random charts10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-month Treasury Constant Maturity trends as a recession indicator
About 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity
One Chart to Rule them All ~ 10Y/2Y and 10Y/3M Yield Spreads10Y/2Y and 10Y/3M Yield Spread
One chart to rule them all. I have combined the 10Y/2Y Yield Spread (purple line) and the 10Y/3M Yield Spread (blue line) onto one chart. You can get updated readings on it at anytime on my TradingView page (link in bio above)
I have measured the historic timefra
Lets Make This A Time Capsule of SortsThis is shaping up to be the biggest distrust in long term lending in the United States in history.
As we all know the yield curve is highly inverted and its always a great indicator that short term lending is encouraged more then long. Cant wait to see the short term bag holders that did the minim
Inverted Yield Curve longest inversion to dateUsually when we have an inverted yield curve usually a recession follows.
This has been the longest inversion to date.
Is this time different?
Usually the countdown to a incoming recession is when the inversion un-inverts which means goes back up to zero.
Something to put on the back burner but
Soft Landing?A lot of market participants are falling for the Fed's illusion that a soft landing has been achieved. However, the charts are still warning that a recession is coming.
The chart below shows the extreme degree of inversion between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. The current
Economic Depression Ahead?We got some levels never seen in the last 40 years. Usually, the recessions start when the Yield Curve changes direction and comes back to positive territory. This time the numbers are huge and considering the National Debt Level...we could see an Economic Depression. Interest rates reduction withi
T10Y3MIf this chart doesn't show a recession i dont know what else does! Don't like to spread dooms but we must pay attention to this chart in order to manage our trades properly.
T10Y3M ALL TIME LOW RECESSION LEVELWe are still at an all-time low recession level.
Everybody should be cautious but keep on investing as every crisis gives good opportunities.
T10Y3M: Recession Still FarThis chart suggests that the coming recession will be anywhere from Q4 next year to Q4 2024 which is much later than what the 10 minus 2 year chart could be saying. There's also a possibility that the recent inversion is a false signal but unlike the 1998 fakeout, it went deeper and is much more lik
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