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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC top at 105 to 108k?I'm always looking for signs of a change in trend direction. A good indicator has always been; 1. A series of higher highs in the price-action, with 2. A corresponding series of lower highs on the RSI (for major trend changes or corrections I use the daily time-frame), 3. Ideally, three lower highs on RSI (sometimes you only get two), with the final RSI high FAILING to get above the 70 level of RSI (red circle). To me this signals - at a minimum - a correction is inbound. So, I would look for other indicators to determine if I think if it is a correction or a trend-change i.e. bear market. There is a plausible Elliot Wave count. Without getting too technical, I see the 105 to 108k as the end of the trend. Could be wrong, could be right. If I am right I should get a medal for accuracy. Happy trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by flyinkiwi10
2
Bitcoin: the $100K reached, what`s next?The long awaited $100K target came finally during the previous week. This is another significant milestone for BTC and the crypto market. Although BTC was struggling during the first half of the week to push the price toward the higher grounds, still, news regarding a new SEC leadership pushed the price above the $100K target for the first time in the history of BTC. News was released that Paul Atkins would lead the SEC under the Trump administration. As Atkins is a proponent of digital assets and the industry around it, the market reaction was positive. The RSI slowed down a bit, but it is still moving within the overbought territory, which is quite “normal” under current circumstances in which BTC is traded. The MA 50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, without any indication that some change in trend might come anytime soon. The $100K target is reached, so the current question is, what is next for BTC?. It should not be any surprise if BTC decides to slow down a bit in the coming period. This assumption is not based on technical analysis, because BTC is currently moving in an uncharted territory, but on a simple demand-supply economics. As the end of year approaches, and holidays around it, it could be expected that the markets will slow down during the last two weeks of the year. Positive news in a post-election period drawed a significant portion of funds into BTC, and there is a lower probability that investors will make any kind of positioning during the last two weeks of December. In this sense, the expectation is that BTC might slow down, but any kind of significant drop in value should not be expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin: Signs Of A Cycle High.Bitcoin could be developing a Wave 5 of a broader 5th wave which would complete an even larger Wave 3 (see monthly chart). IF this is confirms, it implies that a much larger corrective cycle (Wave IV) has a greater chance of unfolding. This corrective cycle can see price retest 70K and STILL BE WITHIN a bullish configuration. Such a move can take 6 months to a year to play out. While wave counts do not promise a high degree of accuracy, they can be helpful to estimate the amount of RISK in the future. Based on this wave count, I can at least conclude that current levels are EXTREMELY unattractive when it comes to putting new money to work in terms of investing. Some signs that point to a potential cycle peak: possible double top formation near the 100K area. A large outside bar formation (see arrow). Countless video titles on Youtube that push becoming a "millionaire" (this is a sign of extreme sentiment). Scammers on the rise literally pumping and dumping meme coins on Youtube streams. Michael Saylor's face on countless thumbnails. While many of these signs are not technical, they illustrate the sentiment of the retail investor and it is usually at these times when the market is MOST vulnerable to turning. This process is NOTHING new, but it can be observed in new ways thanks to the social internet. The outside bar that went from the all time high of 104K back to 91K (most of that move occurred within an hour), is a sign that much of this move is on nothing but hot air in my opinion. Yes it recovered, but all it takes is some unexpected catalyst to see the move stick the next time. While the trend has yet to change, this activity highlights the high degree of risk that is present at current levels. While there is never a bad time to invest, price levels are not created equal when it comes to RISK. I will ALWAYS say this at highs: these are prices to reduce risk, take some profits, or invest SMALL. Price action at current levels is ideal for short term strategies like swing trades, day trades, etc. The price area to be waiting for when it comes to putting larger amounts of new money to work is between the 80K to 70K area which is where the cycle low can establish itself while still maintaining a bullish outlook. IF 70K is compromised (it can happen) that would negate the broader bullish structure and expectations should be adjusted at that time. This is NOT a forecast, just a potential scenario to be prepared for. There is no way to forecast the future with any degree of accuracy. All it takes is an unexpected catalyst and everything changes overnight. Markets are highly random, so the ONLY factor we can control is the RISK we take. Imagine buying this on the 100K breakout, only to see a test of 90K area to follow. Why wasn't ANYONE forecasting that little move? Learn to measure and respect risk because "reward" is nothing more than a byproduct of good risk management. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
HolderStat | BTC at a crossroads🌍 Bitcoin holds steady at $101,500, reflecting a market in flux. While Microsoft passed on BTC reserves, nations and corporations are exploring Bitcoin reserves, highlighting its financial relevance. 📉 Spot BTC ETF inflows have slowed since November, hinting at cautious sentiment. Broader crypto ETFs and U.S. policy shifts could ignite new institutional interest. 💡 Bitcoin dominance dipped, and while altcoins remain in the wings, a shift feels near. Wallets activity shows balance, with buys at $97,740 and sells near $98,510—traders remain divided. 🔥 With $1.5 billion in long liquidations and neutral funding rates, the market stands at a pivotal moment. Is this the calm before the next bull storm? _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
1
BTCUSD - Possible sells?Here is our signal on BTCUSD . Potential short opportunity. As the price on BTCUSD is moving in a “range” we could take this into our advantage and sell BTCUSD at the top of it. With smaller time-frames such as m15 we can see a clear break of the 100k support zone. We can enter into safe sells and target at around 98k. Our entry is sitting at the break of the support zone at 100296 . Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting at 101273 while our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at 98276 . PARAMETERS - Entry: 100296 - SL: 101273 - TP: 98276 KEY NOTES - BTCUSD broke the support zone on m15. - BTCUSD is trading in a range. - We are at the top of the range. Happy trading! FxPocket
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FxPocket
Bitcoin Halving 4: The Dawn of a New Bullish Era with a $150,000Introduction The fourth Bitcoin halving, anticipated on April 15th, 2024, marks the beginning of a new era, reinforcing Bitcoin's deflationary narrative and catalyzing its cyclical market dynamics. With 90% of Bitcoin's supply already mined and a reduced block reward of 3.125 BTC, scarcity is set to increase, setting the stage for a bullish trajectory. Historically, Bitcoin’s halving cycles have driven predictable phases: bullish trends in the initial 70,000 blocks, bearish retracements in the next 70,000 blocks, and sideways consolidation in the final stretch before the next halving. As we step into the bullish phase of Halving 4, this analysis explores Bitcoin’s trajectory toward a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical patterns, logarithmic regression models, and on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio and z-score. Where Are We Today? Having experienced the lows of the third halving era, which began on May 11th, 2020, Bitcoin has successfully weathered the sideways phase characterized by market equilibrium. With the MVRV ratio at 2.24, Bitcoin is signaling fair value, poised for the bullish uptrend expected in the fourth halving era. Historically, Bitcoin’s market dominance reflects this cyclical behavior. During bearish and sideways phases, dominance often falls below 40%, but as the bullish phase takes hold, dominance surges to 70%, bolstering its influence over the entire cryptocurrency market. These dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is primed for significant price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Price Projections The logarithmic regression model shown in the chart encapsulates Bitcoin’s historical price patterns. The projected target of $150,000 aligns with the intersection of Bitcoin's parabolic uptrend and its logarithmic regression of highs. Key milestones include: Post-Halving Bullish Phase (0 to 70,000 blocks): Historically marked by exponential price growth. Bearish Phase (70,000 to 140,000 blocks): A retracement period, with average drawdowns of 80% from cycle highs. Sideways Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks): A period of consolidation, setting the stage for the next halving. For Halving 4, projections suggest: A high of $150,000 during the bullish phase. An 80% drawdown, positioning the bearish-phase low at $55,000. The MVRV Ratio: A Key Indicator The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a robust tool for assessing Bitcoin’s valuation. Current metrics indicate that Bitcoin is fairly valued, with room for substantial growth in the coming phase: Historical Extremes: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought conditions, signaling market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued conditions, signaling market bottoms. As Bitcoin transitions into the fourth halving era, the MVRV ratio’s current reading of 2.24 suggests equilibrium, with significant upside potential. Projected Timeline April 2024 (Halving): Bitcoin enters the bullish phase, with increasing demand outpacing diminishing supply. 2025-2026: Price targets of $150,000 are achievable as the cycle matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Expected retracement to $55,000, aligning with historical drawdowns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, driven by its deflationary halving mechanism, positions it as a unique asset in the financial markets. As we enter the fourth halving era, the combination of historical data, on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio, and market dynamics underscores the potential for Bitcoin to reach $150,000. This analysis highlights Bitcoin's enduring appeal as a store of value and a driver of innovation in the digital asset space. While short-term volatility is inevitable, the long-term outlook remains bullish. Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are inherently volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Sources: Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Bitcoin: Are We Holding at $93K, $90K, $88K, or $83K?Good morning, trading crew. Bitcoin is pulling back, and we’re heading for one of these key levels: 1️⃣ $93K might be the first spot where it bounces. 2️⃣ If not, we’re looking at $90K next. 3️⃣ Below that, FWB:88K could be the level to watch. 4️⃣ And if things go lower, FWB:83K might be where it finally holds. Right now, it’s all about being patient and watching how it moves. Trade what you see, not what you hope for. What’s your call—where will Bitcoin settle? Drop your thoughts below, and don’t forget to like and follow to stay in the loop. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
5
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Correction to 85K LikelyYesterday, Bitcoin experienced another drop, falling from above 100K and reaching a low of just over 94K, briefly touching the ascending trendline that dates back to the time of Trump’s election. While the price action since November 5 has been characterized by higher highs and higher lows—usually a sign of bullish momentum—the broader structure appears to signal a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its highs, raising doubts about its ability to maintain upward momentum, at least for now. Although a new all-time high remains a possibility, I believe it is unlikely that Bitcoin will hold gains above 100K for an extended period. Instead, the more probable scenario involves a correction toward the 85K level. A critical area to monitor lies between 92,500 and 93,000. A decisive break below this support zone would confirm my bearish outlook and could signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob