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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair. Strength in the Australian Dollar The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by: - GDP Annual Growth Rate: Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion. - Inflation and Employment: Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability. These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs. The Resilient US Dollar On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector. With US interest rates at 4.75%, higher than Australia’s, and diminishing prospects of immediate rate cuts, the USD continues to attract global capital. However, the dollar’s strength is moderated by seasonal trends and risk-on sentiment, which tend to favor higher-yielding and riskier assets like the AUD. Key Event Ahead for the AUD The most significant event for the Australian dollar this week will be the release of the Monthly CPI Indicator (October) on Wednesday. The market is anticipating a reading of 2.3%, which will provide crucial insight into inflation trends and the RBA’s potential policy direction. A higher-than-expected result could further strengthen the AUD by reducing expectations of future rate cuts. Seasonality and Risk-On Sentiment Seasonal patterns and a supportive risk-on sentiment are also aiding the AUD/USD pair. Investors’ appetite for riskier assets typically benefits the Australian dollar, which is closely tied to global growth and commodity markets. Conclusion AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates. The upcoming inflation report in Australia will likely set the tone for the AUD’s near-term trajectory, while broader market sentiment and seasonal trends could favor continued consolidation or moderate gains in the pair. What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
Long
by InvestMate
1
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6557 1st Support: 0.6442 1st Resistance: 0.6645 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
3
AUDUSD - Zoomed Out Perspective20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Bullish structure on 4HR TF failed - BOS. Further decline to 1W support... I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. KEYNOTE: The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you are swimming "WITH" the current!!
Short
by ANROC
AUDUSD: Time to turn bullish again.AUDUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.008, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.063) as it has been declining since the September 30th High. Technically though it is time to turn bullish again as not only has the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, but the double bottom on the 1D RSI is identical to the February 13th 2024 Low. The resulting rebound reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level before a rejection. Consequently, we are turning bullish here, aiming for the current 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66900). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope