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BTCUSDT trade ideas

$BTC: are we at the peak of this bull run?The chart says yes, and here’s the breakdown of my analysis: - **MACD on Weekly**: Overheated. The last time this happened was in June, and it led to a six-month consolidation with a -30% dump. - **RSI**: Overbought. Same story—this signals consolidation, but since we’re on the weekly timeframe, it’s going to drag on for a while. - **Daily Indicators**: Also overheated! This is double trouble. It means we’re likely to see a significant dump until the daily indicators reset at the bottom. Now, here’s the kicker: **everything in this cycle is messed up by the ETF FOMO.** - We’ve already passed the previous ATH *before* the halving—something that’s never happened before. This suggests a short-lived bull market is highly probable. - **Alt season? Canceled.** Bitcoin is hogging all the attention, news, and institutional money. Altcoins are sitting in the corner, forgotten like last year’s Christmas sweater. To be clear, I’m not saying we’re headed into a four-year bear market. But the traditional halving cycle? It’s over. - The halving doesn’t have the same impact anymore because miners no longer contribute significant sell pressure. - Instead, we’re looking at **six-month cycles**: alternating between FOMO rallies and consolidations, driven by weekly timeframes and the MACD. If this idea holds true, we’ll see a reset of all indicators by June, followed by a six-month rally for BTC. Altcoins might tag along, but don’t expect a classic alt season. The ETFs aren’t here to rotate money—they’re here to park it in BTC and ETH. And the altcoins? They’ll starve. Buckle up; it’s going to be an ETF-dominated ride! 🚀
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
3
BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to move up in the rising channel, where it at once made correction from resistance line. Price fell below $94000 level, but soon backed up and later continued to grow to resistance line of channel. When price reached this line, it made a correction to support line and then rose higher than $103500 level, breaking it. Soon BTC turned around and declined to support level, breaking resistance level and exiting from channel. At the moment, price trades close support level and I think it can fall to the support area and then start to grow to $100K. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
1
Entering the volatility period Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market. I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart. The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market. The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most. Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16. If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline. Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend. -------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so. However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend. Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend. The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur. If it starts to decline, 1st: 87.8K-89K 2nd: 79.9K-80.9K There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above. If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd. Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th. If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it. - (1D chart) I will update after a new candle is created. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
4
Lingrid | BITCOIN hits a NEW All-Time HIGH levelThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT has reached a new all-time high, breaking through a trend continuation pattern that is prolific in this market. The long-tailed bar on the weekly timeframe suggests the potential to reach the 115,000 level in near future. Currently, the market has made an impulse move upward and is now moving sideways. I expect a pullback, followed by a continuation higher from the support zone and upward trendline, provided it bounces off this area by forming rejection candles. My goal is resistance zone around 108,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
$BTC to 120k-130kBitcoin sell-side liquidity has been slowly eaten away by buying pressure. The order book isn't as tilted towards sellers as it was last month, it's getting more balanced. Buyers are still gobbling up what's left of the supply, liquidity was being eroded. With less supply, it's easier for buyers to push the price up. Buyers keep chowing down on the supply that's slowly disappearing. There's not much big supply until we hit 110k, the trend is still strong. On this vertical accumulation, if we can stay above 104k to 102k (weekly rvwap) , I'm expecting a rally towards 120k-130k zone, before we move in range again. Coinbase had a negative premium all the way up to 106k, which is weird because spot trading was mostly at a premium (which is a good sign). We're in one of those moments where Bitcoin is just soaking up all the liquidity. The altcoins are looking pretty weak while Bitcoin hits all-time highs. This isn't unusual when Bitcoin starts figuring out its price. Just be patient; the market will cycle back around.
by Tealstreet
2
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by Trade-Journal
2
Navigating Bitcoin BTC Bull Market: $120k+ After CorrectionHello, Skyrexians! Tonight Bitcoin has printed another one leg up and touched our previous final target at $107k without correction. What does it mean? It means that targets for this bull run are going to be much higher. Anyway, the warning sign of correction is about to be flashed. Let's try to understand what is happening! On the daily time frame we market the Elliott waves. Taking into account the maximum value of Awesome Oscillator (AO) current growth is still wave 3 because price reached new high but divergence on AO has happened without zero line cross. It means that currently BINANCE:BTCUSDT is printing wave 5 inside major 3. The big warning is the potential red dot printed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , to see the confirmation we need to wait daily close, so everything can be changed. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . After printing red dot previously we have seen the drops in most of cases, so now it can be wave 4. Wave 4 has the target at 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci level. We suppose that price reach $86k and find support there for the new impulse to the upside. If we assume that wave 3 is finished here and wave 4 will be finished at the pointed out target, the wave 5 has the target zone between $120k and $140k. Anyway, it can be easily recalculated, we will update you with all changes. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
by Skyrexio
Lingrid | BITCOIN building LIQUIDITY for the ATH RetestBINANCE:BTCUSDT made a sharp downward spike before the market stabilized. Prior to this movement, the price formed a triangle pattern. Currently, the price is pulling back to retest the midpoint of the pattern, which often acts as a support and resistance zone. On the daily timeframe, the market dipped below the previous daily low, indicating a potential upward movement. If the market successfully rejects the support level and the downward trendline, we can anticipate a price increase that could potentially test the upper boundary of the channel. My goal isresistance zone around 105,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
12
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update!BTC experienced a correction, but it can be seen as just a minor dip compared to the carnage in altcoins. This kind of surprise is bound to happen along the way. One thing is certain: Bitcoin is far from done, and altcoins haven't even begun to show their real potential. Looking at the chart, BTC held the support and looks ready for a new ATH. As long as $90k holds, BTC will likely hit $110- $115k. Dyor, this is not financial advice. If you decide to exit now, the only thing you'll likely do in a few months is regret it. Plan wisely. I will be posting more updates on this week. If you agree, please click the like button and share your views in the comment section. Thank you #PEACE
Long
by Cryptorphic
6
WHAT NEXT FOR BITCOIN?Will December Be Good for Bitcoin? A Look at Past Trends As December approaches, Bitcoin traders often wonder if this month will be positive for crypto or if it will end in losses. Let's look at how Bitcoin has performed each December for the past 10 years: Bitcoin's December Trends (2013–2023) 2013: Started at ~$1,000 and ended at ~$750 (-25%). Early excitement faded due to profit-taking and worries about Mt. Gox. 2014: Started at ~$375 and ended at ~$320 (-15%). The Mt. Gox hack earlier in the year hurt confidence. 2015: Started at ~$360 and ended at ~$430 (+19%). Renewed optimism brought a small rally. 2016: Started at ~$740 and ended at ~$960 (+30%). This steady increase hinted at the big run in 2017. 2017: Started at ~$10,800 and ended at ~$14,000 (+30%). Bitcoin reached a peak mid-month but started a bear market by year-end. 2018: Started at ~$4,000 and ended at ~$3,800 (-5%). The market was down 80% from its peak. 2019: Started at ~$7,500 and ended at ~$7,200 (-4%). Modest losses as the market was stable. 2020: Started at ~$19,500 and ended at ~$29,000 (+48%). COVID-19 increased Bitcoin’s popularity, leading to big gains. 2021: Started at ~$57,000 and ended at ~$46,000 (-19%). Concerns about inflation led to a drop. 2022: Started at ~$17,000 and ended at ~$16,500 (-3%). The FTX collapse kept the market weak. 2023: Started at ~$40,000 and ended at ~$42,500 (+6%). A recovery year with modest gains. What to Watch for in December 2024 1. Federal Reserve Policy: An expected rate cut on December 18 has supported market optimism. A change in this plan could affect prices. 2. Institutional Investment: Bitcoin ETFs have gained popularity, attracting over $100 billion in 2024. 3. Market Sentiment: With Bitcoin above $100,000, the target is now $125,000, but volatility is possible. 4. Political Factors: President-elect Trump’s pro-crypto stance, with promises of favorable policies, adds to the market’s positive outlook. Looking to 2025 Bitcoin’s future looks promising with growing institutional and consumer interest, friendly regulations, and a supportive economic environment. While $108,000 is a milestone, many expect even higher prices as Bitcoin continues to evolve. As 2024 ends, traders can expect more action. Stay ready, watch the market, and best of luck in the new year.
by SherrySOC
1