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Australian Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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AUDNZD trade ideas

AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview --- 1. Seasonality AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum. NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD. Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 2. COT Report AUD: COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning. COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD. Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment. NZD : COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak. COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD. Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum. COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) : AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions. NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD. Endogenous Factors: AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case. NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD. Exogenous Factors : AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias. Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- 4. Technical Analysis RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement. Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside. Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup. Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD. --- Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
Long
by asadamalik
AUDNZD BullishTechnical Analysis Divergence: The RSI divergence on the 4-hour AUD/NZD chart suggests a potential reversal or slowing of the downtrend. The price has made lower lows, while the RSI shows higher lows, indicating bullish divergence. This is a sign of weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a reversal or consolidation. Support Zone: The price is hovering around a strong horizontal support level (yellow line). This area has previously acted as a support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. Volume: Declining volume in the downtrend indicates weak bearish pressure, which further supports the case for a reversal. Fundamental Analysis Bias AUD Fundamentals (Strong): COT RSI data for the AUD shows higher percentages across 13, 26, and 52-week periods, indicating strong speculative positioning for AUD. This reflects a positive sentiment toward AUD . NZD Fundamentals (Weak): NZD COT RSI values are significantly lower, showing weakness in speculative sentiment compared to AUD. Endogenous Factors (Mixed): The endogenous factor table shows mixed scores. However, AUD scores are generally less negative or neutral, while NZD has slightly weaker scores. This gives AUD a slight fundamental edge. Overall Bias: The AUD/NZD pair's fundamental bias aligns bullish for AUD based on the data. If NZD fundamentals weaken further, this adds to the bullish outlook. Conclusion and Trade Bias Technical: Bullish Divergence + Support Zone: Favor a bounce or reversal in the short term. Watch for RSI to cross above 50 and confirmation of higher highs in price. Fundamental: AUD appears fundamentally stronger than NZD, supporting a medium-term bullish bias for the pair. Trade Plan Entry: Consider entering long positions near the current support level if bullish candles form on higher timeframes. Stop Loss: Place stops slightly below the support zone. Take Profit: Target previous resistance levels around 1.1050 and 1.1100.
Long
by aamir98
1
Long tern effect We're about to create another BOS, and for the upcoming days we're going to make huge pull-back for the market to have enough liquidity to go Long. for this the Market as we see on my chart is doing well and we're going to to wait until the opportunity comes on the right place and on the right time so we can go Long.. This trend will take several weeks to come into our Golden Zone. Even if you take Fibonacci the number will align well with the strategy there
Long
by josiahgeofreyfx
3
AUD/NZD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Institutional PositAUD/NZD shows strong potential for continued upside, supported by large speculators who are holding long positions, as indicated by the latest COT data. This aligns with the typical contrarian dynamic, where retail traders remain predominantly bearish, positioning themselves against the trend. When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, it often creates an opportunity for institutional players to push prices higher, targeting retail stop-loss orders. This dynamic suggests that AUD/NZD is well-positioned for further gains as institutional buying pressure outweighs the retail skepticism. With speculators backing the bullish trend and retail traders positioned against it, the pair is primed for sustained upside. Traders should keep an eye on key support zones and potential entry points to capitalize on the continuing bullish momentum.
Long
by OssianH
AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.105 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Sell AUD/NZD Bearish ChannelThe AUD/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1005, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0962 2nd Support – 1.0944 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Bearish drop?AUD/NZD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 1.1020 1st Support: 1.0934 1st Resistance: 1.1088 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDNZD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0989 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1034 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0964 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDNZD Is Very Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.100. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.104 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUD/NZD AnalysisThe pair is trading within a rising channel pattern, signaling a bullish outlook. It is currently near the lower range of the channel, suggesting potential upward momentum. 🔍 Key Observations: The price is bouncing off the channel support, aligning with bullish sentiment. RSI is neutral, leaving room for upward movement. Bollinger Bands indicate potential for a move toward the upper boundary. 🎯 Plan: Entry: Around 1.1040 Take Profit 1: 1.1065 Take Profit 2: 1.1085 Stop Loss: 1.1022 💡 Look for clear confirmation of support holding before entering. Always use proper risk management! 🚨
Long
by Charts_M7M
2