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BEARUSD trade ideas

Elliott Wave Analysis & Future Market Cap PredictionsThis detailed analysis leverages Elliott Wave Theory to project Bitcoin's future price movements and market capitalization milestones. Explore: * Predicted bull market peaks and realistic market cap targets. * Anticipated pullback levels and key support zones for future corrections. * How Bitcoin's price aligns with Elliott Wave structures and Fibonacci retracement levels. * This post offers a comprehensive outlook to help traders and investors navigate Bitcoin's next major cycles with confidence. Follow for updates and stay ahead of the curve! 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Pythin
BTC Miner "Valuation" ChartThis is not advice on who to invest in, or what, do your own due diligence in checking through the total overall hashrate, the future plans of these companies and how diversified they are in their business operations. IE do they outsource some compute for data centers etc. Hint: Data center usage will be gigantic since it's already built and ready to plug and play so to say. This is just a super simple analysis of the YTD of some miners I think are pretty decent. This is an incredibly risky "sector" but the larger guys with tons of built or in process of being built Megawatts available are not only positioned to benefit from the rise of bitcoin, and the potential for larger companies to scoop them up for their own ai / data center needs. Just my two cents. As always feel free to reach out for questions or leave a question in the comments. GL
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ajx1124
BITCOIN - MOON CYCLE ANALYSIS - CryptoManiac101The chart shows Bitcoin's price action over time on a 4-hour timeframe, overlayed with moon phases (full moons and new moons). Here’s a quick analysis based on the visible data: 1. Moon Phases and Price Movement: - Full Moons: The price tends to show upward momentum following full moons in several instances on the chart. - New Moons: Downward or neutral trends often appear to coincide after new moons, though this is not always consistent. 2. Pattern Observations: - The moon phases might align with local price tops or bottoms, suggesting potential psychological or cyclical effects in the market. - This relationship is not strictly consistent, as some moon phases do not correlate directly with significant price changes. 3. General Price Trends: - The chart shows a strong upward trend in the latter months (October-December), with some consolidation periods after peaks. 4. Potential Implications: - If trading with moon phases, full moons could be monitored as potential entry points for upward price movements, while new moons might signal caution or possible pullbacks. - Combining this observation with other technical indicators like RSI, moving averages, or support/resistance levels would improve reliability. For even more fun, the red boxes on the chart symbolize periods of time we were in Mercury Retrograde. Just FIY, this is for entertainment purposes and is not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoManiac101
1
Questions Halving Promotors Never Want to Answer Many people here are eager to explain the bets people should make based on the halving but they're never willing to answer the obvious questions about the hypothesis. Here's a collection of questions I must have asked here 100 times in replies to my posts that I've still not gotten an answer to: Why the indices correlation? When you run an analysis on SPX price moves and BTC price moves post halving, they have a coefficient of 0.85. This means all the statistical evidence points towards BTC moving in tandem with risk on/off cycles in equities. ----- Why do people ignore this correlation when it is as reliable (or more) than the halving? Why does the exact same moves in indices and BTC get treated totally differently? When has the halving thesis ever deviated from simple SPX correlation? If there are no deviations, why isn't it best to assume it's related to SPX tracking? ----- Why would the entire market know an event to move price higher was coming and then wait an exact number of days to take action on that? If you've been in the market any length of time you'll have surely heard the saying "Buy the rumour, sell the news". You may have also heard, "Markets prefer to travel than suddenly arrive". This has been a guiding principle of all markets for all time. Why is the halving a "Sell the known coming event, then ignore the news for x days and then buy the event after the fact? ----- Given all halving dates are already known, why isn't this priced in now? Why in the biggest FOMO market there is would there be this organised "Waiting period"? Why has game theory and market dynamics not led to front running? How do these supply/demand dynamics reflect anything about S/D known in markets? ----- What are the failure conditions of the halving bet? I have some of the dumbest convos on this. People insist I MUST BE LONG NOW to not miss out on the halving and then when I ask them what level price can not go under inside of the halving theory ... it gets real fuzzy. And when you dig into it, the answer generally ends up being "Up to 70% drawdown".... Okay - so trying a short here is fine inside of that, right? ----- Why are people making all knowing statements about exactly what should happen and unable to give the most basic risk control? What happens to people who listen to you if you're wrong? Do you have plans to let them know if the theory fails? If not, why are you not telling them the risk if wrong is 70% (Inside of accepted risk). And I suppose the idea is to just entirely ignore the limitless risk if the whole thesis is wrong? ----- When has the BTC halving idea ever overcome a SPX drop? I've been told various times in 2020 there was a deviation from the halving cycle because there was a swan event. Fair enough ... but then this means that the halving forecast will only be right if nothing broadly bearish happens, right? In any instances where we've had halving theory vrs indices bear move - following the indices has won. ----- Why is this not considered evidence against the thesis and for the correlation? Why are you not caveating your forecasts with this known risk? Is it far to say the BTC cycles thesis can easily fail if there's outside events? ----- These things simply do not make sense. They're elephants in the room. People act like the cycles thing is some sort of esoteric knowledge that only a select few know. That's nonsense. I have a kid cousin who can't tie his shoelaces yet but can tell you what the halving forecast is. He does not really understand everything he's saying. He's just repeating things he's heard ... but, that's kinda true for most of you to be honest. Because it takes about 5 mins to understand the halving thesis. Takes about another 1 min to come up with the obvious tests and objections and then maybe takes 10 mins to test those and highlight the flaws. There are some people who've spent literally hours and hours on my posts berating me about why I should be blindly following the halving and in all of this time they've not answered the questions I think should be thought of in the first minute. And I do ask them. Directly and repeatedly. They change the topic or go quiet. To be honest, most of the time they start to drop insults. It's wild, when you think about it. "I am heralding in the future of finance and here to tell you about this halving cycle which I know everything about and expect to be infallible". "Okay. Could you answer a few questions I have about this?" "LMAO. Have fun staying poor". === Think about how disconnected the way BTC bulls act is relative to what they proport to be a part of. Why are you not eager to answer these common sense questions?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by holeyprofit
3
BTCUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 10158 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 10289 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 99100 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
BITCOIN Short PositionHere’s a detailed analysis based on the BTCUSD 30-minute chart: --- ### **Key Observations** 1. **Resistance Zone (Blue Area: $102,400 - $102,700)** - **Description**: The price reached this key resistance zone twice, marked with yellow circles, indicating strong selling pressure. - **First Rejection**: Price reached the resistance but failed to break above, causing a sharp drop. - **Second Rejection**: A similar behavior was observed, as shown with red arrows, confirming this area as a strong supply zone. 2. **Support Zone (Green Area: $98,950 - $99,350)** - **Description**: The price found support within this range after a sharp decline. It tested this area multiple times, marked by the yellow circle and green box, confirming it as a demand zone. - Buyers entered the market, pushing the price upwards. 3. **Bearish Setup** - **Critical Level (Black Line ~ $101,025)**: This level acts as a minor support. A note is written near this area: > *"When break this line by 1 bearish candle close below it, look for short position."* - **Short Position Signal**: If the price closes below this level with a bearish candle, it would signal a potential drop targeting the **green demand zone** or even lower. 4. **Risk/Reward Analysis** - **Stop Loss**: Placed above the resistance zone (~$102,700) in red. This protects the short position in case of a reversal. - **Take Profit**: The green demand zone (~$99,350) or potentially lower (~$96,200 red support area), depending on price movement. 5. **Trend Line (Bottom Support)** - A trendline emerges from lower lows, showing the market's bullish structure in the bigger picture. If the price breaks the critical $101,025 level, the short trade will aim for this trendline. --- ### **Trading Plan** 1. **Short Entry**: Enter a short position when a bearish candle closes below $101,025. 2. **Target Levels**: - First target: $99,350 (green support). - Second target: $98,950 - $96,200 (extended). 3. **Stop Loss**: Above $102,700 (key resistance). --- ### **Conclusion** This chart highlights a **potential short opportunity** if BTCUSD breaks the minor support level at $101,025. The resistance zone at $102,700 has been tested twice, confirming strong selling interest. However, if this level holds, a break of $101,025 will likely trigger a bearish move targeting the next major demand zone. Traders should monitor for a **bearish candle closure** to confirm entry.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by amerjaradat
The Dangerous Fantasy That's Killing Your Trading CareerAre you still watching YouTube videos of traders showing off their luxury cars and million dollar properties? They make it look so easy to profit from the market. A few clicks here and there. Add some magical indicators. Suddenly you're making thousands of dollars a day. I fell for it hard. I was like you. I wanted something that could get me rich quick. The dream of leaving my 9-5 job to travel the world. I don’t want to worry about money again. Trading seemed like the perfect solution. This costs me $10,000 and five years of my life. The Seductive Lie of Quick Riches You've definitely seen those Instagram posts. Screenshots showing $5,000 profit from one trade, sports cars in the background, and the classic laptop-by-the-beach setup. They tell you they've discovered a "secret strategy" that wins 90% of the time. For just $99, they'll share it with you. It all sounded too good to be true. Right? Think about it. If someone really had a strategy that could turn $1,000 into $100,000 in a month, why would they sell it for $99? They could easily approach any hedge fund and make millions. But they don't. Instead, they're selling courses and signals to hopeful traders like you and me. They spend hours trying to market their products to you while they can just click a button and earn $10,000 in 30 minutes. My Expensive Journey to Reality When I started trading, I thought I'd be different. I was smart, hardworking, and determined. I studied technical analysis, learned about indicators, and even bought some "guaranteed" trading systems. My first few trades were winners. I turned $500 into $1,000 in just a week. I felt invincible. I do have a hand of midas. This was it. I found my holy grail! I could already picture myself quitting my job in a few months. I planned how much I could earn in a year and I could retire my parents.  I started taking bigger risks. Why make $100 per trade when I could make $1,000? Why risk 1% when I could risk 10%? After all, my strategy was "proven" to work. I have the holy grail on hand. I just needed to scale up faster to reach my destination. Then reality hit. Three months later, my account was blown. But I wasn't worried. I just needed to deposit more money and trade better. This cycle repeated until I had lost my entire savings. The Hidden Cost of the Get-Rich-Quick Mindset The real danger isn't just losing money. It's the mindset that trading is a shortcut to getting rich.  You begin to put on bigger risks because you want larger profits. You skip proper education, because you want results now. You ignore risk management, because your account size grows too slow. You chase losses, because you can't accept small setbacks. You jump from strategy to strategy, trying to look for the holy grail. I see traders doing exactly what I did. They risk 50% of their account on one trade, hoping to double their money quickly. When it works, they feel like geniuses. When it fails eventually, they lose everything. The Uncomfortable Truth About Trading Success Here's what successful traders won't show you on Instagram: Years of studying and practice before becoming profitable. Countless hours of backtesting and analyzing trades. Multiple blown accounts while learning. Small, consistent gains instead of massive wins. Strict risk management that seems "too conservative." The reality? Most successful traders make 2-5% per month consistently. That's it. No lamborghinis, no private jets, just steady, compound growth over time. Think about the math. If you start with $10,000 and make 3% per month consistently, you'll have $14,257 after one year. Not exactly Instagram-worthy, is it? But after five years of compounding, that becomes $43,891. After ten years? $192,577. The Real Path to Trading Success When I finally accepted that trading wasn't a get-rich-quick scheme, everything changed. I stopped looking for the holy grail and started focusing on the basics: Proper risk management, never risking more than 1% per trade. Consistent execution of one simple strategy. Patient position building as my account grew. Regular review and improvement of my process. The transformation wasn't exciting. No massive winning days. No Instagram-worthy screenshots. Just small, consistent profits that compound over time. What Real Trading Looks Like Let me share what my trading looks like now.  Here's the reality: I take 2-3 trades per week, not 20 trades per day. My average winning trade is 2R, not 100R. I spend more time managing risk than looking for entries. Most of my trading days are boring and uneventful. This approach isn't sexy. It won't make you rich by next month. But it works, consistently and reliably. Building a Sustainable Trading Career The secret to trading success isn't finding the perfect strategy or indicator. It’s never about the holy grail. It's about changing your mindset from getting rich quickly to building wealth slowly. This means that you need to do the following: Understand that trading is a business, not a lottery ticket.  Focusing on risk management before profit potential. The longer you stay in the game, the closer your results will converge to your expected value.  Building proper habits and routines.  Celebrating consistency over big wins. Let big winners come by executing the same trade over and over again. Thinking in terms of years, not days or weeks. You underestimate how much you can accomplish over a long period of time, The Choice Is Yours You're at a crossroads right now. You can continue chasing the fantasy of quick riches, jumping from strategy to strategy, hoping to find that magical solution that will make you rich overnight. Or you can accept that trading success comes from consistent execution, proper risk management, and time.  It's not exciting. But it works. I've walked both paths. The first one cost me $10,000 and years of frustration. The second one led me to managing six-figure funded accounts and to be consistent in my trading. The idea of getting rich quickly is appealing, but the reality of consistent profits is always better.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Keeleytwj
BTC/USD "BITCOIN" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bullish SideHi there! Dear Money Makers, Losers, and Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on Thief Trading style technical analysis, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "BITCOIN" cryptocurrency market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entrance. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy, cautious, and safe. Entry 📈: Acceptable anywhere; I advise placing buy limit orders within a 15-minute window. The entry for the Recent/Nearest Low Point should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent swing low Goal 🎯: 110,000 Scalpers, take note: only scalp on the long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style. I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
BTC top at 105 to 108k?I'm always looking for signs of a change in trend direction. A good indicator has always been; 1. A series of higher highs in the price-action, with 2. A corresponding series of lower highs on the RSI (for major trend changes or corrections I use the daily time-frame), 3. Ideally, three lower highs on RSI (sometimes you only get two), with the final RSI high FAILING to get above the 70 level of RSI (red circle). To me this signals - at a minimum - a correction is inbound. So, I would look for other indicators to determine if I think if it is a correction or a trend-change i.e. bear market. There is a plausible Elliot Wave count. Without getting too technical, I see the 105 to 108k as the end of the trend. Could be wrong, could be right. If I am right I should get a medal for accuracy. Happy trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by flyinkiwi10
2