AMDExpecting AMD to fall below $120 price low into FVG AT $113ish. Will be expecting bullish price action to trigger buys.
AMD trade ideas
$AMD - Buy The Dip!Here are some value areas to grab some NASDAQ:AMD if you have been looking to get in or if you want to add on more. If it drops to these levels... this is the "load up" zone.
12/20/24 - $amd - upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view12/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMD
upside > downside at $120 taking a 1Y view
- tough call here b/c sentiment is so stretched
- thought this take was a pretty sober take on the situation and paints a really interesting angle. tl;dr that amd has something special and we've not yet seen the extent of their stretching their wings
x.com
- i'd point out at low 20s PE and PE growth in the 30-40%+ range (make up a number) and a king of x86 and starting to do cool things in asics... that's not expensive.
- looking at stock on it's NASDAQ:SMH (semis index) pair shows it's now had about a 50% drawdown.
- where's the bottom V? i don't know. but i'd guess sub 20x PE is probably where it'd shake out and that's about 15-20% lower and puts the stock at $100. and on the upside, multi-year view, the stock should compound EPS at a pt where you'd probably realistically say it should trade at 30x next year and hold or even expand that multiple into '27. so that's probably $150 conservatively and compounding toward $200 stock by YE '27. discounted back that puts you in the >$150 but below $200 as we look into next year.
- got busy with some Jan 17 2025 $110C's for about $12 bucks to force myself to go deeper on the name. and this is a rough tape, so i've been keeping my cash balance high and remain with high conviction cash generators in my book like NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NYSE:UBER (and i remain liking NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:NVDA but admittedly have been trading them pretty high frequency). of course i like OTC:GDLC , OTC:BITW too but also keeping those light. so NASDAQ:AMD provides an interesting oppty to add the x86 factor to my top 3 semis names. let's call NASDAQ:AMD added to my list of 4 buyable stocks NYSE:TSM > NASDAQ:NVDA > NASDAQ:AVGO > $amd. and given the move in NASDAQ:AVGO recently it's debatable whether NASDAQ:AMD offers better MT r/r, but the narrative/ tailwind for NASDAQ:AVGO is certainly stronger and has the momentum factor working well for it.
what do u think?
V
Is $AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?Is NASDAQ:AMD a massive buy opportunity for 2025?
AMD is doing great financially/fundamentally with chips that is 2nd to NVDA. In addition, their data center revenues are growing exponentially.
It is a probably a great buying opportunity here at $121 going into 2025.
The key is whether it can rise above 134.27-143.90
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(AMD 1M chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the 139.15 section.
If not, and it falls, it can fall until it meets the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, so be careful.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise after receiving support near 134.27-143.90.
If not,
1st: 108.10
2nd: 81.99
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
However, if you meet the HA-Low indicator while the decline is in progress, the support near that area is an important issue.
It is expected to create an upward wave if it rises above 177.25-180.49.
-
(1D chart)
It is currently located near the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 130.24-153.60.
If not, there is a high possibility of falling to the point mentioned above, so caution is required when trading.
-
What we need to look at is whether the HA-Low indicator turns upward.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator is created means that a low point has been formed.
However, since it does not mean that a bottom section has been formed, it can be seen that a bottom section is likely to be formed only if it shows an upward trend after the HA-Low indicator is created.
Therefore, you can buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator.
However, you need to consider whether the bottom point of the HA-Low indicator box can be designated as a stop loss point.
-
If the HA-Low indicator rises, the trend will be determined again by touching the HA-High indicator.
In other words, if it rises above the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
However, if it fails to rise, there is a possibility that it will meet the HA-Low indicator again.
- It slowly creates waves by moving sideways within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range, or
- It creates an upward wave by rising above the HA-High indicator, or
- It creates a downward wave by falling below the HA-Low indicator.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24
NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50
NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50
NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50
NASDAQ:AMD Trends:
NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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AMD yearly open failAll of those investors this year are waiting to get paid. AMD needs to prove what it's made of before 2025 hit!
AMD Harmonic Swing LongHigher timeframe potential WXYXZ correction pattern. With Z coming in between 88 and 105. Higher timeframe harmonic target of D again between 88 and 105. Invalidation of the corrective pattern and harmonic would be going above 187 first.
AMD - A strong compettitor in the AI&Bluechip business.Hi Investors our next stop is the fantastic company Advanced Micro Devices. Currently the stock had a tremendeous year, and afterward took a very bad beating , which pushed the price to it's current level which is a strong support at the moment. From a technical perspective is the strong support should attract a lot of buyers at this stage to push our boundries to some of our targets.Additionally the RSI is quite low so I can see an ascending channel formulating.
Fundamentals : AMD has seen impressive growth, driven by it's competetive produts liek Ry zen and EPYC processors, which have gained significant market share. The company's focus on innovation in areas liek data centers AI and high performance computing positions it well for future and stable growth ahead. Their strong financial performance and continuied makret expansion makes AMD a promising investment in the tech sector.
Entry already active I have bought 1,000 shares at : 129.50$
Target 1: 144.09$
Target 2: 159.85$
Target 3: 174.89$
Target 4: 191.01$ (If we have enough buying power to cross / break the Strong resistance level at 174.89$, but I will confirm nor deny once we get close to that area if we would be able to acquire the final target)
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #5 - AMD Major Trend BreakMy personal sentiment for the market overall right now is bullish for the shorter term, which you can probably see in my ideas the last few weeks. CPI is tomorrow and there's strong potential for downside, so I'll make one bearish idea for the top 5 this week.
AMD has been the red headed step child of semis this year, kind of sad to see. Now it has a major trend break here, with this trendline starting back in 2022. Not a good look at all. This is a longer term chart, final downside target would be all the way down near $74, but there's plenty of potential supports along the way.
I think this will be a good name to short if the market turns bearish and if we rally, it could be a good short in the near future on a retest of this trendline. If it rallies back up for a retest that would be the first one and this is a major one so I'd say the probability of a fail on the first retest would be very high.
A possible Scenario!The chart shows the asset's historical price action, with several notable price points and patterns annotated. These annotations seem to represent potential support and resistance levels, as well as possible future price targets or trajectories.
Short term mix
longterm down
$AMD - Potential Buy around $93.40, $82Making a very clean ABCDE pattern.
Lines up with 0.786 fib retracement and previous history of reversing after 11 months down. (Plus January can be very bullish)
Can possibly dip all the way down to $82 (HTF POC)
AMD LONGlooking at lots of semi strength with a nice AVGO beat looking for some buyers to come in and pick up AMD. there's a small gap above $135 so I'm going to buy 12/20 $140s trimming most at $137. but I'm also looking at this as a good long term buying opportunity so will grab some shares or $165 calls 2/20
AMD Trade Idea: Big Move Coming Soon?AMD is trading in a triangle pattern, meaning it’s building up for a possible big move. This is a setup where we watch for a breakout or breakdown to decide the next direction.
Why AMD Is Worth Watching:
Tight Range: AMD is stuck between key levels, and a breakout could mean strong momentum.
Growing Industry: AMD is a big player in AI and chips, which are hot sectors right now.
Potential Catalysts: News about AI products or market strength could push AMD higher.
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: Above $150, it could climb toward $180 or higher.
Buy Zone: Around $133, with strong support near $121. Below $121 could mean more downside.
AMD 3 Day Bear FlagI believe AMD has just completed a Bear Flag on the 3 day time frame and if it plays out then possible price targets would be $110-$115.
Share your thoughts.
amd isnt looking so hot. Important zone now!if AMD doesnt hold this level, the 200 ema on the week chart, we could be in a much stronger bear market on AMD. watch this level coul dbea good key level for options trading! the indicators are saying that its about to bounce but price and volume are more important. so we will see some time next week!
The #1 Reason The Market Crashed It's almost impossible to believe this
Market crash! But it's
Happening I remember
Reading a newsletter by a trading veteran.
And he kept comparing the price of NASDAQ:NVDA
To the late 2000's stock market bubble
And he kept commenting on how this bubble will end.
The stock market had a flash crash ⬇️
And this is a signal that the A.I. Boom
Is over.
Now does this mean that the A.I. technology has no use?
Not at all.It just means where are in a 🐻 bear market.
And this market may last for the next 6months.
Also this gives me a chance to share the 🚀 Rocket booster strategy.
Look at this Chart NASDAQ:AMD
It has 3 Steps:
==
#1-The price has to be below the 50 EMA
#2-The price has to be below the 200 EMA
#3-The price has to gap down
==
Now that last step is the key to this strategy the "gap" is basically price action.
To learn more about price action please study about candlestick patterns
This will give you a boost to understanding your entry and exits
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
Also use a simulation trading account before you use real money
Amd broke down $15 agoBut if you're looking to get long i outlined some big levels below (green horizontals). I'd be a buyer around $100, at that price the valuation looks pretty good.
AMD Is it really as 'dead' as it looks?Advanced Micro Devices / AMD is down -45% since their March 2024 All Time High and the market appears to be quickly losing faith on the stock.
However, this is not the first time we've encountered such decline on this stock as the exact same Channel Down that had a drop of -42% also took place during the previous Bull Cycle.
In fact this is what we called the mid Bull Cycle accumulation Channel and as you see in both patterns, the 1week MA100 supported. On the 2017/18 case, it kickstarted a rebound to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
It is amazing to see that even the Bear Cycles that preceded those Channels (2022 and 2014/15), they declined by the same amount (-66.41%).
So for now the 1week MA100 is supporting the November-December consolidation and this is the 1nd time it has since the August 5th low.
Once the 1week RSI hits 38.00 again (like it did on March 26th 2018), it will be the ultimate time to buy again but being so close to it right now, you can start buying even now.
Target 350.00 (little under the 1.382 Fib).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
AMD Consolidation for Further UpsideAMD is currently consolidating after retest of its 2 years low at $133-135 level. While the AI and semiconductor is booming after strong labor and economic data, AMD is still with within its consolidation wedge as shown in the graph. If current tech trend continues with a strong Santa Claus rally, AMD is like to trend upwards to rest its resistance at the $150 level. We'd love to see a breakout to the $150 level and a further upside to the $175-185 resistance level is likely. Downside is limited to the $133 level. Given the current price at $140 level, the play could yield at R/R around 1:5. However, the trend is still forming and a breakout is not evident. We will need to further increase in MACD and RSI to help with the breakout.
Trading Strategy for AMD and QCOM1. Fibonacci Retracement:
AMD: The chart shows Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent peak to the trough. Key levels are around 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
Entry Points: Look for buying opportunities at the 38.2% and 50% retracement levels, which historically act as strong support zones where price often reverses.
Exit Points: Set targets around the 23.6% retracement level or the previous high, considering volume and momentum.
QCOM: Similar Fibonacci strategy applies. Identify retracement levels from recent highs to lows.
Entry: Buy at 38.2% or 50% if the price shows reversal patterns like bullish engulfing or hammer at these levels.
Exit: Aim for the 23.6% level or previous resistance zones.
2. Market Segment Analysis:
AMD: Given its position in the semiconductor industry, especially with advancements in AI and gaming, AMD's price movements can be influenced by tech sector trends, competitor news, and broader market sentiment towards tech stocks.
Strategy: Keep an eye on industry news, competitor earnings, and broader market indices like NASDAQ for correlation.
QCOM: As a key player in mobile technology and IoT, QCOM's stock can be influenced by mobile device sales cycles, 5G adoption rates, and regulatory news concerning its licensing model.
Strategy: Monitor global smartphone market trends, regulatory news, and advancements in 5G/6G technology for potential impact on stock price.
3. Risk Management:
Stop Losses: Place stop losses below the last significant low for long positions or above significant highs for shorts, adjusted for volatility.
Position Sizing: Ensure no single trade risks more than 1-2% of your total trading capital to manage risk effectively.
4. Integration with Other Tools:
Volume Analysis: Use volume spikes to confirm trend strength or potential reversals.
Earnings Reports: Both stocks are sensitive to earnings. Plan trades around these events, considering options for less risk if expecting volatility.
This strategy leverages technical analysis with Fibonacci retracement for entry/exit points, aligns with broader market trends, and considers segment-specific news for AMD and QCOM, aiming for a balanced approach between technical precision and fundamental awareness.
