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INDIAN RUPEE / U.S. DOLLAR

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INRUSD trade ideas

Monthly Chart of USDINRMonthly Chart of USDINR: As seen from the Monthly Chart of USDINR, the currency is trading in the Rising Channel pattern since 2013 to till date. In the month of April-2020 the currency has hit the Upper part of Channel around the levels of 76.50-77.00 and retraced. The currency has formed a Shooting star Candlestick pattern around the resistance levels on Monthly chart. If this pattern is to hold then we may see appreciation in the Currency. 1st Support lies around the levels of 74.00-74.50 and if it is broken then 2nd support lies around the levels of 72.00-72.50. Resistance lies around the levels of 76.50-77.00 For educational purpose
Short
by OPTIONS-QUANT
1
ridethepig | India Closing the ChapterIn this positional chart, the INR is entering back into the game, whilst USD is nearer the end and thus already well-developed. That is decisive. So the more distant EM currencies like INR actually will act as a trump card and assist in diverting flows from the king, but like all trumps we must use them sparingly: do not jump the gun is the rule. The diverting exchange of Covid flows was simply the prelude to the king (USD) marching home, which will follow in the coming weeks/months. Indian Equities were denied the advance as anticipated, the trip towards the lows was somewhat time-consuming and the travelling companion INR was too dilatory....As the currency devalued as did local stocks... In any case, the correct procedure is getting our companion (INR) and using it as a weapon to wield influence and thank holders for their loyalty. We should make good use of the cheap currency and the move that now follows by looking to sell the highs in USDINR for a move not too late after. The trip we are planning for should be carefully prepared before pulling the trigger, if possible make use of any overshoots in USD (remember we still have the 1.05/1.06 unlocked in EURUSD for reference on G10). All that before playing the diversionary swing! Softer oil will help Indian significantly as the deprecation pressure on INR was starting to crack through the economic defence. India will need an appetising fiscal policy and less reluctance from the CB to intervene. These are starting to enter into play and can be a major game changer for India in the coming months.
Short
by ridethepig
USD/INR Short Currently even after repeated policies by RBI, they have failed miserably in saving rupee for falling. rupee @78 is evident in coming weeks, but in short term in daily charts the uptrend trendline is broken a little more push beyond 76.365 INR can be pushed towards 76.000. More ever even on weekly charts price action has slowed down and a bearish pin bar is formed at a high of 77.00 again suggesting a bearish setup. last but no the least follow price action and recent support resistance levels. - USD/INR -23-04-2020.
Short
by Priyansh_Parmar