Tesla Analysis: Key Levels - Dec 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today, we will analyze Tesla's chart.
📈 Weekly Chart
Looking at Tesla's weekly chart, we can see that the resistance trendline from the November 2021 high has been broken in the red box area. This breakout occurred in October 2024, and since then, Tesla's stock price has surged by approximately 90% in just two months.
📉 Daily Chart
On the daily chart, Tesla's strong upward trend is evident, as the 20-day moving average has a steep upward slope, indicating a powerful bullish momentum. Additionally, the 60-day moving average is rising alongside the 20-day moving average, suggesting that the upward trend is unlikely to break easily.
🔍 Zoomed-In Daily Chart
Tesla's current support level is critical for maintaining the upward trend.
The 415 level, which previously acted as resistance (shown in the green box), is now being tested as support. After breaking the previous high, Tesla has risen by 18.5%, and the key question is whether it will establish a new upward framework or fall back into the green box's range.
If Tesla fails to hold the 415 level, there's a high likelihood of a correction down to the 300 level.
Reasons:
Historical data shows that 300 was the peak resistance level during rebounds like dead cat bounces in the past (red box area).
The only significant resistance during the current rally was near 360, which lies between 415 and 300. The rally was so sharp that there are no "support levels" in between, meaning a sharp decline to 300 is possible if selling pressure intensifies.
📊 Tesla Buying Strategy
Key Recommendations:
Red Box Entry (Breakout Trades):
While breakout trades at all-time highs are a typical strategy, this approach carries significant risk. Given the 18% remaining upside, entering at this level is not recommended.
1st Entry (Green Box):
This area is a good entry point because the previous resistance at 415 has now turned into potential support. However, since this level doesn't have much historical data, it’s advised to use only a small portion of your funds for this entry.
2nd Entry (Blue Box):
This is a high-probability rebound zone. This area was a key resistance level in July 2023, and after being broken, it has served as strong support.
3rd Entry (Purple Box):
This entry is based on Tesla's long-term upward trendline starting in June 2019. If Tesla drops to this area, it could provide a strong rebound opportunity. However, if the trendline breaks, it may signal a trend reversal, so caution is advised. Be prepared to exit quickly if needed.
💡 Final Thoughts:
As shown in the charts, opportunities always come in the market. Patience is key to earning profits. Instead of chasing every rally, wait for solid setups.
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