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IWM trade ideas

Consumer Sentiment, Inflation and Market CrashWhat is the UMCSI Showing to us? The US economy is deteriorating further. After the Virus the sentiment recovered slowly and peaked with Biden taking office in expectations of better times ahead. At the same time inflation kicked in due to massive overspending. Inflation is always a monetary problem of too much money in circulation. Even fiscal policies (“Free money” programs) are rooted in monetary policies. If the government ask for money nobody has at hand, the FEDS issue debt and create the liquidity needed to pay for those programs. This is important to understand. They create money out of free air. Follow GDP NOW from the Atlanta Feds and we will see how growth is constantly fading away. Will we have a second quarter in the red? GDP Outlook. The UMCSI is at its lowest level since the virus was released, which was the lowest ever since, even under Bush, Obama and Trump. We also had the first Quarter of the GDP coming in negative this year. Two in a row makes it officially a recession. And Stocks? We also see that the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russel 2000 are about to hit 20% below the most recent high. A 20% correction will be seen as a recession in the broad market. Why? Because earnings of the underlaying companies will come in lower than they used to do. Also, the higher the stock price gets the more is expected for their growth. Relatively to their value the stock has to grow more to produce the same ROC. Otherwise the EPS (Earnings Per Share) will slump and investors will look for other opportunities. This makes the stock market less attractive the more it grows. Other investments are also less risky. And, i.e., about 50% of the IWM, Russel 2000, cannot serve their debts!! The Party is over my Friends. Follow me on Twitter, this post with images is pinned for a while!
AMEX:IWMShort
by Option_Crusader
I hope everyone is making good money on the crashing marketsThe markets are crashing and I predicted this like so many others 6-9 months ago. We finally reached the edge of the Bear Market. The Ape Army disappeared and lost all their gains. Congratulations, Going to the moon Bro! I stick with IWM the Russel 2000. Target 150 or even 120 by end of year. Inflation will eat the economy and selling assets by the FEDs will bring bond price down, yield up and the stock market will follow. USD will gain value since imports will increase. China at the bring of a collapse as well. Buying Puts in the IWM for now the way to go, or selling Call Credit Spreads. 50% of the IWM underlaying companies cannot serve their loans. IWM will fall first and deep, Then the NASDAQ, QQQ. Then SPY. Where is the Ape Army??
AMEX:IWM
by Option_Crusader
Head and ShouldersIWM appears to have broken the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern, consolidated in a horizontal trading range, or a rectangle, and has broken the support line of the rectangle. Massive negative crossover of the longer term moving averages at about the same time price broke the neckline. On the Cloud, below, the Tenken crossed through the Kijun at the same time. This is almost a "reverse" of a Parabolic Arc but to the downside as the candles are almost straight down. It would seem selling pressure would ease soon, but the market seems to be in panic mode. I figured out a long time ago that Mr. Market does not do what I tell him to do )o: Price is under the Bollinger bands set on 80 showing an extreme oversold condition. RSI is also oversold. These conditions can go on for extended periods of time. I scanned the chart and there are no rising wedges left in this chart to be broken. The ones that existed have already corrected. This chart is not trading like QQQ and SPY which are very similar to each other. I am assuming this will go down with the others though, so I will mark short but maybe a bounce very soon. No recommendation I doubt our prior president is enjoying this, but he may be saying "I told you so". I do not think Xiden cares and his group probably sold out a while back.
AMEX:IWMShort
by lauralea
2
IWM: Pivotal ChangeRussell 2000 looks to be on the cusp of breaking down, after a short term distributional channel (following a longer term underperformance). We might get a small bounce back up to the prior support (as backing up action) before continue lower. There is a lack of a volume signature on the bottom of channel indicating no volume absorption like we saw last time (marked in the green box) and this suggests that we will see some acceleration to the downside. The point and figure chart suggests we a price target range of 110-140 signifying an additional 30% drop. This is entirely possible considering the slower growth and further possible war catalysts. While this, might not be the "end" yet - this warrants some portfolio hedging or at least trimming of "high valuation" positions.
AMEX:IWMShort
by quantitativetendies
1