As we approach the holiday season, watch for a potential upward trendline support below the convergence cluster—could this be the calm before a deeper dip? NVIDIA (NVDA) broke the $131.80 support zone. Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10,. As we near the holiday season, watch for a possible ascending trendline support below the convergence cluster, which could signal a reversal or continued downside.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Andre_Cardoso
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
NVDA at a Key Level! Trade Setups and GEX Insights for Dec. 181. Daily Chart Overview (1D) * Trend: NVDA has been in a strong downward move but is currently showing signs of potential consolidation after hitting a low of 126.86. * Support/Resistance: * Immediate resistance: 132.55 – a psychological level for a potential breakout. * Major support: 126.86 – a key area where buyers have stepped in. * Volume: The volume has been increasing, suggesting a possible reversal attempt if bulls take control. * Indicators: * MACD: Showing a potential bullish crossover, signaling a momentum shift. * EMA: Price is approaching the 9 EMA. A close above the 9 EMA could validate a reversal toward higher resistance levels. 2. Hourly Chart Overview (1H) * Trend: NVDA broke out of a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal. * Key Levels: * Support: 130 – the breakout level of the wedge. * Resistance: 134 – target area where sellers could return. * Volume: Increasing volume confirms buyer strength near the wedge breakout. * MACD: Positive divergence indicates upside momentum aligning with the breakout signal. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights * Key GEX Levels: * 135: Highest positive Gamma (CALL Wall), acting as strong resistance. * 128: PUT Support (negative gamma), which served as a critical support level. * Gamma Activity: * CALL walls dominate above 135 and 140, signaling heavy hedging activity and potential upward momentum. * Strong PUT walls at 128 and 124 show where buyers previously defended NVDA. * Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR: 29.7% (implying moderately elevated volatility). * IVx: 51.8% (implied move for the week). * CALLs: 64% of the volume. * GEX: Bullish bias, indicating a potential move higher if price holds above key levels. Trade Setups 1. Intraday Scalping * Entry: Long above 130.50 with confirmation. * Target: 132.50–133.00. * Stop-Loss: Below 129.00. 2. Swing Trade Setup * Entry: Long on a confirmed break of 132.55. * Target: 135.00–140.00 (CALL walls). * Stop-Loss: Below 130.00 (support zone). Conclusion NVDA is showing bullish signs after breaking out of a falling wedge pattern. With support from rising volume, bullish momentum on MACD, and key GEX levels indicating resistance at 135, traders can look for a potential short-term upside move. Key levels to watch are 130–135, with stops placed strategically to manage risk. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. Let me know if you need further adjustments! 🚀
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Understanding Market Dynamics: When Effort Meets Resistance and volume dynamics. For instance, there are moments when stocks rise with high volume, yet the price barely moves. This phenomenon can be a critical signal for traders, reflecting the market's internal mechanics. In general, there are four key states to observe in the relationship between price and volume: High Volume, Low Price Movement – A potential sign of resistance or distribution. Low Volume, High Price Movement – Indicates lack of conviction or speculative activity. High Volume, High Price Movement – Suggests strength or accumulation. Low Volume, Low Price Movement – Reflects consolidation or market indecision. These dynamics highlight the importance of not just looking at price charts, but truly understanding the story they tell. Sometimes, the market signals "buy" during peak momentum, but soon after, prices find their way downward effortlessly, leaving behind effort without result—a classic sign of exhaustion or distribution phases. Take NVIDIA as an example. While I currently avoid trading it due to its strong fundamental standing and lack of immediate alternatives, sometime fools can become smart when it's punpy ride. the chart itself reveals fascinating patterns. These patterns often follow the laws of physics—momentum, inertia, and resistance—all playing out visually in the markets. Remember, this is not trading advice but an invitation to explore how combining technical and fundamental analysis can provide deeper insights into market behavior. Every trader should develop their own system and evaluate risk accordingly. i don't know if it will go up or down, but as i see from the behavior of the price i can only guess :) let's find out
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BarakSapir
NVDA in H&S & falling wedge patterns, and potential ST supportsNASDAQ:NVDA Swing Trading Bearish short-term (no position) but bullish medium-long term. Current Patterns First, we see the price crossing the neckline of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on daily chart. The target price is at 110$, but not sure we reach this level. A close below the neckline would strongly confirm the bearish move with good volume. This is a good setup for short selling investors. Additionally, there is a falling wedge forming (as shown in the chart), which is a potential bullish reversal pattern once it breaks up. This will be interesting to watch. If the downtrend continues, the 20MA crossing below the 50MA on the daily chart, known as a death cross , would be a strong bearish signal. This indicates that the price is likely to face further downward pressure, as it reflects weakening short-term momentum compared to the longer-term trend. Historically, a death cross is associated with the beginning of sustained declines in price.To confirm this, watch for the daily close to solidify the crossover and be alert for other bearish indicators like the RSI and MACD showing continued weakness. Strong support levels are found at $130, which acted as resistance in August, and the 100-day moving average (MA) on the daily timeframe at $127.90. What I am watching for the next bull run Volume has shown a slight increase, surpassing the 20-day moving average (MA) of volume yesterday, indicating growing interest. Today's close will be key to confirming the validity of the H&S pattern. Momentum indicators are bearish , with RSI under 39 and MACD in the red. However, I remain bullish on the short- and medium-term, so I’m watching for strong support levels and a potential reversal signal (RSI up, MACD green) with a solid bull volume. What's crucial now is patience—I won’t enter when signals are bearish, and the next bullish setup isn't in place yet. www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EmmaInvests
NVIDIA: Fib Fractal MappingConsidering all those observed fractal patterns from: A fractal to narrow in would be: Let's unfold: This means we have identified scalable structural basis. Fibonacci Mapping Validation of Metrics via Resonation: Validation of Fibonacci channel tilt: Fractals of Previous Cycle: Scalable Fractals: Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
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