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TESLA INC CEDEAR EA 15 REP 1 COM(USD)TESLA INC CEDEAR EA 15 REP 1 COM(USD)TESLA INC CEDEAR EA 15 REP 1 COM(USD)

TESLA INC CEDEAR EA 15 REP 1 COM(USD)

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TSLAD trade ideas

Drummond Geometry: Envelopes and TerminationsIn Drummond Geometry, envelopes serve as dynamic zones of expected price action, and terminations mark key points where price either respects or challenges these levels. Let’s explore these concepts based on the chart provided and the behavior of Tesla stock. 1. Envelopes and Their Role - Definition : Envelopes represent boundaries derived from price movement, predicting areas of support and resistance. The chart displays various DG lines and envelopes: - The inner bands (the blue filled area limited by red lines) reflect the Envelope Top and Bottom - The outer envelope also known as Area 1 for the below part and Area 6 for the above part (dark green zone) marks the exhaustion zone , where price typically meets resistance or support and reverses. - Behavior on the Chart : Notice how Tesla’s price action interacts with the envelopes: - After a significant upward movement in early November, prices exceeded the upper exhaustion zone . - Rather than reversing, the exhaustion zone acted as support , allowing price to consolidate and enabling the envelopes and PLdot to "catch up" to the higher price levels. This might seem unlogical, it appears however more often than not. The PLdot needs to catch up with the price action! 2. Terminations and Congestion - Congestion Terminations (Blue dots/circles): These occur where price closes near the DG line, indicating indecision or a pause in trend direction. In the chart: - Blue terminations cluster around October 30 - November 6, showing congestion after which a sharp move up follows. This congestion allowed the price action to stabilize before resuming the trend. - Breakout and Continuation : When prices break above or below the envelope, terminations play a critical role: - On November 11, the price could not break the exhaust zone for the Nov. 12, thus typically signaling exhaustion. The high of that day was rejected by the lower exhaust boundary of Nov. 12. Remember, you know the exhaust zone for the upcoming day with DG as these are always available for the bar ahead - What followed was a "cycle". In DG this is explained as a market movement from one envelope to the opposite one. Price eventually went to the daily exhaust zone below, which was also the proxiity of the MTF live weekly ETOP finding support and rotating again higher. 3. Interaction of DG Lines (5-2 and 5-9) The chart includes: - 5-2 Lines (Yellow Circles and Crosses): These lines reflect nearer-term support and resistance. - 5-9 Lines (Red Circles and Crosses): These represent stronger levels of potential support and resistance. --- 4. Exhaustion Zone Acting as Support The most notable observation from the chart is how the exhaustion zone flips its typical behavior: - Expected Behavior : Normally, when prices move into the exhaustion zone (upper envelope), resistance is expected, leading to a pullback. - What Happened : In this case: - The exhaustion zone acted as support . - The price stabilized above this level, allowing the PLdot and envelopes to "catch up." - This "catch-up" mechanism reflects a realignment between market momentum and the statistical framework of the DG lines. Takeaway for Traders This chart demonstrates that while envelopes and terminations provide reliable zones for potential price reactions: 1. Context is Key: The exhaustion zone’s behavior can adapt, switching roles between resistance and support depending on market conditions. 2. Congestion Helps Trends : Congestion terminations (blue dots) can mark pauses that prepare for further trend continuation. 3. Flexibility of DG Lines : The interaction of 5-2 and 5-9 levels offers layered insight into market structure, helping traders refine entries and exits. By combining envelope behavior, termination probabilities, and DG line interactions, traders can better anticipate price movements and manage risk effectively.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by JordanMT
Top 5 Weekly Trades Ideas #4 - TSLA LongPiggybacking off of last week's idea on this one. TSLA continues to look unstoppable, nice bull flag breakout last week that rejected where you'd expect. Now we're seeing some more bullish consolidation and a smaller pennant. This pennant is not the cleanest, but either way it's quite a bullish looking chart IMO. This is just a 15m, you can zoom out or see old ideas for longer term targets. For this week and maybe next I will be looking for a move up above last week's high that comes back for a retest around $358.64.TSLA is already up near those highs in overnight trading so it's possible we will gap and gap tomorrow if we open above $358.64. I wouldn't chase a gap up tomorrow, I'll wait for a retest to enter. Target for this is around $372.50. We do have potential for a lot more upside, I have other longer term targets but I think ATH is a good one for the near future if we keep going like this.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AdvancedPlays
Tesla Surges Ahead: Prepare for Strategic Moves Next Week Tesla (TSLA) has shown resilience in the face of market fluctuations, maintaining a crucial bullish stance even amid recent declines. Currently, the stock has demonstrated a strong price foundation around $336, a critical level that buyers are eager to defend. Recent market activity highlights a double top formation that, if confirmed, could signal further upward potential. The EV and tech sectors continue to captivate investor attention, with Tesla being a frontrunner in a landscape characterized by mixed sentiment and volatility. Key insights emerge for investors focusing on TSLA. Analysts remain optimistic about Tesla’s strategic initiatives, particularly the introduction of lease buyouts and advancements in autonomous driving technology, which could drive sales and customer retention. The stock is viewed as potentially undervalued in the context of AI advancements, suggesting room for significant price appreciation. Furthermore, the upcoming political climate, particularly around a potential Trump presidency, could positively influence market cap expectations, raising interest in TSLA as a long-term holding. Expert commentary underscores a generally bullish outlook for Tesla, pinpointing strong fundamentals and innovative strategies. Some analysts argue that TSLA could be the most underestimated AI stock in today’s market, giving credence to its long-term growth narrative. Moreover, Tesla’s planned production of the Cyber Cab is expected to reinforce the company's cutting-edge image and enhance its market positioning, especially for investors looking at future profitability. Price targets based on recent analysis place TSLA in a favorable position for investments next week. Next week targets are set at T1: $352 and T2: $370, assuming the price maintains momentum. To safeguard against potential downturns, set stop levels at S1: $326 and S2: $316, ensuring risk management aligns with market dynamics. Recent news notably highlights Tesla’s strategic lease buyouts for its latest models, aimed at improving customer satisfaction and engagement. This initiative positions Tesla to capitalize on the current demand trends in the EV sector. Additionally, the political landscape surrounding CEO Elon Musk remains a crucial factor for investors, as it could significantly steer company strategies and market reaction. In summary, Tesla’s current performance and strategic enhancements suggest a potent opportunity for investors next week, making it an asset to monitor closely amid ongoing market developments.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$TSLA Do We Go $170 or $230 First? 🤔Will we reach $160 or $230 First? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ As of February 12th, Tesla is currently at $196. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ From January 6th to February 12th, Tesla has gone from lows of $107 to highs of $214. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ During the previous leg down, from September 21st to January 6th, 2022, Tesla has gone from highs of $314 to lows of $107. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ On the daily chart, it is evident that a pullback may occur soon. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ However, the weekly chart shows signs of more potential upside. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ What are your thoughts on Tesla in the short and long term?
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Smarter_Trades
4
$TSLA holy shizzNASDAQ:TSLA is gearing up for a crazy run man... Narratives: -CEO Elon Musk is on top of the world (and peoples mind) right now. -He has a very close relationship with the US Government. -#1 most widely used and productized Artificial Intelligence services. Owns the best AI model for self driving cars. Has the best and most experienced programmers/developers of Artificial Intelligence that has been shipped to customers. Experience dealing with regulations regarding AI and the integration into real world. -New innovative products like Optimus robot. technical analysis: -CHECK THE CHART yourself. its going up at least 70% in the next 60 days... OR NOT I HAVE NO IDEA ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by adamfarrer
1
Telsa, Bullish Opportunity: Wait for the Pullback first.TESLA / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: 1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. 2- All-time high 3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart. Why Wait? Entering after a pullback ensures you're trading with confirmation and reduces the risk of chasing the market. This approach not only minimizes drawdowns but also increases the probability of catching the trend at a stronger position. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by BTM-LEO
3
TSLA: Buy Strategy with Key Confirmations for a Bullish BreakoutAlextGoldHunter Analysis and Buy Strategy for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis: Price Levels and Fibonacci Retracement: Current Price: $345.11 Recent High: $357.70 Recent Low: $332.09 Key Fibonacci Levels: 0.382: $330.7058 0.5: $322.08 0.618: $313.4542 0.705: $307.0945 0.786: $301.1734 Volume Profile: High trading activity around the $330-$345 range, indicating strong support and resistance. RSI and MACD: RSI: 57.78, indicating neutral to slightly bullish momentum. MACD: Shows a recent bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum. Key Patterns and Zones: Several Fair Value Gaps (FVG) marked, indicating areas where price may return to fill gaps. Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) annotations indicating significant shifts in market structure. Buy Strategy with Confirmations Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position if the price breaks above the recent high of $357.70 with strong volume, confirming a bullish trend continuation. Alternatively, look for a bounce from the 0.382 Fibonacci level ($330.7058), which could act as strong support. Confirmations: Ensure the RSI is above 50 and trending upwards, indicating bullish momentum. Look for a bullish crossover in the MACD, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line. Confirm that the price is above key moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period) to ensure the trend is upward. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $313.4542 to limit potential losses. Take Profit: Set a take profit target at the next significant resistance level, which could be around $370-$380, based on historical price action and volume profile. This analysis provides a comprehensive view of the current technical setup for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and outlines a potential buy strategy with key confirmations and risk management. If you have any further questions or need additional analysis, feel free to ask! 😊 NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Alexgoldhunter
Correlation Between Bitcoin and TeslaThis is my analysis, you may desagree. There is a clear correlation between Tesla stock value and Bitcoin value. With market value correlation between tops and bottoms. My analysis puts Tesla top in the next years at the Top of Bitcoin price in this next ATH cycle. According to history forecast cycle, the date marks "November 2025". Also Tesla bottom price for the next years, once Bitcoin price reaches price low again. According to history forecast cycle, the date marks "December 2026". Let me know you opinion, this is mine!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ClaudioVelez
1
"Tesla (TSLA) Trade Setup: Key Levels & Confirmed Strategies"NASDAQ:TSLA Expert Analysis of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on a 1-hour Timeframe Current Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Indicating significant changes in trend. Change of Character (CHoCH): Suggests potential trend reversal or continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) and New Gap (NG): Highlight areas where price may return to fill gaps, acting as potential support or resistance. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels to identify potential support and resistance areas: 0.382: $332.21 0.5: $330.25 0.618: $328.29 0.705: $326.85 0.786: $325.45 The 0.5 and 0.618 levels are particularly noteworthy as they often act as strong support or resistance zones. Volume Profile: The Volume Profile shows the traded volume at different price levels. Higher volume areas indicate strong support or resistance zones. The highest volume node around the $335.41 level suggests a significant resistance area. Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 49.32, indicating neutral market conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is close to the signal line, suggesting potential for a crossover. Buy Strategy with Confirmation: Price Action: Look for a bullish CHoCH or BOS, indicating a potential upward trend. RSI Confirmation: RSI should be above 50 and ideally moving upwards. MACD Confirmation: MACD line crossing above the signal line, with a positive histogram. Volume Confirmation: Increasing volume on bullish candlesticks. Entry Point: Enter a buy position if the price breaks above the resistance level at $335.41 with strong volume. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at $330.00. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next resistance level around $343.54, or use a trailing stop to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Sell Strategy with Confirmation: Price Action: Look for a bearish CHoCH or BOS, indicating a potential downward trend. RSI Confirmation: RSI should be below 50 and ideally moving downwards. MACD Confirmation: MACD line crossing below the signal line, with a negative histogram. Volume Confirmation: Increasing volume on bearish candlesticks. Entry Point: Enter a sell position if the price breaks below the support level at $330.00 with strong volume. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent swing high at $335.41. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next support level around $326.61, or use a trailing stop to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Conclusion: This analysis provides a detailed view of Tesla's stock price action with various technical indicators and annotations. The buy and sell strategies outlined above are based on key support and resistance levels, volume confirmation, candlestick patterns, and structural breaks. These strategies aim to maximize profit while minimizing risk. If you have any further questions or need additional analysis, feel free to ask! Happy trading! 🚀✨
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Alexgoldhunter
100% upside The Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour chart for TSLA. Strong push after the Trump elections victory recently, however expecting limited upside immediately going forward TSLA facing strong overhead resistance at 360/415 this will cap upside short-term. 🔸Almost 100% gains off the lows with this recent bullish rally, so expecting pullback/correction on profit taking intro key S/R zone at 360/415 usd. Having said that chart pattern looks strong and I expect more future gains in TSLA after the pullback. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to pullback after we hit overhead resistance at/near 360/415 usd, best reload zone bulls is 265/275 usd this is also an area with liquidity gap so will get re-tested before the bull run resumes. Final TP bulls +100% gains 500/550 USD. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
26
What Is a Standard Deviation, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is a Standard Deviation, and How Can You Use It in Trading? Understanding market volatility is essential for effective trading, and one of the most valuable tools for measuring it is standard deviation. This gauge quantifies the dispersion of asset prices around their mean and provides insights into the variability and potential risk associated with a financial instrument. This article delves into what standard deviation is, its calculation, interpretation, practical implementation, and its limitations. What Is Standard Deviation? Standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the dispersion or variability of a set of data points relative to their mean. In trading, it is used to assess the volatility of a financial instrument. A higher standard deviation indicates greater variability in prices, suggesting more significant swings, while a lower value suggests smaller price fluctuations. For instance, consider two stocks: Stock A and Stock B. If Stock A’s standard deviation is 5 and Stock B’s is 15, Stock B exhibits more price variability. This means that Stock B fluctuates more widely around the mean compared to Stock A, and its volatility level is higher. Understanding the standard deviation of a stock or other asset helps traders evaluate its associated value. Assets with high standard deviations are considered riskier as their prices are hardly analysed, whereas assets with low deviations might be seen as potentially safer. Volatility vs Standard Deviation While both terms are related, volatility refers to the degree of variation in an asset's price over time, whereas standard deviation quantifies this variation statistically. The former is the broader concept, encompassing the overall fluctuations, while the latter provides a precise numerical measure of these fluctuations, offering traders a clearer understanding of market behaviour and risk. Calculating Standard Deviation Calculating standard deviation involves a series of straightforward steps. Here's how traders can calculate it using a set of price data: 1. Gather Data: Collect the closing prices of the asset over a specified period. For example, use the closing prices for the past 10 days. 2. Calculate the Mean: Add up all the closing prices and divide by the number of prices to find the average (mean) price. Mean = ∑ Price /Number of Prices 3. Determine the Deviations: Subtract the mean from each closing price to find the deviation of each price from the mean. Deviation = Price − Mean 4. Square the Deviations: Square each deviation to ensure all values are positive. Squared Deviation = (Price − Mean)^2 5. Calculate the Average of Squared Deviations: Add up all the squared deviations and divide by the number of prices minus one (this adjustment, known as Bessel's correction, is used for a sample). Variance = (∑(Price − Mean)^2) / (Number of Prices − 1) 6. Take the Square Root: Find the square root of the variance to get the standard deviation. Standard Deviation = √Variance Example Calculation Assume we have the closing prices for a stock over 5 days: $20, $22, $21, $23, and $22. 1. Mean: (20 + 22 + 21 + 23 + 22) / 5 = 21.6 2. Deviations: −1.6, 0.4, −0.6, 1.4, 0.4 3. Squared Deviations: 2.56, 0.16, 0.36, 1.96, 0.16 4. Variance: (2.56 +0.16 +0.36 + 1.96 + 0.16) / 4 = 1.3 5. Stock’s Standard Deviation: √1.3 ≈1.14 Interpreting Standard Deviation in Trading Standard deviation in trading offers deep insights into the statistical behaviour of asset prices, aiding traders in making informed decisions. Volatility Analysis - Normal Distribution: A normal distribution, also known as a bell curve, is a common statistical pattern where most data points cluster around the mean, with fewer occurrences as you move away from the mean. Within a normal distribution, roughly 68% of data should be within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% inside of two standard deviations, and 99.7% inside of three standard deviations. - Trading Insight: By observing this measure, traders can estimate the likelihood of movements within certain ranges. For instance, if a stock’s daily return has a mean of 0.5% and a deviation of 2%, traders can expect that around 68% of the time, the stock’s daily return will be between -1.5% and 2.5%. Market Sentiment - Rising: An increasing standard deviation can signal growing uncertainty or a transition period in the market. It might precede major news events, economic changes, or market corrections. Traders often watch for rising volatility as a precursor to market shifts, adjusting their positions accordingly. - Falling: A decreasing standard deviation can indicate calming markets or consolidation phases, where prices move around a mean. This might suggest that the market is absorbing recent volatility, leading to potential trend formation. Traders may see this as a period to prepare for future directional moves. Risk Assessment - Portfolio Management: The measure helps in assessing the risk level of an asset or portfolio. A higher value in a portfolio suggests greater overall risk, prompting traders to diversify or adjust their holdings to manage exposure. - Comparative Analysis: By comparing the standard deviation of different assets, traders can identify which securities align with their risk tolerance. For instance, a conservative trader might prefer assets with lower standard deviations for their smaller price fluctuations. Performance Evaluation - Sharpe Ratio: Standard deviation is a key component in calculating the Sharpe Ratio, which measures risk-adjusted returns. A lower figure, in conjunction with a high return, indicates better performance on a risk-adjusted basis. Traders use this to compare the efficiency of different investments. Indicators Using Standard Deviation Standard deviation is a fundamental tool in trading, utilised in various indicators to assess volatility and inform strategies. To explore the indicators discussed below and apply them to live charts, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Standard Deviation Indicator - Description: The standard deviation indicator directly displays an asset’s standard deviation on a chart. It visually represents the deviation of the asset over a specified period. - Interpretation: When the value is high, the market is experiencing more significant swings. Conversely, a low deviation suggests a market with less fluctuation. Traders often use this indicator to gauge the current volatility and adjust their strategies accordingly. Bollinger Bands - Description: Bollinger Bands consist of three lines: a simple moving average (SMA) in the middle and two standard deviation lines (one above and one below the SMA). - Interpretation: The width of the bands reflects volatility. When the bands widen, it indicates increased volatility, while narrowing bands suggest the opposite. Bollinger Bands are commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. Prices touching the upper band may signal an overbought market, while prices touching the lower band may indicate an oversold market. Traders use this information to make decisions about potential entry or exit points. Relative Volatility Index - Description: The Relative Volatility Index (RVI) uses the standard deviation of high and low prices over a specified period to measure volatility. - Interpretation: The RVI is used to measure the volatility of a financial instrument, comparing price changes to price ranges over a specified period. It helps traders identify potential trend reversals or continuations by signalling periods of heightened or diminished market activity. Practical Implementation of Standard Deviation in Trading Traders utilise this statistical measure for several practical applications to enhance their trading strategies and risk management. Risk Management It helps in setting price targets and stop-loss levels. By understanding the typical price range, traders can place stop-loss orders beyond the expected range to avoid premature exits. For example, if the expected deviation is $2, a stop-loss might be set at $4 away from the entry level to account for typical fluctuations. On the other hand, a trader may extend or tighten their profit target based on the market’s standard deviation. If it indicates volatility is low, they might prefer to set a target closer to the current price vs in a highly volatile market. Evaluating Positions When choosing or evaluating a potential position, traders might consider this measure to gauge expected volatility. A higher value signals higher potential market swings, indicating more risk. This may help in aligning trades with individual risk tolerance levels. Identifying Extreme Price Movements Bollinger Bands are particularly useful here. These bands are set at a distance of two or three standard deviations from a moving average. Movements outside these bands indicate extreme values. For instance, a spike beyond three standard deviations occurs only 0.03% of the time in a normal distribution, suggesting a strong signal. Traders might view a breach above the upper band as a potential selling point and a breach below the lower band as a buying opportunity. Limitations of Standard Deviation While standard deviation is a valuable tool in trading, it has certain limitations: - Assumes Normal Distribution: It presumes data follows a normal distribution, which isn't always true in financial markets where extreme events can occur more frequently. - Historical Data Dependence: It relies on historical data to define future volatility, potentially missing unforeseen market changes. - Ignores Direction: It reflects volatility but doesn't indicate the direction of market movements, making it less useful for trend analysis. - Sensitivity to Outliers: Extreme values can skew the measure, leading to inaccurate volatility assessments. - Not a Standalone Tool: It should be used alongside other indicators and analysis techniques to provide a comprehensive market view. The Bottom Line Understanding and utilising standard deviation is vital for effective trading and risk management. By incorporating this measure, traders can better analyse volatility and make informed decisions. To apply these insights in real-world trading, open an FXOpen account and start leveraging advanced tools and strategies today. FAQs Is Volatility the Same as Standard Deviation? Volatility and standard deviation are related but not identical. Volatility relates to how much variation exists in an asset’s price over a period of time. Standard deviation is a statistical measure used to quantify this volatility. Essentially, it provides a numeric value for volatility, indicating how much an asset's price deviates from its average. How to Calculate the Volatility of a Stock? To calculate stock volatility, traders determine the standard deviation of its returns over a specific period. They collect the daily closing prices, calculate the daily returns, and then compute the standard deviation of these returns. This gives the annualised volatility, reflecting the stock's fluctuation rate. What Is a Good Standard Deviation for a Stock? A "good" standard deviation depends on the trader’s risk tolerance and strategy. Lower values might suggest potentially less risk and less market fluctuation, suitable for conservative traders. Higher values indicate greater risk and potential reward, appealing to risk-tolerant traders. Generally, it’s best to seek a balance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
6