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Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen

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CHFJPY trade ideas

CHFJPY Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically. These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
by Tonksovave
CHFJPY Opportunity Presenting Itself Just have to be patientAs we navigate these pairs, it’s important that we take our time to thoughtfully develop our strategy. Currently, our time frames are aligned; however, we do need to see the price on the 4-hour chart turn bearish. This movement will help guide the price back to the daily area of interest (AOI). Once we observe the price shifting back to a bullish trend, we will patiently await a pullback on the 4-hour chart. This will provide us an opportunity to analyze the lower time frames for a sign of strength (SOS) before proceeding with our trade. It’s essential to remember that exercising patience often yields the best results, and a more measured approach can lead to success.
Short
by SmartCharts_
CHF/JPY confirmation with entering ascending channelHi dear investors, our next opportunity that we would look into is the CHF/JPY, with it's past attemp to touch the strong support level , there has been a lot of support which came from buyers which pushed the pair into an ascending channel, the lower Strong Support level was not able to be touched this is why we are seing a trend reversal. The RSI recently got out of the 30 level and we would set up our targets into the upper level of the RSI at the 51 and 60 marks. Entry : 169.550 Target 1 : 170.630 Target 2 : 171.810 SL level : 168.155 When target 2 is reached we would look for additional confirmations so we can set up our 3rd target at the level of - 174.06 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Long
by DG55Capital
CHFJPY: Bearish wave of Channel Down unfolding.CHFJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.014, MACD = -1.180, ADX = 47.694) as it is more than halfway on the new bearish wave of the 5 month Channel Down. Having crossed under both the 1D MA50 and MA200, the 1D RSI appears to technically be on a level much like the July 25th rebound. This indicates that we are on an ideal sell entry. Short and target (TP = 164.300) the full -7.43% extension (the decline of the July-Aug bearish wave). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
CHFJPY in a Clear Bearish TrendCHFJPY in a Clear Bearish Trend Since November 20, 2024, CHFJPY has begun a clear bearish wave, dropping nearly 700 pips in just two weeks. Last week, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reported higher inflation data. With this increase in inflation, it is likely that the BOJ will keep its promise to hike rates on December 19th. In simple terms, the market is anticipating a rate hike from the BOJ at this meeting, which is why JPY continues to strengthen. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
CHFJPY1-Seasonality: In Seasonals we can observe the CHFJPY pair remains Bullish. 2-Fundamentals(Exogenous Factors): Real GDP, IR Differential, BOP Relative, Stock Relative all are mix to Decreasing 3-Fundamentals(Endogenous Factors): for JPY factors are Increasing and CHF endogenous factors are mix to increasing. 4-Forex Conditional Scoring: Data is mix or mix to decreasing for both CHF & JPY 5-Global LEI & GDP: is overall increasing Overall as we can say JPY index is in Buy and CHF index in sell, so we can expect increasing trend in CHFJPY.
Long
by mhamzasaeedm
CHFJPY - Short IdeaThe exogenous and endogenous factors are decreasing for the pair CHFJPY. However, CHFJPY's leading economic indicators are increasing. COT report RSI also shows that net positions are decreasing for CHF and net positions are increasing for JPY. Interest rate differential is also negative for the pair CHFJPY as IR for CHF decreases and increases for JPY. Technically CHFPY is in a bearish trend making HHs and HLs and currently, it is at a strong Daily Support level. Wait for the retracement to fib 0.382 or 0.5 level to enter the trade. Place the stop loss on the previous LH.
Short
by MasoodAnsari
CHFJPY Short IdeaCHFJPY Short Idea COT Report - Non Commercials are reducing there position in CHF, showing weakness in CHF. - Non Commercials started taking long positions in JPY, showing strength in JPY. Endogenous Factors - JPY score after all indicators is +3 and +4 for last two months - CHF score after all indicators is -2 and -1 for last two months - JPY looks stronger and CHF weaker in Leading Economic Indicators Exogenous Factors - JPY Interest Rates and Real GDP are getting stronger. - CHF Interest Rates and Real GDP are getting weaker. Seasonality - December is usually a bullish month for CHFJPY, but this time exogenous and endogenous factors, the fundamentals of both currencies, are not looking in favor of the seasonality. News Catalyst Expecting a negative or equal to last month CPI data for CHF releasing on Tuesday. This may keep the trend of CHF JPY bearish for next few days as well. Trade Plan Place a Sell Limit near Order block or between 32%-50% retracement on h4, expecting it to be triggered before or at CPI news release. SL is above h4 recent swing high.
Short
by EminantRise
CHFJPY - YEN RETRACEMENT OVER?The fib .618 gives the Yen a very strong support looking at the daily Index chart for Japanese Yen. Yen has been ranging within the last 2 weeks sitting right on top of the fib.618 level but yesterday broke out of range with that long green elephant bar. A break below 172.6 level could see this pair drop harder as it has failed to reach previous high and presently consolidating. A near perfect Broadening wedge formation somewhat indicating a reversal is looming after a long bullish trend. Usually in this case if current swing fails to reach previous high or break above it, we anticipate price to drop hard targeting Price objective for Broadening Wedge formation (160.80). Looking out for potential SHORT scalps on this pair on the break of 172.60 level targeting next support (W1) of 169.25. A break & close above resistance will nullify analysis.
Short
by GhosTrader_GT