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Swiss Franc / U.S. Dollar

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CHFUSD trade ideas

Why The Rise Of The $ Is Here-3 Points To DigestDid you hear about the infamous carry trade? this trade took a storm over the financial media. Honestly, i was shocked that people in the financial news networks know about this trade. - Did you know this always happens? In currency carry trades a common thing In fact that is why we have currency pairs - These currency pairs represent carry trades Basically, a carry trade is when BANKS borrow each other money using the Government - Bonds as collateral Why? - Because Government bonds produce cash flow. The problem comes when the value of this asset drops. - Imagine defaulting on a loan and taking back an asset that has no value This is what causes a market crash! - Remember: -Always use the dollar index -Dollar is the most powerful currency -The dollar is the one number #1 indicator in forex trading - My names are Lubosi Forex thank you for reading. - To learn more Rocket Boost this content So that i make a follow up lesson on the indicators above. Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please learn risk management and and profit-taking strategies.
Long
by lubosi
USD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly LowsUSD/CHF Rebounds from Yearly Lows The USD/CHF pair tested its yearly low slightly below 0.84100 yesterday but has since recovered to just above 0.84800 today. The bullish sentiment was supported by positive news about the U.S. economy—data released yesterday showed GDP growth for the second quarter at 3.0%, surpassing the expected 2.8%. Bulls may find further encouragement from events earlier this year when the head of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) warned that an excessively strong franc could pressure the country's economy. Following this, USD/CHF rose by more than 8% over four months. Technical analysis of the USD/CHF chart indicates that since June, the price has been forming a downward channel (shown in red). However, several factors may support a bullish reversal: → The price is near the lower boundary of a larger channel that began in 2022, which could act as support. → The RSI on the 4-hour chart not only shows a bullish divergence but also spiked above the 50 level after hovering near the lower boundary since 20 August. → Comparing the downward impulses A→B and C→D reveals that the first drop was more aggressive, while the second showed a less steep decline—signalling weakening selling pressure. There's also another bullish divergence between the lows at B and D. Given these factors, there's reason to believe that the median line of the current red downward channel is at risk of a bullish breakout, potentially paving the way for USD/CHF to move towards the upper boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDCHF LongRSI Divergence + Break of Structure on USDCHF Daily ChartDescription: Trade Setup: Pair: USDCHF Timeframe: Daily (D1) Indicators Used: RSI (14), Candlestick Patterns Key Observations: RSI Divergence: A bullish RSI divergence was observed, indicating a potential reversal in the USDCHF pair. Break of Structure: The price broke above a key structure, suggesting a shift towards an upward trend. Oversold Condition: The RSI is in the oversold zone, indicating the market could be ready for a bullish correction. Inverted Hammer Candlestick: An inverted hammer formed at a critical support level, and the daily close above this candle confirmed potential bullish momentum. Trade Details: Entry Price: 0.8480 Stop-Loss: 0.8390 (90 pips) Take-Profit: 0.8740 (260 pips) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.89 Trade Rationale: Entered a buy position at 0.8480 after confirming the bullish signals. The stop-loss is set at 0.8390, just below the inverted hammer’s low to minimize downside risk. Targeting a move towards 0.8740, which aligns with a previous resistance level, providing a favorable risk/reward ratio of approximately 2.89. Have a good trading day 🤑 Peace and Love
Long
by SaliouFx
USD/CHF extends decline near 0.8400The labels that are used are ment to draft and measure context to the price action involved and contain no rules-engaged notebook + applied-set up indicators, but an avoiding interference to use other rules-engaged software to enhance in general, regarding to the watchlist and trade plan that is relevant to trade-on Within a 100K account balance the split on trade & risk management = 1/10% - 1/20% margin as an execution range, to set up an order entry and select a per trade on average, to avoid any drawdown hit regarding to the stop loss & to execute risk on management specifics. Trail stop efforts are a focus of attention to the set up in general when volatile-price-action is involved, mainly because of the usage of an intraday-scalp-position tool on behalf on the trade plan in general Summary - USD/CHF extends its downside around 0.8405 in Thursday’s early European session - Fed’s dovish stance and escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions weigh on the pair - The Swiss ZEW Survey Expectations came in at -3.4% in August vs. 9.4% prior Key indicators on Trade Set Up in general; 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) * Weekend Crypto Session # TREND | TIME FRAME CONDUCTIVE | Daily Time Frame - General Trend - Measurement On Session * Signpost * Support & Resistance * Trade Area | Focus & Motion ahead # POSITION & Risk Reward | 15 Minutes Time Frame - Measurement On Session * Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618 * Extension | 0.88 & 1 Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; USD/CHF: Overall Consensus | Neutral
by jasper16231
USD/CHF Rebounds Following Test of January LowUSD/CHF trades to a fresh weekly high (0.8494) after testing the January low (0.8401). USD/CHF Rate Outlook USD/CHF appears to be defending the yearly range as it bounces back ahead of the December low (0.8333), with the rebound in the exchange rate pulling the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of oversold territory. A break/close above the 0.8550 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) to 0.8590 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push USD/CHF back towards 0.8700 (61.8% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.8770 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.8800 (50% Fibonacci extension), which incorporates the monthly high (0.8788). However, failure to hold above January low (0.8401) brings the 0.8350 (100% Fibonacci extension) to 0.8360 (100% Fibonacci extension) region on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around the December low (0.8333). --- Written by David Song, Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USD/CHF Demand Area: A Potential Long SetupIn the world of forex trading, understanding market dynamics through supply and demand analysis is crucial. Recently, the USD/CHF pair has made an intriguing move by touching a significant demand area on the daily timeframe. This development offers an exciting opportunity for traders, particularly as the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders are holding exceptionally short positions. Supply and Demand Dynamics The demand area identified on the daily chart indicates a potential reversal zone, where buying pressure may emerge as prices reach a level that has historically attracted buyers. The current conditions of supply and demand, coupled with the insights from the COT report, paint a favorable picture for a long setup. When retail traders are heavily short, it often suggests that the market may be overextended in that direction, setting the stage for a possible rebound. Seasonality Considerations In addition to the supply and demand analysis, seasonal trends can significantly influence market behavior. As we assess the USD/CHF pair, it's essential to consider historical patterns that may suggest a favorable environment for long positions. By aligning our trading strategy with seasonal tendencies, we can enhance our chances of capitalizing on market movements. The Strength of the US Dollar Moreover, the recent performance of the US Dollar adds another layer of complexity to our analysis. The USD has shown substantial strength, recovering losses incurred in several pairs from the previous week. Notably, the USD's resurgence against the Euro (EUR) has been particularly pronounced, driven by soft European inflation data. This economic backdrop has weakened the Euro, further supporting the case for a bullish outlook on the USD/CHF pair. Conclusion In summary, the USD/CHF pair's touch on the demand area, combined with the COT report's indication of extreme short positions among retail traders and the seasonal trends, presents a compelling long setup. As the US Dollar continues to show strength, traders should remain vigilant for potential entry points that align with this analysis. By carefully monitoring price action and utilizing effective risk management strategies, there is a promising opportunity to capitalize on the expected reversal in the USD/CHF pair. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USDCHF: Inside day, first green day, THU day 2Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 ✅ Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day ✅ 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day ✅ 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: primary, potential 3 days dump and pump, signals are pretty bullish, I will be looking for a potential entry after news release, targeting the HOW Short: secondary, I do not exclude a short setup, overall USDCHF is still in a down trend, Lower low into the current LOW, if setups correctly I could short this trade for a major move down. Let the setup to drive the move, do not predict it. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
Long
by GianniPichichero
3
USD/CHF H4 | Potential bullish breakoutUSD/CHF has made bullish break above a descending trendline and could potentially rise higher. Buy entry is at 0.8444 (wait for the 1-hour candle to close above this level for confirmation). Stop loss is at 0.8385 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support level. Take profit is at 0.8552 which is a pullback resistance that sits under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM