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Euro / U.S. Dollar

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EURUSD trade ideas

EURO LONG TERM SHORT PERSPECTIVE Hello Traders, I will keep this simple and share my point of view for tomorrow. As you can see on the higher time frame, we have a daily rejection from 1.06 and a tap into the weekly FVG with the NFP report. Tomorrow is a big day with the CPI report incoming, which will tell us the direction we're heading in. I expect the CPI to be bullish for TVC:DXY and bearish for FX:EURUSD The important thing is that you shouldn’t go short right now; instead, wait for PRICE + TIME. With the news coming out at 8:30 AM NY time, I like to wait for a bullish market structure from London to NY on the lower time frames. As usual, we will likely see consolidation before the news. After that, I will mark the buy-side liquidity and set my targets to take profits. The market will likely sweep liquidity before moving in one direction. Don’t trade the consolidation. I'm not good with publishing idea's, I am just yapping about my point of view. Alhamdullilah I am making consistent $$$ with trading.
Short
by HuangCapital
EURUSD / M15 / SHORTEURUSD May Fall from the Bearish Order Block Bearish Order Block: 1.05683 and 1.05632 EURUSD is currently following a downtrend, and a potential bearish order block has been identified between 1.05683 and 1.05632 on the M15 timeframe. If the price retraces to this order block, it presents an opportunity for a short position. With strong bearish momentum in place, there is a high probability that the price will respect this zone and continue downward, aligning with the overall market structure. I've outlined two take profit targets for this trade setup, offering clear risk management and reward opportunities. Let’s monitor how the price reacts to the order block and unfolds further. EURUSD / M15 / SHORT LOT :- 0.2 Entry Price :- 1.05630 Take Profit :- 1.05222 Stop Loss :- 1.05752
Short
by PraveenTrader1
Trading Idea: EUR/USD Potential Reversal.Trading Idea: EUR/USD Potential Reversal Technical Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently approaching oversold levels, suggesting a potential for a reversal. When the RSI dips below 30, it often indicates that the asset is oversold, and a reversal to the upside could be imminent. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, which typically signals a bearish trend. However, this crossover is happening at lower levels, indicating that the bearish momentum might be losing strength, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support is identified at 1.0331, a significant level that has previously acted as a strong buying zone. On the flip side, resistance is seen at 1.0629. The pair is currently trading around 1.0550, a critical level to watch for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. Fundamental Analysis: ECB Rate Decision: The European Central Bank is expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25 basis points to 3% on Thursday. This decision is part of the ECB's ongoing efforts to stimulate the economy and achieve its inflation target. A rate cut is generally bearish for the currency, but the impact on the EUR/USD pair will depend on market expectations and how much of this cut is already priced in. US Inflation Data: Investors are closely watching the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November. The headline CPI is expected to rise to 2.7% from 2.6% in October, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, is expected to grow steadily by 3.3%. Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the USD, as it might prompt the Federal Reserve to continue its tightening cycle. Political Uncertainty: Political turmoil in key Eurozone countries like France and Germany, coupled with the re-election of former US President Donald Trump, is contributing to market volatility. Political instability often leads to risk aversion, which can impact the EUR/USD pair. Trading Plan: Entry: Consider entering a long position if EUR/USD breaks above the 1.0600 resistance level with strong bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout above this level, supported by increasing volume, could signal a potential reversal. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, set a stop-loss below the 1.0500 support level. This ensures that losses are minimized if the market moves against the trade. Take Profit Targets: Aim for initial profit targets at 1.0700 and 1.0830. These levels have historically acted as significant resistance, making them ideal points to take profit. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential reversal, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should keep a close eye on key levels and upcoming economic data releases to make informed decisions. As always, proper risk management is crucial when entering any trade..
Long
by OakleyJM
EURUSD H1 10/12/2024 - SELL below 1.0520Multi-Timeframe Analysis D1 (Daily Timeframe) Trend Analysis: Price is in a consolidation phase, hovering just below the Ichimoku Cloud, reflecting bearish dominance. The 200 SMA is positioned far above current price levels, confirming a longer-term downtrend. The Stochastic Oscillator is moving out of the overbought zone, suggesting potential bearish continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0580–1.0600. Support: 1.0520, 1.0490. H4 (4-Hour Timeframe) Trend Analysis: Price has broken below the Ichimoku Cloud and the 50 SMA, signaling bearish pressure. The RSI (44.3) and Stochastic (13.1) are both oversold, suggesting a short-term pullback might occur. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0550–1.0580 (previous support turned resistance). Support: 1.0520, 1.0490. H1 (Hourly Timeframe) Trend Analysis: Bearish momentum is dominant, with price making lower highs and lower lows. The RSI (33.3) is oversold, but there’s no divergence yet. The MACD histogram is slightly bearish, indicating weakening downside momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0550. Support: 1.0520, 1.0490. M30 (30-Minute Timeframe) Trend Analysis: Price is consolidating near the 1.0520 support level with signs of potential exhaustion in the bearish move. Stochastic and RSI are in oversold territory, indicating a potential bounce. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.0540, 1.0550. Support: 1.0520, 1.0490. Correlated Instruments Analysis US Dollar Index (DXY): The DXY is in an uptrend, putting additional pressure on EUR/USD. If DXY continues higher, it will suppress EUR/USD rallies. EUR/GBP: EUR/GBP is neutral to slightly bearish, confirming overall Euro weakness. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Rising Treasury yields support a stronger USD, further increasing bearish bias on EUR/USD. Trade scenario: Bearish Continuation After Pullback (Preferred) Rationale: The breach of 1.0540 opens room for further downside toward 1.0520 and 1.0495. A short-term pullback toward resistance (1.0540–1.0550) provides an optimal entry for selling. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0535–1.0540 (wait for a pullback to resistance). Stop-Loss: 1.0560 (above recent highs). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0515 (near current support). TP2: 1.0495 (next key support level). Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2. Scenario B: Aggressive Breakout Trade Rationale: If price breaks decisively below 1.0520, the bearish momentum may accelerate further, targeting 1.0490–1.0480. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.0515 (on a clean break below support). Stop-Loss: 1.0535 (above broken support). Take-Profit Levels: TP1: 1.0495. TP2: 1.0480. Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.
Short
by napoleon182
EURUSD 15/30m bullish short termEURUSD is oversold on 4 strength index's (RSI, CCI, MFI, RVI). All 3 components of MACD are sub-.02 on 30m & 60m. Indication of the end of the bearish run. Price may have found support at the 1.053-1.052 level. Entry conditions require an engulfing candle on the 15m, stop loss will be below the triangle structure. Fundamentals & economic calendar is clear, daily price action suggests a bullish move on the near term. If structure is broken to the upside, a further run past recent highs could be observed.
Long
by billy_r3ynolds
EURUSD prime setupWeekly timeframe () - First time trying to switch from a bullish to a bearish market structure - Bullish candle (retracement) - Bullish supply and demand zone: bears could have kicked in yet the bulls managed to close back above this zone (false break trading back above) Daily timeframe () - Bullish M - Inverse head and shoulders - At least weekly relief so daily market structure irrelevant 4H timeframe () - Inverse head and shoulders without break of structure (SL below head) - When dissecting the pattern on the 1H/2H timeframe there is no immediate reaction on the high making it valid to execute
Long
by VictorDierickx23
EURUSD Price Action-Daily Analysis EURUSD Price Action-Daily Analysis Dec 9 In Asia starts in a discount from the previous range, consolidates to drop to take the clean equal lows bouncing off the CE of the dealing range. Consolidates coming in to London. Energetic displacment creating a FVG at the 1 macro. Breaks structure to the high side. At 2 again energetic displacement with FVG comes down creating a IFVG. ICT 2022 model. Known liquidity and equal highs. Finishes its climb just shy of the 50% of previous days range before a consolidation. Retracement short to .618 of the London session before 8:30 to 10:30 consolidation before expanding to the high side to FVG and resting buy stops. 11 New York Marco on the London session price is in a Premium having taken the buy side liquidity price breaks down taking out 2 equal low targets.
by LParnell
#EURUSD - 10122024I called for a move lower for EURUSD yesterday off the PZ. EURUSD came down, rallied higher, nicely to PZ and sold back down to close near the lows for a good 45pips or so. I will not say that yesterday's price action is bearish. IMO, the thesis which I gave yesterday is still valid, that is, EURUSD is coming down into support. But I am expecting buyers to come in and that could move EURUSD higher. That is a possibility thus while near term price action is bearish, it could find support at one of the levels and move higher. But for now, I am looking at the PZ to hold for a move lower, with 1.05/512 as the price target, but look out for a possible strong pullback/reversal from this zone.
by FadeMeIfYouCan
ECB decision this Thursday?EUR/USD gains to near 1.059 in Monday’s North American session, with investors focusing on the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday. Markets are almost fully pricing in that the ECB will cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 3% as many officials have shown concerns over risks of inflation undershooting the bank’s target due to the weak economic outlook. The ECB has already reduced the deposit rate by 75 bps this year and Thursday’s rate-cut decision would be the third in a row. Market participants expect the Eurozone economy to underperform amid political uncertainty in Germany and France, which are the largest nations of the bloc. The potential impact on the export sector when US President Donald Trump takes the administration at the White House is also a source of concern. Technically, we have what appears an ascending triangle, of subwave 4 . In case if breaks downwards, we can see much more decline.
Short
by Alecampos83