XAUUSD BUY 4 HOUR MINUTE TIME FRAMEStrong Demand Zone
Price has to fill the gaps to the left
2:25 Risk Reward
Let’s See:)
GOLD.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
GoldNfp news won
Timeframe : D1 bearish engulf touch, H4 support broke and has bearish engulf, H1 strong bearish.
Entry : Gold sell entry at 2626 sl - 2632 and target 2600.
Reason : D1 bearish engulf, h4 support broke + bearish eng, h1 strong bearish momentum
XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its medium-term bearish channel. In the authentic failure of the support area, we can see the continuation of the gold decline and the demand zone. Within the zone of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the resistance range is broken, you can sell in the supply zone.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting is scheduled for today. According to a recent report by Crédit Agricole, it is expected that during the December meeting, the interest rate will be reduced by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25-4.50%.
While this rate cut has largely been priced into the market, the Fed’s monetary statement may carry a hawkish tone. It is anticipated that the Federal Reserve will indicate slower rate cuts in 2025 due to resilient economic conditions and persistent inflation. Crédit Agricole predicts that Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, will likely hint at pausing rate cuts early in 2025.
Additionally, recent employment and inflation data from November suggest that the Fed is in a position to implement this rate cut.
However, the risks associated with persistent inflation indicate that the rate-cutting cycle will progress more gradually. Crédit Agricole estimates that interest rate projections for 2025 could be revised to 3.625% and for 2026 to 3.125%. These figures represent reductions of 0.75% in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, showing smaller decreases compared to earlier forecasts.
According to the Financial Times, Israeli negotiators have met with mediators in Doha to discuss a ceasefire with Hamas and the release of hostages from Gaza. These talks are taking place ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January. Both Israeli and U.S. officials remain cautiously optimistic about reaching an agreement, though disagreements over key details persist.
The Israeli negotiating team arrived in Qatar on Monday, focusing on resolving major points of contention. It is expected that both sides will respond to a recent mediator proposal, which includes a six-to-eight-week ceasefire and the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners.
These discussions have intensified following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Steven Witkoff, Trump’s envoy to the Middle East, has met with Benjamin Netanyahu and Qatar’s Prime Minister to advance the agreement.
Despite progress, significant challenges remain, including disagreements over the number of hostages to be freed and the presence of Israeli forces in Gaza. While Hamas has softened its stance somewhat, substantial differences still exist.
UBS, in its recent report, has projected that gold prices will reach $2,900 per ounce by the end of 2025. A key factor highlighted by UBS is the continued demand for gold from central banks, driven by the declining value of the dollar and diversification of reserves. UBS expects central bank gold purchases to remain strong throughout 2025, supporting elevated gold prices.
Moreover, investor demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical and policy uncertainties will play a significant role in maintaining high gold prices. UBS points to ongoing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Middle Eastern tensions, and uncertain fiscal and trade policies under the incoming administration of Donald Trump. These factors could boost investment in gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Lower interest rates and a weaker U.S. dollar are additional factors that could drive gold prices higher. UBS predicts that interest rate cuts will continue and the dollar will weaken further, which will bolster demand for gold.
In addition to gold, UBS has identified opportunities in copper and other transition metals. Global investments in power generation, energy storage, and electric transportation are expected to serve as long-term drivers of demand for these metals.
#xauusd #elliottwave long buy setup wave 5 18Dec24This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
gold longgold long
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
Gold Bearish trend start The monthly candle is bearish as bias and has retested the premium zone.
weekly is also bearish as looking at day bias which are bullish if they change direction we can look for sales.
GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2603.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2632.7
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD looking for recovery? 1H analysisOANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD went bearish after the FOMC news and made the weekly low of 2584. Traders had anticipated 25 bps cut but the 2 rate cuts in coming year was a surprise and everyone took it positively. TVC:DXY went strong bullish and peaked at 108.
Now for today's trading opportunity I have simplified the levels for you people.
For now, let's see if it's technical correction or just bullish continuing.
BUY LEVELS: 2619 If market is able to hold above the level.
SELL LEVELS:
2584 a major level and fall below this means short
2638 a level that can be considered a resistance for being in line with SMA
2656 A strong resistance level that is great short level.
NOTE:
there is economic news coming in the us session. so if you are new trader stay, stay away from market. If yore regular trader then be lenient with stops.
& Always if you like my idea then boost it and share your thoughts in the comments.
GOLD Weekly Outlook: 2024 Week of December 16Monday December 16
BEARISH towards 2600
For Intraday Speculation and updates, feel free to connect to the Trade Room
GOLD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GOLD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Gold above Buying zoneFundamental analysis: Despite the strong Bullish candle sequence on DX, Gold remains Neutral-Bullish and above my Support for the day as U.S. session is approaching and recession fears resurfacing. However, #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 is new / old Support zone made by the Hourly 4 chart’s candlestick configuration. Gold is still not pulling back again after it failed to break above it’s Higher High’s Upper zone on the Hourly 4 chart. Still I haven’t got confirmation for Short-term Buying opportunity and it is still not worth entering the market without tight Risk management (all correction attempts are rejected due Fundamental Buying pressure). Monday’s session Wall Street opening Bell can have Bullish impact also on DX, hence Bearish for Gold. My Selling bias is unchanged as I will treat Bullish spikes as an oscillation from Overbought to Neutral (Williams%), which may create new space for aggressive Bearish takedown. Gold is extending the sideways action, following the continuation of the former Hourly 1 chart’s Ascending Channel, as Bond Yields and DX on gains for the #2nd straight session (still however market didn’t returned to normal Trading conditions), current environment is Gold friendly (recession fears, safe-havens such as Gold are in High demand, hawkish Fed stance). Spot how Gold's strong Selling level of the #2,622.80 is far from fair symmetrical manner with disastrous side Swings on Bond Yields and DX as my strongest correlation so far, but currently both assets are on Short-term uptrend while Gold is as well soaring (however only on Short-term).
Technical analysis: No changes so far on the Daily perspective (Gold is Trading within my model) as today’s session E.U. opening didn’t delivered any significant move towards any Buying or Selling pressure point /confirmation, even though Fundamental numbers throughout Friday’s session met the forecast and delivered relief for Gold Buyers, DX on a Fundamental surprise, delivered full bodied green candle. The Price-action remains Neutral above the Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone of #2,622.80 - #2,627.80 and below the #2,638.80 - #2,642.80 Resistance zone fractal so use mentioned zones as your Intra-day pointers. It is Natural that Price-action found both Sellers and Buyers as RSI hit the Neutral zone, and with the absence of macro-economic catalysts, strong Volatility is expected, and don’t be surprised if you see thin Volume throughout today’s session. As the market is waiting for a catalyst, I see no alternative under such a Neutral setting but to maintain my breakout strategy and watching closely DX, to carefully issue my next move. If however #2,645.80 breaks, Price-action will be calling for upside extension, where #2,622.80 break can open doors for #2,600.80 benchmark and #2,592.80 configuration sequence. Otherwise, Volatility will be on the main stage. I do believe Selling pressure is still present on market so take that into consideration prior to positioning.
Gold Trade Plan 23/12/2024Dear Traders,
i expect price have small correction to 2655 or 2672 Area and next sell off will be start
Our Main Pivot is : 2673
we will see Low volume ( End of December) , and market will be manipulated ,
"If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish MomentumIn the 4H time frame, OANDA:XAUUSD remains bearish. After breaking the support trend line and consolidating below it, further declines are anticipated.
Liquidity above Friday’s high has been hunted, signaling a potential start of a bearish move from this zone. 📉
TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD For incoming weekXAUUSD is currently taking a breather after the sharp downward push caused by the FOMC.
Personally, I believe it will end up closing the candle that initiated the move after the FOMC, around 2636.80, where I’ve marked the respective order block, to absorb all the liquidity generated during its decline, before resuming its bearish trend.
Remember that nothing is certain in the financial markets, and this is just my personal analysis.
Keep in mind that the price could still rise further to take more liquidity (Everything is up in the air depending on what happens next).
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!!
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 12/22/2024Gold has closed the week with a red candle and below last week's low. This is signaling a continuation of downward trend.
I will look for selling opportunities most of week as long as the highlighted yellow box support line not touched.
However, next week is Christmas holiday. Volume may be low. There could be huge movement next Monday and little for the rest of the week.
Happy holiday to you all.
After the US pivoted monetary policy : ??At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future.
Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year.
According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation.
This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term.
According to analysts, the gold market has been volatile at times after the US pivoted its monetary policy. Specifically, the FED is expected to cut interest rates by a total of 0.5 percentage points only twice in 2025. This is a big change compared to the FED's announcement in September 2024 that there would be 4 interest rate cuts next year. This move has stimulated a very strong increase in the price of the USD and US bond interest rates.
Because gold is priced in USD, when the "health" of this currency is stronger, it will put pressure on the price of this precious metal. Higher US bond interest rates have attracted investors to put capital into bonds, reducing demand for gold.
check the trendIt is expected that the price will move according to the specified paths. Then, given the price behavior in the specified support area, possible scenarios have been identified.
As long as the price does not consolidate above the green resistance zone, the downtrend is likely to continue
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20241220Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20241220
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 173The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GOLD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2,698.246 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GOLD pair.
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Gold trading insights: 19-Dec-2024VIDEO ENDED ABRUPTLY BUT THE MAIN POINTS WERE COVERED...Gold trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
