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BTCUSD trade ideas

### **Short Bias: BTCUSD (4H Chart)** 🔻 **Bias**: Bearish after a break of structure (BOS) and rejection near buy-side liquidity. 🔹 **Entry**: Near the Fair Value Gap (FVG) retest around **104,423.66**. 🔻 **Targets**: - **TP1**: 99,573.52 - **TP2**: 99,307.38 - **TP3**: 87,500.00 🛑 **Stop-Loss**: Above **105,686.51** (recent swing high). ### Key Notes: - Market structure shift to bearish. - FVG rejection confirms sell-side intent. - Targets align with liquidity zones. Trade smart, manage risk! 💡
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by origami_capital33
1
Bitcoin Halving and Its impact on price growthExecutive Summary BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s halving events have historically marked significant milestones in its price trajectory, often serving as catalysts for substantial growth. Each halving reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half, effectively decreasing Bitcoin’s issuance rate and increasing its scarcity. This predictable supply shock, combined with growing global adoption, has led to a recurring cycle of price surges post-halving. In this analysis, I'm trying to explore Bitcoin’s price performance after each halving event, focusing on the time it takes to surpass previous all-time highs (ATHs) and reach new price peaks. Using historical data and trendline analysis, we provide insights into Bitcoin’s current trajectory following the April 19, 2024, halving, and evaluate the potential for its price to reach unprecedented levels in this cycle. Key observations November 28, 2012 Halving After Bitcoin's first halving, it took approximately 368 days to surpass its previous ATH of ~$31 (set in June 2011). New ATH (November 2013): ~$1,242. July 9, 2016 Halving Post-halving, Bitcoin took 266 days to exceed its prior ATH of ~$1,242 (set in November 2013). New ATH (December 2017): $19,764. May 11, 2020 Halving Following the 2020 halving, Bitcoin surpassed its previous ATH of $19,764 (from December 2017) in just 161 days. New ATH (November 2021): $69,000. April 19, 2024 Halving (Projected) As of December 2024, 238 days post-halving, Bitcoin has already surpassed its prior ATH of $69,000 (from November 2021) and is currently trading at $101,393. Trendline Analysis Drawing a trendline connecting the 2017 ATH ($19,764) and 2021 ATH ($69,000) reveals a potential upper boundary for BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin’s post-halving growth. This trendline indicates that Bitcoin may test the upper range, with a target price around $200,000 USD in the current cycle. Risks to Consider Macro-Economic Factors: Geopolitical events, interest rate changes, or regulatory actions could disrupt market trends. Market Liquidity: Declining liquidity could delay BINANCE:BTCUSD price breakout despite favorable conditions. Unexpected Events: Network-specific issues or technological vulnerabilities may impact price movements. Recommendations For Traders: Monitor key resistance levels and trading volumes for breakout confirmation. For Long-Term Investors: Consider accumulating during consolidation phases for optimal entry points. For Analysts: Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators and Ethereum’s network activity to validate price movement projections. Conclusion Bitcoin’s consistent post-halving price surges underscore the significant role halvings play in shaping its growth trajectory. Historical data and trendline projections suggest that Bitcoin has the potential to reach unprecedented highs in this cycle, with a plausible target near $200,000 USD. While macroeconomic factors and market dynamics may influence short-term movements, the long-term growth pattern remains compelling for investors and analysts alike. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry risks, and readers are advised to conduct their own research.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Adilforgood
1
BTCUSD 12/20/2024Performance Recap (Previous Analysis from 10/8/2023): • Entry: 27,948 • Targets Achieved: o 63k (+127.81%) o 96k (+244.56%) • High Reached: 108k ________________________________________ BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis Technical Analysis (Current Scenario): Chart Patterns: • Cup and Handle Formation: o Confirmed breakout signals bullish continuation. o Long-term uptrend reinforced. Indicators: • Golden Cross: The 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA, signaling a bullish trend. • MACD: Firmly in bullish territory, confirming positive momentum. • Hammer Candlestick: Closed at support (around 92K), indicating potential reversal and entry point. Support and Resistance Levels: • Support: o 92K (key level tested multiple times). o 50-day EMA (current level). • Resistance: o None until the 310k target based on the Cup and Handle projection. ________________________________________ Target Analysis: • Cup and Handle Target: o Measured distance from the cup's bottom to its neckline. o Projected Target: 310k. • Timeline: o Historical reference to 2013–2017 suggests a 6–8 month timeline with minor pullbacks for additional entry opportunities. ________________________________________ Trade Setup: • Entry: 97,703.80 • Stop-Loss: 69,092.64 (-29.28%) • Target 1: 310k (+217.29%, 7.42 RR ratio). • Target 2: Use a trailing stop based on the 20-day EMA if price exceeds 310k Summary: BTC/USD has surged from 27K to 108k since the last analysis, forming a textbook Cup and Handle pattern, which has now broken out, confirming a bullish reversal and signaling a continuation of the long-term uptrend. Key indicators, including a Golden Cross between the 50-day and 200-day EMAs and a bullish MACD, support this momentum. Currently, BTC is bouncing around the 92K support level and holding above the 50-day EMA, which also acts as a support. The appearance of a Hammer candlestick at this level further solidifies the bullish case and sets the stage for a new long position. The measured move for the Cup and Handle pattern projects a target of 310k. Drawing from historical price behavior, this uptrend could unfold over the next 6–8 months, with minor pullbacks offering additional entry opportunities. This setup presents a strong technical case for continued upside, with a clear structure, supportive indicators, and a high-probability target.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rudcharts
BTCUSD SELL ZONE BTCUSD Analysis – Key Resistance Area in Focus Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading near a major resistance zone around 108,000, after maintaining strong bullish momentum over the past sessions. Technical Overview: Resistance Zone: 108,000 – 108,200 (Red Zone) Support Levels: First Support: 106,400 Second Support: 104,800 Key Support Zone: 102,500 – 102,000 Trade Outlook: Price has approached the key resistance area, where a rejection could lead to a pullback towards the 106,400 and 104,800 support zones. If Bitcoin breaks above 108,200 with strong momentum, further upside movement could occur, opening the door to 110,000+. Trade Idea: Short Opportunities: Look for sell setups if price rejects 108,000 with confirmation. Stop Loss: Above 108,500 to protect against breakout. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 106,400 TP2: 104,800 TP3: 102,500 Notes: Monitor price action and volume closely near resistance. A clean breakout or strong rejection will dictate the next direction. Stick to your risk management plan and trade carefully.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FOREXQUEEEN_1
BITCOIN Short PositionHere’s a detailed analysis based on the BTCUSD 30-minute chart: --- ### **Key Observations** 1. **Resistance Zone (Blue Area: $102,400 - $102,700)** - **Description**: The price reached this key resistance zone twice, marked with yellow circles, indicating strong selling pressure. - **First Rejection**: Price reached the resistance but failed to break above, causing a sharp drop. - **Second Rejection**: A similar behavior was observed, as shown with red arrows, confirming this area as a strong supply zone. 2. **Support Zone (Green Area: $98,950 - $99,350)** - **Description**: The price found support within this range after a sharp decline. It tested this area multiple times, marked by the yellow circle and green box, confirming it as a demand zone. - Buyers entered the market, pushing the price upwards. 3. **Bearish Setup** - **Critical Level (Black Line ~ $101,025)**: This level acts as a minor support. A note is written near this area: > *"When break this line by 1 bearish candle close below it, look for short position."* - **Short Position Signal**: If the price closes below this level with a bearish candle, it would signal a potential drop targeting the **green demand zone** or even lower. 4. **Risk/Reward Analysis** - **Stop Loss**: Placed above the resistance zone (~$102,700) in red. This protects the short position in case of a reversal. - **Take Profit**: The green demand zone (~$99,350) or potentially lower (~$96,200 red support area), depending on price movement. 5. **Trend Line (Bottom Support)** - A trendline emerges from lower lows, showing the market's bullish structure in the bigger picture. If the price breaks the critical $101,025 level, the short trade will aim for this trendline. --- ### **Trading Plan** 1. **Short Entry**: Enter a short position when a bearish candle closes below $101,025. 2. **Target Levels**: - First target: $99,350 (green support). - Second target: $98,950 - $96,200 (extended). 3. **Stop Loss**: Above $102,700 (key resistance). --- ### **Conclusion** This chart highlights a **potential short opportunity** if BTCUSD breaks the minor support level at $101,025. The resistance zone at $102,700 has been tested twice, confirming strong selling interest. However, if this level holds, a break of $101,025 will likely trigger a bearish move targeting the next major demand zone. Traders should monitor for a **bearish candle closure** to confirm entry.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by amerjaradat
December 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart. In a little while, at 10:30 and 12:00, there will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement. As I explained, Nasdaq and Bitcoin both reached the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart, but Nasdaq is recovering the 12+ daily pattern, and Bitcoin has touched the center line of the daily chart alone, so the mid-term pattern is broken. Even if it succeeds in bouncing back from the current position, it is a problem, but today, at least in Nasdaq, there is a higher possibility of a sideways movement rather than a plunge, so we proceeded with trend following. *Red finger movement path One-way long position strategy 1. 101796.5 dollars long position entry section / When the green support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 2. 104828.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd If the strategy is successful, the daily chart ends. The 1st section of the red finger is a long position re-entry attempt and stop loss price autonomous section. Today, the 15-minute Bollinger Band center line has not been touched even once, so the strategy is to play at 5+15 or even 15+30 even if it is pushed. With a strong upward condition, the success rate is approximately less than 5%. From the 1-hour chart center line touch, it can be dangerous because it is open downward, right? Also, I marked the purple finger at the top. In order to succeed in today's strategy, you must first touch 102.7K to increase the probability, and the long position switching position can change from the 1st section touch consecutively. If the adjustment comes out immediately without touching the purple finger at the current position, a long position entry position can come out once within the purple support line near the center line of the 30-minute chart, and it becomes a dangerous section from the 2nd section touch. You can see the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line of the 1st section and the sky blue support line of the 2nd section at the top as a sideways market. I drew a gray rising trend line in the 3rd section, and if it doesn't deviate from this section depending on the movement this week, it can continue to rise. If the 3rd section touches today, it seems like it will be a double bottom condition, but I don't recommend it. Bottom is the place where the 12+ daily pattern can be restored, but if a strong rebound does not occur, the candle may deviate from the center line of the daily chart, so additional declines may occur. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use, and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
$BTC update short tradeAs indicated earlier, I expected that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN could still make a significant correction. Just didn't hit the box, but fib 1,618 extended and correction back below bullish resistance. For now I don't know whether we want to complete the correction or whether we have now found rock bottom. I think that after yesterday we are really scared and that we are not quite ready yet. The only thing I want to say is that I am certainly bullish for the long term, but these bloody days are really necessary for the big bull run. Buttocks together and hold on. As soon as you sell and or your stop-loss is hit in a declining market, it only means that others will run away with your money. Of course I provide trade safely and control over your portfolio. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RidgerR
BTC CYCLE EXPLAINED🔄 THE BITCOIN-ALTCOIN CYCLE EXPLAINED 🔄 In the crypto market, a well-known pattern plays out: When Bitcoin rises 📈, altcoins like Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana tend to struggle 📉. When Bitcoin consolidates or corrects 📉, altcoins often rally 🚀. Why does this happen? 1. 💪 Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin (BTC) leads the market, setting the tone for all crypto movements. 2. 🛡️ Risk-Off Sentiment: During Bitcoin’s bullish runs, traders shift funds into BTC as a safer option. 3. 🔄 Altcoin Rotation: When BTC slows, investors look to altcoins for higher returns, driving their prices up. 🚨 The Big Question: Are we on the verge of another altcoin season? 🤔 📊 Keep watching Bitcoin’s movement—it might be signaling the next big altcoin breakout. 🔥 Stay tuned, the cycle could be heating up! 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AlphaBull-Trading
btc long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Golden_candle
BITCOIN BullishA technical analysis of **BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. US Dollar)** on a **30-minute timeframe** using key technical tools such as **support/resistance levels**, **trendlines**, and visual annotations for price movements. --- ### 1. **Key Levels Highlighted** - **Blue Zone (Resistance Area around $102,300 - $102,570):** - Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, signaling a **strong supply zone** where sellers dominate. - Two prior rejections are marked with **yellow circles**, showing historical resistance. - **Green Zone (Support Area around $98,956 - $99,318):** - This is a **key support zone** where the price bounced upward multiple times, highlighted by **blue circles**. - A failure to hold this support may push the price lower to test further downside levels. - **Red Zone (Next Key Support around $94,700 - $96,215):** - Below the green zone lies this **critical demand zone**, where buyers may step in. A breakdown of this area would indicate **bearish continuation**. - **Yellow Zone (Support Base near $93,720 - $94,229):** - This is the **lowest demand area** observed on this chart. It serves as a **last line of defense** before further downside. --- ### 2. **Trendlines** - **Yellow Uptrend Line:** - The price is respecting this **ascending trendline**, suggesting an ongoing short-term uptrend. - A clear break below this line could indicate a shift to a bearish trend. - **Red Downtrend Line:** - This short-term downtrend (descending resistance) intersects with the yellow trendline. - A breakout to the upside would indicate bullish momentum. - **Black Trendline (Major Long-Term Support):** - This lower black line shows a **long-term uptrend**, acting as significant support in case of a larger correction. --- ### 3. **Potential Scenarios** - **Bullish Scenario:** - Price retraces to the yellow uptrend line and bounces, breaking through the blue resistance zone (~$102,570). - This breakout could lead to further upside continuation. - **Bearish Scenario:** - If price breaks the yellow uptrend line and fails to hold above the green support zone (~$98,956), it may drop to test the red zone (~$95,800). - Continued selling pressure could push the price to the yellow zone (~$94,229). --- ### 4. **Market Behavior and Price Structure** - The repeated **rejections** from the blue resistance zone indicate strong selling pressure. - However, the **higher lows** formed along the yellow trendline show buying support, signaling a potential **triangle pattern** forming. - The breakout direction from this consolidation will likely determine the next significant move. --- ### 5. **Key Points to Watch** - **Break and Retest:** - Watch for price action near the blue resistance or green support zones for a breakout or reversal signal. - **Volume Confirmation:** - A breakout with increasing volume would confirm a strong move. - **Trendline Interaction:** - Monitor the yellow ascending trendline. A breakdown below it would suggest weakness. --- In summary: - **Bullish bias** exists above the yellow uptrend line. - **Bearish risk** increases below the green zone. - Key breakout above **$102,570** or breakdown below **$98,956** will signal the next direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by amerjaradat
BTC POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly Support area. Based on Daily TF, there is a hammer candle close. On the 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by WiLLProsperForex
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD upside target in mid-Dec, what's next?Previously marked that BTCUSD would make a Mid-Dec 2024 top, at about 107K. Happened 17 Dec as previously marked! DONE and checked sweetly. This was folllowed by an a large bearish marubozu candlestick downwards which broke back into the decision box, indicating that it would go out the other side. And it did, just yesterday, but it rebounded within the day to end off back in the box with a dragonfly doj i like candlestick... this is a bullish indication. Thing is, technicals are bearish, including the modified VolDiv (dotted line, lower panel) which shows some weakening; and includes a MACD crossdown. Waiting to see if the supports are going to break. Am expecting it to break down... Previously downside target 75,000 But tendency for over estimates for downside in a bull run, so the new moderated downside target is 88,000 at the end of 2024. BTCUSD is looking for a nice bullishs start to 2025... Watch for it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
BTC Faces Significant Selling Pressure from Long-Term HoldersBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has faced intensified selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have offloaded approximately 1 million BTC since mid-September, contributing to its current 13% dip from its all-time high of $108,000. This marks the largest discount since the U.S. presidential election. While short-term holders (STHs) have stepped in to absorb some of this supply, demand imbalance continues to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s price. 1. Long-Term Holders’ Selling Behavior LTHs, defined as investors holding BTC for over 155 days, have been distributing their holdings as prices show strength. Over the past week, LTHs sold 70,000 BTC in a single day, marking the fourth-largest one-day sell-off this year, according to Glassnode data. Their holdings have dropped from 14.2 million BTC in September to 13.2 million BTC, signaling a strategic move to realize profits during this period of heightened market volatility. 2. Short-Term Holders Absorbing Supply STHs have accumulated 1.3 million BTC during the same period, partially offsetting LTHs' selling. However, this accumulation hasn’t been enough to sustain upward momentum, resulting in continued price weakness. 3. Market Liquidity and Exchange Activity The circulating supply of Bitcoin stands at 19.8 million tokens, with 2.8 million BTC held on exchanges. Notably, 200,000 BTC have exited exchanges in recent months, indicating a trend of investors moving assets to cold storage. This dwindling exchange balance could limit immediate liquidity, further impacting market dynamics. Technical Outlook Bitcoin is trading in a bearish zone, currently down 0.49% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42. The recent market sell-off liquidated approximately $1.4 billion, exacerbating downward pressure. Key Levels to Watch Support Level: If selling persists, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could dip to $85,000, a key support level aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Resistance Level: For a bullish reversal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must break through $101,000, a pivotal psychological and technical barrier that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Outlook and Implications The ongoing selling by LTHs reflects a strategic shift, possibly influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and profit-taking at current levels. Meanwhile, STHs’ buying activity suggests continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. However, the imbalance between supply and demand could lead to further short-term price volatility. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels and market activity from these cohorts to anticipate the next significant price movement. Conclusion Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain amid significant selling pressure from LTHs. While oversold technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the lack of sufficient demand from STHs raises concerns about sustained recovery. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it navigates these pivotal price levels. Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounce back like it has in past corrections, or is a deeper dip on the horizon? Only time will tell. Stay tuned for further updates!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews