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STLAM trade ideas

STELLANTIS (STLAM): Opportunity or crisis? Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares submitted his resignation to the board of directors chaired by John Elkann, which accepted it. The announcement had come last October that Tavares would lead the carmaker until 2026, helping the company in its search for a new CEO. However, falling profits and the company's collapse on the stock market led the parties to an immediate separation. The price of Stellantis has fallen by more than 50% over the past year reaching 2022 price levels. The RSI technical indicator suggests a bullish divergence that could indicate a recovery in the short-medium term. Volatility is high and is around levels considered to be high volatility, which could suggest a cooling of the price decline and a temporary recovery. Assuming a bullish scenario in which today's news is read positively by investors, the price could point to two different levels €15 and €20. Instead, negative investor sentiment could drive the price towards the €10 level. And what do you think about Stellantis? Will you use this drop to accumulate new shares or will you go short?
MIL:STLAM
by thequantscience
"STLA" (Stellantis) Buy Opportunity at Strong SupportTicker: NYSE:STLA (Stellantis) Long Entry: Near current support level Target: All-Time High (ATH) , could be splitted Stop-Loss: Just below current LOW Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:24 Analysis: Stellantis (STLA) has pulled back to a strong historical support level, aligning with an old bullish trendline that has served as a base for previous upward movements. This confluence of technical factors indicates a solid area for potential long entries with limited downside. The current setup offers an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:24, as we're positioned near support with a clear path to the last higher high at the ATH level. As long as support holds, a move towards ATH is likely, fueled by a reactivation of the prior bullish momentum. Key Notes: Risk management is crucial: The close stop-loss limits downside exposure, and the target offers substantial reward potential. Confirmation on support strength would reinforce the setup, adding confidence to the upside. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NYSE:STLALong
by PattRec
2
Stellantis (STLA) Plunges Amid Profit Warning and Market TurmoilStellantis (NYSE: NYSE:STLA ), the parent company of iconic brands such as Chrysler and Jeep, is facing a stormy outlook as the global automotive market is hammered by competition and declining industry dynamics. On Monday, the company shocked the market by issuing a profit warning and slashing its fiscal 2024 outlook, sending its stock plummeting by over 13% in early trading. The North American Menace At the heart of Stellantis' woes lies a deteriorating North American market. The company announced it is accelerating the reduction of its bloated North American inventory, a move driven by excess supply of Jeep Wranglers and Grand Cherokees. The company’s fiscal 2024 adjusted operating income margin, previously expected to reach double-digit levels, has been revised down to a modest 5.5% to 7.0%. Competition from Chinese automakers has intensified, further complicating Stellantis’ efforts to stabilize its North American operations. Add to that the pressure from labor disputes, with the United Auto Workers (UAW) threatening a potential walkout, and Stellantis is being forced to make tough decisions to survive. The company's effort to "normalize" its inventory aims to reduce dealer stock to 330,000 units by the end of 2024, an earlier-than-planned move to balance supply and demand. While such a shift is necessary, it also underscores deeper systemic challenges faced by Stellantis (NYSE: NYSE:STLA ) in a sluggish automotive industry. Key Risks: - Increased competition from Chinese EV makers. - Rising labor issues with UAW votes looming on potential strikes. - Legal challenges, including a class-action lawsuit for alleged securities fraud, which further tarnishes investor confidence. Technical Analysis The technical landscape for Stellantis isn’t much brighter. As of Monday, the stock has dropped 13.51% and remains in a clear downtrend. The stock shows a sharp bearish gap, signaling significant selling pressure as investors react to the gloomy outlook. With a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 32.85, the stock is approaching oversold territory, but not quite enough to suggest a bounce is imminent. Additionally, Stellantis (NYSE: NYSE:STLA ) is trading below its key moving averages—50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—indicating a persistent downtrend and a lack of support from technical buyers. The broader chart pattern shows a lack of recovery signs, and bearish momentum seems to be intensifying. What’s Next for Stellantis? In the near term, the outlook for Stellantis (NYSE: NYSE:STLA ) remains bleak as the company wrestles with multiple challenges. While management’s efforts to rightsize North American inventory and focus on efficiency may stabilize operations in the long run, investors should remain cautious given the broader industry headwinds, labor unrest, and growing legal battles. Conclusion Stellantis (NYSE: NYSE:STLA ) is facing a perfect storm of inventory issues, labor conflicts, fierce competition, and legal troubles. While the company is making moves to address these issues, its reduced profit forecast and the stock’s technical position indicate more pain ahead for investors. A recovery may be possible in the long term, but for now, caution is key as the company navigates these turbulent waters.
NYSE:STLAShort
by DEXWireNews
2
STLA 1H Swing Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse + biggest volume T1 + biggest volume Sp? + weak test closed 2 ticks below support level + first bullish bar closed entry - resistance level Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily countertrend "- short impulse + volumed TE/T1 level + support level" Monthly trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level" STLA @NYSE Sell Limit 17.40, GTC Sell Stop 16.53 LMT 16.84, GTC
NYSE:STLALong
by MishaSuvorov
5
STLA Long Swing 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed TE / T1 + support level + biggest volume Sp Calculated affordable stop limit 1 to 2 R/R take profit Daily CounterTrend "- short impulse + volumed TE/T1 level + support level - 1 bar reversal? Monthly trend "+ long impulse + T2 level + 1/2 correction + support level" STLA @NYSE Sell Limit 17.00, GTC Sell Stop 16.61 LMT 16.75, GTC I don't want to run it more than 1 to 2 R/R since 1 bar reversal on daily.
NYSE:STLALong
by MishaSuvorov
Stellantis N.V. Motor VehiclesKey arguments in support of the idea. • The Company's supplies may recover in the second half of the year. • STLA's valuation relative to its peers looks very cheap. • Completion of the 2024 share buyback program may support the stock. Investment Thesis Stellantis N.V. (STLA) is one of the largest automakers in North America and Europe, engaged in a full range of operations from design to sales of finished cars. The Company has a diversified line of auto brands in different segments, including Jeep, Fiat, Peugeot, Maserati, Dodge, Opel, and Chrysler. Stellantis is one of the world's top five automakers by passenger car deliveries. For the first-quarter Stellantis reported a drop in shipments as the carmaker prepares to release a number of new models this year. Last quarter, the European concern delivered 1.37 million cars, representing an 11% decrease year-on-year. The drop in deliveries led to a 12% y/y decline in Q1 net revenues to €41.7 billion. Management said that year-over-year shipments were difficult due to transitions in its next generation product portfolio manufactured on new platforms. Stellantis plans to launch 25 new models in 2024, and 18 of those will go on sale with electric power (BEV). Notable announcements include the launch of the redesigned Ram 1500 pickup in March, the start of deliveries in the second quarter of the Citroën ë-C3 and Peugeot E-3008 electric SUVs, and the third-quarter launch of the Jeep WagoneerS and Dodge Charger Daytona electric vehicles. We believe that the release of new models will lead to a stabilization of the Company's deliveries in the second half of the year. Also notably, the euro/dollar exchange rate is near 2023 levels, which should help the carmaker maintain its margins, as a significant part of its assembly plants is located in Europe. The selloff in STLA amid weak Q1 sales boosted the stock's upside potential. The Company costs significantly less than its European and North American peers. Current valuation of Stellantis N.V. as per EV/EBITDA’2024 multiple is 1.2x. At the same time, the median value of this multiple for the 15 largest companies in the industry is 6.0x. The Company's shares look oversold given that net income margins are in line with industry averages and the net debt is negative. Stellantis approved a share buyback of €2.0 billion to be executed by the end of 2024. In mid-February, the automaker announced a new €3.0 billion share repurchase program for 2024, double the program for 2023. The Company intends to cancel the common shares acquired through the €2.5 billion buyback program. From Feb. 28 to April 29, Stellantis purchased €1 billion worth of its common shares. Thus, investors will receive an additional 3.3% of the group's market capitalization as of May 2, in addition to the dividend already paid for 2023, by the end of the year. We also estimate the forward dividend yield of STLA stock at 7.2%, and the dividend in 2025 could be $1.57 per share traded on the NYSE. The stock is an attractive buy given that its valuation relative to peers is very cheap. Our target price for STLA is $24.8. A stop-loss order is recommended at $19.2
NYSE:STLALong
by FreedomHolding
Stellantis Inks Multi-Billion Euro Deal With Ayvens Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ), the global automotive powerhouse, has inked a transformative deal with leading leasing and fleet management company Ayvens. The agreement, announced recently, charts a course for the sale of up to 500,000 vehicles across Europe within the next three years, marking a significant milestone in the realm of sustainable mobility. The multi-billion-euro frame agreement between Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ) and Ayvens heralds a new era of collaboration aimed at reshaping the landscape of European transportation. Under the terms of this landmark deal, Ayvens’ affiliates will procure vehicles from Stellantis' ( NYSE:STLA ) illustrious stable of brands, including Alfa Romeo, Citroën, DS Automobiles, FIAT, Jeep, Lancia, Opel, Peugeot, and Vauxhall. This strategic partnership is not merely transactional; it represents a convergence of vision between two industry leaders committed to driving innovation and sustainability. Central to this collaboration is the emphasis on integrating Stellantis’ cutting-edge range of sustainable vehicles into Ayvens’ long-term leasing fleet, thereby advancing a shared commitment to eco-conscious transportation solutions. From city cars to SUVs and vans, each vehicle supplied will be imbued with the latest advancements in software, infotainment, and connectivity technology, ensuring a seamless and enriching driving experience for consumers. Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ) CEO Carlos Tavares articulated the significance of this partnership, stating, “This collaboration empowers both current and prospective Stellantis brand customers to experience our latest innovations first-hand, from advanced propulsion to seamless connectivity and unparalleled comfort.” Indeed, this sentiment underscores the overarching objective of enhancing customer experience while driving positive environmental change. Beyond its immediate commercial implications, this agreement holds profound significance within the broader context of Stellantis’ strategic vision. It comes on the heels of the company's robust 2023 earnings results, which showcased a commendable 6% increase in net revenues and a consolidated shipment volume surge of 7%. Despite encountering challenges such as the UAW strike in 2023, Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ) has demonstrated resilience and agility, underscoring its capacity to navigate tumultuous market conditions effectively. Furthermore, this deal aligns seamlessly with Stellantis’ ambitious strategic plan to invest over €50 billion in electrification over the next decade, culminating in a 100% passenger car battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales mix in Europe by 2030. By forging strategic partnerships with industry leaders like Ayvens, Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ) reaffirms its commitment to driving the transition towards sustainable mobility while simultaneously fortifying its market position and driving long-term value for shareholders. In conclusion, the collaboration between Stellantis ( NYSE:STLA ) and Ayvens represents a paradigm shift in the automotive landscape, characterized by innovation, sustainability, and strategic foresight. As both companies embark on this transformative journey, they stand poised to redefine the future of mobility, setting new benchmarks for industry excellence and environmental stewardship.
NYSE:STLALong
by DEXWireNews