Nas100 Possible buy I have been waiting for the retracement and want to see if it will be able to come back to the demand level i have highlighted
USTEC.F trade ideas
Price Action Analysis: Bearish Continuation or Bullish ReversalTechnical Analysis:
The price experienced a significant decline of approximately 3.9% over the past week, as previously highlighted.
Currently, a potential retest of the 20550 or 20660 levels is anticipated. Sustained stability below these levels would reinforce the bearish trend, paving the way for a decline toward 20330, with a further drop to 20130 if this level is breached.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 20660, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, it would signal a shift to a bullish trend, targeting a move toward 20860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20550
Resistance Levels: 20660, 20860, 21070
Support Levels: 20330, 20130, 19950
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 20550 and 20660
Bullish above 20660
30-mins US100: Heavy Selling in the US Tech In recent trading sessions, investors have been selling off the NASDAQ 100 index to secure profits, leading to a substantial drop of 1,000 points since last week. This decline has been accompanied by a clear technical signal of bearish momentum: a "Death Cross," where the 20-period moving average (MA) has fallen below the 60-period MA, indicating a strong sell signal and confirming the downtrend.
Today, the index found temporary support, initiating a modest pullback that briefly pushed prices above the 20,495 level, aligning with the 23% Fibonacci retracement. If buying pressure persists, the index could potentially rally towards 20,620 (38% Fib level) or even 20,720, which corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
These levels could serve as key resistance zones and present attractive entry points for traders looking to capitalize on the current bearish momentum by initiating new short positions. Entering short trades at these higher resistance points allows traders to follow the dominant downward trend while minimizing risk, should a stronger pullback occur.
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thoughts of the nas100 sell taken based on the analysistrade executed after failed attempt on recent high formed created. can we expect a reversal on nas or tp 1 hit once we take into our further point of interest the 15 minute fvg ? what are your thoughts ?
NAS100 - Nasdaq will reach above 21,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for NASDAQ sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq's buying position is in the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement, and considering the downward sentiment at the end of the week, it should be saved quickly.
China’s Export Restrictions and Their Impact on Global Supply Chains
• China Tightens Export Controls:
Starting December 1, China will implement new regulations to tighten export restrictions on critical metals and raw materials, including tungsten, graphite, magnesium, and aluminum alloys, essential for the technology sector.
• China’s Objectives:
These measures are part of a broader strategy to manage sensitive exports and protect national interests.
• Global Market Impact:
The new restrictions are expected to disrupt global technology supply chains and introduce volatility in related markets.
Zelensky’s Perspective on Trump’s Presidency
• Zelensky’s Comments:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the war in Ukraine could end sooner if Donald Trump returns to the White House.
• Constructive Interaction with Trump:
Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine successfully communicated its vision for peace to Trump, and he observed no opposition from Trump regarding Ukraine’s stance.
• Implications of Zelensky’s Remarks:
These comments reflect Ukraine’s hope for continued international support to expedite the resolution of the conflict.
US Economic Forecasts
• Q3 Earnings Reports from Major Companies:
This week, companies such as NVIDIA and TARGET will release their third-quarter (Q3) earnings reports.
• Federal Reserve Rate Cuts:
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, predicts that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December.
• The current Federal Funds rate range is 4.5% to 4.75%, which Rieder considers restrictive.
• Following the December cut, the Fed is expected to pause temporarily to reassess future adjustments.
Jerome Powell’s Statements and Market Reactions
• Powell on a Strong US Economy:
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted the robust performance of the US economy, stating there is no urgency to lower interest rates.
• Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts:
Powell stressed that decisions should be made carefully due to uncertainties surrounding the neutral rate level.
• Market Reaction:
These statements reduced market expectations for a rate cut in December.
Anticipating a Major Market Shift NASDAQ: Key Levels 1. Wave Structure and Elliott Wave Analysis
Wave 5 and Volume Divergence: The left chart appears to highlight an extended Wave 5 with a possible volume divergence, which typically signals the end of an impulsive movement and can indicate a potential trend reversal.
Complex Wave Structure (Weekly Perspective): The larger time-frame view is labeling a complex wave sequence, with sharp corrections and shallow retracements that indicate areas of key resistance and support.
4-Hour Chart (Right Side): Shows a corrective pattern forming after a series of impulsive moves, with annotations of potential Elliott wave substructures. This includes labels such as Wave iii, iv, and v, which suggest a detailed fractal analysis within the larger trend.
2. Key Levels and Fibo Retracements
Key Fibonacci Levels: The chart highlights multiple Fibonacci retracement levels like 0.618, 0.5, and 1.236 across different parts of the wave structure, essential for identifying retracement and extension targets.
POC and VAL (Point of Control and Value Area Low): The Point of Control (POC) and Value Area Low (VAL) levels suggest key areas of market interest and volume profile zones. Traders often use these as points for potential reversals or continuations.
3. Support and Resistance Zones
Bullish and Bearish Order Blocks (OB): The chart points out zones of "Bullish OB" and "Resistance Line BC Distribution." These zones may act as supply or demand areas, where price reactions can be anticipated due to prior order flow activity.
Sell Side and Buy Side Liquidity Levels (SSL & BSL): Important liquidity zones are highlighted where traders place stop-loss orders. These levels often become targets during market moves, as liquidity is a major driver for institutional traders.
4. Invalidation Points and Critical Structure
Wave Invalidation Levels: Marked invalidation levels provide insight into where the current wave structure would be negated, indicating a possible shift in trend. For instance, invalidation points in Waves I and IV set the limits for maintaining the integrity of the Elliott wave pattern.
Order Flow Zones: Notes about "Order Flow" and "Inducement" suggest areas where the current market bias could shift, reflecting zones where traders may be trapped, or liquidity is pursued.
5. Market Sentiment and Trader Psychology Notes
Inducement and Fake Breakouts: The chart suggests areas where fake breakouts or “inducements” are used to trap retail traders, followed by a strong reversal in the opposite direction.
Wave Extensions and Momentum Continuation: By labeling “momentum continuation,” it hints at areas where minimal resistance may allow for a strong directional move, especially in alignment with the higher time-frame trend.
6. Potential Trading Scenarios
Reversal Opportunities at Key Levels: Should price hit critical Fibonacci extensions or volume divergence zones, it might signal exhaustion and a reversal.
Trend Continuation if Invalidation Holds: If key invalidation levels remain intact, the wave structure may support continued movement within the impulsive or corrective phase.
Liquidity Run and Stop-Hunt Scenarios: Annotations related to liquidity levels (like SSL and BSL) suggest potential stop-hunt areas, where price may temporarily break these levels before reversing sharply.
NAS100 potential short set up from key resistance level Analysis and trade idea:
The NAS100 (US 100 Cash CFD) is currently exhibiting significant bearish pressure after a notable uptrend that faced resistance around the 21,000-21,100 level. This area aligns with a strong supply zone where multiple rejections have occurred, suggesting sellers are actively defending this region.
Technical Breakdown:
• 4-Hour Chart Analysis: The NAS100 made a lower high after failing to break above the 21,100 resistance. The price action has since shown signs of exhaustion, forming a double-top pattern which indicates a potential reversal.
• Key Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: 21,100 - 21,150 zone. The price has repeatedly failed to close above this level, confirming it as a key resistance.
• Current Price: 20,551.8 (Bid price), which aligns with the middle of a consolidation range and just below a key pivot level.
• Support Zones:
• Initial support around 20,300-20,400.
• Stronger demand zone is identified between 20,000 and 19,900, which previously acted as a major support floor.
• Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence: The rejection from the resistance zone coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent swing high to low, indicating a potential pullback. Additionally, price is testing a blue liquidity zone, suggesting a possible fakeout before a deeper correction.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: Looking for short entries around the 20,550 - 20,650 area after a bearish confirmation (e.g., a rejection candle or a break below 20,550).
• Stop Loss: Placing a stop loss above the recent high at 21,200 to avoid getting caught in any false breakouts.
• Take Profit:
• First Target: 20,300 level where price may find initial support.
• Second Target: 19,900 area, which aligns with a significant demand zone and could provide a more extended downside move.
Risk Management:
The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for at least a 2:1 reward-to-risk. By using dynamic trailing stops once the first target is hit, we can lock in profits while allowing the trade to capture a larger move if the bearish momentum persists.
Summary:
Given the current bearish setup, NAS100 presents an opportunity to short from key resistance zones with well-defined stop losses above the recent highs. The technical confluence of supply zones, Fibonacci levels, and price action signals increase the probability of a downside move. Traders should remain vigilant for any reversal signs, especially if NAS100 breaks above the 21,150 mark, which could invalidate this setup.
nasdaq potential directional bias ?thoughts on nasdaq directional bias? waiting for monday opening and closing range to see where price would move
Nasdaq Thoughts for a Brighter trading today:18-NOV-2024US100 thoughts for a Brighter trading today, use them at your own risk for learning purposes and not as signals.
NAS100 is following bullish trendrespecting the trendline and getting a bounce from the golden Fib pocket after making a new HL suggesting that it is still bullish and will follow until any major reverse signs. The idea of trade is to instantly buy or wait for the market to come down and then place buy order stop loss ha been put on the recent drawn support level
NASDAQ LONGNas100 continues its movement to the upside as the bearish pullback wear off, the bullish side takes over as expected since the higher TF all agrees accumulate its value.
US100: Bullish Breakout Overview: This analysis focuses on the NASDAQ 100 (US100), examining the 4-hour chart for potential trading opportunities. Using RSI and MACD, I’ve identified key levels and patterns that could influence future price action.
Key Insights:
Trend Outlook: The current trend is neutral, but will be bullish.
Critical Levels: Watch for support at 20,321.
Potential Triggers: A breakout above 20,692 may confirm a bullish scenario. While RSI is on 20, and MACD is on it's way to turn.
I also think this will be accurate because of the Trump election,
I hope I will be helpful, any other ideas please let me know
nasdaq to 20k?!good evening,
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consider this post somewhat fictional for now, created more for entertainment purposes, but i want you to know that there are some serious data points which i'm going to bring up to build the case that the stock market has found a long term bottom.
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~our monthly indicator is finally oversold for the first time since 2009 market low and is on the verge of crossing bullish.
~nasdaq is backtesting the monthly ichimoku cloud.
~0.382 cycle wave 4 target hit through a very complex correction .
~the monthly rsi has confirmed a hidden bear.
~the us dollar found a top and is headed down to about 80 bucks over this next year.
~us10y, topped out.
~fed might run out of money if they continue to press the markets.
~fear is at all time high.
~retail short positions are at all time high.
~and i'm buying everything.
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the cycle w5 target on nasdaq sits at $20,000 and we could be in the early stages of beginning that ascension.
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ps. take my words with a total grain of salt, as i could be very much dreaming here.
ps2. in my last big nasdaq post, i called the top, but was early by a few months. it also went a bit higher, so if i adjust the target with the current data, we have reached the 4th wave target successfully.
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Mastering the trading on Nasdaq index! targets and strategy!First of everything, let me introduce you to my chart to not feel lost when I am talking later about the strategy.
*You can see 5 moving averages on the chart, the yellow represents the average of the last 10 candles whilst the dark blue 20, the white 50, the dark purple 100 and the turquoise 200
*On the chart, you can find only 3 trendlines, the top one in yellow is the weekly frame downtrend, the middle one in red on the daily frame and also the upper line of the formed triangle or it could be too rising wedge pattern is the second downtrend line and the third one which as the bottom of them in purple is uptrend on the daily frame.
*On the chart you would find digits from 1 till 5 represent the last five noticed tops or HHs on the daily frame.
===Now let us go to the strategy and analysis===
*The price moved down initially from its ATH after almost reaching to the weekly down trendline (which you may see it now far but because it was drawn on the weekly chart) and also because it did not retest the downtrend in red to settle on and then jump up from. But rather it was pushed down more and it lost even to settle on the top of the bearish engulfing pattern’s high from the 14th July
*Then it lost more tops in a free fall! It lost tops no.4 & 3 (which were also bearish engulfing patterns and their highs are regarded often as strong support areas) and even lost the moving averages 10 & 20. Luckily it found a ground on the top no.2 and retraced up from.
* But will that mean that it will be pushed up to start another bullish run similar to the big one? Answer is no! I do not want to disappoint the long traders but I do not think it will happen and maximum it could reach in that retrace, if it is meant to retrace originally, to the top no. 3 or max 4
*I think you started to figure it out now and say it should go then to the top no.1 which it was before also another bearish engulfing pattern 😉yes that is the point.
* But let us return back to the beginning of the story, why did the index ignore to settle on top no.4, 3 and more likely also top no.2? The answer is because of two reasons. The first is that it reached to the downtrend line on weekly so I was not surprised from the beginning with that huge bearish wave as I expected that to happen. Second reason, that it broke the red down trendline and two tops on the way (I mean now 3 big support levels) so that means that index is going to touch and retest back the uptrend on daily basis in purple and also note please that it broke before the moving average 20 so it will go to moving average 50 which is not by luck too at the retest point at the trendline when price reach to there soon, because of those two reasons I see that it is with 99% the index will continue the strong bearish wave after that temporary bullish retrace ends.
**** Most important now what will happen after the index break through the uptrend line in purple and reach to 19909.94 to top no1 to the top whose green candle sparked and triggered all last bullish run, so the index wants to return back to that base where the bullish rocket was launched from ))? I expect that the daily candle will retrace so strong back from 19909.94 back to test the purple line and in case as per scenario 1 the daily candle will close above that purple line, you would see one of the biggest bullish retraces in Nasdaq ever!! But if the second scenarios will apply when the daily candle will close under that purple line, so that will generate huge and continuous bearish wave ONLY after the index complete its bullish retrace to the purple trendline and after back to moving average 100 and then 200 and could reach to 17794 even!
Conclusion: The index will go regardless any short bullish retrace to 19910 and it could be till 19890 but I will definitely close my trade at 19910 to avoid unnecessary strong bullish retrace and I plan after I close it to open long trade also from that level!
For trading safe, I would recommend to close your trade at 20230 or you can bear the retrace and take your well worth risk and wait till index reach 19910 like what I will do.
NOTE!!! 19910 is also the 0.50% level of my Fibonacci retracement on the daily chart.
I hope that you understand my point of view and I wish you all the best!
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
NAS100Forex trading involves higher leverage (up to 50:1) and 24/5 market access, focusing on currency pair movements affected by economic data, interest rates, and geopolitical events - the key risk is that high leverage can quickly amplify losses, plus overnight positions face swap fees and gap risks during major news. Stock trading typically offers lower leverage (2:1 to 4:1), operates during exchange hours, and focuses on company fundamentals, earnings, and broader market sentiment - main risks include earnings surprises, market volatility, and lower liquidity in individual stocks compared to major forex pairs, while key advantages include better transparency through public financial reports and generally lower spreads than exotic forex pairs.
big correction is coming big correction in nasdaq is starting Friday , after this correction the big move is ahead
Buy Us Nas 100I take Buy Because the price will pullback to the supply zone before continuing to decline to the Demand Daily Zone
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INDEX MARKET IS BULLISH According To ICT Concepts Nasdaq & S&P500 Is Bullish
Also Has SMT (Nasdaq Touches IFVG, S&P Touches Daily Bullish FVG. That Means Nasdaq Is Going To Create A Bullish Breaker And S&P Is Going To Create A Bullish Mitigation.)
Nasdaq With the newly elected and bullish sentiment is the overall united setae economic health. Nasdaq is expected to keep rising 21291.
