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British Pound vs US Dollar

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GBPUSD.P trade ideas

GBPUSD longAll timeframes are pointing towards GBPUSD going up. 3 month: Targets are at 1.3900 after price broke previous support at 1.2050 and retested it. Monthly: We can see that orders are not enough to go to 1.3900. Hence, price has gone to a region it can fill orders at 1.2500 Weekly: We can see that price formed a 3 pin pattern. I expect price to go lower before we see upside Daily: Last week, price did not reach its target of 1.2820 The sudden downtrend shows that price will collect orders at 1.2567 before going up 4 hour: Just like the daily, we see that price has major liquidity at 1.2567, where we will look to go long
Long
by kingmwenja
Cable turns south after weaker British data British data on Friday 13 December were pretty roundly disappointing: monthly GDP for October, industry and manufacturing all contracted against expectations for growth. Current estimates suggest that the Bank of England (‘the BoE’) will hold rates on 19 December and cut only three times in 2025, so it’s moderately likely that the BoE will remain at least one step higher than the Fed until next summer. It’s possibly questionable whether 13 December’s reaction to the data was justified, since overall fundamentals for cable seem to be stronger than for euro-dollar. The volume of selling hasn’t increased significantly in recent days, so the price might need to bounce slightly before another serious attempt on $1.25 or lower. The upside seems to be limited, though: $1.28 looks like an important resistance and the price is very close to overbought based on the slow stochastic. Volatility and volume will probably remain subdued until the central bank’s meetings, but from 18 December they’re likely to increase sharply. The next direction might become clearer then as the dust settles after banks’ news on consecutive days.
by Exness_Official
Sell, Sell, Sell GBP/USD from 1.26341Using both HTF and LTF analysis and comparing this to the Dollar we can see that the pound will drop this week. From market open we can expect price to either take the ASH tapping into the 4H supply and continue in the downtrend from last week taking the ASL and further breaking structure to the downside. However, there is also an ASH above so it is possible price may push up slightly in order to grab liquidity and continue pushing down. With the extreme bearish euphoric price movement price may have already taken enough liquidity in order to respect the ASH and just move to the downside with no point of entry. Regardless of the way price decides to move when the markets open and asian session is in play, I expect price to push down as we have seen a heavy downtrend.
Short
by JamelCapital
GBPUSD bears seems to be in controlIchimoku Analysis 1. Price vs. Cloud (Kumo): The price has sharply broken below the Kumo (cloud), confirming a bearish trend. The Senkou Span A (leading green line) is below Senkou Span B (leading red line), showing sustained bearish momentum. 2. Tenkan-Sen (Red Line) vs. Kijun-Sen (Blue Line): A bearish cross (Tenkan-Sen below Kijun-Sen) occurred earlier, supporting the downward move. 3. Chikou Span (Lagging Green Line): The Chikou Span is below price and cloud, affirming no immediate support in historical price levels. 4. Key Support & Resistance: Resistance: 1.2763 - 1.2786 (cloud top and recent highs). Support: 1.2600 (current psychological level), 1.2550 (minor support), and 1.2500 (major psychological support). Ichimoku Wave Theory The current price move forms a bearish N-Wave: 1. Impulse Up to 1.2786. 2. Correction Down to 1.2650. 3. Continuation Down to the current level (1.2600), with potential for a further leg down. A measured move projects a continuation of approximately 100-120 pips below 1.2600, aligning with 1.2500. Ichimoku Time Theory Time cycles (9, 17, and 26 periods) help predict the timing of price targets: 1. Breakout Timing: The breakout below the cloud occurred after 17 periods of consolidation. 2. Time to Targets: TP1 (1.2550): Likely within 9 periods (36 hours) from the breakout point. TP2 (1.2500): Likely within 17 periods (68 hours) from the breakout. Each period represents 4 hours (4H chart). Trade Setup 1. Entry: Sell on a confirmed break below 1.2600. Alternatively, enter on a retest of 1.2650 (Kijun-Sen level). 2. Stop-Loss: Above the Kumo at 1.2763 to protect against reversal. 3. Take-Profit Targets: TP1: 1.2550 (minor support) – expected within 36 hours (1.5 days). TP2: 1.2500 (psychological level and measured move target) – expected within 68 hours (3 days). 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Entry: 1.2600 SL: 1.2763 (163 pips) TP1: 1.2550 (50 pips) TP2: 1.2500 (100 pips) Conclusion The bearish structure, confirmed by Ichimoku Cloud, Wave Theory, and Time Theory, favors further downside. Expect TP1 (1.2550) in approximately 1.5 days and TP2 (1.2500) in 3 days. Monitor for a retest of 1.2650 or a clear break of 1.2600 before entering short positions. This setup aligns with Ichimoku's principles of combining price, time, and wave analysis for a comprehensive trade strategy.
Short
by Welburg_Trading
Cable turns south after weaker British dataBritish data on Friday 13 December were pretty roundly disappointing: monthly GDP for October, industry and manufacturing all contracted against expectations for growth. Current estimates suggest that the Bank of England (‘the BoE’) will hold rates on 19 December and cut only three times in 2025, so it’s moderately likely that the BoE will remain at least one step higher than the Fed until next summer. It’s possibly questionable whether 13 December’s reaction to the data was justified, since overall fundamentals for cable seem to be stronger than for euro-dollar. The volume of selling hasn’t increased significantly in recent days, so the price might need to bounce slightly before another serious attempt on $1.25 or lower. The upside seems to be limited, though: $1.28 looks like an important resistance and the price is very close to overbought based on the slow stochastic. Volatility and volume will probably remain subdued until the central bank’s meetings, but from 18 December they’re likely to increase sharply. The next direction might become clearer then as the dust settles after banks’ news on consecutive days.
by Exness_Official
Cable turns south after weaker British dataBritish data on Friday 13 December were pretty roundly disappointing: monthly GDP for October, industry and manufacturing all contracted against expectations for growth. Current estimates suggest that the Bank of England (‘the BoE’) will hold rates on 19 December and cut only three times in 2025, so it’s moderately likely that the BoE will remain at least one step higher than the Fed until next summer. It’s possibly questionable whether 13 December’s reaction to the data was justified, since overall fundamentals for cable seem to be stronger than for euro-dollar. The volume of selling hasn’t increased significantly in recent days, so the price might need to bounce slightly before another serious attempt on $1.25 or lower. The upside seems to be limited, though: $1.28 looks like an important resistance and the price is very close to overbought based on the slow stochastic. Volatility and volume will probably remain subdued until the central bank’s meetings, but from 18 December they’re likely to increase sharply. The next direction might become clearer then as the dust settles after banks’ news on consecutive days. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 12 December 2024 - GBPUSD reversed from resistance level 1.2780 - Likely to fall to support level 1.2635 GBPUSD currency pair recently reversed down sharply from the resistance level 1.2780 (which reversed the price for the last 5 consecutive trading sessions) standing close to the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November. The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.2780 started the active minor impulse wave 1, which belongs to the higher impulse wave (1). Given the multi-month downtrend, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.2635 (low of the previous wave (B) from the end of November and the target for the completion of wave 1).
Short
by FxProGlobal
GBPUSD LONG Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Long
by Tonksovave
GBPUSD (1W) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UPTREND📈GBPUSD: A High-Risk Uptrend Retracement The GBPUSD pair is currently undergoing a high-timeframe downtrend. However, we’re observing a short-term retracement to the upside . While this may offer potential trading opportunities, it’s crucial to approach this market with caution. ⚠️ Holding a Long Position above 1.3559 is HIGH-RISK Key Levels to Watch: SLO2 @ 1.3652 ⏳ RESISTANCE @ 1.35874 SLO1 @ 1.3458 ⏳ TP4 @ 1.3359 TP3 @ 1.3005 TP2 @ 1.2776 TP1 @ 1.2445 BLO1 1.2107 ⏳ BLO2 1.1900 📈 Risk Warning: Holding a long position above 1.3559 is considered high-risk due to the underlying downtrend. Please exercise prudent risk management and consult with a financial advisor if necessary. Stay tuned for further updates as the market evolves.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard