Adding to intrigueThi is bullish, simple and easy. want levels stop at the low. target who uses targets? hahahahahh
TSLAD trade ideas
Tesla started on a descending channelFollowing up on the previous analysis, this update takes a more technical approach, focusing on a shorter timeframe. As observed last week, the stock has entered a descending channel. Significant resistance was encountered around the $420 price level.
Even though this resistance level was broken during the extended training hours, and may be a sign of things to come, during the regular trading hours, the support level was tested three separate times, with the stock rebounding each time.
Looking ahead to next week, it’s likely that some short positions may close as traders take profits, which could temporarily push the stock into the $440–$450 range. This would be a positive development for Tesla, as sustained trading near or above the $420 level improves the likelihood of consolidation, and the creation of a clearer future support line.
Considering implied volatility and option spreads, the expected trading range appears wide, with $380–$430 being a reasonable estimate. On the upside, a potential breakout could see the stock reaching back up to $473 as a temporary near-term peak. However, if the stock breaks downward from the channel, the next significant support level lies at $345.
That's all from my side. Please don't forget to hit that like button if you agree, hit that comment button to let me know why you disagree. And if you want to see other similar things, hit that subscribe button, as that would help, and motivate me tremendously to continue publishing these types of ideas.
Thank you, and I wish you a great day ahead!
Previous analysis:
Current short time-frame update:
Note: This was republished as previously I had a link to a Youtube video.
TSLA-SELL strategy weekly chart It is not for the fainthearted trading this share currently, however, it is good to place things in perspective. Pre- US-election the share was trading around $ 250 and today we are after market $ 472 per share, which represents a move of 88% of the value before the election. For sure, the leader of the pack, is bright and a visionary and has achieved incredible things, and more so, it has shaped the EV space.
Now coming down to earth, technically we are way overbought from short- to long-term, and technically trading way above KC and extremely wide BB as well. So, the choice is yours.
Strategy SELL @ $ 460-480 and take profit at $ 390 for now.
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade !
The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why.
Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game:
### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss
One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades.
### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks
The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades.
### 3. Identifying Pivot Points
By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success.
### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations
Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically.
### 5. Timing Your Trades
Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video.
### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines
You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes.
### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility
Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines).
### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money
Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable.
### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options
Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video.
### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios
You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward.
### 11. Proof of Accuracy
Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses.
In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why.
Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
[TSLA] Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time.
Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time. If there is a correction, there will be a strong rebound in the first and second wave indicators.
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth
"Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?"
Introduction
Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks?
This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader.
Financial Analysis
1. Revenue Growth
Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by:
EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3.
Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects.
Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues.
💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood."
2. Profitability Metrics
Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability.
Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment.
3. Cash Flow and Liquidity
Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations.
Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion.
💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow."
4. Valuation Metrics
Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic:
Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal.
EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability.
PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium.
Market Position and Competitive Advantage
Innovation at the Core
Tesla leads in:
Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle.
Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development.
Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners.
Brand Strength
Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability.
Growth Opportunities
1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs):
Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for:
Licensing the tech to other automakers.
Launching a robotaxi network.
💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now."
2. Energy Storage and Solar:
Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy.
3. Global Expansion:
Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China.
Risks and Challenges
1. Regulatory and Legal Risks:
Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model.
2. Intensifying Competition:
The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors.
3. Execution Risks:
Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance.
💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars."
Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment
1. Price Trends:
Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings.
2. Institutional Ownership:
With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation.
Conclusion
Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision.
For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential.
Recommendations:
Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision.
Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges.
🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders,
🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside.
Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈
Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡.
Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵.
Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡.
Additionally
Carbon Credits and EV Policies
Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla.
EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives.
Political Connections
Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes.
🌍Industry Trends
The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1.
Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Tesla (TSLA) Descending Triangle Breakout - Key Levels!Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating bullish momentum:
Entry: $435.66 (yellow line - breakout level).
Stop Loss (SL): $420.90 (white line - key support).
Target 1 (T1): $462.25 (red line - first resistance).
Target 2 (T2): $489.33 (green line - major resistance).
This breakout aligns with increasing volume, signaling strong upward potential. Keep an eye on $435.66 for confirmation.
$TSLA is now "Playing Ping Pong" Trade Analysis DarkPoolsOverview
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is currently trading at $430.60, with significant dark pool activity at $430.75 (DP 1.5M). The stock is in an uptrend, but recent price action shows a pullback from the $492 high, indicating indecision. Tesla is now "playing ping pong" between the 4 EMA and 8 EMA, with price reacting to the $430.75 dark pool level.
Technical Analysis
Key Observations
Ping Pong Action:
The stock is oscillating between the 4 EMA (red) and 8 EMA (yellow), creating a range-bound movement as buyers and sellers fight for control.
The dark pool level at $430.75 is acting as a pivot point, with the price consolidating around this critical level.
Trend Analysis:
Tesla remains above the 21 EMA (blue), which indicates the uptrend is still intact despite the pullback.
A breakdown below the $430.75 dark pool level could signal further bearish momentum.
Dark Pool Activity:
The $430.75 (DP 1.5M) level represents significant institutional interest and is a critical support/resistance zone.
Failure to hold this level would likely lead to a test of lower targets, such as $399.45.
Fibonacci and Targets:
Target 1: $348.74.
Target 2: $306.85.
Target 3: $269.95.
These levels align with Fibonacci retracement zones and long-term support areas.
Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price bounces off the 8 EMA or $430.75 dark pool level and reclaims the 4 EMA, signaling a bullish continuation.
Entry:
Long position above $435, confirming a bounce above the 8 EMA.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $450.
Second Target: $492.
Stop Loss:
Close below $430, as it invalidates the bullish setup.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Factors:
The price breaks below the 8 EMA and the $430.75 dark pool level, confirming bearish pressure.
Failure to hold the 21 EMA would accelerate the downtrend.
Entry:
Short position below $429, confirming a breakdown.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $399.45.
Target 2: $348.74.
Target 3: $306.85.
Stop Loss:
Close above $435, as it invalidates the bearish setup.
Conclusion
Tesla is currently oscillating ("ping pong") between the 4 EMA, 8 EMA, and the $430.75 dark pool level, signaling consolidation with no clear trend direction yet. A break above $435 could lead to a retest of $450, while a breakdown below $430.75 may target $399.45 or lower. This setup offers clear entry points and risk management for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context
Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment.
1. Key Levels
* Support:
* $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce.
* $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness.
* Resistance:
* $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today.
* $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break.
* $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes.
2. Price Action Insights
* Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart.
* The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly.
* Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction.
3. Indicators Analysis
* 9 EMA and 21 EMA:
* Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum.
* MACD:
* Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend.
* Options Oscillator:
* Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment.
4. GEX Analysis
* Gamma Levels:
* $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading.
* $445.00: Major call wall resistance.
* $425.00: Key put wall support.
* $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure.
Trading Outlook for Tomorrow
Bullish Scenario:
* A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445.
Bearish Scenario:
* Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates.
Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario:
* Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution.
Actionable Suggestions
* Entry:
* Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445.
* Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420.
* Stop-Loss:
* Long: Below $425.
* Short: Above $430.
* Scalping Opportunity:
* Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
the effectiveness of Staying with the Trend...Can you see, How buying *Only when the Lines are Blue; Short-Selling *Only* when the Lines are Orange, Would have been an Effective Strategy?
Can you See how going-against the Trend would have been costly endeavor the first six blocks or so, and again, in the September drop, Mid-Screen?
I don't know about You, but I say "Buy in BLUE." not exactly Rocket Science : : )
-You don't Even have to know much about Stocks....
TSLA From Erections Come CorrectionsTSLA From Erections Come Corrections while double topping.
These are both very powerful structures that have formed and bulls should be very cautious. Taking profits here is advisable.
Fundamentally speaking it goes without saying, that TSLA is stupidly expensive.
Here is my previous bull call in TSLA that yielded a beautiful 50% plus return.))
Tesla 205 After earnings !!!after earnings Tesla going back to 205 . !! TP wait for a possible 220 or Pull back to 193
Keep it simple
Be Patient
Believe in your Strategy
DO NOT OVER TRADE OR OVER LEVERAGE !!!
Musk's Infernal Prime EV PumpIn the infernal depths of Sanctuary’s marketplace, Tesla stock rises like a demon lord ascending to claim dominion. At $479, it smolders with restrained power, but the winds of hell whisper of a greater reckoning—a Hellfire Surge driving it toward the blazing peak of $640. The flames of innovation lick higher, and the Muskian sorcerer stands at the helm, summoning an army of believers to fuel the ascent.
Like a rune-etched blade, Tesla’s potential cuts through the shadows of doubt. Each EV rolling off the assembly line and each technological breakthrough is another soul harvested for its unholy cause. The naysayers—those weak cultists of skepticism—scatter as Tesla’s infernal energy ignites a Demonic Charge through the battlefield of Wall Street.
But this isn’t merely a rise; it’s a Diablo IV-worthy Musk Pump. The stock surges as though guided by the hand of the Prime Evil himself, ascending with relentless purpose to the scorching heights of $640. The question isn’t if Tesla will rise—it’s how high the flames will burn before the market bows in submission to its unstoppable power. The Lord of EVs is on the march.
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215
Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !!
STAY PROFITABLE !!
Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal
and NIO already taking the Chinesse market .
Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!!
Stay humble Be a better person.
CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
Tesla Long-Term AnalysisTesla's excellent performance and increase this month and the company's good annual trend, we can expect further increases to the first target of 500.00 and the second target of 600.00 On the other hand, these stocks can be used as a long-term investment indicator with higher goals in mind.
Sasha Charkhchian
TSLA 1200 by end of 2024Analysis is based purely on price action.
1. There is an EMA crossover on the monthly timeframe, following “EMA Squeeze” and consolidation which lasted approximately 3 years.
2. Two bounces off Anchored VWAP.
*** An EMA crossover on the monthly timeframe that goes, pays well.
$TSLA - 500 incomingTSLA - stock up $12 after hours. in a big breakout mode. Stock having another 6% plus move day to the upside. Next level on the FIB at $513.71. possible hit this week if keeps moving. swing calls added in group looking for that $500 break. Stock has support at $450
Tesla Short Till next bullish FVGTesla going down but look for reversal based on the Bullish or Bearish FVG. Follow for more in depth look.
Massive Cup & Handle. TSLA to $400?Hi Traders,
TSLA appears to be breaking the handle in this cup and handle pattern on the weekly charts, with horizontal resistance at $300, and trend resistance at $255. If TSLA can't break trend resistance, I anticipate a pullback to the $230 area.
Targeting $297. If TSLA breaks $300, targeting $405
2024 is a bull market.
Happy Trading!
Tesla Hits Resistance: Correction or Continued Rally?After Tesla's significant price surge, it has now reached a strong resistance level. From this point, traders may anticipate a price correction, potentially in the form of a minor pullback, before resuming the uptrend. Additionally, Elon Musk's recent statement that older Tesla models won’t support the self-driving feature could contribute to a further price dip. While our long-term outlook remains bullish, some volatility is expected in the near term."
