CELH - +67% upside with 1:3 RRLooks oversold and has had good earnings reports in the last 3 quarters.
nice mean reversion to fib 0.50 level anticipated.
CELH trade ideas
Celcius: Swing Trade Idea 3+ Months TFCelcius
Greetings Everyone ,
I believe this is a good ticker to have on your watchlist. It has shown massive moves both to the upside and to the downside. I would like for this company to showcase increase revenue growth & stability in its marketplace.
Price has been on a massive descent however this does not mean we should be buying it.
We will not bottom fish! we will add to winners and cut losers asap.
To paraphrase William O Neil the worse mistake an investor can make is to buy the dip on a stock that keeps dipping, soon you will run out of money.
Trade Ideas 💡
- I would like the price work itself out right now potentially building an accumulation zone / box.
- Stronger S&R levels.
- I would also like to see change in volume (volume spikes)
- We need to make sure someone big is showing interest and we can follow their footsteps.
- Trading Strategies reversal patterns inverse head and shoulders / Bullish Engulfisj at major levels.
To summarize:
I will be paying closer attention during earnings season to see if anything changes in price and structure.
Thanks,
C Lemard
Ticker: Celsius Elliot Wave Reference Model
Here’s a reference model for Elliot wave & the 5 Motive Waves .
This is ticker NASDAQ:CELH
Please leave a like 👍 & a positive comment.
Studying for success
Assuming you had correctly identified the wave you were in, you could have protected your capital from significant losses. Celsius’ price plummeted from $99 to below $28, a sharp drop that highlights the importance of wave analysis in safeguarding your investments. This strategy & screening methodology can serve as a valuable addition to your trading toolkit.
It’s currently 3 a.m. in Toronto, and I’ve spent the last three hours trying to solve this puzzle. 🧩
This is an Extended Wave 3 count.
While other primary waves can extend, this is most common wave to extend.
That means this charting principle & identification technique will work majority of the time at least on equities. Other assets have varying chart rules.
Step 1: Identifying Wave 3
- Look for RSI in overbought territory (70+).
- Switch to the highest time frame and identify the highest RSI level on both the price chart and RSI indicator.
- This price area often coincides with the highest volume. Highlight the highest volume bars on your chart for confirmation.
- Mark this point as Wave 3 and then work backward to identify the preceding waves.
Step 2: Identifying Primary Wave 1
& primary wave 2
As you are aware primary wave 1 is the first of the primary wave. Find an area on a chart where price has declined significantly and has created an accumulation box. Mark out the strongest impulse from the box, this should signify wave 1. Wave 1 can be seen as the start of the major move.
- Perform a visual scan of the ticker you’re analyzing:
- Identify and mark accumulation zones using a rectangular box.
- A strong price breakout from an accumulation zone typically signifies the start of Wave 1.
- If you’ve already identified Wave 3, you’ll notice Wave 1 is connected to it by a retracement (Primary Wave 2). This relationship should make Wave 1 & 2 &3 (sub 3)easier to spot.
Step 3 Primary Wave 3 / Sub wave 4 Retracement & final wave 3
- Wave 3(4) Extension: This retracement might appear to be a Primary Wave 4, but it’s actually the final wave before the extended Wave 3(5). Confusing? I know! Wave extensions are complex. Pay close attention to RSI levels to accurately judge this subwave.
Quick Tip: Use the Fibonacci extension tool:
1. Drag from the bottom of Primary Wave 1 to the top.
2. Then drag again to the end of Primary Wave 2.
3. This will mark the 1.618 level, which is often where Subwave 3 of Primary Wave 3 ends. This is the highest price point before Subwave 4’s deep or flat retracement.
• Now that you’ve identified Subwave 3 and Subwave 4, you can confirm the Primary Wave 3, which connects to Subwave 4. This will be the next impulse.
Step 4 Identifying Wave 4
- Notice the next major accumulation / basing pattern / deep retracement after primary wave 3. Done!
Very nice!
Step 5: Identifying Wave 5
Similarly to how wave 1 connect to 2 wave 4 connect to wave 5.
Done !
b]Final Mentions
Point 1
- Notice M pattern extended wave 3(5) aka ( wave 3 final) and primary 5. (M) pattern often called double top.
Point 2
- Notice the connections of both the top & bottoms of waves 3(5) and primary 5.
Creates a symmetrical triangle pattern which would flash warning signs before the huge price descent.
Point 3
- Notice the RSI where you think a new wave started it was just a sub wave in an extensions or a higher time degree Elliot wave.
Point 4( can be seen on 4hour time frame)
Note the head & shoulder which triggered & signified the end of wave 🌊 sent price from
$98 to $26.
That is it for this tutorial / reference guide.
Please leave a like and a positive comment this took lots of time. If you got to this Part drop your favourite emoji in the chat there are mine : 🌊🤝🎯
Thanks,
C Lemard
$CELHGreen: Entry Point
Blue: Start of Week
Red: End of Week
Thumbs Up: Trade Available for Week
Numbers: Price Targets
*For share traders only. Not meant for options.
Celsius Closer to fair value, 121 by 2033 or soonerCELH celsius is down over 70% now.
EPS expected for 2025 is 1.00 eps.
at a 25 pe multiple, 2025 fair value could be 25.00.
Stock is roughly at a fair price assuming it keeps its 25% annual growth over multiple years.
Multiplying all expected EPS numbers by 25 pe multiple, table shows that stock should be worth 122 by 2033 with a possible 4.84 eps in the future.
If the stock rises over 100 within the next 5 years, which is highly possible,
the cagr return would be over 30% and more than 300% from here.
Celsius Holdings | CELH | Long at $30.00Celcius Holdings NASDAQ:CELH suffered quite a drop over the last 5 months, but it was highly overvalued. While I still view it as fairly overvalued with a P/E of 28x, it's reporting itself as a healthy company, almost no debt, with a bright growth future. Going into earnings, it could have a nice run, but I am staying highly cautious.
From a technical analysis perspective, it fell through my selected long-term simple moving average (white line) and may have a nice bounce from here off the next major support level (blue lines) into earnings. If it does, I expect resistance near $40. Thus, at $30.00, NASDAQ:CELH is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $39.50
Target #2 = $43.00
Target #3 = $47.00
Target #4 = $72.00 (long-term view if no recession...)
I LOST ON CELSIUS! HERE'S WHY!!!NASDAQ:CELH
In this video, I go over my losing trade on Celsius Holdings. It's important to talk about our wins and losses, as they all matter in the grand scheme of things. If you want to be a profitable trader, you need not lie to yourself.
Let me know what your last loss was and what you learned from it in the comments.
CELH BottomI'm calling a bottom here on CELH. Either boom or bust territory so an entry should be reasonably sized. If we are right though the gains will be significant so no need for too big an entry. Even daily accumulation is a good strategy down here. Get out if new lows are made. Lets see if the market turns here.
$CELH HAS BOTTOMED, YOU'VE BEEN WARNED! BIG MOVE INBOUND!NASDAQ:CELH HAS BOTTOMED!
3 reasons why:
1.) Breakout of the consolidation box on the Williams R% to the upside.
2.) MACD bullish cross upward after bottoming
3.) Trend has already crossed to bullish and pushing higher (Trend moves faster than MACD.
Get ready!
They report on Wed. and in my opinion the only thing to stop this BULL from running would be dog 💩#earnings
NFA
AMEX:IWM #tradingstrategy #TradingInsights
I believe Celsius ($CELH) has finally bottomed! Here's WHYNASDAQ:CELH
Is NASDAQ:CELH next on the #HIGHFIVESETUP Earnings Hit List?! 🗒️🖊️
- Fundamental analysis with a look at Celsius in my Valuation Analyzer
- Higher Five Setup trading strategy
- Taking a look at the Williams R% and how it just showed it's hand
This could be a game-changer! 📈💥
LIKE | COMMENT | SHARE
#Earnings #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #CELH
11/5/24 - $celh - No edge. Pains me to sit this Q out.11/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CELH
No edge. Pains me to sit this out.
- trading this thing around and following the FUD all over social media has me confused. i'll admit.
- on one hand, these things are flying off the shelves and scanner data looks great (that's sell thru!)
- on the other hand, i've been seeing a lot of discounting
- on the other OTHER hand (yes i have three hands), clearly NASDAQ:PEP is trying to get thru over-ordered inventory esp into a non-summer season in north america which might inform the sell thru
- google trends is waning, though this isn't the type of purchase that typically shows up as being super high signal on google trends... when have you googled "where to get a Coke" as an example, but nonetheless it's part of my due diligence mosaic
- now the latest we hear from mgmt is they're looking to build own capacity. honestly, that's more of a positive than a negative, given there's clearly enough reason to start pulling this inhouse and not letting NASDAQ:PEP jerk the brand to their whim
- on the other hand, this will cost $... capex dollars... at a time when NASDAQ:PEP is also probably not going to re-stock big (or go smaller) into the winter time period... and where Int'l launch while i'm sure it's going well (let's be honest those flavors are rockin')... is probably also low margin.
- so you're facing a quarter where there's likely to be a lot of 'splaining and taking a position tuesday night into elections is also whack enough
- let's say margins come in weak, they say "growth step down b/c pep means this is the bottom"... in a lot of ways, you buy that dip if it dips, but it *will* dip, because the market is hating stuff that's not just beating and raising. in fact it's only shipping things higher that are crushing and raising. this is very hard for me to believe with $celh.
- and valuation at high 20s PE while in a LT context for this brand is NOT expensive IMVHO and LSD fcf yield is "good enough", it's just too much risk into this print.
- on the person fronts, as those of you who follow me know, i've had some nice wins lately w/ the OTC:GDLC then NASDAQ:NXT crush, after some big wins earlier this year too. I LIKE TO GO BIG. often when i'm tip toeing around is where i lose focus, and i trade poorly.
- so a bit of this move is my own situation heading into election night, feeling unclear what's happening here, having not too much confidence in mgmt's ability to communicate even if nothing's wrong but the quarter's meh.
- if this ships, it ships. after the result... who knows. maybe i jump back on if/when this thing is up 10%. i doubt it.
- the options chain is also fairly locked up in the low 30s here so a move beyond $33-34 would take some real surprise (good surprise).
- my best guess is this thing trades lower. probably not in the low 20s like the bears are expecting, probably not even in the mid 20s, but 26-27-28 not out of the question.
- let's see. alas, idk the future, so i go with high conviction bets. and this one leaves me so confused into the print in such a weird risk week for the US... that i'd rather act with high cash balance (nearly 45% of my stack RN! and i'm long calls on a lot of things... will write later... to fill up my exposure)
lmk how you see it. i'd love to gain more clarity on this b/c i would also love to hold it long term near the lows
V
Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) - Comprehensive Stock 1. Company Overview & Industry Outlook
Celsius Holdings, Inc., a leader in the functional beverage industry, focuses on producing and distributing energy drinks and health-oriented beverages that cater to fitness-conscious consumers. The company's growth is driven by the increasing demand for healthier lifestyle options, as consumers shift from traditional sugary drinks to functional and energy-boosting alternatives. This market trend, supported by heightened awareness of health and wellness, provides a strong tailwind for Celsius in the energy drinks sector, which is expected to see continued expansion globally.
2. Financial Performance & Earnings Outlook
Latest Earnings (Q2 2024):
EPS: $0.29
Return on Equity (ROE): 70.73%
Gross Profit Margin: 52.02%
Quick Ratio: 3.73
Current Ratio: 4.43
Return on Investment (ROI): 19.58%
Net Profit Margin: 19.85%
Celsius has demonstrated impressive profitability metrics, with a high ROE and ROI that reflect efficient capital use and strong operational performance. The gross profit margin of over 50% highlights robust pricing power and cost management.
Earnings Forecast:
2024 FY: Forecasted EPS at $0.78, gross income of $1.40B, and EBIT of $258.35M.
2025 FY: Forecasted EPS at $0.98, gross income of $1.63B, and EBIT of $329.86M.
2026 FY: Forecasted EPS at $1.23, gross income of $1.89B, and EBIT of $427.32M.
The forecast shows steady growth in both revenue and earnings, indicating confidence in the company's ongoing expansion. Projected EPS growth is indicative of improved profitability, supporting the notion of a positive earnings trajectory in the coming years.
3. Stock Trend Analysis & Capital Flow
Recent Price: $31.48 (as of Nov 3, 2024)
Support Level: $31.40
Resistance Level: $33.60
Average Cost: $34.85
Capital Flow (Recent Days):
Inflow: Significant, with $68.74M in inflow and $57.82M in outflow on the latest day, suggesting a net positive capital movement.
5-Day Summary: Mixed with days of strong inflows (e.g., 10-30 at $4.03M) and outflows (e.g., 10-29 at -$7.81M).
The support and resistance levels indicate the price range where the stock might find buying and selling pressures, respectively. The overall inflow is relatively strong, suggesting some bullish sentiment, though recent volatility in capital flow indicates fluctuating investor confidence.
4. Analyst Ratings & Target Price
Target Price: Average target of $44.87, with a low of $26 and a high of $68.
Analyst Recommendations: 15 analysts cover CELH, with 5 “Strong Buy,” 9 “Buy,” 4 “Hold,” and 1 “Underperform” ratings.
Analysts have a generally optimistic outlook on Celsius, with the average target price of $44.87 indicating a potential upside from the current levels. The range in price targets reflects different growth assumptions and market conditions, but the high number of “Buy” and “Strong Buy” ratings highlights positive sentiment.
5. Recent News & Sentiment Analysis
Bullish News: The company's continuous innovation in product offerings and expansion into new markets has garnered positive attention, with Celsius capitalizing on growing demand for energy drinks that align with health trends.
Bearish News: Rising competition in the energy and functional beverage market could challenge Celsius’s growth pace. Furthermore, any increase in production costs or supply chain disruptions might impact profit margins.
The balance of news appears slightly bullish due to strong brand positioning and market expansion, though competitive pressures and operational challenges remain factors to monitor.
Conclusion & Outlook
Celsius Holdings is well-positioned to benefit from industry growth in the health-oriented beverage market. With a strong financial foundation, favorable earnings outlook, and positive analyst sentiment, the stock presents a solid case for growth. However, potential investors should consider market volatility, competitive risks, and industry dynamics.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor and conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
I want to believe Inverse head and shoulders are on the way
Earnings will come soon
Celsius is super growth stock
CELHCELH tanked by more than 70% off the ATH. IMO this is the appropriate place to long it.
RSI triple divergence, smaller time frame looks bullish. Also with a starter today.
I don't place SL here, just risking 0,5% of my portfolio for the total position at this point.
Trade safe
Celsius ($CELH) is FINALLY BOTTOMING. NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY! NASDAQ:CELH is FINALLY BOTTOMING?! NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY!
5 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ It's a "High Five Setup"
3⃣ It's a BUY according to my Valuation Metric Tool (4/6 score)
4⃣ Growth Beast! Beaten down over 40% this year
5⃣ Find out by watching. 👇
Video analysis 5/5. Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Will Celsius finally get back on track with their growth or be defeated by the Goliath Monster?!
Sorry for the pauses in the middle of the video; my dog came in and was about to start howling 🐶🤣
Not financial advice.
Predicting price movement is a stressful feat. You can be waiting 14 days for the perfect entry and or setup & the broad market sells off triggering a wash of your trading plan.
It’s the constant reiteration and reformulation that makes one a good trader. Look to be one of the best trader someday.
Celsius Energizes a PushCELH is gaining strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $30.00 level. A breakout above the $48.00 resistance would confirm continued strength, setting the stage for a move toward the $68.50 weekly resistance. With an impressive 5.92 risk-to-reward ratio, this trade presents a great opportunity for investors, while a stop-loss at $28.00 ensures downside protection.
Celsius continues to expand its market share in the fast-growing functional beverage sector, driven by increasing demand for health-conscious energy drinks. With strategic distribution partnerships, including PepsiCo, and rising brand visibility among fitness-conscious consumers, CELH is positioned for both short-term momentum and long-term growth.
With both technical and fundamental tailwinds, CELH’s path toward $68.50 looks achievable, making this a compelling opportunity for investors.
NASDAQ:CELH
CELH is looking bullish now bounce from important support zone, downtrend breaking on the weekly chart and lots of volume coming in after hours and pre market every session lately
I think we can see a rally to 46-80 targets from here 🎯
boost and follow for more ❤️🔥
$CELH INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER- EASY 40 DOLLAR COMING!The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is a significant reversal indicator that appears at the conclusion of a downtrend.
**** Fair Value: $43.10 Trading at 24.7% below our estimate of its fair value!!!
+Earnings are projected to grow 16.53% per year. The company's expansion into international markets and the launch of new flavors demonstrate its growth potential and efforts to increase consumer interest.
NASDAQ:CELH Engages in the development, processing, marketing, distribution, and sale of functional energy drinks and liquid supplements across the United States, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific region, and internationally.
BUY NOW BEFORE YOU REGRET!
CELH range before continuationCelsius had a nice pivot around my entry time, this is likely on neutral/positive Pepsi statements during their earnings. I expect the stock to test the 20 EMA on the daily and this narrow demand zone. There is a fair amount of resistance around 35-36$ but my initial PT remains. Note rising volume, this is very important for sentiment shift.
My plan:
I will sell my 40$ Jan 25' calls at 38$
I will sell my 35$ June calls if we see euphoria in the coming months
I will unload my 2026 leaps around 50$
I purposefully choose options on stocks I see a potential pivot or value swing on, but am not confident on enough long term, this boosts my yearly returns if I am correct, the downside limit of options is also appealing to me
Celsius - Short-term bottom reboundNASDAQ:CELH is looking at a possible bottom rebound after strong volume supporting the break out of the downtrend line. We believe that the stock is eyeing 60.00 in the mid-term. Ichimoku shows two out of three bullish crossover and Stochastic has shown oversold crossover. Furthermore, the 23-period ROC shows a bullish divergence.
Good options activity There is a lot of movement in call options for majority of expiration dates.
IV levels are the lowest for the 28 strike. Calls expiring 10-11 or 10-18 with a strike between 28-30 should be the safest and most profitable contracts if it goes in our favor.
