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GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

GOLD Spot (XAUUSD) (OANDA EU Clients)

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$XAUUSD: Convergence of Fibonacci Levels & Bullish PatternsPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Analysis: After the drop below the neckline and established support at $2674, we anticipated a decline that could reach $2639. This represents the 200% Fibonacci extension and is the default target for the head and shoulders pattern formed above support. We also anticipated the formation of a bullish crab pattern that could appear at $2642, slightly above the default target zone for the head and shoulders, and upon further analysis of lower timeframes, we also identified the formation of a bullish butterfly pattern today at $2637, below the previously mentioned levels. We are therefore in a convergence zone between Fibonacci levels, with the formation of new patterns that could favor a potential recovery attempt from the recent decline. The default target for the bullish crab pattern (higher degree) is projected at $2668. Note : A price drop below the most recent support could invalidate this pattern.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Andre_Cardoso
XAUUSD continuation downsideLast week we saw a weekly rejection from 2721 and a very acute buyside grab started by Asia, which then formed the double top and the pivot for the M pattern. It wasn't as sharp a decline this time probably due to the time of year and the lead up to Christmas. Volume was certainly down last week and spreads had increased somewhat. We weren't able to test the former highs even after 2 weeks of consolidation and instead reversed the whole break out move for the week and finish flat. This coincides with the fib levels marked on the chart between .786 and .618 respecting the level as a strong resistance and optimum sell zone. Although I see the coming week to be a short, levels of significance are 2627,2614, 2605. If all these levels are breached then a move back to buyside liquidity 2540 could occur. I don't think we will go straight down and perhaps some buy strength will come in from the open and retrace back up to 2675 to fuel up the bigger move lower. Fridays close completes a round trip of the week and month which has us starting the new week at the flip level for the month as well as EMA support. We find out in a few hours what Asia thinks, good luck all....
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by PLaceUrBetsPlease
GOLD stable, pay attention to data and upcoming eventsOn the Asian market on Tuesday (December 17), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable, gold price is currently around 2,651 USD/ounce and there are almost no significant fluctuations. In the coming days, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and Bank of Japan will hold monetary policy meetings to decide on interest rates, while also hinting at what 2025 might hold. The Fed is expected to cut base interest rates by 25 basis points. The change has long been priced in, meaning the focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), or Dotplot chart, in which policymakers detail their expectations on inflation, growth, interest rates and employment. These will have a significant impact on the US Dollar. CME's "Fed Tracker" shows traders see a 95.4% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Today (Tuesday), the US Census Bureau will release retail sales data for November, which is expected to trigger market volatility during this trading day. Surveys show U.S. retail sales are expected to rise 0.5% monthly in November, after rising 0.4% in October. US retail sales data typically has a greater impact on financial markets, potentially influencing the trend of assets such as the US dollar and gold. If US retail sales data is stronger than expected, the US Dollar could strengthen, thus pushing gold prices back down; On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected retail sales report will stimulate a recovery in gold prices. In addition, on the same day, the NAHB home price index in the US will be announced for December, which is expected to increase slightly to 47 from the previous value of 46. In terms of technical structure, not much has changed so readers can review the previous weekly publication linked below. In the coming time, the technical chart of gold prices will be noticed by some notable patterns as follows. Support: 2,644 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2684 →Take Profit 1 2673 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2668 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2617 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2633
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Golden Horizons: Technical Precision Meets Fundamental PowerOANDA:XAUUSD - Daily Gold’s Bullish Breakout Shines Bright! Gold (XAU/USD) has confirmed a strong breakout from a Falling Wedge and Rounding Bottom, rebounding off the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75). With the next target at the 161.8% extension (3,107.09), this setup offers a potential 16.49% gain in just 77 days. Ideal for position traders seeking long-term growth and swing traders capitalising on interim moves. 🚀✨ 🌟 Technical Highlights: Gold’s Bullish Setup in Focus Gold (XAU/USD) is setting the stage for a remarkable upward journey, supported by two key bullish patterns that signal strong momentum ahead: 1. Falling Wedge The recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern is a textbook example of a bullish continuation. This move signals the end of a consolidation phase, where sellers lose control and buyers step in decisively. The breakout is accompanied by strong momentum, confirming that the bulls are in command and driving prices higher. 2. Rounding Bottom Formation Adding to the bullish case is a clear rounding bottom pattern, a powerful long-term reversal signal. This pattern reflects steady accumulation by buyers, often seen as the market transitions from bearish sentiment to a confident bullish trend. It provides a solid base for sustained upward movement. After retracing to the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75), the price rebounded strongly, breaking out with conviction. The next key target lies at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (3,107.09), representing a potential 16.49% gain over the next 77 days. This setup combines technical precision with a clear path for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for traders to watch. Gold’s journey upward is gaining momentum—don’t miss the move! 🌍 Fundamental Insights: Gold’s Shining Role Gold continues to solidify its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, thriving on a combination of global uncertainties and supportive monetary policies. The Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, characterised by steady interest rates, has reduced the appeal of fixed-income investments, making gold a preferred alternative for investors seeking stability in a low-yield environment. Simultaneously, persistent inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions are driving investors toward gold as a hedge against declining purchasing power and economic instability. As crises in key regions escalate, gold’s reputation as a reliable store of value during turbulent times becomes even more pronounced. This blend of factors is propelling gold’s bullish momentum, appealing to both long-term investors and short-term traders eager to capitalise on its growing demand. Gold isn’t just performing; it’s standing out as a pillar of strength in today’s unpredictable financial landscape. 📆 Seasonal Boost: The Golden Demand Wave Gold traditionally enjoys heightened demand in the first quarter, driven by cyclical buying patterns in key markets like India and China. In India, the wedding season and festivals fuel a surge in gold purchases, while in China, the Lunar New Year celebrations see gold as a symbol of wealth and prosperity. These cultural and seasonal factors consistently create upward pressure on prices during this period. This seasonal demand perfectly aligns with gold’s current technical breakout and strong fundamental support. The convergence of these factors strengthens the bullish outlook, making the first quarter a historically proven and timely opportunity for traders and investors to capitalise on gold’s momentum. 🙏✨ Thank You for Reading! Wishing you incredible success on your trading journey! 🌟 Always remember, proper risk management is the cornerstone of sustainable growth in the markets. Stay disciplined, stay confident, and let the charts guide your path. 📈💼 Good luck with your trades—may profits be ever in your favor! 🚀💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SpicyPips
##Gold Technical Analysis for the Upcoming Week 15/12/2024### Current Market Overview Gold has shown significant price movements recently, encountering challenges in breaking through key resistance levels. As we approach a crucial week with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, here’s a comprehensive technical analysis for gold (XAU/USD) to guide your trading decisions. ### Recent Price Action Breakout Attempt: Gold made an attempt to breach the resistance zone around $2700-$2720 but failed to maintain the bullish momentum. This failure suggests potential exhaustion among buyers and could indicate profit-taking ahead of the FOMC week. Post-PPI Movement: Following the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data, gold faced significant selling pressure, highlighting the market's sensitivity to inflationary signals that may influence future monetary policy. Current Price: As of the latest close, gold is trading at $2648, which is below the 60% Fibonacci retracement level from the last bullish impulse. This positioning indicates a possible shift in the short-term trend from bullish to bearish, or at the very least, a period of consolidation. ### Support and Resistance Levels - Support Levels: - Immediate support is noted around $2638. - Further supports are at $2623 and $2590. A break below these levels could accelerate declines towards $2565/2530 or even $2485. - Resistance Levels: - The recent high around $2692-$2721 now serves as key resistance, with $2671 also acting as a hurdle. For gold to reverse the current bearish sentiment, it would need to rise above this resistance zone decisively. ### Potential Scenarios for Next Week Bearish Scenario: If gold continues to trade below the 60% retracement level and fails to reclaim the $2692, we can expect further downward movement. Key levels to monitor would be the mentioned supports. A decisive break below these could indicate a deeper correction, targeting $2530/2485 or lower. Bullish Reversal: Should gold find strength and bounce back—potentially due to renewed safe-haven demand or a dovish signal from central banks—watch for a move above $2722 for confirmation. A sustained rise with good volume could invalidate the current bearish setup and signal a new upward trend. ### Anticipated Impact of FOMC Rate Decision FOMC Statements and Dot Plot: The FOMC's language, especially regarding future rate paths, will be essential. If hints of more aggressive rate cuts for 2025 are suggested, a bullish reaction could ensue for gold. Conversely, a hawkish or neutral stance could exert downward pressure on gold prices. Market Expectations: Current expectations lean towards a rate cut, but traders should be vigilant for indications of the Fed's overall policy aggressiveness. Any surprises in the FOMC decision could lead to substantial price swings for gold. Volatility Ahead: As the FOMC announcement approaches, increased volatility is expected. Traders should be prepared for whipsaws—sharp price movements that may reverse quickly. ### Post-FOMC Scenarios Bullish Case: If the Fed adopts a dovish tone, leading to a weaker dollar and lower yields, gold may become an attractive hedge. If it reclaims and holds above $2680-$2716 post-FOMC, we could see a resurgence in bullish momentum, targeting new highs. Bearish Case: Should the Fed's messaging be less dovish than anticipated, or if fewer rate cuts are indicated, we could see a strengthening of the dollar, pushing gold down further. Prices below $2600 may see intensified bearish momentum. Neutral or Consolidation: If the FOMC decision aligns with expectations without providing new insights, gold might continue to consolidate until another significant catalyst emerges. ### Conclusion The upcoming FOMC decision is pivotal for gold's price trajectory. Prepare for various scenarios based on the Fed's policy direction, and utilize this analysis to guide your trades effectively. Stay informed, stay alert, and best of luck in your trading endeavors!
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by SRFXGlobal
Today's trading range is 2643~2664Gold closed higher on the daily chart, but the price still closed below the MA10 daily average of 2660. The RS1 indicator was adjusted at the middle axis, and the daily Bollinger Bands gradually narrowed. The short-term four-hour chart fell into a shock adjustment around the 43/64 range, and the moving average closed. The hourly chart Bollinger Bands closed, and short-term trading was still the main focus during the day, with shocks and sideways trading! Gold was still in a shock repair market yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still in a bearish shock overall, and the rebound was still an opportunity to continue to be short! The gold 1-hour moving average was still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and the gold adjustment has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660, and it is still selling at highs under pressure at 2665. First support: 2648, second support: 2643, third support: 2631 First resistance: 2660, second resistance: 2667, third resistance: 2678
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Monday trading PlanPrice has been dropping aggressively on Friday, creating a significant displacement to the downside. The area around 2680 is identified as a key supply zone where sellers might step in again. Bias is on the bearish side and I am expecting a retracement to 2680 (supply zone), followed by a continuation of the downtrend. A move up to 2680 will allow for liquidity to be swept, and then the price could reverse sharply. BUT things might go differently, this is my main scenario and plan. Next Steps: Look for longs as price will approach 2680 OR just wait patiently to see if it happens. Once at 2680 level watch for signs of reversal like a liquidity sweep, bearish market structure shift (MSS), and the FVG being respected. Target lower prices, ideally back to opening price around 2640 and ideally 2600 but that might only be later on today maybe during New York. This is MY main trade idea for today, I am waiting for the retracement and the drop. If price doesn't reach 2680 or shows signs of reversal earlier, I will adapt accordingly. Trade safe!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Med_In_Trade
Assetartisan1. Change of Character (ChoCH): A bearish ChoCH is visible, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, suggesting a potential downward continuation. 2. Key Levels: The price has retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in red), which aligns with the bearish sentiment. This area acts as a strong resistance. 3. Liquidity Grab: Before moving down, the price seems to have cleared liquidity by spiking into the supply zone. This would remove stop losses and trap buyers, allowing sellers to dominate. 4. Risk-Reward Setup: The entry appears to be near the supply zone with stop-loss protection above it. The target likely aligns with the next demand zone or weak low (indicated by the horizontal line around 2,586). 5. Momentum Confirmation: The bearish candles following the ChoCH confirm selling pressure. This reinforces the idea of a continuation to the downside. Summary: This trade aligns with a sell setup due to: A bearish ChoCH. Entry in a supply zone. Potential liquidity grab. Clear risk-reward with targets to the downside. Let me know if you'd like further clarification!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Tusharshelke
GOLD -- Fell below 2650 with negative fundamental driversOANDA:XAUUSD continued its downward trajectory, dipping to $2,648, underpinned by adverse fundamental drivers. The key question now is whether a retracement is on the horizon or if the decline will deepen further. Optimism about Chinese stimulus faded due to growing concerns over the U.S.-China trade war. In a closed report, the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) stated that China has begun retaliating against President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming tariffs by implementing non-tariff measures. The market now believes that the Fed might send a hawkish signal by indicating a pause in January after the anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate cut at the December 17-18 policy meeting, especially following the release of higher-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Technically, gold remains confined within its current channel, with the consolidation phase still intact. The primary focus lies on the key support zone between 2636 and 2634, below which a large liquidity cluster could serve as a potential target for prices. The 2636 support level could trigger a retracement, depending on forthcoming market developments. If the retracement appears shallow and prices quickly return to this level, the likelihood of a break below support increases, potentially driving prices down to levels like 2612 and 2580. However, if gold can stabilize above 2682 and consolidate above local highs, it could pave the way for a retest of higher levels. Regards Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold