Get started
Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Monthly Candle Close Colours since 2011 UPDATEAs we approach the Christmas Holiday I thought I would just drop this in to read. The expected GREEN December began but the draw back over the last week or so have now turned the Monthly candle into a RED one. As it is right now, the Candle is a Mini imverted Hammer. Shoudl it close like this, there has only been ONE opccasion that December closed like this... December 2022 And we all know what happened in January 2023 but I think a repeat is unlikely. I think what we do need to be awatr of, there are not many occasion we had a RED December ofter a number of Green months In fact December 2013 was the ONLY one and signaled the beginning of a BEAR. I do not think we are tere right now but things have shifted Quickly this year. Weekly MACD is Way up high in overbought and this WILL take time to recover once it turns Bearish For now, we need to pay attention to all possibilities and look forward with open emotions. We could be anywhere right now in this cycle but I believe we still have a good 2025 to come. MVRV has not peaked but is at the same level it was on the Nov 2021 ATH For me, if December this year doe snot recover, we may see Green Jan but that would be unusual A Spring Rise is more likely I wish you all Peace and happiness for the Holidays and may your Gods, Godess , Beliefs and philosophies Keep your Socks forever dry
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Alpha ReportMonday Alpha Report 2024 12 23 Bitcoin Following a heart-gripping correction to ~$92,000 Bitcoin rallied slightly to re-test our ascending level of support, taking several forms from the diagonal trendline on the Daily Timeframe, to the 200 SMA on the 4H Timeframe. Bitcoin now finds itself back at ~$93,000 after failing to sustain above $95,000 - a level I have continually highlighted as critical to maintaining this currently rally. The longer Bitcoin sustains underneath $95,000 - more downside risk emerges. My current worst-case scenario is a retracement to $75,000 - $80,000. However, currently there are no fundamentals that fully support this. This worst-case target is based on the prevailing CME Futures Gap, the previous consolidation level sustained throughout the ‘Summer Doldrums’, and the projected vicinity of the Daily 200 SMA. Keep in mind, that Bitcoin often performs very strongly into Christmas, so it is still possible we get our ‘Santa Rally’. If that occurs, the critical level to watch will be $100,000 - $104,000. That would be the projected ‘Lower High’ target if Bitcoin is to rally into the end of the year yet still maintain it’s trajectory for a longer-term correction. I remain optimistic that we can still reach the price target of $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration - however there is a time to be bold and a time to prepare and manage downside risk - unfortunately this is the later. In addition, Michael Saylor’s comments have failed to bring enthusiasm to the markets this morning. Recent reports suggest that MSTR plans to pause Bitcoin purchases in January due to a ‘self-imposed blackout period’. This pause is expected to last through January, resuming after the company’s earnings call in early February 2025. Therefore, applying a timeline to our scenarios, if Bitcoin fails to rally into Trump’s inauguration, and we did indeed just experience a local top, I expect sluggish if not downward price action through the beginning of the year with the rally to resume in February-March. That will give time for two critical catalysts to occur: MSTR’s renewed buying, and a chance for the Fed to pivot to a more dovish tone and ramp up or provide more clarity on rate cuts - the catalyst which I believe is primarily responsible for Bitcoin’s current rally. In summary, traders should be prepared to act tactically upon trading signals, with optimism, however be prepared for a several month slump. This last part should be viewed with great optimism however, because a correction now for several months almost guarantees a right-handed cycle that will extend deep into 2025 for cryptocurrency. In short: we might be experiencing a local top, but we are most certainly not experiencing a cycle top. Trends: 5M: Bearish 30M: Bearish 1H: Bearish 4H: Bearish Key Levels: Point of Control: $95,373 VWAP: $94,568 Value Area Low: $92,143 - $93,798 Value Area High: $95,804 - $96,991 Resistance: $99,500 Support: $86,900 Strategy: Price is currently trading in the Value Area Low for the day, after experiencing a sell-off and a rejection from $94,000. Traders can position for a potential double-bottom, and target today’s Value Area High in the short-term and optimistically a Christmas rally into $100,000 - $104,000. Focus on managing down-side risk however, as prices below $92,000 will likely trigger another wave of sell-offs as liquidations are forced and fear is in the air.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by CrackingCryptocurrency
$BTC if we can't hold it hereIf MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN cannot maintain its demand zone, I am afraid that we will honestly take a nosedive towards correction, see drawing If we manage to maintain the demand zone, we can make another attempt. Unfortunately, while I was still quite positive this morning, it doesn't feel quite right that we can go back down so easily. As I write this I see that Bitcoin is trying hard to break out of the demand zone. Let's hope we can keep this for a while. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RidgerR
BTC 11Y RSI trend line. Next Bull Top and Bear bottom.There is a trend line that nobody is talking about. 11 Year RSI trend line. Current bull-market was similar to 2013. If it topped at 108k or will top at 120k. Does not really matter at this point. All eyes on alts right now. BTC peaked the same way as in 2012-13. After RSI touched this yellow trend line next touch comes only after 1100-1700 days. If you extend same amount of days into the future, the next Bitcoin TOP will be around Q1-Q2 2028. After RSI touched yellow trend line the next bear market low usually happens in 400-700 days. If predict the next bear market bottom i would say it will be around first half of 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fugasok
Bitcoin's Struggles Persist as Market Faces Continued Downturn.Bitcoin’s struggles continue as the asset fails to initiate a notable recovery, with its price hovering around $96,000. The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, has seen significant fluctuations over the past week, impacting both Bitcoin and altcoins. Bitcoin's Recent Performance Last Monday and Tuesday, Bitcoin posted fresh gains, surging above $108,000 to mark its latest all-time high. However, the landscape shifted dramatically following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday evening. Bitcoin reacted with an immediate price drop to under $100,000, signalling the start of a downward trend. The sell-off intensified over the subsequent days, culminating in a sharp decline to $92,000 by Friday. Although Bitcoin managed to halt its freefall and briefly recovered to over $99,000 on Saturday morning, the relief was short-lived. By Sunday, Bitcoin's price had fallen back to $96,000, where it remains currently. Market Dynamics and Influencing Factors Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price in the coming week: Regulatory Developments: Any new regulations or policy changes affecting cryptocurrencies could impact market sentiment. Macroeconomic Indicators: Data on inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can influence investor behaviour in the crypto market. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among retail and institutional investors plays a crucial role in price movements. For now, Bitcoin’s market cap stands at $1.9 trillion, with its dominance over altcoins just shy of 55%. Altcoins in Similar State Altcoins have mirrored Bitcoin's struggles, experiencing similar or even more severe declines in recent days. Major altcoins like XRP, ADA, AVAX, SHIB, DOGE, and ETH have all remained in the red. Over the past day, DOT, XLM, SUI, and APT have also registered further declines. One notable exception among the larger-cap altcoins is AAVE, which has bucked the trend with a significant price surge. The asset has gained roughly 10%, now sitting at $340 amid the broader market correction. Market Overview The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has dropped to $3.460 trillion, reflecting the broader market downturn. Despite the current challenges, the resilience of the cryptocurrency market suggests that recovery could be on the horizon once the influencing factors stabilize. As we move into the new trading week, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on key economic indicators and market sentiment. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin and the broader crypto market can regain their footing and initiate a recovery.
FX:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM
$BITCOIN with substantiation and drawingMaybe it's a bit of a busy drawing. But I wanted to show why I think we may be correcting and why this is very healthy for the bull market. It seems that after the larger correction we have now completed 5 waves and we also have to correct this wave. That is the phase we seem to be in now. Now I have 2 expected positions where the correction can go. I think that we will not correct very deeply and will therefore not reach 50%, but that we will correct up to fib 618. So possibly just under 90k. Unfortunately, no Christmas run is expected. But just a super healthy correction that we don't have to worry too much about. The altcoins also seem to be less willing to participate and we seem to be settling in for the bull run. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RidgerR
bitcoin multiple 1-2 in last 5th wave in textbook impulse ideaafter that abc flat to troll so much people people into thinking 200k. this scenario is for me only realistic with the timing and probabilites in EW. A wave woud be impulse to flash all the retail, b flat to exactly 4year cycle TOP in october, and c some sell the news event with reccesion or war which would be bear market for 365 days 85,842 entry + adding to position at 80k which is supported by lot of npocs invalidation .618 log where i would sell 60% and sold 30% after bounce from 618 and ATH first TP - w5 targets area(from 108k to the low created) second TP - 128k (common this cycle w5 target) third TP - these boxes 142-159k from comparing previous cycle post halving gains the number was only decreasing from 30 to 24 which would lead this cycle around 20, of course its only speculation. After 160k would be this data invalidated. 140-152k strong fibonacci confluence
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by luskmelongg
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated. Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected. Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market. In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs. MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world. Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%). Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025. Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.” Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.” He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Possible target : 2 equal lows in h4 at around $92kI think that the price of the bitcoin could go to GETTEX:92K because there are 2 equal lows that you can see on this chart at approximatively $92000. "Equal lows refer to a situation in trading where two or more price lows are at the same level or very close to each other on a chart. This concept is significant because it indicates a potential area where liquidity is resting. In trading, liquidity refers to the availability of buy or sell orders at a particular price level. When equal lows are present, it suggests that there are likely many stop-loss orders from traders who are long (buying) positioned just below these lows. This creates a pool of liquidity that can be targeted by the market."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by trader77974
Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis.Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis 1. Trump Nominates Stephen Miran as Chairman of Economic Advisory Council President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Stephen Miran as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, a position that will play a crucial role in shaping economic policy for the incoming administration. Miran, who previously served as a senior advisor to the Treasury Department in 2021, is well-known for his advocacy of deregulation to promote innovation across various sectors in the United States. In a statement on social media, Miran expressed his excitement about the nomination: "I am beyond honoured that President Trump has chosen me to lead his Council of Economic Advisers. I look forward to working to help implement the President's policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!" The crypto community has responded positively to Miran's nomination, largely due to his pro-innovation stance and openness towards digital assets and cryptocurrencies. His appointment is seen as a potential catalyst for more favourable regulatory environments for the crypto industry. 2. Bitcoin Social Sentiment Drops to Yearly Low, Signalling BTC Breakout Social sentiment around Bitcoin has reached its lowest point in 2024, suggesting a possible recovery above the $100,000 mark for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. As of December 22, Bitcoin's price is down over 10% from its all-time high of above $108,300 recorded on December 17, trading at around $97,150. This 10% correction has led to a significant drop in social media sentiment, with an average ratio of four to five positive versus negative Bitcoin-related comments. Market intelligence platform Sentiment highlighted this shift in a recent post, noting: “Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that's good news for contrarians who know markets move in the opposite direction of retail's expectations.” Other crypto analysts are also predicting an end to Bitcoin’s current correction below $100,000. Notably, Bitcoin’s daily chart showed three consecutive red candles for the first time since early November, a period that coincided with Donald Trump's US election victory. This historical pattern has led some to speculate that Bitcoin may soon experience a bullish reversal. 3. Interpol Issues "Red Notice" for Hex Founder Richard Heart The international law enforcement organization, Interpol, has issued a "Red Notice" for Richard Schueler, also known as Richard Heart, the founder of Hex. Schueler is wanted by Finnish authorities for allegedly committing tax fraud and assault. A Red Notice is a global request for law enforcement to locate and provisionally arrest a person, but it is not an international arrest warrant. Schueler is also listed on Europe’s most wanted fugitives list, where detailed allegations include physically assaulting a 16-year-old victim and committing tax evasion between June 2, 2020, and April 2, 2024. The issuance of the Red Notice comes just three months after a remand order was initially issued for Schueler on September 13, according to Finnish public broadcaster Yle. This development has sent shockwaves through the crypto community, as Schueler is a well-known figure in the space. These key developments in the crypto world highlight the dynamic nature of the market and the importance of staying informed. As the week progresses, traders and investors should closely monitor these stories and their potential impact on the broader financial landscape..
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM
The "Donald Trump Dump" and the 2025 Bitcoin Blunder"Kamala Klimax" has become synonymous with an extraordinary period in the annals of cryptocurrency, having primed Bitcoin for an amazing run towards the $100,000 mark. As Vice President Kamala Harris championed progressive policies that resonated through the realms of technology and finance, her influence catalyzed significant bullish momentum within the blockchain sector. This era saw Bitcoin not merely rise, but soar, as it was buoyed by a wave of optimism and innovation. The ascent was powered by a robust combination of regulatory relaxation and technological advancements. Harris's administration facilitated a fertile environment for fintech innovations, which in turn attracted a surge of institutional investors and crypto enthusiasts, all eager to partake in the burgeoning Bitcoin bonanza. The market sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with the digital currency's value climbing to new, dizzying heights, nearing the once-unthinkable $100,000 milestone. However, as with all epic tales, the peak is often followed by a precipitous fall. Enter the looming specter of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump." As political tides shift and the former President hints at a dramatic return to power, the crypto community braces for potential upheaval. The MAGA movement, known for its tumultuous impact on markets, could instigate a drastic downturn, with Bitcoin potentially plummeting to $80,000—if it's lucky. This expected "Dump" is feared to be fueled by a cocktail of controversial policies, unpredictable tweets, and a general shift towards economic nationalism, which may scare off international investors and shake the very foundations of the crypto market. The blockchain, once a beacon of bullish trends under the "Kamala Klimax," might soon face the wrath of renewed MAGA forces, potentially erasing significant gains and setting the stage for a new era of market uncertainty. In conclusion, while the "Kamala Klimax" prepared Bitcoin for an unprecedented ascent, reaching towards $100,000, we now stand on the cusp of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump," where a crash to $80,000 seems not only possible but probable. The cryptocurrency community must now navigate these choppy political waters with caution, as the winds of change threaten to shift from a gale of gains to a storm of losses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnitedFreedomJapan
BTC bearish next week (4-hour)BTC is pretty bearish right now as it cools off. I do not usually share 4 hour charts these days, look at the resetting BBWP and RSI. This is a much needed cool off. This correction will allow whales to get that final under 100k entry before the Q1 pump. I expect more capitulation, and a daily wick to my initial target. Volume has dropped off making this easier to flush out. Targets: Next week a leverage flush will cause the 87-89k target This will allow people to stack up before the new year
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Apollo_21mil
BITCOIN downtrend This chart presents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price action on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis: ### Key Observations: 1. **Downtrend Formation**: - A clear descending trendline (black) indicates sustained bearish momentum. Each price rally has been rejected at lower levels, forming lower highs. 2. **Significant Support and Resistance Zones**: - **Pink Zone (Resistance at $101,880 - $102,602)**: - This area acted as a strong rejection zone multiple times, confirming it as a resistance level. - **Green Zone (Resistance at $99,011 - $99,316)**: - This zone represents a secondary resistance level where price failed to break above after retracing from the downtrend. - **Blue Zone (Support at $92,628 - $93,600)**: - A strong demand zone where buyers stepped in, shown by the large wick indicating rejection of lower prices. 3. **Price Action at Key Levels**: - The price broke below intermediate support at $94,496, signaling increased selling pressure. - The recent bounce off the blue zone suggests strong buyer interest at these levels. 4. **Volume Analysis**: - While not shown, areas of long wicks (e.g., blue support zone) often indicate high trading activity, implying accumulation. 5. **Bearish Continuation Indicators**: - Rejection at the green zone and continued interaction with the trendline supports the bearish structure. - Lower highs and lower lows dominate, reflecting sellers' control. ### Potential Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Case**: - If price fails to break above $96,194 or the descending trendline, it is likely to retest the $94,496 level and potentially head back to the $92,628 - $93,600 support zone. - A break below $92,628 could trigger further downside momentum. 2. **Bullish Case**: - For bullish recovery, price must break the trendline and reclaim $96,194. - Stronger confirmation would come from breaking the $99,011 - $99,316 resistance zone. ### Suggested Actions: - **For Short Positions**: - Consider entering around the descending trendline or resistance levels ($96,194 or $99,011), with a target toward $94,496 or the blue support zone. - **For Long Positions**: - Watch for a confirmed breakout above $96,194 with a retest as support, targeting $99,316.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by amerjaradat