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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

Bitcoin Breaking down Below $97K Could Test $74K-$72KBitcoin at $97,000 is crucial. $97.3K aligns perfectly with VWAP on the 1-day timeframe, this confluence makes GETTEX:97K a crucial support level that represents the "fair value" of Bitcoin based on both price and volume in other words buyers and sellers agree on value. A breakdown at this point would signify that sellers are gaining control, making a shift in market sentiment. A Breakdown of $97,000 could cause panic, triggering a cascade of liquidations and further declines. $74K and $72K are Major Confluence Zone, the SMA200 and VWAP align at $72K creating a strong confluence this makes it a CRITICAL SUPPORT LEVEL that could act as potential reversal point or attract significant buying interest (optimal buy zone). While the immediate risk of Bitcoin breaking down $97,000 and retest $74,000 zone looms large, the broader macro environment under the next Bitcoin-supportive administration has great potential to counterbalance market fears.
Short
by PHREDX
BTCUSDT.1DThis detailed analysis of the BTC/USDT pair on the daily timeframe aims to evaluate the market's current stance, emphasizing recent price movements, key technical levels, and potential future directions based on technical indicators. Price Action and Trend: Bitcoin has shown a significant upward trend over recent weeks, with price movements forming a steady ascent above the long-term supporting trend line. The chart reveals a period of consolidation after a recent rally, potentially indicating preparation for the next movement phase. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels (R1 and R2): R1: $100,295.09 - This level has previously acted as resistance. A breach here could open the path towards R2. R2: $111,514.08 - As a higher resistance level, a move past this could confirm a more significant bullish trend continuation. Support Levels (S1 and S2): S1: $89,585.14 - The first major support level which could be crucial for maintaining the current bullish trend. S2: An extended support line drawn from previous lows, providing foundational support and a potential rebound zone if S1 breaks. Technical Indicators: MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence is bullish, as the MACD line is above the signal line, suggesting continued upward momentum. However, vigilance is necessary as the histogram appears to be reducing, which might indicate a slowdown or potential pullback. RSI: The Relative Strength Index is currently at 59, suggesting mild bullish momentum without being in the overbought territory. This provides room for potential upward movement without immediate risk of a reversal due to being overbought. Volume and Market Sentiment: The recent trading volume corroborates the ongoing bullish sentiment, though it has slightly decreased during the consolidation phase, which is typical as traders await further cues. Conclusion and Forecast: The outlook for BTC/USDT remains cautiously optimistic. Traders should watch for a sustained break above R1 to confirm continuation of the bullish trend, potentially targeting R2. Conversely, a breakdown below S1 could see BTC test the stronger S2 level. Trading strategies should consider these levels for setting stop losses and taking profits, keeping in mind the potential for volatility as indicated by the technical indicators. Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: Entry near S1 with a stop-loss just below this level can be considered, targeting R1 and then R2 if upward momentum continues. Bearish Reversal: Should the price break below S1, a short position towards S2 could be advantageous, with a strict stop-loss above S1 to mitigate risks. Summary: This analysis indicates that while the current sentiment and momentum are bullish for Bitcoin, traders should remain flexible and responsive to changes signaled by key technical levels and indicators.
Long
by MarsSignals
Bitcoin will reach the $500,000 level if Trump remains aliveBitcoin will hit the $500,000 level during Trump's presidency. Trump has a clever strategy to revive the U.S. economy by shifting the burden of the dollar’s debt to cryptocurrencies and gradually distributing it through stablecoins like Tether and similar ones. This initiative gives the U.S. Treasury the ability to move unbacked dollars into the cryptocurrency network, indirectly transferring U.S. economic inflation to the global economy. As a result, the $36 trillion U.S. debt could be lifted off the shoulders of American citizens and distributed across the entire world. Only two factors could halt Bitcoin's rise to the $500,000 level. 1.The assassination of Trump, which is more likely than the assassination of John F. Kennedy. 2.A serious shock to economic foundations, such as the outbreak of a pandemic like COVID-19, or other severe shock-inducing actions targeting the foundations of the global economy with a comparable level of destruction. If these two threats do not arise, the cryptocurrency market, with the policies Trump has in place, could easily move from $3 trillion toward $36 trillion.
Long
by Raminchavoshi
end of btc correction? in 1hr and 4hr time frames we can see a clear downtrend. we can now see the speed of our downtrend (in 1hr &4hr timeframe) has now has decreased with infiltrating the orange trendline or even ended we don"t have the confirmtion yet i"m bullish on the market but we can still see more dumps. actually we have handful reasons to dump even more but on the other hand we have handful reasons to pump its up to you to choose what you want to see as technical analysis is subjective you see what you want to see doesn"t matter if its right or wrong yeah what im trynig to say is don"t take side in any market. as you can see we have a bullish standard divergence in 1hr timeframe if the scenario is bullish for BINANCE:BTCUSDT we can expect to btc to make a low and then brake the high its has made (blue line) if its bearish we should wait for the green line to be broken note that( if you want to open a short be very careful its the prebrakeout line you should take momentum and other things like rsi into account ) last thing i want to note is the we have reacted to 0.618 fib level i wish good luck for everyone these days with love ❤️
Long
by kanaroio
Price Action Analysis GoldAccording to my chart, I use 4 hour timeframe to get a more reliable data. There is a break of structure upward means the bull is winning. I mapped out my 4h high and low zone. Next is as you can see the Liquidity sitting there has been swept with a strong buying pressure after getting it. It is now look like a demand. And the sensitive area that has been plotted is my supply zone that has a chance that the price could reverse because other than being supply it in the resistance from previous lake. Thas all please give me a like if we have the same idea not an expert but that is my insights about gold miht help you to decide.
Long
by Zhiektrader
1
BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaBitcoin Investment Thesis Market Analysis Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $96,938.18, showing potential for bullish momentum. The recommendation is to OPEN LONG positions, supported by technical and market indicators suggesting upside potential. Key Technical Indicators Stop-loss: Positioned at $95,000.00, providing a safety net against sudden price drops while allowing room for market fluctuations. Take-profit: Targeted at $103,000.00, aligning with recent resistance levels for an optimal risk-reward ratio. Exit Point: Set at $100,000.00, offering a balanced opportunity for securing partial profits before hitting the take-profit level. Confidence Level With a confidence level of 75%, this strategy reflects cautious optimism. While the data supports a bullish move, traders should remain vigilant due to the neutral correlation and market volatility. Correlation with BTC The neutral correlation (0.00) indicates BTC is moving independently, unaffected by broader market dynamics or external asset influences. Position Analysis Open Long Positions: None currently, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on the suggested strategy. Open Short Positions: None, indicating no significant bearish sentiment in the market. Risk Management Strategy Entry should occur near the current price of $96,938.18, with a well-defined stop-loss at $95,000.00 to minimize downside risk. The take-profit at $103,000.00 provides an attractive upside, and the exit point at $100,000.00 allows for partial profit-taking. Maintain flexibility to adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on evolving market conditions. Recommendation OPEN LONG positions near the current price, targeting the upper resistance level at $103,000.00. The neutral correlation and technical setup support this strategy, but traders should monitor the market closely for sudden shifts in sentiment or price action.
Long
by titankarma
Elliott Wave: A Running Flat?This consolidation is a bit confusing from an Elliott Wave perspective. My current working hyposthesis is we are in a giant (somewhat enlongated) running flat, with waves A and C being zig zags, and B being an expanding triangle. This being wave 4/5/5 for the cycle. Overall, on higher time frame though, a running flat seems to appear. Correction is not complete yet however so currently unsure. My previous analysis (one posted before this one) and the guideline of alternation both suggest that we won't have a big drop toward 70-80K or whatever. However this of course is always possible. Markets will do what they will do!--If this does occur, however, it will likely be a 'fake-out' or 'bear trap' to the downside and will be resolved quite quickly.
by Ian_Carsen
Anticipating a Correction to $75,000 Preceding a Rise to $150,00 As a seasoned observer of the cryptocurrency markets, I have developed a perspective on Bitcoin's (BTC/USDT) price action that blends technical analysis with historical observation. While the recent upward momentum has generated considerable optimism, a rigorous assessment of market indicators and past patterns suggests a high probability of a significant short-term correction, potentially bringing the price down to $75,000, before a subsequent ascent towards $150,000. This analysis will explore the evidentiary basis for this scenario, leveraging specific examples and technical indicators. Historical precedents serve as a critical foundation for this bearish short-term outlook. Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a cyclical behavior characterized by substantial price corrections following periods of rapid appreciation. A noteworthy example is the 2017 bull market, during which multiple 30-40% drawdowns were observed before the final surge to the all-time high. These corrections were not random market fluctuations but rather periods of market consolidation, during which excessive leverage was purged, and a more stable foundation for future growth was established. The current market conditions, while distinct in certain aspects, bear a notable resemblance to those preceding previous pullbacks, indicating a potential vulnerability to a similar pattern of price correction. Further supporting the likelihood of a correction is the emergence of bearish divergences across shorter timeframes. On the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, the price has moved below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key trend-following indicator, signaling a potential shift towards bearish momentum. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of price momentum, has dropped below the 50 level on the same timeframes, suggesting that the selling pressure has intensified. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on these timeframes have exhibited bearish crossovers, with histograms declining into negative territory, confirming a decline in bullish momentum. Such conditions strongly suggest that an imminent retracement of the price is more likely than the continuation of the current uptrend. The longer-term outlook, while still bullish, does not negate the short-term correction. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above the 20-period SMA. However, the RSI has also started to move downwards and the MACD is showing signs of decreased bullish strength, suggesting that the upward momentum is potentially waning. Historically, such early indications of weakening momentum on the daily chart have often been followed by more substantial pullbacks. These pullbacks serve as essential market resets, creating a more sustainable base for subsequent rallies. The specific target of $75,000 is not arbitrary but rather a confluence of technical and psychological factors. This level is below recent levels of support, representing a potential “shakeout zone” where overleveraged or inexperienced market participants may be forced to liquidate their positions. A move to this level before reversal is also a common pattern in Bitcoin price action. The psychological level of $75,000 could also attract buyers looking for an entry point, which is a factor that would encourage a reversal to the upside from this price level. Looking ahead, the path to $150,000 remains clear, with significant macroeconomic factors and technical trends still supporting long term growth. However, the route to this price point is not likely to be linear and smooth; a move down to the $75,000 price level is likely and expected. The pull back, while unsettling, is likely to provide the next major catalyst needed for Bitcoin’s move towards the $150,000 target and beyond.
Short
by Abdihalim1