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USTECH100CFD trade ideas

NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart. With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ochlokrat
NASDAK 1HTFShort-term outlook: Positive (bullish) scenario: In case of a clear break and stability above 22,050, the upward momentum may continue towards 22,400 and then 22,600 levels. Negative (bearish) scenario: In case the price fails to stabilize above 22,000, a decline may occur towards the support levels at 21,600. Recommendation: Scalpers: Follow the price closely around 22,000 levels, and enter with confirmation of resistance breakout or wait for a bounce from support. Investors: Maintain a positive outlook as long as the uptrend continues and higher highs and lows are formed
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by absiko
How much higher could the Nasdaq 100 climb?The trend remains bullish above 21,920, and as the market approached the 20,000 mark this morning, buyers stepped in. The trend will remain upwards above 21,920, and the biggest concern now is that many traders are sitting on significant profits, and with the tax year nearing its end, they may need to close positions to cover taxes. What’s your take? Will 21,920 hold and lead to a new all-time high before year-end, or is this the peak? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
My expectations to Nasdaq!Hello guys, on the chart you will find my target and it could go higher to 22150 but i would say 20000 due that it broke the downtrend purple line My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:NAS100Long
by moustafa_marei
2
NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames! "BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance Bull Imbalances all the way! How far can bulls drive it up, who knows? All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory! Keynote! The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level. Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by ANROC
Nasdaq 100: Sustained Uptrend with Strong Momentum SignalsChart Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 has maintained a steady uptrend after rebounding from its August low, respecting a rising trendline (black) and staying above key moving averages. Here's a breakdown of the key observations: 1️⃣ Trendline Support: The price has respected the ascending black trendline, acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. This showcases strong bullish commitment. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Projection: The price is approaching the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (around 22,694), a potential area for traders to watch closely for reaction. Extensions like this often serve as resistance in trending markets. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA (blue) remains upward sloping, while the 200-day SMA (red) confirms a long-term bullish structure. Price action staying well above these averages signals continued strength. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Nearing 70, indicating strong momentum, though traders may watch for overbought signals. MACD: Bullish crossover continues, with rising histogram bars suggesting increasing buying pressure. What to Watch: Whether the price can sustain momentum towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level (~22,694). A healthy pullback towards the trendline or the 50-day SMA could offer clues for continuation patterns. Momentum indicators may warrant attention for short-term overbought conditions. The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly in an uptrend with bulls firmly in control. A break and hold above the Fibonacci extension would signal potential for further gains. Keep an eye on volume and momentum as price nears key levels. -MW
NASDAQ:NDX
by FOREXcom
US 100 Index – Fed to Bring Christmas Cheer or Fear?The US 100 has been on a roll over the last 2 weeks adding around 800 points or about 3.5% since its opening level of 20,950 on Monday December 2nd. This week however, the US 100’s December rally faces a tough test on Wednesday in the form of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (1900 GMT) and the Press Conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell (1930 GMT). Ahead of these events, it’s not so much the actual interest rate decision that stock index traders are nervous about, as the Fed are widely expected to cut rates another 25bps (0.25%) at this meeting. Their concerns are focused on whether recent resilient US economic data, sticky inflation readings and Trump taking office are enough for Fed policymakers to feel the need to slow the pace of rate cuts as markets move into 2025. Constituents of the US 100 index, often known as growth stocks, can be more sensitive to US interest rate changes, so this latest Fed meeting may have important implications for the US 100 index. This could well determine if the Tech sector is to see Christmas cheer in the shape of a ‘Santa rally’, or if the Fed Grinch is set to install fear and uncertainty into traders during the final 2 weeks of 2024. Technical Backdrop: Of course, it has already been a strong advance since the August 5th spike low, but what are the levels we can monitor into and over the announcement? Resistance Points to Watch While it has been a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price for the US 100 index, resistance has been found at the trendline connecting highs since August 1st, which continued to limit last week’s attempts at strength. This line starts the new week at 21833, and the daily closing defence of this level will be watched closely. Successful closing breaks above this level, while not a guarantee of future price strength, may see a further phase of upside moves, once again pushing into uncharted territory of new all-time highs. Fibonacci extension measurements of the November 11th to November 19th correction, offers a possible first resistance level after the trendline, marked by the 38.2% extension at 22151. This may prove to be a stumbling block to any future advance, but if breached price activity could possibly test 23010, the higher 61.8% level. Support Levels If corrective themes emerge either into, or after the Fed announcement, a first support level to focus on could be 21286, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 19th to December 13th strength. While this type of level has in the past limited price weakness, it may not again, but traders could be looking for this area to limit declines once more. If this first retracement support is unsuccessful in holding any weakness in price, the uptrend connecting the lows since August 5th downside extremes, currently stands at 21111. In the past this level has been able to hold and reverse selling pressure, so daily closes below this level, may be a sign of further price weakness materialising. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 16 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None, FOMC this Wednesday News - None Directional bias - BUY, Nasdaq is bullish overall so want to trade with the trend - "The trend is your friend". Morning analysis: M TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation W TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation D TF - Friday's candle closed in a rough doji candle formation which could signal that bulls are running out of steam to push price higher. But the candle did close green higher than the previous D highest candle close. So bulls did manage to break the resistance of the previous Day's highest close. I took this to be a bullish signal. 4H TF - Price gapped up as extended hours started trading today. Bulls pushed upwards and when I opened my charts there were a few red candles on the 1H TF. 1H TF - Noted a temporary downtrend line formed (marked in turquoise). Noted 2 x interest areas / areas of confluence (marked in green highlight): 1. Top green area = 1H + D + 4H fib levels + Day pivot point. This represents time frame confluence and a great area of reversal. 2. Bottom green area = 4h EMA (at some point this morning, it has now moved due to passage of time) + 4H + D 0.618 fib level. 4H fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B. 1H fib drawn from swing low at C to swing high at D. As the day progressed: Price started reacting to the top highlighted green area, until a DB formed on the 15min TF, signalling that price was ready to move up. Entered in the green candle close at the hand icon, which represents a nice momentum candle + breaking the temporary downtrend line. Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - DB on the 15min TF = reversal pattern in the direction I want 2. S&R - DB formed above the pivot point + 1H EMA providing dynamic support 3. Trend - Temporary downtrend line broken and trade is in the overall direction of the market 4. Fib - Price reacting to 1H + 4H + D fib levels representing strong TF confluence 5. Candlesticks - DB neckline broken with a strong momentum candle on the 15min TF Mental SL placed at half the height of the 15min DB (marked with the think pink line). Price moved up nicely and I took partial profits at the top hand icon at 1'725 pips, which represented the TP1 of the 4H / D fib extension (as shown). Holding the rest until candles give the indication to close eg. DT forming on the 15min TF, with neckline broken down. Easy peasy day at my trading desk - wish every day was this easy! :) Hope you had a good day! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
2
NASDAQ100 / US100 / US TECH Indices Market Bullish Heist PlanHello!! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist NASDAQ100 / US100 / US TECH Indices Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe Target 🎯 : 22400.0 Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support, Like and follow our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Thief_Trader
How to flip $2,000 into a million in a bubble. In this post I want to share with you an idea I've shared with my friends irl who have market exposure. Heading into the 2022 high I strongly encouraged my friends to sell stocks. We were heading into a multi decade resistance level and I'd put the odds somewhere around 80% there'd be a notable reaction to this level. Could be a pullback, could be a crash. If it's a pullback it's easy to get back in, not so easy to get out in a crash. So, no brainer. Late 2022 I started to tell them it was worth getting back in as long as they used good stop loss rules and then when we got to a 76% retracement of the 2022 drop I started to explain the concept I'll discuss in this post to them. First let's lay the groundwork for this. We can focus on the things we know. It's a known that indices have uptrended for a long time. And it's a known of trend development that trends do not get slower. A trend is always increasing in velocity. It goes up faster and faster and then when it comes down it comes down faster than it went up. This is always what happens. Trends speed up. Regardless of the direction. Now, in 2022 we hit a multiple decade resistance. This was evidenced by a local market top. Confirming the market also seems to care about this level. Whatever happens, this is likely to be a major pivot point in the trend. Either we'll top out here or well head into a stage of hyper overperformance. In this overperformance, we will likely see indices up 100% from the current highs. 200 - 300% is on the table, 100% is a number that would have high odds of hitting, based on historical breaks like this. And if the resistance is actionable, this could all come crashing down in a horrific way. If you accept these premises that the market is due to either crash up or crash down, then it makes no sense at all to have common stock exposure (Or whatever you prefer). If the long bet is wrong, you can take crippling losses and if the long bet is right you can make a lot more money betting on the hyper aggressive breakout. Around 4500 I started to tell my friends this. I told them if I was them I'd drop my stocks. Bank the profits on those and then I'd take 10 - 20% of what I'd made in profits and use these to buy a portfolio of aggressive OTM calls. My thinking here is if the market yanks, no big deal. SPX could drop 90% and my friends would take rather nominal losses. Giving back a fraction of what they made in the rally rather than seeing all their positions go from profits top negative. On the other side of the coin, if the breakout comes - they'd make a lot more on the calls than they'd make with common. Depending on aggression level, they'd make a crazy amount more. A rally similar to the Nasdaq breakout would translate as something like this on SPX. At this moment in time you can buy Jan 2027 calls for under $150. In the event this move happened, these would be worth min over $65,000. A bit under $75,000 if the move is completed faster and this is not even accounting for the potential of an IV boost if the market goes into hyper performance. $2,000 into a series of bets on that happening would return over a million in the event that it did actually happen. This is not without risk. The plan I proposed to my friends has one main risk and that is the market slowly continues to uptrend. Making good gains but not hitting the bubble conditions to make it realistic these deep OTMs actually trade (For context, the statistical probability of profit on these right now is 0.2% - something would have to change). In that scenario, they'd take some small losses on the call portfolio and they'd have missed out on whatever the gain of just owning the underlying asset would be. That's the potential cost of the bet. On the upside of that, my friends who had 10s or even 100s of thousands exposure to the bear move can covert this to a few grand risk and still make mega bank if the bubble thesis comes into play. If SPX hits the 100% move inside of 2 years, these calls pay somewhere around $25,000 per $130 risked. In the event this heads into a blow off event they start to get up to close to $100,000 on those positions. This is hyper high RR way to bet on a developing bubble. Ensure you do not have excessive losses in a crash and the price of this is basically you convert your bet into a bet that the market will not range. If the market ranges for a year or two, this idea suffers. I think this is the wise thing to do at this point if speculating in stocks. We're into a binary level in my opinion. A polarising decision will come in this area. The smart thing to do is to put a hard cap on risk exposure so all bearish tail events do not hurt you and have the potential to make 1,000s of % of profit in the event of a bullish tail event. I think the probability of a tail event in the coming years is high now. Rarely is the probability of a tail event high, but rarely do we test multiple decades of resistance in indices. There is so much that can be made or lost in a tail event, that it makes a lot of sense to think about how you can structure bets to survive or thrive in the different outcomes. If this proves to not be the end stages of a bubble, then I think it's only reasonable to assume we're actually somewhere in the middle of a bubble. Which means something exceptional is likely to come in the following years - whatever way this inflection point resolves itself. In my opinion, if you want to bet on continued up moves in indices, you might as well bet on a full fledged bubble. The odds of indices breaking resistance and slowly limping higher I consider super low. I think we reverse or we fly. I have my bets structured to benefit from either one.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by holeyprofit
1
Nasdaq 100 Index - outlook for Q1 2025Since the beginning of 2024, the Nasdaq 100 Index jumped 28.83%, leaving the broader market, like the S&P 500, in the dust. In the long term, the chart screams bullish, with the one-month view suggesting a strong buy. Yet, the recent trading sessions have seen some cooling off, a typical holiday lull as traders and investors take a break. The Nasdaq peaked at 22,174 on December 16, 2024, and since then, making higher highs has been a struggle. This hesitation can be chalked up to uncertainty around the U.S. interest rate policy for 2025. At the same time, there was a flurry of buying activity when the Nasdaq hovered near its 50-day moving average, around the 21,000 mark. This suggests that investors see this level as a sweet spot for picking up shares, possibly viewing it as a solid support line amidst all the market noise. Currently, I see no clarity in the Index's direction for the near term. If we hear hawkish news from the Fed and Trump's policy in January, the stock market could deepen. At the same time, earnings reports from the MAG7 and their guidance for the year 2025 will play a pivotal role in the Index's direction.
NASDAQ:NDX
by IrinaTK
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted). Yellow path highlights: 📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance. 📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing. Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀 #Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
CAPITALCOM:US100
by peteramner