Get started
Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin’s December Outlook: Consolidation or Trend Reversal?Bitcoin Bull Market: Is It Over? A Closer Look at December's Impact Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated resilience in December, with a modest decline of less than 2.5% as traders anticipate the crucial monthly and yearly candle close. BTC Price Performance in December Despite being approximately $15,000 below its recent all-time highs, BTC/USD has only depreciated by 2.4% compared to its December opening. This positions Bitcoin as a strong performer in 2024, with the broader bull market narrative remaining intact upon a long-term perspective. Analysts project a potential 145% price increase for Bitcoin from this year's levels. Key Insights for the Week The coming week holds significant importance for Bitcoin's trajectory. A weekly candle close below $92,800 could signal the start of a bearish trend, potentially driving prices toward $79,580 and $71,400 in January. Conversely, if Bitcoin stabilizes above $92,800, it is likely to trade within the range of $92,800 to $103,760. For a renewed bullish outlook, a daily candle close above $103,560 is critical, as it would pave the way for upward movements toward $127,510 and $149,100. Key Levels to Watch Pivot Line: $92,800 Support Levels: $79,580, $71,400, $64,920 Resistance Levels: $103,757, $127,511, $149,100 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between $92,800 and $103,760 Bearish Trend: Below $92,800 Bullish Momentum: Above $103,560
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SroshMayi
Bullish tendency is broken 101-102K for sellingMorning folks, So, BTC was not able to stay above predefined support area and drop right back to the daily 92-95K level. It means that existing bullish context on daily chart is done. In general, this is reasonable - we're going to the Xmas Holidays and inauguration. There are a lot of uncertainty with coming D. Trump policy. Especially when JPowell said that the Fed doesn't intend to own any BTC... so inner conflict is ready. So, retracement might be deeper in nearest month. Since BTC is overextended down a bit, the first thing we expect upside technical bounce, somewhere to 101-102K area. Then, if we're correct in our analysis, downside reversal should happen with potential H&S pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
December 18 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Above is the 30-minute Tether Dominance chart. Roughly, it should proceed as the blue finger moves, and the beat should move in the opposite direction, right? If I explain it, it may take all night, so please refer only to the drawing section and major price ranges. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The FOMC US interest rate announcement is at 4 a.m. Since the no-questions-asked decline yesterday, the mid-term pattern has also been broken, so there have been a lot of turning points. The strategy is going to be one-way, but I don't know how to explain the mid-term turning point. The secret section at the bottom is the Gap8 section, and when I draw it, it seems impossible if it doesn't fall right away from the current position. To summarize, *The blue finger movement path is a two-way neutral short->long switching strategy. 1. $106,394 short position entry section / red resistance line breakthrough or top section touching is the stop loss price 2. $104,310.5 long position switching / stop loss price when the green support line is broken After the final long position switching, I don't know how it will move. Long target price is Top and I'd like to talk again tomorrow. The purple support line drawn from the current position basically has to be maintained for the strategy to succeed, so please watch closely. Orange resistance line breakthrough -> Purple support line must be damaged or separated. ... It's hard to explain. Also, the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line in section 1 and the green support line in section 2 marked above and below is a sideways movement. If it falls right from the current position or falls after section 1, the section 2 at the bottom becomes the final long position entry section. (section 1 is the first short position entry section of today) section 3 is the support line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band. It's around section 4+6 where the mid-term pattern is restored. It becomes today's major support line, and the bottom section is the center line of the 12-hour Bollinger Band chart. Overall, if only the green support line is maintained, it would be best for a long position. I marked a thin gray line below the bottom, which is a mid-term trend line. Since the low point continues to rise, if this position is not broken, the uptrend can continue. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference and only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
Pride Comes Before the Fall: A Trading Lesson in HumilityIn trading, as in life, pride can be your undoing. The saying “Pride comes before the fall” holds a profound lesson for traders who let overconfidence cloud their judgment. While confidence is an essential trait for success, excessive pride often leads to reckless decision-making, ignored warnings, and ultimately, significant losses. This post explores the dangers of pride in trading and how maintaining humility can safeguard your capital and enhance your decision-making process. The Dangers of Pride in Trading 1. Overconfidence in Winning Streaks Few things inflate a trader's ego like a winning streak. When every trade seems to go in your favor, it's tempting to believe you've mastered the market. However, markets are dynamic and unforgiving. - Overconfidence may lead you to take larger positions, abandon risk management strategies, or ignore market signals. - A single unexpected move can erase gains and even wipe out your account. 2. Refusal to Admit Mistakes Pride can prevent traders from accepting when a trade idea is wrong. This often results in: - Holding onto losing trades longer than necessary. - Averaging down into bad positions, magnifying losses. - Ignoring stop-loss levels because of a belief that the market will "come back." 3. Chasing "Revenge Trades" After a loss, pride might push you to recover your losses immediately by doubling down on risk. Revenge trading is driven by emotions rather than logic, often leading to bigger losses. 4. Ignoring the Bigger Picture Pride can blind traders to critical market realities. Instead of adapting to changing conditions, they stubbornly cling to outdated strategies or refuse to learn from others. How to Keep Pride in Check 1. Treat Every Trade as a Probability Game The market doesn't owe you anything, and no strategy guarantees success. Every trade involves risk, and outcomes are influenced by factors beyond your control. - Focus on executing your strategy consistently rather than trying to "win." - Acknowledge that losses are a natural part of trading. 2. Stick to a Risk Management Plan Pride can tempt you to exceed your risk limits. Combat this by: - Using fixed position sizes relative to your account balance. - Setting stop-loss levels for every trade and respecting them. 3. Practice Continuous Learning Markets evolve, and so should you. Humility keeps you open to learning new strategies, techniques, and perspectives. - Analyze your trades, both wins and losses, to identify areas for improvement. - Seek mentorship or study market history to gain broader insights. 4. Detach Emotionally from Trades Acknowledge that a single trade doesn't define you as a trader. - Avoid tying your self-worth to your trading results. - Focus on the long-term process rather than short-term outcomes. Conclusion Pride is one of the most dangerous emotions a trader can harbor. It clouds judgment, promotes reckless behavior, and blinds you to market realities. Trading is not about proving you're right—it's about staying disciplined, managing risk, and adapting to ever-changing conditions. Remember, humility is your greatest ally in the market. Stay grounded, respect the risks, and you'll be better equipped to navigate the ups and downs of trading without falling victim to the perils of pride. Pro Tip: Write this on a sticky note and place it near your trading screen: "The market is always right. My job is to listen, adapt, and act accordingly."
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Push to 112k and then a january pullbackLooks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way. Looks to me it all fits like this way.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by realSatoshiNakamoto
1
Bitcoin (BTC): Crypto Cycles / Are We In Bullish One?Well, the last time we took a bigger look at bitcoins cycles was exactly a year ago and so far almost everything has been playing out well; halving is done and we are in the beginning phase of the bullish market, as it seems. But one thing concerns us: we did not have a proper reaccumulation phase on the coin, whereas we did have a proper expansion phase and a quick start of bullish market. Now this seems a little bit off so we are keeping our curiosity at a possible quick liquidity movement to happen (due to lack of reaccumilation phase). But keep in mind that every cycle is different and so is this one. Stay safe and don't be greedy!! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SwallowAcademy
1
Bitcoin Down to 3666?Bitcoin’s Bull Run: A Potential Correction Ahead Bitcoin has seen a remarkable bull run, but a correction to $3,666 may be imminent. Historical patterns show Bitcoin often retraces 70-90% after peaks (e.g., 2017-2018 and 2021-2022). Current overbought indicators, like RSI levels above 70, and declining buyer activity suggest cooling momentum. Affordability is also a concern, with high prices limiting participation by retail investors. Could Bitcoin Become the US Official Currency? With global trends like El Salvador adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, it's plausible the US could consider similar moves under specific leadership. Bitcoin's capped supply and decentralization align with economic policies that challenge traditional banking and inflationary pressures. Why Market Inclusivity Matters Most of Bitcoin’s wealth remains concentrated among early adopters and whales, mirroring the inequality seen in stock markets. Broader adoption by the general population is essential for Bitcoin’s long-term legitimacy and sustained bull runs. Be Prepared for Market Turbulence On-chain divergences (e.g., lower transaction volumes) and macroeconomic tightening hint at potential turbulence. Bitcoin corrections tend to be swift, often concluding within 1-2 years, as seen in past cycles. Observing these trends is vital for navigating the market ahead. A Word of Caution Average investors should be wary of opportunistic individuals or schemes promoting Bitcoin as a "guaranteed" investment at current levels. The market’s volatility could leave latecomers holding the bag during a downturn. Always conduct thorough research before investing.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by resurrector007
BTC/USD ANALYSIS BY DAVID JOSH BTC/USD H4 CHART ANALYSIS The BTC/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential reversal pattern amid recent volatility. After reaching a peak near $109,551, Bitcoin has faced downward pressure, testing key support levels around $92,633. This reflects a corrective move following its upward trajectory. Fundamentally , the market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as regulatory news and institutional investment trends in cryptocurrency. Market sentiment remains cautious with traders closely monitoring global economic cues. Key Levels: Resistance: Around $104,339 Support: Critical at $92,633 Trading Strategy Traders might consider buying opportunities if the price breaks above resistance at $101,158 with strong volume. Conversely, a break below current support could signal further downside risk to the lower support level. Risk management is crucial given Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Monitoring fundamental indicators alongside technical signals can help navigate this dynamic market environment effectively.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
1
BTC SHORT TO $94,760Finally some clarity from BTC, well worth sitting on our hands for a short period. We created a short term down trend with multiple confirmations (SMA break and rejection, LL's & LH's etc) a retracement back to the golden ratio and a rejection from a major key level has resulted in some bearish momentum for BTC and all correlated markets. We'll se how this plays out as exhaustion will play some restriction in the momentum BTC can hold although i do think the target / 61.8% retracement level will be met of $94,760 Also currently waiting on BTC to produce a new LL on the 1H time frame so lets see how that pans out. I have moved stop to $11,065 to lock in 1.5% as we've been out the market for a few days. P.S, sorry slightly late on posting this idea
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
1
BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone,BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BTC is approaching the 99,000 resistance zone, where selling pressure could emerge. If this level holds, the downside target remains at 86,000, which aligns with a significant support level. Keep an eye on price action and momentum indicators for confirmation before entering a position. Entry Position: - **Sell Entry:** Around 98,900–99,100 (to account for potential resistance zone fluctuations). Stop Loss: - **Stop Loss:** 99,600 (above the resistance zone to manage risk). Target: - **Take Profit:** 86,000 (key support zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: - Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is at least 1:2 to maintain a favorable trading setup. Adjust your position size accordingly. Keep monitoring for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish divergence, or a breakdown of intraday support).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
When Bears Gather: A Confluence of Warning Signs for BTCBitcoin’s current price action has led me to adopt a bearish short-term outlook, supported by several technical indicators and analysis methods. Here’s why I believe we’re at a critical turning point and entering a Wave 4 correction based on Elliott Wave Theory. Stochastic RSI: Bearish Crossover The Weekly Stochastic RSI has entered the overbought zone, and a bearish crossover has formed. Historically, this has been a reliable signal of a downside correction. I’ve highlighted previous instances where a bearish crossover in the overbought region led to significant price corrections, and we’re now seeing a similar setup. A single indicator isn’t enough to make a strong prediction, but several additional factors strengthen the bearish outlook: 1.618 Fibonacci Extension: Bitcoins price price aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci level, often a key resistance point. Whilst it has broken support on the daily/weekly time frames it wouldn't surprise me if it retraces back to the 1.618 Fibonacci, creating a bearish candle where the 1.618 is now resistance by the close of December. Loss of Momentum: Candlestick patterns and momentum indicators all show weakening momentum, including a hanging man candle on the weekly chart. Daily and 4-Hour Stochastic RSI: Both timeframes have also turned bearish, signaling further downside. Elliott Wave Analysis: Top of Wave 3 In my previous Bitcoin analysis, I discussed how we’ve likely reached the top of Wave 3, and are now entering a Wave 4 retracement. If this is indeed Wave 4, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that 70% of corrections retrace between the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, which I have marked out above. Based on this range: In 2021 Wave 4 corrected 31%. If we did a similar correction this would take us down to 0.618 Fibonacci level, conveniently near $71,859.67, which also serves as close proximity to the previous all-time high. Final Thoughts As traders, we can only work with the charts and data in front of us. My current bias remains bearish, and I’ll continue monitoring key levels and confluence points to adjust my outlook as needed.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heywippa