TSLA trade ideas
11R Tesla LongNice pattern setting up on Tesla.
As long as the price reaches the buy zone within the specified timing window I think this idea probably has a 40% chance of success, so great positive expectancy.
Very bullish on $TSLALooks absolutely primed. Bouncing off all the monthly VWAPs/EMAs. Loads of price support. This could easily go to $276 and potentially $360.
I suspect this may go nuts if the Feds cut rates in Sept.
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade !
The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why.
Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game:
### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss
One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades.
### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks
The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades.
### 3. Identifying Pivot Points
By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success.
### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations
Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically.
### 5. Timing Your Trades
Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video.
### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines
You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes.
### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility
Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines).
### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money
Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable.
### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options
Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video.
### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios
You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward.
### 11. Proof of Accuracy
Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses.
In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why.
Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
All Time High Inevitablethe way Elon openly supported trump was a gamble that he played but he won and there is nothing stopping tesla to break its all time high now, it is literally free money easy money buy it!!
TESLA BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅TESLA broke the key
Horizontal level of 412$
While trading in a strong
Uptrend so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Tesla Hits Resistance: Correction or Continued Rally?After Tesla's significant price surge, it has now reached a strong resistance level. From this point, traders may anticipate a price correction, potentially in the form of a minor pullback, before resuming the uptrend. Additionally, Elon Musk's recent statement that older Tesla models won’t support the self-driving feature could contribute to a further price dip. While our long-term outlook remains bullish, some volatility is expected in the near term."
Telsa, Bullish Opportunity: Wait for the Pullback first.TESLA / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
2- All-time high
3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart.
Why Wait?
Entering after a pullback ensures you're trading with confirmation and reduces the risk of chasing the market. This approach not only minimizes drawdowns but also increases the probability of catching the trend at a stronger position.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth
"Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?"
Introduction
Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks?
This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader.
Financial Analysis
1. Revenue Growth
Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by:
EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3.
Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects.
Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues.
💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood."
2. Profitability Metrics
Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability.
Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment.
3. Cash Flow and Liquidity
Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations.
Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion.
💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow."
4. Valuation Metrics
Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic:
Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal.
EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability.
PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium.
Market Position and Competitive Advantage
Innovation at the Core
Tesla leads in:
Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle.
Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development.
Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners.
Brand Strength
Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability.
Growth Opportunities
1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs):
Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for:
Licensing the tech to other automakers.
Launching a robotaxi network.
💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now."
2. Energy Storage and Solar:
Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy.
3. Global Expansion:
Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China.
Risks and Challenges
1. Regulatory and Legal Risks:
Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model.
2. Intensifying Competition:
The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors.
3. Execution Risks:
Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance.
💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars."
Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment
1. Price Trends:
Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings.
2. Institutional Ownership:
With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision.
For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential.
Recommendations:
Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision.
Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges.
🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
TESLATESLA will have a correction before moving further up for 2025.
2025 Target price 600. With Trump supporting, Tesla will go to ATH again in the next 4 years.
Tesla (TSLA) Descending Triangle Breakout - Key Levels!Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating bullish momentum:
Entry: $435.66 (yellow line - breakout level).
Stop Loss (SL): $420.90 (white line - key support).
Target 1 (T1): $462.25 (red line - first resistance).
Target 2 (T2): $489.33 (green line - major resistance).
This breakout aligns with increasing volume, signaling strong upward potential. Keep an eye on $435.66 for confirmation.
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context
Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment.
1. Key Levels
* Support:
* $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce.
* $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness.
* Resistance:
* $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today.
* $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break.
* $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes.
2. Price Action Insights
* Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart.
* The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly.
* Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction.
3. Indicators Analysis
* 9 EMA and 21 EMA:
* Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend.
* Options Oscillator:
* Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment.
4. GEX Analysis
* Gamma Levels:
* $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading.
* $445.00: Major call wall resistance.
* $425.00: Key put wall support.
* $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure.
Trading Outlook for Tomorrow
Bullish Scenario:
* A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445.
Bearish Scenario:
* Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates.
Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario:
* Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution.
Actionable Suggestions
* Entry:
* Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445.
* Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420.
* Stop-Loss:
* Long: Below $425.
* Short: Above $430.
* Scalping Opportunity:
* Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
$TSLA to $420.69 Multi-Resistance Breakout Retest #Go Emoji highlighting what similar setup brought...
Markets are ready to end #WhiteBoySummer with a BANG... Climbing walls of worry, investors/traders making bank while proles protest in the streets ala June 2020 #Vibez
#WeOutHere
9/20 220C at 12.00 now ... will scoop up contracts on "Stremf" as AlwaysTeste would say...
PS: Keep an Eye on NYSE:GME in the coming days/weeks, log scale weekly candles look #AIIIGHT aiiight? See;
TSLA Surges Higher! Key Levels and GEX Insights for TomorrowTechnical Analysis (TA)
1. Daily Chart (1D):
* TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA.
* Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution.
* A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440.
2. 1-Hour Chart (1H):
* TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel.
* Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback.
* Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Call Walls (Resistance):
* $490 – Moderate gamma resistance.
* $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively.
* Put Walls (Support):
* $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support.
* $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense.
* Options Oscillator:
* Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap.
* Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market.
Trade Suggestions:
Bullish Setup (If price holds support):
* Call Options:
* Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out).
* Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440.
* Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500.
Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback):
* Put Options:
* Strike: $450 (short-term pullback).
* Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown.
* Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $480, $490, $500
* Support: $450, $440, $417.5
Outlook:
* TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance.
* Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis.
A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at.
Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing.
Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other.
After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different.
Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information.
As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement?
The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it...
Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
Tesla 205 After earnings !!!after earnings Tesla going back to 205 . !! TP wait for a possible 220 or Pull back to 193
Keep it simple
Be Patient
Believe in your Strategy
DO NOT OVER TRADE OR OVER LEVERAGE !!!
Tesla And This 3 Step System The problem with trading is it takes confidence even though you have a system or a mentoring program.
It gets worse if you don't understand risk management and profit taking strategies.
But sometimes losing small is part of the solution.Also finding a great community of traders who are professional
When you look at this chart NASDAQ:TSLA
It's trending following this 3 step system:
🚀The price is above the 50 EMA
🚀The price is above the 200 EMA
🚀The price has to gap up
Now full disclosure I will not participate in this trade because am a Bitcoin Trading Expert
That's what a good at but I don't mind sharing what I see could be a good stock to buy according to my
Continuing trading education.
Remember before you buy to learn risk management and then after that decide when you want to take profit.
If you got value from this Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not.
Also don't use more than x5 margin.
Feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215
Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !!
STAY PROFITABLE !!
Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal
and NIO already taking the Chinesse market .
Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!!
Stay humble Be a better person.
CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
$TSLA - 500 incomingTSLA - stock up $12 after hours. in a big breakout mode. Stock having another 6% plus move day to the upside. Next level on the FIB at $513.71. possible hit this week if keeps moving. swing calls added in group looking for that $500 break. Stock has support at $450
TSLA: Bigger than you thinkFirst stop is 458 based on first 1.61 Fib extension. However I believe bullish sentiment will continue prior to inauguration to the next level at 650 prior to wave 4.
Not trading advise but wave 3 is typically the longest and strongest.
Tesla - Breakout level re-test complete. Could launch from hereHello Traders.
Looking at Tesla you can see many things that show Tesla is positioned to launch from here.
1.Previous times on the 2Hr since November when the 20/50 EMA crossed(DeathCross) Tesla went up shortly thereafter. It just crossed again.
2. Tesla recently broke out from ATH... but in the last few days came back down in a much needed cooling off and retested the breakout price and has bounced. This is MEGA bullish in my book.
3. You can clearly see an inverse Head & shoulder as well...
4. Bounced off the 2h 100EMA and Monthly VWAP.
So without even showing other indicators ,which agree as well, You can clearly see Tesla is positioned for another mega bullish run. We could see 500+ by end of Christmas week.. and it heading even higher into the new year.
