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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Long Position This chart analysis focuses on the BTCUSD pair on a 15-minute timeframe. Below is a detailed breakdown of the key elements: ### **Key Observations**: 1. **Trendline and Pattern**: - There is a clearly drawn ascending trendline (black) that shows an upward bias in the market's overall structure. - The price has been respecting this trendline, indicating strong buying pressure at the lower levels. 2. **Resistance Level (108,276)**: - A horizontal blue resistance line at 108,276 marks an important level. A breakout above this resistance with a **green candle closing above** is a key signal for entering a long position. - Historically, this level has acted as a significant barrier, rejecting price movement multiple times (seen with price failing near this level). 3. **Support Zones**: - The green and red shaded regions between approximately **99,358–96,122** act as demand zones. These areas have historically attracted buying interest, with clear evidence of price bouncing from these levels. 4. **Trade Setup**: - A **long position is planned** if the price breaks above the resistance (108,276) with confirmation from a candle closure. - The potential trade includes a favorable **risk-to-reward ratio** indicated by the green (profit zone) and red (stop-loss zone) regions. ### **Technical Indicators**: - **Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal)**: - Two circled regions (around 96,000) suggest a double bottom, signaling potential upward momentum. This strengthens the bullish bias. - **Historical Resistance Retests**: - Price has tested the horizontal resistance multiple times, indicating its strength. A breakout will likely lead to a significant move higher. ### **Risk Management**: - **Stop Loss**: - Positioned below the recent swing lows near **96,832** to protect against invalidation of the bullish setup. - **Take Profit**: - Potential targets are identified using Fibonacci levels or prior resistance zones, with the first target at **109,208**, aligning with the higher trendline. ### **Final Notes**: - The setup relies heavily on price action. Ensure confirmation of the breakout with strong volume before entering the trade. - Monitor BTCUSD fundamentals or macroeconomic events that may influence volatility during this period. this is not trading advice .. trading is risky
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by amerjaradat
aminm75//@version=5 indicator("MACD + ADX + RSI Strategy", overlay=true) // MACD settings = ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9) macdHist = macdLine - signalLine // ADX settings adxValue = ta.adx(14) // RSI settings rsiValue = ta.rsi(close, 14) // Conditions of purchase and sale buySignal = (macdLine > signalLine) and (adxValue > 20) and (rsiValue < 30) sellSignal = (macdLine < signalLine) and (adxValue > 20) and (rsiValue > 70) // Draw the signals on the graph plotshape(buySignal, style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, size=size.small, title="Buy Signal", text="BUY") plotshape(sellSignal, style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, size=size.small, title="Sell Signal", text="SELL") // Display the values ​​of the indicators in a separate panel hline(20, "ADX Threshold", color=color.gray) plot(adxValue, title="ADX", color=color.blue) hline(30, "RSI Oversold", color=color.green) hline(70, "RSI Overbought", color=color.red) plot(rsiValue, title="RSI", color=color.orange)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by aminsalamat12
$100,000 remains the key reference for bitcoinLike gold, bitcoin retraced lower around the Fed’s latest meeting, which is a normal reaction as the outlook for monetary policy becomes less dovish. Bitcoin is arguably a bit less vulnerable than gold to higher rates because there are various ways for holders of transferable bitcoins, especially now that many coins are at or close to all-time highs. Participants in crypto markets view the likely policies of the incoming Republican government positively. Bitcoin’s momentum has been lower in December which makes sense as the price approached the critical and long-awaited area of $100,000. Volume has also decreased somewhat compared to the peak around the middle of last month and there’s no longer such a strong overbought signal as there had been for most of November. The latest retracement from the 100% weekly Fibonacci extension was also expected since this was the stretch target since the middle of last month. Given current strong sentiment, a move back below $90,000 seems unfavourable in the near future, but $100,000 could remain an important battleground. Now that the uptrend is clearly mature and participants seem inclined to buy more quickly during even relatively modest retracements, a retest of $108,000 seems likely in the next few weeks. However, traders should prepare for higher volatility during upcoming holidays. This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
FX:BTCUSD
by Michael_Stark_Exness
BTC CRASH ALERT UPDATEKey Levels and Observations Previous All-Time High (ATH): Clearly marked and seems to have acted as both resistance and psychological reference point. Price briefly tested this level before consolidating below. Resistance Zones: Highlighted in Red: These zones indicate where selling pressure is concentrated. The recent move upwards has struggled near the $106,000 zone (1.618 Fibonacci extension) and the resistance cluster below $108,000. Red Circle near ATH: Indicates a critical rejection zone where bears might be stepping in to control the price. Support Zones: Fibonacci levels from $91,000 to $99,500 (0.618, 0.5, and 0.382 retracement levels) show clear support zones where buyers may accumulate. The green lines below $92,000 show additional support extensions for deeper corrections. Black Swan Warning ("Dump Incoming"): Suggests the possibility of a sudden, sharp decline. This may be speculative but worth noting for risk management. Red zone above $108,000 highlights extreme caution. Trend Lines: Dashed upward trendline indicates the broader uptrend still intact, but a breach below would signal a possible reversal. Market Sentiment: "BTC CRASH ALERT" emphasizes bearish caution. "The Bears are out watchout" adds to the bearish sentiment as Bitcoin approaches resistance zones. Fibonacci Analysis Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.236 ($99,417): Currently holding as weak support. 0.382 ($100,793): Significant midpoint level currently in play. 0.5 ($101,905) and 0.618 ($103,017): Critical retracement levels to watch for continuation or reversal. 1.618 Extension ($106,436): Serves as an immediate resistance target. Deep Retracement Zone: 0.618 ($95,308) to 1.0 ($92,918) retracement range indicates the strongest support for a larger correction. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario (Breakout): Price breaks and holds above $106,000 (1.618 Fibonacci). Retests and holds $108,000, targeting new highs. Bearish Scenario (Fakeout or Dump): Price fails to sustain $104,000 or falls below $101,000 (0.382 retracement). A sharp correction could target deeper support levels at $95,000–$92,000. Neutral/Consolidation: Price remains range-bound between $101,000 and $106,000, building momentum for a directional move. Actionable Points Shorting Resistance Zones: Monitor for price rejections near $106,000 and $108,000. Bearish candlestick patterns here could confirm a short trade. Buying Support Levels: Look for bullish signals around $95,000–$92,000 or key Fibonacci levels. Breakout Entries: If Bitcoin closes decisively above $106,000, a breakout trade could target $110,000 or higher. Stop-Loss Management: For longs: Place below $95,000. For shorts: Place above $108,000.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by ProWolfTrader_89
Is BTC in a accumulation phase?Bitcoin is in an 7K (about 35%) range since 150 days now, and just broke to the downside. Could this be the spring of an Wyckoff accumulation schematic? It is no secret that price action has been choppy ever since it entered the trade range, has to shake most people out. Of course, for this to be an spring we'd need big buyers stepping in, and defying all of the sell volume we've seen so far. On the other hand, bulls already had absord a lot of BTC sell order and could therefore mean price is near a reversal. Price could of course(inevitably in the bull case) retest the price range and fade of to fresh lows. It is also no secret that BTC is highly correlated to traditional markets. It would therefore make sense for both markets to bottom at somewhat the same time. But with everything we've seen, it could be possible for BTC to mark a bottom now and see price suppression while the DJI, NASDAQ and SPX mark their bottoms in. It is also an great idea to keep in mind that price tend to move again the masses, and with the FTX/ALAMEDA illiquidity situation, everyone is scared and calling for lower lows. This is only an gut feeling based on market sentiment right now and only support the unprobability that market would reverse(while everyone is bearish). Next days/weeks are gonna determine the direction ahead for BTC.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by etiennemyette
Navigating the Current Market Turbulence: A Crypto and Stock MarBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $102,200, reflecting a decrease of 2.36% over the last week. Despite a brief rally reaching highs of $108,367.38, the digital currency has faced selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 65, indicating that BTC might still be overbought, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggests bearish momentum could persist. Investors should be cautious as the market shows signs of volatility. For cryptocurrencies, monitoring RSI and MACD indicators can provide insights into potential buying opportunities.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pBouDib
Powell Shocks the Crypto Market: Bitcoin Slides BackwardThe cryptocurrency market suffered a notable drop after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed “cannot own Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.” These statements, made in the context of a financial stability conference, intensified the downward pressure in an environment already affected by recent monetary policy decisions. Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Decline Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, lost more than 4% in the last 24 hours, falling below $25,000. Ethereum also experienced a similar decline, settling near $1,500. Both currencies face a challenging outlook amid regulatory uncertainty and risk aversion in global markets. The cryptocurrency is currently trading at the Sunday trading range on the 15th of this month, coinciding with the checkpoint (POC) at $101,711. For the time being, the value is holding and bullish pressure is once again picking up the market. Powell and the role of the Fed Powell stressed that while the Fed is interested in exploring the issuance of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), it does not see owning Bitcoin as consistent with its monetary policy or financial stability objectives. This comment reignited concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies in an environment where regulators are seeking greater control. Market Outlook Uncertainty over regulatory policies in the U.S., coupled with signs of a more restrictive Fed, continues to weigh on the cryptocurrency market. Investors are now closely watching any developments in digital asset legislation, as well as the impact of monetary policies on risk appetite. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies face an uncertain path, marked by the tension between their growing adoption and the increasingly strict oversight of global regulators. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDLong
by ActivTrades